ISI - International Statistical Institute Newsletter Volume 27, No. 2 (80) 2003 -Sections
Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability
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Editorial Address | Enno Mammen,
Institut für Angewandte Mathematik, Ruprecht-Karls-Universität, Im Neuenheimer Feld 294, 69120 Heidelberg, Germany Tel: +49–6221–548981 Fax: +49–6221–545331 E-mail: mammen@statlab.uni-heidelberg.de |
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| President | Peter G. Hall, Australian National
University, Statistics, Center for Mathematics and its Applications, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia Tel: +61–6–2493474 Fax: +61–6–2494675 E-mail: halpstat@fac.anu.edu.au |
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| Website | http://isi.cbs.nl/bs.htm |
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Index Bernoulli |
| Peter Jagers - New President Elect |
| 2004 Bernoulli Society World Congress |
| Committee Work |
| Stochastic Processes and their Applications |
| Upcoming Meetings in 2003 and 2004 |
This edition contains society news and announcements, and reports on upcoming scientific meetings sponsored or co-organised by BS. For more information see also the online version of "Bernoulli News".
TopFor the term 2003 to 2007 the council of the society has the following new members:
Tim Brown, Colleen Cutler, Frank den Hollander, Valerie Isham, Zhi-ming Ma, Mario Wschebor.
Paul Feigin, Chii-Ruey Hwang, Tom Kurtz, Elisabeth de Turckheim, Ruth Williams and Victor Yohai will continue to act as members of the council until 2005.
From 2003 to 2005 the new President Elect is Peter Jagers. He will take over this office from Don Dawson at the ISI 54th Session in Berlin this August. Then, Don Dawson will start as new president of the society.
TopPeter Jagers was born 1941 in Gothenburg (Göteborg), Sweden. He studied Arts, Mathematics, Physics, and finally Mathematical Statistics (1960-64) and got his Ph.D. at Gothenburg University in 1968. Since 1974 he is Professor at Chalmers University of Technology and Gothenburg University. His activities for the scientific community include:
• Chairman of the Committee for Conferences on Stochastic Processes and their Applications,1983-87;
• Editor of Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 1989-94;
• Programme Director of Chalmers's International Master's Programme in Bioinformatics, 2000-2002;
• President of the Faculty Senate, Chalmers University of Technology, 1993-2002;
• Chair Bernoulli Society Publications Committee.
He is an Elected Member of the ISI, a Fellow of the IMS, a Fellow of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, and of the European Academy of Science.
His research interests include: Applied probability, mainly branching processes and their interplay with biology (stochastic population dynamics), point processes, and statistical inference. Besides some lecture notes in Swedish he has written the following two books:
• Branching Processes with Biological Applications. John Wiley & Sons, 1975.
• Classical and Modern Branching Processes. With K. B. Athreya (ed.) Springer-Verlag, 1997.
Now, he is working on the book Branching and Biology --- Variation, Growth, Extinction, together with Patsy Haccou, Vladimir Vatutin et al., to be published by Cambridge University Press in 2004. One of his most recent papers is: Random Variation and Concentration Effects in PCR. With Fima Klebaner. J. Theoret. Biol. 2003. (due to appear shortly).
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The 2004 Bernoulli Society World Congress, and IMS Annual Meeting, will be held in Barcelona, Spain, 26-30 July 2004. The Chair of the local organising committee is David Nualart
nualart@mat.ub.es . The Scientific Program Committee has now largely finished its work. The members of the committee have been Gerard Ben Arous, David Brillinger, Rainer Dahlhaus, Sara van de Geer, Evarist Giné, Wenceslao González Manteiga, Wilfrid Kendall (chair), Russ Lyons, Enno Mammen (ex officio BS Scientific Secretary), Thomas Mikosch, Susan Murphy (ex officio IMS Program Secretary), David Nualart (ex officio local chair), Yosi Ogata, Chris Rogers, Roberto Schonmann, Michael Sørensen, Simon Tavaré, Anton Wakolbinger, Ofer Zeitouni.
There will be in the order of 6 to 7 special invited lecturers under IMS auspices (1 Wald, 1 Rietz, and 4-5 Medallion); in respect of Bernoulli Society, David Aldous (Kolmogorov Lecture), Wendelin Werner (Levy Lecture, sponsored by Elsevier), Jun Liu (Bernoulli Lecture), Steffen Lauritzen (Laplace Lecture) have agreed to give special invited Bernoulli Society Lectures.
Up to now the following invited paper sessions have been confirmed: Biological networks - modelling and inference (Marianne Huebner); Inference for dynamical spatial/temporal models (Valerie Isham); Mathematical finance (Nizar Touzi); Modeling spatial and temporal dependence for extremes (Richard A. Davis); Statistical genetics (David Clayton); Statistics in molecular biology (Terry Speed); Statistical methods in brain mapping (Keith Worsley); Statistics in finance and econometrics (Yacine Ait-Sahalia); The interface of insurance and finance (Ragnar Norberg); Brownian motion (Yuval Peres); Coalescents, coagulation and fragmentation (Jean Bertoin); Concentration inequalities (Sergey Bobkov); Conformal invariance and stochastic Loewner evolutions (Wendelin Werner); Large deviations (Erwin Bolthausen); Measure-valued processes and SPDE (Jean Francois LeGall); Metastability (Frank den Hollander); Mixing of finite Markov chains (Dana Randall); Percolation, statistical mechanics, interacting particle systems (Pisztora); Probability on graphs (Jeff Steif); Random Matrices and Related Processes (Alexander Soshnikov); Random walks in random environments and random media (Nina Gantert); Function estimation (A. Tsybakov); Applications of particle filtering in statistics (Arnaud Doucet); Causality and multi-stage decision problems (Jamie Robins); Dimension reduction for high dimensional data (Ker-Chau Li); False discovery rates (Felix Abramovich); Model choice and goodness of fit in nonparametrics (Winfried Stute); Machine learning in complex structures (Peter Bartlett); Nonparametric analysis for time series (Qiwei Yao); Statistical analysis of point processes (Rick Shoenberg); Statistical inference for stochastic differential equations (Mathieu Kessler); Function space valued modeling (Anestis Antoniadis); Biostatistics (Niels Keiding); Graphical models in statistics (Thomas Richardson).
The Programme Committee for the Bernoulli Section (BS) of the 55th ISI Session in Sydney (2005) has started its work. The committee consists of the following members: David Brillinger, Louis Chen, William Dunsmuir, Enno Mammen, Jane-Ling Wang, Ruth Williams, Peter Hall and Leopold Simar (chair).
At the 54th Session of the International Statistical Institute the following Bernoulli Society Committee and General Meetings take place:
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Latin American Regional Committee of the Bernoulli Society (LARC)
Forthcoming Events sponsored by LARC:
The program contains the following lectures:
Opening Lecture: Yuval Peres, 5 Short Courses: de la Peña, van der Vaart, Thorisson, Wermuth and Cox, Tavare.
20 one-hour lectures: Maria Eulalia Vares, Miguel Abadi, Servet Martinez, Dan Rabinowitz, Mark van der Laan, Jose R. Leon, Victor Yohai, Rolando Biscay, Marc Lavielle, Tom Britton, Enno Mammen, Antonio Cuevas, Eustasio del Barrio, Juan Cuesta, Alejandra Cabaña, Georgina Flesia, Jean Bertoin, Michel Ledoux, Laurent Saloff-Coste, Gabor Lugosi.
Special session organisers: Ricardo Fraiman, Ernesto Mordecki, Jan Rosinski, Jean-Marc Azais, Carlos Matran, Luis Raul Pericchi.
All information concerning LARC can be found in the web-site of the committee: http://imerl.fing.edu.uy/larc
In addition, a bulletin in Spanish language is distributed on the web: http://imerl.fing.edu.uy/larc/boletin.htm
Committee on Probability and Statistics in the Physical Sciences of the Bernoulli Society
(C(PS)2)
The Thirteenth International Conference on Quantitative Methods for the Environmental Sciences and The Twelfth General Meeting of The International Environmetrics Society (TIES 2003). Due to the SARS epidemic these conferences will not take place in Beijing this year. The conference will now be held in South Africa from Monday 3- Friday 7 November, at Caesars Palace, Johannesburg. The conference will be held as a parallel conference to the South African Statistical Association 50th anniversary conference.
