Published three times a year, the ISI Newsletter provides a broad overview of the Institute's activities, and also includes additional information of interest to statisticians. The Newsletter is sent to all members of the ISI and its Sections (approx. 5,000) as part of their membership.
Editors: Mr. D. Berze and Ms. S. Mehta, Graphic Designer: Mr. H. Lucas
In this online Issue Message from the President Message from the Director 56th ISI Session in Lisbon, Portugal News of Members In Memoriam ISI Membership Elections 2005 ISI Officers' Elections 2007-2009 Honorary Member Interviews: Jean-Louis Bodin ISI Committee Matters: East Asian Outreach Committee Awards, Prizes and Competitions Memories of the ISI’s Past Historical Anniversaries: Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart Calendar of Events News from ISI sections Volume 30, No. 1 (88) 2006
Message from the President
In previous messages here, I have described that Council adopted a Strategic Plan in Sydney, April 2005, which now outlines the structure of the work of the ISI, particularly in the Executive and in the Permanent Office. We need to continually update our ability to fulfil our ambition of promoting all aspects of statistics worldwide.
The ad hoc Committee preparing the strategic plan realized at an early stage that the current well-established structure of the ISI as an elected academy with affiliated Sections also needs to be scrutinized regularly. As described in detail by then President Stephen M. Stigler in his outgoing editorial in the February 2005 Newsletter, this structure was considered the appropriate reponse after the Second World War to revitalize the ISI. The first Section was approved at the General Assembly in 1957, less than 50 years ago.
Even though the Section concept has served us well, and is very much alive, there are still many statisticians out there who do not participate in the ISI or its Sections, since these do not appeal enough to their interests.
The functions of a renewed ISI in the 21st century may need a stronger sense of coherence and a larger bargaining power. Both could be achieved by consolidating the current concept of ISI OR Section membership into just ISI membership, so that Sections are parts of a whole, rather than components in a union.
The ad hoc Committee preparing the strategic plan was well aware that such a proposal would require considerably more detailed discussion than the strategic plan, and refrained from including it in the draft plan.
For example, most Sections conduct many activities (conferences, publications, committees) which produce highly valuable work in the present context, and thereby add to the general achievements of the ISI. Restructuring should not impede these worthwhile activities, but should on the contrary help strengthening them, also in contexts where local (Sectional) identification is an important motivating component.
Also, several, even rather recent, inquiries into the elected academy concept have always concluded that although it is hard to deny that there is a dusty air around elected academies, there are many values connected to maintaining that sign of mutual respect among the otherwise rather diverse constituency of statisticians internationally.
The Executive Committee decided at its meeting in the fall 2005 to go ahead and have a more detailed proposal prepared, hopefully in time for preliminary discussion at the Council Meeting in September 2006. Note that all Section Presidents are automatically members of Council.
Once again, Vice-President Nick Fisher has agreed to take on the task of generating a consensus among people from many different continents, statistical disciplines, and experiences within the ISI. A total of 10 ISI members from all around the world will participate in drawing up this draft. However, this important process will be structured so as to involve the whole of the ISI in due course.
Message from the Director
The beginning of a new year is an appropriate time to reflect upon the fundamentals of our work, not only our immediate goals, but our broader long-term objectives as well.
What is the purpose of the ISI/ISI Sections, particularly in light of the large number of statistical organisations that now exist throughout the world? "Why should I become a member, particularly if I am already a member of another society?" In my various encounters with statisticians, I frequently encounter such questions. On an even broader level, when in contact with non-statisticians, an even more basic question often arises. "Why do we need statistics or statisticians?"
While I hardly need to convince our membership of the importance of statistical thinking, while focussing on the more abstract elements of our work (in particular, the increasingly sophisticated methodological developments that are taking place), sometimes we lose sight of the 'big picture' or 'helicopter view' as to the need for statistics and statisticians. I was once reading a popular science magazine when I came upon the following text, which is pasted on the wall in my office (unfortunately, I am no longer aware of the author of this quotation and would be grateful if someone could enlighten me in this regard) and reads:
"Quantification is usually a crucial first step towards any objective analysis, especially in a social context where personal and political sentiment runs high. A particular problem can remain apparent to most observers over an extended period of time, but the official recognition implicit in a decision to conduct an empirical inquiry and, hence, to provide some relevant and objective information directly related to the issue is often crucial if progress is to be made towards a solution."
In a world of increasingly limited resources, rising population, rapid technological innovation and the ability to disseminate information on an international, relatively low cost basis, it is apparent that personal and political sentiments will continue to run high unless objective quantifiable approaches are utilised in order to form a basis for rational solutions. Statisticians have the unique position of being able to fulfil the role of 'quantification ambassadors' and I anticipate that this will become increasingly apparent in the coming decades. Bernoulli Society President Professor Peter Jagers touched upon this in a previous Newsletter article of his, which is worth repeating:
"Probability and Statistics are the key sciences for our understanding of the world and life, and far from the technical, almost content-free symbol manipulations they are sometimes viewed as"
(see ISI Newsletter, Volume 29, Number 3, page 13 for the entire text).
As to the special role of the ISI and its Sections, the ISI has many features that make it unique. While the ISI and its Sections are truly 'international' in terms of the composition of its membership (with members from more than 130 countries), members do not formally 'represent' their countries, nor do they formally represent the viewpoints of their employers, such that there is a unique independence of expression within our organisation. This is necessary to facilitate a comparison of ideas without the encumbrances that other allegiances can sometimes create.
Another special feature of our organisation is the emphasis on integration within the profession. As is the case with any developed branch of science, the array of statistical specialties is vast and will no doubt continue to increase as research continues in various applications. While this is not necessarily a negative development, it is important that statisticians share and maintain a common ground, thereby ensuring that methodological and ethical standards are maintained and that information is broadly accessible. With this in mind, the ISI and its Sections provide an interface amongst statisticians by:
- Organising conferences. The highlight of the ISI conference programme being the ISI Session (the next ISI Session is to be held August 22-29, 2007, in Lisboa, Portugal). The uniqueness of the ISI Session is that it stimulates a cross-pollination of statistical ideas. Participants can take part not only in meetings focussing on their own individual specialties, but also in other meetings, which often yield new ideas and approaches to familiar problems.
- Disseminating publications. Taking the ISI's flagship publication the International Statistical Review as an example, considerable efforts are being made to provide a comprehensive view of work in statistics over the entire spectrum of the statistical profession.
While the ISI Executive Committee and Council are working hard to increase the tangible benefits available to members, we should never lose sight of the shared values that I have only touched upon above. If you are not a member, please contact Mrs. Ann Daniels (@cbs.nl) to inquire about ISI membership, or Mrs. Margaret de Ruiter-Molloy (@cbs.nl) to inquire about Section membership, and find out how you can become a 'statistics ambassador' for the ISI or one of its Sections.
I have two special membership related matters to report upon. I am glad to announce that in 2005 a record number of 162 individuals have become ISI elected members. A detailed list of their names can be found here. Also, a new ISI committee has been formed, namely the 'Restructuring of the ISI' Committee, to be chaired by ISI Vice-President Dr. Nicholas Fisher, which will work to reconsider the organisational form of our society in light of its purpose and determine what changes are necessary to best serve this function in a modern context (for further details regarding this initiative, please refer to President Niels Keiding's "Message from the President" on page 2 of this Newsletter).
I am also pleased to announce that Mr. René Padieu has agreed to chair the ISI Glossary Review Committee. This Committee is charged with the responsibility of assessing and improving the quality and scope of the Glossary (which can be visited at http://isi.cbs.nl/glossary.htm).
After taking a look at the Glossary, please take the opportunity to look at the other features of the ISI website (http://isi.cbs.nl/). We have also updated the electronic 'ISI Membership List'. It is now possible to view members according to country, select an individual file and view member contact details (see http://isi.cbs.nl/ISImembers/ISImembers.htm). I would urge all members to look at their own membership details and see if they are accurate. If you have any changes to make, please use the form available at (http://isi.cbs.nl/ISImembers/ISImembers-corrform.htm) to inform us of any changes.