See http://www.cmis.csiro.au/ties2003/
For information on other recent committee activities, see also http://oz.berkeley.edu/~brill/cps2/
The European Regional Committee of the Bernoulli Society (ERC)
Upcoming events under the auspices of the European Regional Committee of the Bernoulli Society include:
The 13th European Young Statisticians Meeting, Ovronnaz, Switzerland, September 21-26, 2003
Chairman of the Local Organising Committee: Reinhard Furrer
This is the first European Meeting of Statisticians (EMS) following the new ideas of the European Regional Committee of the Bernoulli Society. The renewed EMS wants to be a central international event in all areas of statistics and probability, including methodological statistics, applied and computational statistics, probability theory, stochastic processes and applied probability. The scientific programme will be interesting and broad, making the conference appealing for scientists, graduate and postgraduate students in all these areas. The scientific programme will be broader than in past EMS, with more space to important applications of our disciplines. The programme will also aim at cross-fertilisation between the various areas, through special invited speakers and sessions which bridge between theory and practice, inference and stochastic models. We hope to see an increase in terms of participation and contributed talks.
We encourage students and young statisticians to join the meeting in Oslo. In order to make this possible we will be offering accommodation near campus (with good standards) at a very good price, for those, students and non, who do not wish to stay in a more conventional hotel. We currently estimate the on-campus accommodation to cost circa 200 Euro for the whole period. (In fact, because of local rules, the rent will be for two full weeks. We are currently working on the possibility to organise a training event during the week preceding the conference, for those who would be interested.) Of course we will offer traditional hotel accommodation too. In summary, we try to organise a conference for each budget.
This is the 25th EMS and we are planning to mark this round number by looking back into the history of the EMS. We wish to collect and publish historical material from the whole series of the EMS. Do you have interesting material, especially from the first 15 EMS? Would you be interested in joining a small group planning this activity? Please contact us if so (Arnoldo.Frigessi@nr.no ).
Expected arrival of participants is Saturday 23 July 2005. The meeting starts on Sunday 24th in the morning, because we want to make full use of over-the-weekend low airfares. The conference will close in the afternoon of Thursday 28th. For us "low cost" is an important issue. The reason why the conference is in July, and not in August as is the tradition, is to use the campus facilities in full in absence of regular classes, and to profit from the long warm summer days of July. The Scandinavian summer is a unique experience!
The scientific programme committee is chaired by Aad van der Vaart (Free University Amsterdam & Eurandom) and includes Ørnulf Borgan (Oslo), Jeffrey Steif (Gothenburg), Gareth Roberts (Lancaster), Sylvia Richardson (Imperial College), Ursula Gather (Dortmund), Tomasz Rolski (University of Wroclaw). The local organising committee includes Arnoldo Frigessi (Norwegian Computing Centre & University of Oslo), chair and Nils L. Hjort (Oslo), deputy.
For more information please see the conference website http://www.ems2005.no/
Bernoulli Society members are invited to make suggestions for invited speakers and sessions. Please send an e-mail to the chairman of the Scientific Programme Committee.
For more information on other recent committee activities, see also
http://www-m4.mathematik.tu-muenchen.de/m4/erc/
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As announced in the last issue of ISI Newsletter, Elsevier Science, in conjunction with the Bernoulli Society, is pleased to be able to continue to offer all members free online access to Stochastic Processes and their Applications (SPA).
Members who would like to take advantage of free online access to SPA should visit
http://www.elsevier.com/login and choose a username and password, then enter the following key when prompted to do so:
AntePoleWant(case sensitive)
(If you have already done this, please continue to use the username and password you have created)
Instructions to access the journal online are as follows:
1. Visit www.elsevier.com/locate/spa
2. In the left-hand frame, under "Content Services", choose the link which says, "IMS and Bernoulli Society Members, full text access here". This will take you to a page containing tables of contents for society members only.
3. Click on the issue you would like to read.
4. You will see a login screen in which you should enter your username and password.
5. This takes you to a screen with a small box, reading "Click here", from where you will access the PDF of your choice.
The final two steps are only necessary once per visit.
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Date: 6-9 July 2003
Place: Berkeley, CA, U.S.A.
Website: http://icasp9.berkeley.edu/
The ISIPTA meetings are one of the primary international forums to present and discuss new results on the theory and applications of imprecise probabilities. At the third symposium three main themes will be emphasised: inference, algorithms and computational complexity, and real applications.
Location. ISIPTA '03 will be held at the University of Lugano, Switzerland.
Tutorial day: 14 July 2003
Symposium: 15-17 July 2003
Program Board:
Jean-Marc Bernard (Universite Paris 5, France)
Teddy Seidenfeld (Carnegie Mellon University, USA)
Marco Zaffalon (IDSIA, Switzerland)
Questions. If you have any questions about the symposium, please contact:
Marco Zaffalon, IDSIA,
Galleria 2
CH-6928 Manno
Switzerland
Tel.: +41 91 610 8665
Fax +41 91 610 8661
E-mail: zaffalon@idsia.ch
Date: 5-8 August 2003
Place: Dortmund, Germany
Contact: Hans Joachim Werner (U. Bonn)
The 12th International Workshop on Matrices and Statistics (IWMS-2003) will be held at the University of Dortmund (Dortmund, Germany) on 5-8 August 2003. This workshop will be hosted by the Department of Statistics at the University of Dortmund. The purpose of the workshop is to stimulate research and, in an informal setting, to foster the interaction of researchers in the interface between statistics and matrix theory. This workshop will provide a forum through which statisticians may be better informed of the latest developments and newest techniques in matrix theory and may exchange ideas with researchers from a wide variety of countries. This workshop will include the presentation of both invited and contributed papers on matrices and statistics; it is expected that many of these papers will be published, after refereeing, in a
'Special Issue on Linear Algebra and Statistics' of Linear Algebra and Its Applications.
International Organizing Committee: R.William Farebrother (Shrewsbury, England, UK), Simo Puntanen (Univ. of Tampere, Finland), George P.H. Styan (McGill University, Montréal, Québec, Canada; vice-chair), and Hans Joachim Werner (Univ. of Bonn, Germany; chair).
Local Organising Committee: Jürgen Groß (Univ. of Dortmund, Germany), Götz Trenkler (Univ. of Dortmund, Germany; chair), C. Weihs (Univ. of Dortmund, Germany).
Date: 8-12 August 2003
Place: Tartu, Estonia
Contact: Tõnu Kollo (University of Tartu)
Date: 3-9 August 2003
Place: Angra dos Reis, state of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Website: http://www.impa.br/Conferencias/Spa
The program consists of fifty-minute lectures delivered by invited speakers, twenty-minute contributed talks and posters.
Invited Speakers:
A. Bovier (WIAS, Berlin)
R. Burton (Oregon State University, USA)
C. Burdzy (Univ. of Washington, USA)
P. Ferrari (IME/USP, Brazil)
A. Guionnet (ENS, Lyon, France)
F. Den Hollander (EURANDOM, Netherlands)
D. Ioffe (Technion, Haifa, Israel)
J. Norris (Univ. of Cambridge, UK)
H. T. Yau (NYU, New York, USA)
O. Zeitouni (Technion, Haifa, Israel)
Courses:
A. Guionnet (ENS, Lyon)
O. Zeitouni (Technion, Haifa)
Scientific Committee:
E. Bolthausen (Univ. Zurich)
C. Burdzy (Univ. of Seattle)
P. Ferrari (IME/USP, São Paulo)
M. Keane (Univ. of Amsterdam)
C. Landim (IMPA, Rio de Janeiro), Chairman
M. Ledoux (Univ. Paul-Sabatier, Toulouse)
S. Olla (Univ. de Dauphine)
S. R. S. Varadhan (Courant Institute, NYU)
O. Zeitouni (Univ. Technion, Haifa)
Local Committee:
C. Landim (IMPA, Rio)
A. Simonis (USP, Sao Paulo)
S. Volchan (PUC-Rio)
Date: 21-26 September 2003
Place: Ovronnaz, Switzerland
Website: http://statwww.epfl.ch/eysm03
Date: 3- 7 November 2003
Place: Caesars Palace, Johannesburg
Website: http://www.cmis.csiro.au/ties2003/
The conference will be held as a parallel conference to the South African Statistical Association 50th anniversary conference.
The 2003 conference of the East Asian Pacific Regional (EAPR) Committee will be held at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HKUST) on 18-20 December 2003. The conference is organised by HKUST under the auspices of the East Asian and Pacific Regional Committee of the Bernoulli Society. The Program Committee comprises David Aldous, Tim Brown, Louis HY Chen, Ching Sui Cheng, Bong Dae Choi, Masatoshi Fukushima, Tze Leung Lai, Albert Lo (Chair), Ryozo Miura and Jia-An Yan.