During the course of this month, all ISI, IAOS, IASE, Bernoulli Society, IASC and ISBIS members will be receiving their 2006 membership dues invoices. We would be grateful if you could process your dues payment quickly to avoid the need for expensive reminders and to ensure that you receive the publications you require. Members should note that in 2006 payments are limited to only one currency, the Euro. For those of you who will be paying by credit card (the preferred method of payment), once we have received your authorisation to debit your credit card, the appropriate Euro amount will be charged to you according to the daily market rate against your own currency. To obtain an indication of what the daily market currency exchange rates are, you may wish to consult websites, such as http://www.xe.com/. Bank transfers and cheque payments may be processed, but only using the Euro. We are very grateful for this annual demonstration of your support!
56th ISI Session in Lisbon, Portugal
See you in Lisbon!
Report #2 from the Programme Co-ordinating Committee for the 56th ISI Session, Lisboa 2007
Chair: Pedro Luis do Nascimento Silva (Brazil) Vice-Chair: Maria Ivette Leal de Carvalho Gomes (Portugal) ISI General Topics Committee: Richard Smith (USA) Bernoulli Society: Jane-Ling Wang (USA) IAOS: Richard Barnabé (Canada) IASE: Alan Rossman (USA) IASS: David Steel (Australia) IASC: Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi (Italy) Wing K. Fung (Hong Kong, SAR China)
The ISI Programme Co-ordinating Committee (PCC) for the 56th Session of the ISI, Lisboa 2007, is working to prepare the Programme of Invited Paper Meetings (IPMs) for the Session. We have published the list of IPM topics in a previous issue of this Newsletter. We have now updated this list (see Table 1 below) by including the names and e-mail addresses of the IPM Organisers. Organisers of the IPMs are responsible for developing the programme for each meeting, inviting authors and discussants, and providing them with the background information regarding the topic of interest for the meeting. They are also expected to attend the ISI Session in Lisbon and to chair the meeting that they organised.
At this time, we already have a total of 85 sessions (the previous list omitted the IPM by invitation of the ISI President, which is now included). Organisers have been appointed to all but two of these IPMs.We have already invited several "sister societies" to organise IPMs during the Lisboa Session. The sister societies that we have invited were chosen by the ISI Executive, and include:
* International Biometric Society
*International Actuarial Association
*Association for Computing Machinery
*Institute of Mathematical Statistics
*The Econometric Society
*The Urban and Regional Information Systems Association
More information on the Scientific Programme will be provided as it becomes available.
ISI Programme Co-ordinating Committee Chair
IPM Topic Committee Responsible Organiser Number Title Primary Joint With Name Country IPM01 Invited papers by the President ISI Niels Keiding Denmark N.Keiding@biostat.ku.dk IPM85 Shapes and Constraints in Statistical Inference Bernoulli Wolfgang Polonik USA firstname.lastname@example.org Holger Dette Germany email@example.com IPM02 Statistical Challenges in Brain Structure and Dynamics Bernoulli Michelle Liou Taiwan, China firstname.lastname@example.org IPM03 Statistics and Finance Bernoulli IFS Per Mykland Norway/USA email@example.com IPM04 Non- and Semi-parametric Regression Models in Survival Analysis and Econometrics Bernoulli LS Dorota M. Dabrowska USA firstname.lastname@example.org IPM05 Functional and Comparative Genomics Bernoulli LS Rebecka Jornsten Sweden email@example.com IPM06 Semi-supervised Learning Bernoulli GTC Bin Yu China firstname.lastname@example.org IPM07 Bias Reduction in the Estimation of Parameters of Rare Events Bernoulli Jan Beirlant Belgium Jan.email@example.com IPM08 Recent Advances in Spatial Statistics with Environmental Applications Bernoulli TIES Wenceslao González-Manteiga Spain firstname.lastname@example.org IPM09 Multiscale Lifting in Statistics Bernoulli Guy Nason UK email@example.com IPM10 Extremes, Risk and the Environment Bernoulli TIES M. Isabel Fraga Alves Portugal firstname.lastname@example.org IPM11 Stochastic Analysis and Financial Mathematics Bernoulli Ching-Tang Wu Taiwan, China email@example.com IPM12 Robustness and Data Analysis Bernoulli Luisa Fernholz USA firstname.lastname@example.org IPM13 Model Checking and Longitudinal Studies Bernoulli Lixing Zhu China email@example.com IPM14 Interacting Particle Systems Bernoulli Pablo A. Ferrari Brasil firstname.lastname@example.org IPM15 Bayesian Theory and Practice Bernoulli Carlos Daniel Paulino Portugal email@example.com Malay Ghosh USA