Keynote Speakers are David Aldous, Friedrich Goetze, Zhi-ming Ma, Kei Takeuchi, Meiji Gakuin, Wing Hung Wong and C.F. Jeff Wu.
For further information, visit the website www.bm.ust.hk/~eapr2003/
or contact Mike So at immkpso@ust.hk
It is proposed to hold a four-day International Workshop in Applied Probability (IWAP) on March 22-25, 2004 at the University of Piraeus, Greece. We are planning to have an interdisciplinary conference in the field of probability. Applied probability is a broad research area that is of interest to scientists in diverse disciplines including anthropology, biology, communication theory, computer science, economics, epidemiology, finance, geography, linguistics, medicine, meteorology, operations research, psychology, quality control, reliability theory, sociology and statistics.
The aim of this workshop is to bring together and to foster exchanges among scientists working in the applications of probability to any field, including those listed above. The format of the workshop will be: two plenary speakers (one hour talks, including a 10 minute discussion) each day, followed by four invited sessions (two run in parallel at a time) of four speakers to present 30 minute talks, including a 5 minute discussion. Participants are going to be encouraged to submit their contributions to the journal Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability. Moreover, we are considering publishing a volume of review article based on selected presentations of senior scientists.
The plenary speakers, listed below, are leading researchers in the field of probability with a strong interest in applications. They are world wide recognised scientists that have published many important articles and books in the filed of probability and whose work has been supported by research grants of major agencies and institutions. The Scientific Program Committee includes leading scientists in diverse areas of research in probability from all over the world, that will ensure a strong and a broad program and participation from scientists from all over the world. The workshop chairs are committed to encourage the participation of young scientists, women and minorities at IWAP and have already made progress to achieve this goal.
The proposed workshop will be built on the success of the IWAP 2002 that took place at the University of Simon Bolivar, Caracas, Venezuela, on January 14-17, 2002. Seventy researchers from fifteen countries attended that workshop. Eight plenary lectures and fifty-three invited lectures were presented. Selected research publications are going to be published in two special issues of the journal Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability. Selected review articles will appear in a volume "Applied Probability - Recent Advances" to be published by Kluwer Academic Publishers. IWAP 2002 was co-sponsored by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics and the Latin American Section of Bernoulli Society. Financial support was provided by several organisations, including the IMS and NSA.
Workshop Chairs: Ricardo Baeza-Yates, Joseph Glaz, Henryk Gzyl, Markos Koutras, Jürg Hüsler, Jose Luis Palacios
Local Organising Committee: M. V. Koutras (Head), mkoutras@unipi.gr
, S. Chadjiconstantinidis (vice Head), D. L. Antzoulakos (Secretary), M. Boutsikas (Treasurer).
Scientific Program Committee: N. Balakrishnan, Andrew D. Barbour, Henry W. Block, Louis H. Y. Chen, Noel Cressie, Richard Davis, Pablo Ferrari, Richard Johnson, Claudia Klüppelberg, Tze Leung Lai, Ingram Olkin, Phil Pollett, Allan Sampson, Moshe Shaked, Jozef Teugels.
Organisers of Invited Sessions
Barry C. Arnold, N. Balakrishnan, Andrew D. Barbour, Viktor Benes, Henry W. Block, Philip J. Boland, Louis H. Y. Chen, James C. Fu, Nancy Lopes Garcia, Anant Godbole, George Haiman, Richard Johnson, Claudia Klüppelberg, Nikolaos Limnios, Bo Lindqvist, David Mason, M. Nikulin, Ingram Olkin, Phil Pollett, Moshe Shaked, Jozef Teugels, Bill Woodall, Hisashi Yamamoto.
Paul Deheuvels, Luc Devroye, Marc Goovaerts, Peter Hall, Holger Rootzen, Sheldon Ross,
Michael Steele, Prasad Tetali.
IX CLAPEM (Congreso Latinoamericano de Probabilidad y Estadística Matemática)
Date: 22 - 26 March 2004
Place: Montevideo, Uruguay
Website: http://imerl.fing.edu.uy/clapem
Contact: lpe@fing.edu.uy
IX CLAPEM, the main event of the Latin American Chapter of the Bernoulli Society will take place in Uruguay on 22-26 March 2004. The scientific committee of IX CLAPEM is Evarist Gine (Chairman, USA), Pablo Ferrari (Brasil), Andrea Rotnitzky (Argentina and USA), Carlos Matran (Spain), Graciela Boente (Argentina), Jean-Marc Azais (France), Victor Perez Abreu (Mexico) and Gonzalo Perera (Uruguay).
The local organising committee comprises Ernesto Mordecki (chair), Enrique Cabana, Alicia Carriquiry, Ricardo Fraiman, Juan Jose Goyeneche, Gustavo Guerberoff, Gonzalo Perera, Marco Scavino, Maro Wschebor and Andrea Rivero (secretary). See also above for more information.
Location: Santander, Spain
Date: June 16 - June 18, 2004
Organisers:
Prof. N. Balakrishnan (bala@mcmail.cis.mcmaster.ca
)
Prof. Enrique Castillo (castie@unican.es
)
Prof. Jose-Maria Sarabia (sarabiaj@unican.es
)
Purpose: This International Conference is being organised to celebrate the occasion of Professor Barry C. Arnold turning 65. The areas of Order Statistics, Distribution Theory and Inference, in which Barry Arnold has made fundamental and pioneering contributions, will be the primary areas of focus at this conference. For further details, please contact any of the three organisers at the addresses given above.
International Biometric Conference 2004 and 2004 Australian Statistical Conference
Date: 11-16 July 2004
Place: Cairns, Queensland, Australia
Website: http://www.ozaccom.com.au/ibc2004/
This conference will be held in Neuchâtel, Switzerland, 14-18 July 2004 and is organised by Anthony DAVISON, Yadolah DODGE and Nanny WERMUTH. The invited speakers include: Ole Barndorff-Nielsen (Aarhus), Sarah Darby (Oxford), David Firth (Oxford), Peter Hall (Canberra), Valerie Isham (University College, London), Peter McCullagh (Chicago), Nancy Reid (Toronto), Ignacio Rodríguez-Iturbe (Princeton), Andrea Rotnitzky (Harvard), Neil Shephard (Oxford), Nanny Wermuth (Mainz), Scott Zeger (Johns Hopkins). For more information see http:// www.unine.ch/statistics/cox/Welcome.html
An international Conference on Stochastic Networks will be held July 19-24, 2004, at the Centre de Récherches Mathematiques associated with the Université de Montreal. This week-long workshop will continue a tradition of similar meetings held at irregular intervals over the last 15 years or so, starting with the one organised by Tom Kurtz in Madison in 1987, continuing with conferences in Minneapolis and Edinburgh during the 1990's, then returning to Madison in 2000. The most recent such meeting was the 2002 meeting held at Stanford University. These meetings have brought together mathematicians and applied researchers who share an interest in stochastic network models.
Like its predecessors, the Montreal Stochastic Networks Conference (Sponsor: Centre de Récherches Mathematiques) will emphasise new model structures and new mathematical problems that are motivated by contemporary developments in business and technology, with particular emphasis on data networks and electronic business. We expect to have talks on other application areas too, like manufacturing and supply chain management, and on mathematical methods for stochastic network analysis. There will be invited talks over a six-day period (Monday through Saturday), with plenty of time in the interstices for informal discussion. For queries, please contact Peter Glynn
(glynn@stanford.edu ).
The Program Committee consists of Jim Dai, Peter Glynn, Bruce Hajek, Frank Kelly, Tom Kurtz, Ruth Williams. For details see
http://www.stanford.edu/group/stochnetconf/
.
The 2004 Bernoulli Society World Congress, and IMS Annual Meeting, will be held in Barcelona, Spain,
26-30 July 2004. The location will be the historic building of the University of Barcelona, located in downtown Barcelona. See also above for more information.
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Editorial Address | Irena Krizman, Vice- President
IAOS, Vozarski pot 12, P.O.B. 3570, 1001 Ljubljana, Slovenia tel.: +386 1 2415 302 – fax: +386 1 2415 344 – E-mail: irena.krizman@gov.si |
|
| President | Paul Cheung, Department of
Statistics, 100 High Street, The Treasury #05-01, 179434 Singapore Tel: +65 3327686 – Fax: +65-3327689 – E-mail: Paul_Cheung@singstat.gov.sg |
||
| Website | http://tilastokeskus.fi/iaos |
|
Index IAOS |
| INVITATION to attend the IAOS Administrative meetings in Berlin 2003 |
| Paul Cheung Reports |
| IAOS Invited Paper Meetings - ISI Berlin 2003 |
| Standing Committee on Regional and Urban Statistics |
Recent IAOS Activities have largely focused on the following events:
Further organisation of IAOS activities for the 54th ISI Session to be held in Berlin, Germany in 2003;
IAOS activities concerning the IASS/IAOS Joint Conference in 2004;
Nomination activities for the IAOS Executive Committee (2004-2005);
Preparations for 55th ISI Session, Sydney 2005.
IAOS President Paul Cheung kindly invites the appropriate IAOS members to attend the:
• IAOS Executive Committee Meeting,
Thursday, 14 Aug, 7:30-9:00
• IAOS Program Committee Meeting, Friday, 15 Aug, 11:15-13:00
• IAOS Executive Committee Meeting (2003-2005), Tuesday, 19 Aug. 7:30-9:00
• IAOS General Assembly, Monday, Aug 18, 11:15-13:00
IAOS members are invited to attend the IAOS General Assembly meeting that will take place on Monday, August 18, from 11:15-13:00. The location of the meeting will be announced in the conference bulletin.
The preliminary agenda is as follows:
Opening Remarks
Report of IAOS activities 2001-2003
Nomination of members of the Executive Committee for 2003-2005. The Nomination Committee, under the chairmanship of Willem de Vries and comprising Ed Spar, Lamine Diop, and Fred Ho, has proposed the following slate for the next IAOS Executive Committee (2003-2005):
President-Elect: Dr Hermann Habermann (USA)
Deputy Director, US Census Bureau
Vice-Presidents:
Ms Dr Ida Stamhuis (Netherlands), Associate Professor, History of Statistics, Free University of Amsterdam
Dr Hussein Shakhatreh (Jordan), Director General, the Department of Statistics of Jordan
Mr Pali Lehola, (South Africa), Director General of Statistics South Africa
Mr Rob Edwards, (Australia), Deputy Government Statistician, Australian Bureau of Statistics
Discussion of 2004 IAOS Conference
Discussion on preparation for 2005 Sydney ISI Sessions
Report on SCORUS activities
Financial Report
Any other business and open discussion.
The IAOS/IASS Joint Conference on "Poverty, Social Exclusion and Development" was planned in 2004 in Abidjan (Côte d'Ivoire). However, due to unforeseen circumstances, we have to postpone the Abidjan meeting to a future date with a new theme. This unfortunate development will be reported and discussed in full at the IAOS General Assembly.
We want to acknowledge here the huge efforts made by the Chairman of the Programme Committee, Alain Azouvi. He has made much progress in the preparations for the Abidjan conference. The IAOS/IASS plan to keep the theme of poverty and social exclusion but to find a new venue for the conference.
PREPARATIONS FOR THE 55th ISI SESSION TO BE HELD IN APRIL 2005 IN SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA
Siu-Ming Tam, a member of the National Organising Committee of the ISI Session in Sydney reports:
The National Organising Committee has been actively planning for the 55th Session of the ISI to be held in Sydney, Australia,
5-12 April 2005.
2005 is also a very important year for Australian statistics as it is the centenary of the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). The ISI Session will be one of the major events in celebrating the centenary of Australia.
Australia is well known for its culture, remarkable environment, sport, food and wine, and for its relaxed way of life. Visitors from all corners of the globe will find Australia an exciting country to explore, and Sydney a vibrant city to visit.
A diverse and cutting edge scientific program is being developed for the Session. The chair of the Scientific Program for the IAOS is Mr Frederick Ho, Commissioner, Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.
The Session will be held in Sydney's premier conference venue on the shores of one of the most beautiful harbours in the world and within walking distance of the city centre and a large range of hotels.
Details of the program will be finalised in collaboration with the Scientific Program Committee and any updated information will be included on the 2005 ISI Session website:
www.tourhosts.com.au/isi2005
.
Please mark the dates of the Session on your diaries, although they are not so near yet, and forward your views, if any, on the subjects to be recommended by IAOS for inclusion in the Session to Fred HO (Hong Kong SAR, China), whose e-mail address is fwhho@censtatd.gov.hk and fax no. is (852) 2824 1003 .
Top| 36. IAOS forum: knowledge and competence management in
national statistical offices Organiser: Heli Jeskanen-Sundström (Finland) E-mail: heli.jeskanen-sundstrom@stat.fi Papers: “How to recruit skilled and qualified workforce to statistical office?” Marie Bohata (Czech Republic) “Knowledge management tools and practices at the ABS” Jonathan Palmer (Australia) “Innovative approach to competence management – Qualification scheme for statistical advisers” Hans Viggo Saebo (Norway) “The role of the UN in ensuring best methods of statistics globally” Willem de Vries (USA) |
37. The measurement of economic progress Organiser: Enrico Giovannini (Italy) E-mail: enrico.giovannini@oecd.org Papers: “Measuring national progress: can the national accounts help?” Paul Schreyer (OECD) “Measuring the use of e-commerce and its impact” Tony Clayton / Debra Prestwood (UK) “A stock / flow system approach to the measurement of economic progress” Steven Keuning (ECB) Discussant: Paul Cheung (Singapore) |
| 38. Micro data – managing the dilemma between access, privacy and confidentiality Organiser: Irena Krizman (Slovenia) E-mail: irena.krizman@gov.si Papers: “The experience of the Brazilian Statistical Office with micro data” Carmen Feijo (Brazil) “Economic research with micro data – practises and experiences in Finland” Mika Maliranta (Finland) “Balancing data access and confidentiality: The U.S. Census Bureau’s Center for Economic Studies and Research Data Center Program” J. Bradford Jensen (USA) Discussants: Pilar Martín-Guzmán (Spain) Tadeusz Toczynski (Poland) |
39. Managing and maintaining the independence and integrity of national statistics – experience of developed and developing countries Organiser: Olav Ljones (Norway) E-mail: olj@ssb.no Papers: "Statistical independence and political transition: some experiences from Spain" Pilar Martín-Guzmán (Spain) “Managing and Maintaining the independence and integrity of national statistics. Uganda’s experience.” John Male-Mukasa (Uganda) Title forthcoming Louis Kincannon (USA) Discussants: Brian Pink (New Zealand) Davaasuren Cultemjamts (Mongolia) |
| 40. New directions in social statistics Organiser: Romulo Virola (Philippines) E-mail: ra.virola@nscb.gov.ph Papers: "Social statistics based on micro-integration of different data sources?” Pieter Everaers / Paul van der Laan (Netherlands) “Setting the scope of social statistics: New and emerging issues” Jeremiah Banda / Clare Menozzi “Measuring poverty in transition countries: the statistical challenges (case of Mongolia)” Chultemjamts Davaasuren (Mongolia) Discussants: Susan Linacre (Australia) Dalisay S. Maligalig |
41. Measuring the performance of National Statistics Offices Organiser: Frederick W. H. Ho (Hong Kong SAR, China) E-mail: fwhho@censtatd.gov.hk Papers: "Good, better, best; how to measure performance of national statistical organizations” Willem F. M. de Vries (Netherlands) “Competence and human capital at National Statistics Offices: a challenge for performance measurement” Hilkka Vihavainen / Pirjo Liewendahl (Finland) “Measuring aspects of the quality performance of important data series published by National Statistics Offices: illustrated by the case of revisions to Gross Domestic Product estimates in the UK” Craig Richardson (UK) Discussants: Richard Barnabé (Canada) Carmelita N. Ericta (Philippines) |
| 42. Intra-city differentials and their measurement issues Organiser: Markandey Rai (India) E-mail: markandey.rai@unhabitat.org Papers: “Sub-city data-led process to good governance: a new approach to urban management” Vinay D. Lall (India) “Socio-economic intra-city differential indicators. Their measurement and issues for the city of Karachi“ N. M. Larik (Pakistan) “Official small area statistics in the United Kingdom” Jagdev Singh Virdee (UK) “Subdivisions of an urban region – an observation based on German municipal intra-city statistics” Uwe Neumann (Germany) Discussants: UN-Habitat Helmut Maier (Germany) |
43. Impact of migration on urban areas Organiser: Klaus Trutzel (Germany) E-mail: klaus_trutzel@sta.stadt.nuernberg.de Papers: “Impact of black immigration on patterns of residential settlement in New York City” A. Peter Lobo / Joseph J. Salvo / Edward J. Spar (USA) “Settlement of migrants in urban areas in China” Cao ZiWei (China) "SIKURS projections based on inner city differentials of migration and their effects on population change and population structure in urban areas” Gustav Lebhart (Austria) / Barbara Lux-Henseler (Germany) Discussant: Frederick W. H. Ho (Hong Kong SAR, China) |
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SCORUS Satellite Conference in Potsdam, Germany, 21 – 22 August 2003
Klaus Trutzel reports: SCORUS, the Standing Committee for Regional and Urban Statistics of the International Statistical Institute, is organising a Satellite Conference in Potsdam, following the 54th ISI Conference in Berlin. Potsdam, a neighbouring city of Berlin and capital of the state of Brandenburg, offers a very attractive setting. The Conference venue is Potsdam University located at the “New Palace” of the Prussian Kings in the famous park of Sanssoucis. For further information on the logistics of this conference please consult www.statistische-woche.de |
Background
The two-day conference is devoted to “Standards for urban and regional indicators”. Cities are centres of prosperity and engines of growth as well as focal points of social and economic problems. To deal with this, cities require sophisticated policies on the local, regional and national level. They need a thorough understanding of the problems and the effectiveness of political measures designed to deal with them. Everybody is looking for reliable and comparable information. Standards for urban and regional indicators are needed more than ever. SCORUS wants to contribute to this important task in a systematic way incorporating all those professionals who use or produce this information. With this Satellite Conference SCORUS is starting a network of researchers, planners and statisticians interested in developing these standards and applying them in their practical work.