firstname.lastname@example.org IPM16 Strengthening ties between producers and users of official statistics IAOS Rosemary Marcuss USA email@example.com IPM17 Do users need indicators or statistics? IAOS Jean-Louis Bodin France firstname.lastname@example.org IPM18 Updating international statistical standards: Does the process work? IAOS Rob Edwards USA email@example.com IPM19 International comparative city and regional statistics on social cohesion and economic diversity IAOS Dominic Leung China firstname.lastname@example.org IPM20 Urban, regional and migration research: New approaches IAOS Marie Chamie USA email@example.com IPM21 Current issues in Seasonal Adjustment for official statistics IAOS Dominique Ladiray France firstname.lastname@example.org IPM22 Promises and Realities of Synthetic Data IAOS Nancy Gordon USA email@example.com IPM23 Internal standards and Quality management in official statistics IAOS Maria João Zilhão Portugal firstname.lastname@example.org Margarida Madaleno Portugal email@example.com Jan Fischer Czech Republic IPM24 Measuring productivity IAOS IFS Bart Meganck Luxembourg firstname.lastname@example.org IPM25 Green GDP vs. Greening of the National Accounts IAOS TIES Xu Xianchun China email@example.com IPM26 Business statistics in a globalised economy IAOS ISBIS Ivo Havinga USA firstname.lastname@example.org IPM27 The impact of new information technologies: On survey research design; on a totally new information production model IAOS IASS Jonathan Palmer Australia email@example.com IPM28 Model selection for supervised learning IASC Christophe Croux Belgium Christophe.Croux@econ.kuleuven.be IPM29 Discovering Data Structures with the Forward Search IASC Anthony Atkinson UK firstname.lastname@example.org IPM30 Interval and Imprecise Data Analysis IASC Yves Lechevallier France Yves.Lechevallier@inria.fr Francesco Palumbo Italy email@example.com IPM31 Computational Statistics for Metabolomics IASC Age K. Smilde The Netherlands firstname.lastname@example.org IPM32 Financial Data Mining and Modelling IASC Philip Yu Hong Kong, SAR China email@example.com IPM33 Computational Econometrics and Finance IASC Erricos John Kontoghiorghes Cyprus firstname.lastname@example.org IPM34 Exploratory multiple table analysis IASC Annie Morin France email@example.com IPM35 Statistical challenges in data mining applications IASC Alain Morineau France firstname.lastname@example.org IPM36 Statistical algorithms and software IASC Cristian Gatu Romania email@example.com Sigbert Klinke Germany firstname.lastname@example.org IPM37 Research on Reasoning about Distribution IASE Joan Garfield USA email@example.com IPM38 How modern technologies have changed the curriculum in introductory courses IASE Lucette Carter France firstname.lastname@example.org Catherine Pardoux France IPM39 Preparing Teachers of Statistics IASE Allan Rossman USA email@example.com IPM40 Research on the use of simulation in teaching statistics and probability IASE Rolf Biehler Germany firstname.lastname@example.org IPM41 Optimising Internet-based Resources for Teaching Statistics IASE IASC Ginger Holmes Rowell USA email@example.com Roxy Peck USA IPM42 Observational Studies, Confounding and Multivariate Thinking IASE Milo Schield USA firstname.lastname@example.org IPM43 Teaching of Official Statistics IASE IAOS Sharleen Forbes New Zealand Sharleen.Forbes@stats.govt.nz IPM44 Teaching of Survey Statistics IASE IASS Steve Heeringa USA email@example.com IPM45 Studying variability through sports phenomena IASE Sports Statistics Allan Rossman (Provisional) USA firstname.lastname@example.org IPM46 Use of Symbolic Computing Systems in Teaching Statistics IASE IASC Zaven Karian USA Karian@Denison.edu IPM47 Information integration: Statistical theory when combining and using multiple data sets in concert IASS IAOS Dean Judson USA Dean.H.Judson@census.gov IPM48 Designing and Updating Longitudinal Samples IASS To Be Determined IPM49 Statistical disclosure control of survey microdata IASS Mark Elliot UK Mark.J.Elliot@manchester.ac.uk IPM50 Using multiple modes to collecting data in surveys IASS IAOS Peter Lynn UK email@example.com IPM51 Confidentialising tables and data with geographically fine breakdown IASS Larry Cox USA firstname.lastname@example.org IPM52 Prioritising non-response follow-up to minimise mean square error IASS Cynthia Clark USA/UK email@example.com IPM53 What Censuses and administrative sources can tell us about Non Sampling Errors? IASS Ray Chambers UK firstname.lastname@example.org IPM54 Measuring and reporting quality of small area estimates IASS Daniela Cocchi Italy email@example.com IPM55 Randomisation-assisted model-based survey sampling IASS Phil Kott USA firstname.lastname@example.org IPM56 New methods of sampling IASS Yves Tille Belgium email@example.com