The Programme
The Potsdam Conference – combined with the German Statistical Week - will start with a plenary session displaying the political demand from global, European, and statistical perspectives. Keynote speakers will include:
Nefise Bazoglu, UN-Habitat, Nairobi: ”Urban indicators in the context of the UN Millennium Development Goals” (title to be confirmed)
Lewis Dijkstra, European Commission, Bruxelles: "European cohesion policy and urban statistics”
Willem de Vries, UN Statistics Division, New York: “The case for internationally comparable urban and regional statistics” (title to be confirmed)
On the day following the opening plenary session, four parallel workshops will address the development of indicators to assess and understand social problems from multiple perspectives. Two of the four workgroups take a topical approach to one of the urgent problem areas of European cities: Social cohesion and the integration of immigrants. The remaining workshops focus on the structural aspects of developing comparable indicators.
Organisers: Eckart Elsner, Director of the Statistical Office of Berlin, and Uwe Neumann, researcher at RWI, North Rhine Westfalian Institute for Economic Research, Germany
This first of the four parallel workshops is devoted to the needs for integration policies looking at the population of the urban area concerned. It will start with an overview of research results in this field and a selection of the topics most relevant for practical work. The workgroup will then select sets of information and possible indicators most likely to be useful to urban politics.
Organiser: Joanna van Antwerpen, Director Research and Statistics, city of Amsterdam, NL
This workshop will focus on urban policies to support integration of foreign immigrants. In research and applied statistics the measurement of the effectiveness of this policy is an underdeveloped area. The workgroup is to select and further develop concepts and indicators measuring integration and the effectiveness of integration policies.
Organiser: Derek Bond, Ulster Business School, University of Ulster at Coleraine, UK
The aim of this workshop is to explore the opportunities and challenges facing the development of internationally comparable territorial referencing systems for regional and urban analysis. The growth in information and communication technologies (ICT) has increased the demand for spatially disaggregated data and information. Providing and using such data and information must rely on a sound statistical basis that takes adequate account of the spatial attributes.
Organiser: Wendy L. Thomas, Data Access Core Director, University of Minnesota, USA
Successful selection of appropriate statistical data requires adequate and standardised description of these data. Statistical “numbers” can only be understood if their meaning is clear and comparable. “Data on the data” – metadata – is the infrastructure that makes such sharing and comparison possible.
A closing plenary session will summarise the results and discuss the programme for future work in the SCORUS network to be established with this conference.
Reiner Pokorny, City of Potsdam, Germany, (Chair)
Arend Steenken, Bureau for Informatics and Statistics of the State of Brandenburg, Germany
Hans Teschner, Union of German Municipal Statisticians, Organiser of the German Statistical Weeks, Bielefeld, Germany
Markandey Rai, Nairobi, Kenya (Chair)
Derek Bond, Coleraine, UK
Asta Manninen, Helsinki, Finland
Wendy Thomas, Minneapolis, USA
Klaus Trutzel, Nuernberg, Germany
For further more information on the activities of SCORUS, please contact:
Dr. Markandey Rai
Chairperson, SCORUS
United Nations Office at Nairobi (UNON)
P.O.Box-30030
Nairobi, Kenya
E-mail: Markandey.Rai@unhabitat.org
Tel: +254-2-623166/622707
Fax: +154-2-622708
TopInternational Association for Statistical Education
 |
Editorial Address | Susan Starkings, Learning & Development
Centre, South Bank University, Borough Road, London SE1 0AA, United Kingdom. Tel: +44 (0) 20 7815 7455 Fax: +44 (0)20 7815 6464 E-mail: starkisa@vax.sbu.ac.uk |
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| President | Carmen Batanero, Department of Mathematics
Education, Faculty of Education, University of Granada, Campus de Cartuja, 18071 Granada, Spain. Tel: +34 958 243950 Fax: +34 958 246359 E-mail: batanero@ugr.es Web site: www.ugr.es/local/batanero |
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| Website | http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~iase/ |
The results of the IASE Elections are as follows:
PRESIDENT- ELECT
Gilberte Schuyten (Belgium)
VICE-PRESIDENTS
Carol Joyce Blumberg, USA
Lisbeth Cordani, Brazil
Susan Starkings, UK
Christine Reading, Australia
Larry Weldon, Canada
We welcome the new members of the IASE Exec, thank all those who have previously been on the IASE Exec and we are also very grateful to all who stand at the elections.
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The IASE and the ISI are organizing the 2004 Roundtable on Curricular Development in Statistics Education, which will be held at Lund Institute of Technology at Lund University in Lund, Sweden from 28 June to 3 July 2004. The Round Table will bring together a small number of experts, representing as many different countries as possible, to discuss views and approaches to curriculum for teaching statistics. The Round Table Conference will provide opportunities for developing better mutual understanding of common problems and for making recommendations concerning the statistics curriculum. A main outcome of the Roundtable will be a monograph containing a set of papers, which have been prepared for and discussed during the conference. The monograph will present a global overview of the conference that can serve as starting point for further research on issues related to the statistics curriculum.
The need for processing the increasing amount of data people receive in the course of their work and lives has made it imperative that students leave elementary and secondary schools prepared to make reasoned decisions based on sound statistical thinking. Countries and communities have approached this problem in different ways. The Round Table will provide the opportunity for sharing what works and to highlight the challenges and potential solutions researchers have faced as they design and implement curricula to produce statistically literate citizens. The Round Table will be held immediately prior to the Tenth International Congress on Mathematical Education to be held in Copenhagen, Denmark in 2004, July 4-11.
The IASE Scientific Program Committee will prepare the program and schedule for the Roundtable. The Committee has agreed on a list of topics that will form the basis of the discussions and invites those interested to send in a three-page summary of their proposed paper. The major topics to be addressed at the primary, secondary, tertiary, or inservice levels are:
Relationship between curriculum and assessment
Role of research in shaping curriculum
Impact of technology on the statistic and probability curriculum
Innovative curricular practices
Teacher preparation
Statistical literacy
Theoretical papers should include:
a) the statement of the problem
b) background or appropriate previous work
c) discussion of main arguments
d) implications for curricular development
e) references
Descriptions of experimental research should include:
a) the statement of the problem and methodology
b) background or appropriate previous work
c) data analysis and discussion of main results
d) implications for curricular development
e) references
Descriptions of curriculum innovations should include:
a) focus and philosophy of the curriculum
b) background and development process
c) description
d) pilot and implementation results
e) sources and references
The Program Committee will review the summaries. Authors of papers that seem promising in terms of the overall Roundtable program will be encouraged to submit full papers. The final selection will be made on the basis of the contribution of the paper to the thinking of the field and to ensure representation from diverse communities across the world.
Papers may be submitted for the primary, secondary, tertiary, or inservice levels within each of the topics according to the following process. Authors must submit a three-page summary of a proposed paper for review by the Program Committee. Authors of summaries that are in line with the goals of the overall Roundtable program will be asked to submit full papers. The final selection of papers to be presented at the Roundtable will be made on the basis of their contribution to curricular development in statistics, with attention given to balance across topics and across diverse communities from around the world.
Summaries should be submitted electronically as a Word file. Pictures and graphs should be embedded within the text. Margins should be 1.24 cm all around in Times, 12-point font.
October 1, 2003 for submission of summaries of papers to the Chair of the Scientific Program Committee, Gail Burrill at
burrill@msu.edu
November 1, 2003 for provisional acceptance of papers;
January 2004 for first draft of papers;
March 2004 for final acceptance of papers for the Roundtable;
July 2004 presentation of papers at Roundtable;
October 2004 for final version of revised papers.
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Chris Wild is the IASE representative at the ISI Programme Co-ordinating Committee for ISI-55th Session, to be held in Sydney, Australia, April 5-12, 2005. For further information please contact Chris Wild at c.wild@auckland.ac.nz
The international programming committee, for the above conference are as follows:
Chair: Carmen Batanero (Spain), batanero@ugr.es
Programme Chair: Susan Starkings (UK), starkisa@vax.sbu.ac.uk
Editors of Proceedings: Allan Rossman (USA), arossman@calpoly.edu
and Beth Chance (USA), bchance@calpoly.edu
Scientific Secretary: John Harraway (New Zealand), jharraway@maths.otago.ac.nz
Local organisers representative at the IPC: Lisbeth Cordani (Brazil), lisbethk@terra.com.br
Topic and Topic Convenors are:
Topic 1. Working cooperatively in statistics education:
Lisbeth Cordani (Brazil) accepted, lisbethk@terra.com.br
Mike Shaughnessy (USA), mike@mth.pdx.edu
Topic 2. Statistics Education at the School Level.
Dani Ben-Zvi (Israel), dbenzvi@univ.haifa.ac.il
Lionel Pereira (Singapore), lpereira@nie.edu.sg
Topic 3. Statistics Education at the Post Secondary Level.
Martha Aliaga (USA), aliaga@umich.edu
Elisabeth Svensson (Sweden), elisabeth.svensson@esi.oru.se
Topic 4. Statistics Education/Training and the Workplace.
Pedro Silva (Brazil), pedrosilva@ibge.gov.br
Pilar Martín (Spain), pilar.guzman@uam.es
Topic 5. Statistics Education and the Wider Society.
Brian Phillips (Australia), BPhillips@groupwise.swin.edu.au
Phillips Boland (Ireland), Philip.J.Boland@ucd.ie
Topic 6. Research in Statistics Education.
Chris Reading (Australia), creading@metz.une.edu.au
Maxine Pfannkuch (New Zealand), pfannkuc@scitec.auckland.ac.nz
Topic 7. Technology in Statistics Education
Andrej Blejec (Slovenia), andrej.blejec@uni-lj.si
Cliff Konold (USA), konold@srri.umass.edu
Topic 8. Other Determinants and Developments in Statistics Education.
Theodore Chadjipadelis (Greece), chadji@polsci.auth.gr
Beverley Carlson (USA), bcarlson@eclac.cl
Topic 9. An International Perspective on Statistics Education:
Delia North (South Africa), delian@icon.co.za
Ana Silvia Haedo (Argentina), haedo@qb.fcen.uba.ar
Topic 10. Contributed Papers.
Joachim Engel (Germany), Engel_Joachim@ph-ludwigsburg.de
Allan Mc Lean (Australia), alan.mclean@buseco.monash.edu.au
Topic 11. Posters.
Celi Espasandín López (Brazil), celilopes@directnet.com.br
So far the local organising committee consists of the following people:
Pedro Alberto Moretiin (Brazil), pam@ime.usp.br
Lisbeth K. Cordani (Brazil), lisbeth@maua.br
Clélia Maria de C. Toloi (Brazil), clelia@ime.usp.br
Wilton de Oliveira Bussab (Brazil), bussab@fgvsp.br
To see what was presented at our previous conference, ICOTS 6, you can visit the following website
http://icots6.haifa.ac.il/icots6.html
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The IASE Statistics Education Research Journal, Volume 2, Number 1 is now available at SERJ web page: http://fehps.une.edu.au/serj/
Since the previous issue we have been working in various ways to improve SERJ and to expand its impact on statistics education research. SERJ is now extracted in the Math Database and the Current Index to Statistics. A link to the SERJ web page is now included in the Journal of Statistics Education and on 45 other web pages of professional organizations or institutions.
In this issue we have four refereed papers (for the first time we are including a paper in Spanish) complemented by our usual sections. Here we should like to draw your attention to summaries of papers presented at CERME 3 (Congress of European Research in Mathematics Education), where, for the first time a stochastic group was organized.
The IASE are pleased to announce that Iddo Gal has been appointed as the next editor.
Editorial
Iddo Gal. Expanding Conceptions of Statistical Literacy: An Analysis of Products from Statistics Agencies
Joan B. Garfield. Assessing Statistical Reasoning
Peter Petocz and Anna Reid. Relationships between Students Experience of Learning Statistics and
Teaching Statistics
Antonio Estepa and Francisco Tomas Sanchez-Cobo. Evaluacisn de la Comprensisn de la Correlacisn y
Regresisn a partir de la Resolucisn de Problemas
Recent Publications
Recent Dissertations
Information on Past Conferences
Forthcoming Conferences
An Open Meeting of ISLP Advisory Committee will be held during the ISI Session in Berlin. The meeting will be held on 14 August from 7:30 to 9:00 in Rooms 11/12 of the International Congress Centre. Please contact Carol Blumberg at cblumberg@winona.edu for further information.
IASE Sponsored Session on “Using the History of Statistics to Improve the Teaching of Statistics” during Joint Statistical Meetings
The IASE will sponsor for the first time an Invited Paper Session during the Joint Statistical Meetings in San Francisco, California from 3 to 7 August 2003. The Invited Session will be co-sponsored by the ISI, the ASA Section on Statistical Education, and the ASA Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences.
The session will be held on Thursday, 7 August from 10:30 to 12:20 in Continental Ballroom 6 of the Hilton. The speakers will be Herbert A. David on “The History of Statistics in the Classroom”, David R. Bellhouse on “Probability and Statistics Ideas in the Classroom – Lessons from History” and Fred L. Bookstein on “Learning from the Coercive Power of Numerical Evidence: Three Classical Examples”. The discussants are Jay L. Devore and Jeffrey A. Witmer. For further information contact the session organiser Carol Blumberg at cblumberg@winona.edu
The Mathematics Education into the 21st Century Project has just completed its fifth successful international conference in Sicily, following conferences in Egypt, Jordan, Poland and Australia. The Chairman of the Local Organising Committee is Professor Ivan Meznik of the Technical University of Brno. The title of the conference is "The Decidable and the Undecidable in Mathematics Education", a tribute to Kurt Godel who was born and educated in Brno.
Papers are invited on all innovative aspects of mathematics education including Statistics Education, Gender & Equity, Ethnomathematics, Rich Learning Tasks, Problem Solving, Applications, Research on Teaching and Learning, Technology in the classroom, Computer Graphics and Teacher Education. For further conference details please contact Alan Rogerson (arogerson@vsg.edu.au).
This international colloquium is organised jointly by the Tunisian Commission for the Teaching of Mathematics, the Tunisian Association of Mathematical Sciences, and with the co-operation of the French Commission for the Teaching of Mathematics. It will give the international community of French speaking specialists the opportunity to address the main problems concerning the teaching of Mathematics in our societies, mainly at the elementary and high school levels, as well as in teacher training.