IPM57 Opinion Polls: Do they do more Harm than Good? IASS Murray Goot Australia firstname.lastname@example.org IPM58 How ISI can encourage donor and international organizations to strengthen their own statistical capacities IASS IAOS Ibrahim Yansaneh USA email@example.com IPM59 Recent advances in statistical methods for genetic epidemiology GTC LS Ray Carroll USA firstname.lastname@example.org IPM60 Fitting biological process models to time series data GTC LS To Be Determined IPM61 Are extreme weather events more prevalent now than before? GTC TIES Anders Grimvall Sweden email@example.com IPM62 Data mining for environmental science and management GTC TIES David Brillinger USA firstname.lastname@example.org IPM63 Climate change GTC TIES Paul Switzer USA email@example.com IPM64 Stochastic Volatility Modelling: Reflections, recent developments and the future GTC ISBIS Evdokia Xekalaki Greece firstname.lastname@example.org IPM65 Statistical tools used in financial risk management GTC IFS To Be Determined IPM66 Recent Trends in Demographic Modelling GTC LS To Be Determined IPM67 Statistics of Numerical Weather Forecasting GTC TIES Tilmann Gneiting USA/Germany email@example.com IPM68 Issues in Business and Industrial Statistics in the Developing world GTC ISBIS Jacky Galpin South Africa firstname.lastname@example.org IPM69 When Genomics meets genetics: How to combine linkage, allelic association, gene expression, and proteomics studies to dissect complex traits GTC LS Steve Horvath USA email@example.com IPM70 Design of Experiments in Marketing and Advertising Testing GTC ISBIS Johannes Ledolter USA/Austria firstname.lastname@example.org IPM71 Statistics of risk aversion GTC Wolfgang Haerdle Germany email@example.com IPM72 Risk-Utility Formulations for Statistical Disclosure Limitation Problems GTC ISBIS Alan Karr USA firstname.lastname@example.org IPM73 Statistical issues in Biobanking GTC LS Hans van Houwelingen The Netherlands email@example.com IPM74 Six Sigma: A Business Strategy or a Management Fad? GTC ISBIS To Be Determined IPM75 Statistical Issues in Wired, Wireless, and Sensor Networks GTC ISBIS Lorraine Denby USA firstname.lastname@example.org IPM76 Species-wide collected data GTC TIES To Be Determined IPM77 Integrated chemical and biological modelling GTC TIES To Be Determined IPM78 Karl Pearson’s 150th Birthday GTC Ida Stamhuis The Netherlands IH.Stamhuis@few.vu.nl IPM79 Tourism datasets GTC COSTT Stephen L.J. Smith Canada email@example.com IPM80 Indicators of women and children GTC To Be Determined IPM81 Food Risks GTC LS Lutz Edler Germany firstname.lastname@example.org IPM82 Integration of the -omics GTC Ingrid K. Glad Norway email@example.com IPM83 Measures of output and prices of financial services GTC IFS Radha Binod Barman India firstname.lastname@example.org IPM84 Measures of flows and stocks in financial accounts GTC IFS Rudi Acx Belgium email@example.com
News of Members
ISI elected member and Bernoulli Society member Professor Jayaram Sethuraman, the former Robert O. Lawton Distinguished Professor, current Professor Emeritus and Adjunct Professor at Florida State University, has been honoured with the 2005 C.R. and Bhargavi Rao Prize at Penn State University. This Award, the second in a series to be awarded every two years, was established by C.R. and Bhargavi Rao as a means to honour and recognise outstanding and influential innovations in the theory and practice of mathematical statistics, international leadership in directing statistics research, and pioneering contributions by a recognised leader in the field of statistics.The Award, consisting of an engraved plaque and cash prize, was presented to Professor Sethuraman by Daniel J. Larson, Dean of the Penn State Eberly College of Science, as part of Statistics Day, which is a one-day workshop organised by Penn State's Department of Statistics and Center for Multivariate Analysis.Professor Sethuraman is known as a pioneer in the theoretical study of large and moderate deviations. He also is recognised for his contributions to order statistics, Bahadur and Pitman efficiency, stochastic majorization, Dirichlet processes and Bayesian nonparametrics, sequential analysis, reliability theory, survival analysis, image analysis, and Bayesian analysis. More recently, he has been the leader in the use of counting processes and martingale theory to study repair models and develop nonparametric inferential procedures for these models. Professor Sethuraman is a Fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, a Fellow of the American Statistical Association, and a recipient of the U.S. Army's S.S. Wilks Award. In 1993, he received Florida State University's Robert O. Lawton Distinguished Professor Award, the highest honour the faculty can bestow on a colleague.