There will be a variety of activities: conferences, group sessions, workshops, etc., based on the following ten topics:
The teaching of Mathematics within many cultures
Mathematics for everyone: making Mathematics user-friendly
History of Mathematics and epistemology
The recent evolution of curriculi
Inter-level transitions: elementary to high school, high school to college
Inservice and preservice teachers training
Teaching tools
Teaching of Probability and Statistics
In service Teaching
Mathematics and other subjects
For more information see http://www.mathinfo.u-picardie.fr/EMF2003
Chance Website: http://www.dartmouth.edu/~chance
This site contains materials to help teach a Chance course. Chance is a quantitative literacy course developed cooperatively by the Chance Team: J. Laurie Snell (http://www.dartmouth.edu/~chance/JLSnell.html) and Peter Doyle (http://www.math.dartmouth.edu/~doyle/) of Dartmouth College, Joan Garfield (http://education.umn.edu/EdPsych/faculty/Garfield.html) of the University of Minnesota, Tom Moore (http://www.cs.grin.edu/~mooret/vita/Tom-Moore-vita.html) of Grinnell College, Bill Peterson (http://www.middlebury.edu/~wpeterso/)of Middlebury College, and Ngambal Shah of Spelman College. The team is assisted by grants from NECUSE and the National Science Foundation's Undergraduate Curriculum Development Program. The goal of Chance is to make students more informed, critical readers of current news stories that use probability and statistics.
Chance News is a monthly newsletter that provides abstracts of articles from current newspapers and journals, and suggests discussion questions for class use. It also includes links to related resources at other web sites.
The Current Chance News (http://www.dartmouth.edu/~chance/chance_news/current_news/current.html) and previous issues (http://www.dartmouth.edu/~chance/chance_news/recent_news/recent.html) are archived on this site as well as ways to search previous issues. To receive the newsletter by e-mail send a request to Laurie Snell: jlsnell@dartmouth.edu
The website offers: a collection of video lectures, syllabi of previous Chance courses, articles that have been written about the Chance course and teaching aids where you find the Teacher's Guide and other materials useful for teaching a Chance course. Links to other servers having materials useful for teaching a probability or statistics course are also given.
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Editorial Address |
Jung Jin Lee, Department of Statistics, Soongsil University, Dongjak-ku, Sangdo-dong, Seoul, Korea 56-743 Tel.: +82-2-820 0443; Fax: +82-2-823-1746 E-mail: jjlee@stat.soongsil.ac.kr |
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| President |
Jae Chang Lee, Department of Statistics, Korea University, Seongbuk-ku, Anam-dong, Seoul, Korea 136-701 Tel.: +82-2-3290 2232; Fax: +82-2-924 9895 E-mail: jaeclee@korea.ac.kr |
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| Website | http://www.stat.unipg.it/iasc/ |
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Index IASE |
Jung Jin Lee reports:
In this issue we provide the election results of IASC executives and council members and announce the schedule of IASC meetings at ISI 2003 at Berlin on August 2003. We also announce a special issue of CSDA on computational econometrics and provide the report of the IASC co-sponsored conference and information on the coming conferences. More detail information can be found via the IASC homepage: http://www.stat.unipg.it/iasc
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The ballot for the IASC executives and council members was held in April, 2003 and the election results are as follows:
2003 – 2005 term:
President-elect: Gilbert Saporta (France)
Vice-Presidents: Moon Yul Huh (Korea) and
Michael G. Schimek (Austria)
Scientific Secretary: Joyce Niland (USA)
Treasurer: Patrick Groenen (Netherlands)
2003 – 2007 term:
Council Members:
Jaromir Antoch (Chech),
James Gentle (USA),
Erricos Kontoghiorghes (Swiss)
Jung Jin Lee (Korea)
Yuichi Mori (Japan)
Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi (Italy)
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The tentative schedule of IASC meetings at ISI 2003 in Berlin is as follows:
Aug 15 (Fri) 11:15-13:00 IASC Program Committee
Aug 18 (Mon) 7:30-9:00 Council Meeting I
11:15-13:00 Council Meeting II
Aug 19 (Tue) 7:30-9:00 General Assembly
Aug 20 (Wed) 7:30-9:00 IASC ERS BoD
Special Issue of CSDA on COMPUTATIONAL ECONOMETRICS http://www.elsevier.nl/locate/csda
We are inviting submissions for the 2nd special issue of Computational Statistics and Data Analysis dealing with Computational Econometrics. Econometric techniques are inherently computational, often substantially so. Existing algorithms, however, do not always embody the best of computational techniques, either for efficiency, stability, or conditioning. Likewise, environments for doing econometrics are inherently computer based. Integrated packages for conducting econometrics have grown well over the years, but still have much room for further development. Computational econometrics, then, is a natural field that is ever ready to receive new efforts, and a special issue in this area is always welcome. CSDA aims to have regular issues in Computational Econometrics.
The 1st special issue dealing with Computational Econometrics has recently been published. It features articles examining filters, heuristic methods for estimation, MCMC, computational and numerical aspects for estimating large-scale models, and simulation methods, among other topics, and indicates the importance of computing in econometrics and highlights research opportunities that exist in this discipline.
In the 2nd special issue, we will consider papers that address computational and numerical methods used in solving theoretical and practical issues associated with econometric algorithms, the impact of computing on econometrics, and specific applications involving computing and econometrics.
The deadline for submissions is the 30th of September 2003. Submissions should contain both computational and econometric components. Authors who are uncertain about the suitability of their papers should contact the special issue editors. All submissions must contain original unpublished work not being considered for publication elsewhere. Submissions will be refereed according to standard procedures for Computational Science and Data Analysis. Information about the journal can be found at
http://www.elsevier.com/locate/csda
. Electronic submission is strongly encouraged. All manuscripts should be double spaced or they will be returned immediately for revision. Please e-mail a postscript or PDF file of your manuscript to one of the special issue editors:
• David A. Belsley, Department of Economics, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA 02467, USA. E-mail:
david.belsley@bc.edu
• Paolo Foschi, Department of Mathematics, University of Bologna, Via Sacchi, 3 I-47023 Cesena, Italy. E-mail:
foschip@csr.unibo.it
• Erricos John Kontoghiorghes, Institut d'informatique, Université de Neuchatel, Emile-Argand 11, CP 2 CH-2007 Neuchatel, Switzerland. E-mail:
erricos.kontoghiorghes@unine.ch
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July 23th-30th, 2003, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal (http://lead.paginas.sapo.pt/JISS2003)
The 7th Summer School of ERS-IASC, organised jointly with International Federation of Classification Society (IFCS), and hosted by the Laboratory of Statistics and Data Analysis (LEAD), Faculty of Psychology and Education, University of Lisbon, will be devoted to the methodological, computational and application aspects of Data Mining/Knowledge Discovery techniques in Large Surveys with a particular attention to Marketing Research, Customer Satisfaction Analysis, Finance & Banking Marketing, Quality Control, E-Commerce Analysis, Web Mining and Text Mining.
The lectures will address both the classical and the most recently developed methods and algorithms within the framework of Exploratory and Confirmatory Multivariate Analysis, Latent variable soft modelling, Symbolic data analysis, Data reduction, Clustering, Classification Trees, Association Rules, Combining Data from Different Sources, Missing Data, Survey Sampling, Visualisation tools and techniques
For further information, please contact:
Laboratory of Statistics and Data Analysis
(LEAD - http://lead.paginas.sapo.pt/
)
Faculty of Psychology and Education
(FPCE - http://www.fpce.ul.pt/ )
University of Lisbon
Alameda da Universidade, 1649-013 Lisbon, Portugal,
Fax: +351 21 793 34 08 Tel: +351 21 794 38 08,
E-mail: jiss-2003@fpce.ul.pt or
jiss2003@sapo.pt
August 22-24, 2003, Athens, Greece
http://www.dkfz.de/biostatistics/ICCRA.html http://www.teiath.gr
The International Conference on Cancer Risk Assessment (ICCRA) is to provide a forum for the discussion and exchange of ideas, new concepts and recent methods in cancer risk assessment. This comprises mathematical, statistical and computational methods for exposure assessment, hazard identification, dose-response modeling and hazard assessment. The conference is to stimulate research on the interface between molecular biological research and mathematical modeling of the carcinogenic process. The question of a better transfer of risk assessment methodology to the risk management process will be a further topical issue to be discussed. A publication of selected refereed papers in a special volume on the topic of the conference is planned. The conference will take place not far form the center of the city of Athens (Greece) at the Technological Educational Institute of Athens (TEIA).
List of Topics:
Track 1: Modeling
Cancer Risk Assessment and Modeling, Stochastic Carcinogenesis Models, Modeling for Cancer Screening Studies, Computer-Assisted Simulation Studies
Track 2: Low-Dose Problems
Dose-Response Modeling, Problems with Low-Dose Extrapolation, Problems with Interspecies Extrapolation
Track 3: Statistical Inference and Case Studies
Statistical Evaluation Methods, Bayesian Approach to Risk Assessment, Adaptive Designs in Oncology, Risk Analysis Software
Track 4: New Biological Data and Effects
The Use of Biological Data in Cancer Risk Assessment, Biochemical and Molecular Biomarkers in Risk Assessment and for Clinical Trials, Genomic, Proteomic and Metabolomic Data for Cancer Risk Assessment, Data Analysis for Human Cancer Studies
Track 5: Regulatory Affairs
Cost Evaluation Studies for the Carcinogenesis Bioassay
Track 6: Quality Assurance
Quality standards, Good Risk Assessment Practice, Training and Advanced Education for Risk Assessment, Perception of Cancer Risk and Cancer Risk Reduction
Track 7: Related Research
Epidemiological Cancer Studies, Prognostic and Predictive Studies
Track 8: Open Themes
In tight connection with the conference is the edition of a monograph on "Quantitative Methods for Cancer and Human Health Risk Assessment" which will be published in 2004 by John Wiley &Sons Ldt., Chichester UK. This volume will include to a large part reviewed key papers presented at this conference as well as further papers which have been invited by the organizers of ICCRA.
September 15-17, 2003, Lisbon, Portugal (http://www.isegi.unl.pt/pls03)
PLS’03 is the third international symposium for interested parties in Partial Least Squares and related methods. The main objectives of PLS’03 are:
- To show the application of PLS methods in several fields and areas of research;
- To present the opinion of the most outstanding reference scientists connected to PLS;
- To exhibit existing commercial and academic software for PLS.
- The main focus of PLS’03 will be put on PLS Regression and PLS path modelling and its applications.
The Symposium is addressed to people who are interested in either the methodological aspects or the application potentialities of the PLS methods. Therefore, it is very suitable for actual and potential real users such as managers, researchers and decision-makers working in the most different fields: management, economics, marketing, publicity, consumer behaviour, psychology and information systems. In the three days of the Symposium you will see specifically the application of PLS methods and its potentiality and competitive advantages in the fields of: Multivariate modelling with independent factors, Perform the multivariate modelling of a process, PLS Path modelling, Evaluation of Customer Satisfaction and related issues, Strategic Management, Information System, PLS regression, Economics and Management, Chemometrics.
Prospective authors are invited to submit an extended abstract (2 pages) of their paper to Prof. Pedro Coelho no later than May 1st, 2003. The same deadline applies to prospective organisers of specialised sessions (with a maximum of three speakers). The contents of the abstract should clearly contain the following information about the paper: Relationship with literature, Original contributions with main formulas, Methodological, computational and/or application relevance, Main references. The authors will be informed about the paper acceptance by June 1st, 2003. The final versions of accepted papers (maximum 12 pages) have to reach Prof. Pedro Coelho by July 1st, 2003.
For further informations and details, contact Prof. Pedro Simões Coelho (psc@isegi.unl.pt), Dr. Alexandra Machás
( alexandra@isegi.unl.pt ) Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação - PLS’03, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Campus de Campolide, 1070-124 Lisboa, Portugal,
tel.:+0351 213870413, fax:+0351 213872140
September 17 to 19, 2003, Warwick University, England (www.asc.org.uk)
The 4th International Conference of the Association for Survey Computing will be held from Wednesday 17th to Friday 19th September 2003, at Warwick University in England. For further information, please see
www.asc.org.uk
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International Association of Survey Statisticians
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President | Xavier Charoy, 9, rue Max
Blondat, 92100 Boulogne, France Tel. & Fax : +33 1 46 03 29 30 E-mail : xavier.charoy@libertysurf.fr |
| Executive Director | Mr. Alain Charraud, INSEE, 18 Boulevard Adolphe Pinard, F-75675 Paris 14, Cédex, France. E-mail: alain.charraud@insee.fr |
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| Secretariat | c/o Mme Claude Olivier, CEFIL
(INSEE), 3 rue de la Cité, 33500 Libourne, France. Tel.: +33–5–5755–5600 — Fax: +33–5–5755–5620 E-mail: claude.olivier@insee.fr |
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| Website | http://isi.cbs.nl/iass/index.htm |
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Index IASS |
| Programme of the Short Courses |
|
Complete List of IASS Short Courses (temporary site) |
| Berlin Application Form for the IASS Short Courses |
This is IASS’s last contribution to the ISI Newsletter before the Berlin Session. We hope many of our members will be able to attend the Session itself or the Short Courses that will take place just before it. Let us recall here the main features concerning this Session.
As usual, IASS will organise some meetings on its own, and others together with ISI or other Sections. The list of meetings has been given in Bulletin n° 2.
As usual, some statutory or administrative meetings will take place during the Berlin Session:
IASS Council meeting: August 14th, 07:30 – 09:00;
IASS General Assembly: August 14th, 11:15 – 13:00;
IASS Executive Committee meeting: August 19th, 07:30 – 09:00;
IASS Programme Committee for the Sydney Session: August 15th, 11:15 – 13:00.
In addition some special meetings will be organised, in particular on the IASS/IAOS Joint Conference (see below). We hope as many members as possible will attend the General Assembly, which is the peak of the Association’s life, thus providing the opportunity for members to orally express their views on the activities carried out.
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The IAOS/IASS Joint Conference on “Poverty, Social Exclusion and Development” was foreseen to take place in 2004 in Abidjan (Côte d’Ivoire). Both the unfortunate and dramatic events that have taken place in this country and the difficulties encountered in setting up the scientific programme and identifying meeting organisers have obliged us to postpone the meeting. We have had several contacts since the decision was taken, and from those it was concluded a) that it is too late to consider another venue for 2004 and b) that there was a need to formally involve other organisations concerned with the theme of the Conference. Such contacts are going on and the subject will be discussed during a special meeting in Berlin, tentatively fixed on August 15th, 11:15 – 13:00.
IASS, together with IAOS, wants to acknowledge here the huge efforts made by the Chairman of the Programme Committee, Alain Azouvi and the quality of the work he has carried out, which will remain the basis of the future developments.
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The expected volume entitled “Leslie Kish, Selected Papers” is now ready and going to be distributed for free to the members of the Association. This book, edited by Graham Kalton and Steve Heeringa, is published by Wiley and Sons.
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The programme and participation conditions for the short courses 2003 are
listed at:
Complete List Of IASS Short Courses
(temporary site).
The third Cochran-Hansen Prize has been awarded to Mr. P.V.T. Krishna Mohan (India), for his paper on “A multilevel approach to explore the influence of interviewers on item non-response in complex surveys”. The jury which conducted the selection of papers from those submitted, was chaired by Chris Skinner.
The winner will present his contribution (and so will the winners of the Jan Tinbergen Prize, awarded by ISI), during a special meeting which will take place on August 16th, 2003 (09:00 – 11:15).
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Seppo Laaksonen
The IASS will sponsor a programme of short courses to take place before and after the 54th Session of the ISI that will be held in Berlin. The courses will be led by international high-level experts in the respective fields and will offer practitioners, researchers and students in survey methodology, statistics and social and behavioural sciences the opportunity to improve their skills and discuss issues of common interest. All courses will be presented in English and participants should have the ability to work in this language. There are some opportunities to sponsor travel and accommodation costs for participants from developing and transition countries.
The list of courses is attached. It covers survey methodology in its various aspects, including a good introduction to all techniques. The deadlines for registration and the course fees are attached. Information about the courses will also be distributed by mail to IASS members, and through the IASS website (http://isi.cbs.nl/iass/), as well as the conference website (http://www.isi-2003.de/). Please look for possible changes and additional information on these websites. The scientific secretary of the IASS, Dr. Seppo Laaksonen, is responsible for all of these courses. Any questions, requests, sponsoring opportunity inquiries and comments are welcome, and can be sent by e-mail to Seppo.Laaksonen@Stat.Fi .
Note that these courses are included in the so-called multi-country list of Eurostat that means that all 10 countries of central Europe can choose the courses from this list and pay their travel costs from the grant that the EU has given to them.
The UN sponsors a number of participants from developing and transition countries. The deadline for application is the end of April 2003. These should have been sent to Mr. Daniel Berze in the ISI office
(@cbs.nl). The application form is available on request from him or from Seppo Laaksonen.
The other sources of funds included the ISI Development Fund and the Tokyo Memorial Fund (see the last item listed in http://isi.cbs.nl/NLet/NLet023-03.htm
)
[note: as of the publication date, the aforementioned funding sources are no longer receiving applications].
Complete List Of IASS Short Courses (temporary site)
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