Professor Mir Masoom Ali, George and Frances Ball Distinguished Professor of Statistics at Ball State University, ISI elected member and Bernoulli Society member, was awarded the Gold Medal of the Islamic Countries Society of Statistical Sciences (ISOSS) for his outstanding contribution to statistics and ISOSS affairs during its 8th Conference held in Lahore, Pakistan, from December 19-22, 2005.
The ISI regrets to announce the death of our colleagues:
Born Elected Deceased Dr. John M. Hammersley 1920 1961 2 May 2004 Professor Harshinder Singh 1951 2000 4 February 2005 Professor Dr. K.M. Hassanein 1926 1989 9 July 2005 Dr. Edwin Goldfield 1918 1980 27 September 2005 Professor Dr. A.G.M. (Ton) Steerneman 1954 2000 28 September 2005 Professor Ronald Pyke 1931 1973 22 October 2005 Professor Camilo Dagum 1925 1959 5 November 2005 Dr. Ranjan K. Som 1925 1971 25 December 2005 Professor Albert Prat-Bartés 1942 1984 1 January 2006
Emeritus Professor Camilo Dagum
Camilo Dagum (Emeritus Professor, University of Ottawa, Canada, and Full Professor at the Faculty of Statistical Sciences, University of Bologna, Italy) passed away on November 5, 2005, in Ottawa. His loss is a great blow to the world's statistical and economic scientific community. Professor Dagum was one of the leading scholars in Economics and Statistics in the 20th century - a period considered to be the Golden Era for these two sciences. Camilo Dagum was born on August 11, 1925, in Rosario de Lerma, a small rural town in Salta, Argentina. He grew up during the Great Depression and bore witness to the widespread poverty, deprivation and illness common at the time. From this childhood experience, he developed a great sense of social responsibility and concern for the less privileged, which he displayed throughout his scientific career. He was the fifth son of Orthodox Christians, Alexander Dagum and Nazira Hakim. His highly educated parents, originally from Hama, Syria, immigrated to Argentina in 1912 during the reign of the Ottoman Empire. His elementary and high school education took place in Salta, Argentina.
Camilo Dagum's doctoral thesis from the Faculty of Economic Sciences of the National University of Córdoba was approved with the highest honor. He received a Gold Medal from the Argentine Army in 1948 and the Medal Collège de France in 1971. He was bestowed Doctor Honoris Causa degrees by the University of Bologna (1988), University of Montpellier I (1998), National University of Córdoba (1988), and the University of Naples "Parthenope" (2005).
Camilo Dagum's career as a university teacher spanned more than fifty years. From 1949-1966, he was associated with the National University of Córdoba, rising from Research Associate in 1949 to Full Professor in 1956, and finally elected Dean of the Faculty in 1962. From 1966-68, he was Visiting Senior Researcher at Princeton University and in 1968-69 a Visiting Professor at IEDES, University of Paris. From 1968-70, he served as Full Professor and Chairman at the National University of Mexico and in 1970-72 was Visiting Professor at the University of Iowa. The following 20 years, from 1972-91, he was Full Professor at the (bilingual) University of Ottawa. Mandatory retirement forced him to leave Ottawa and continue his academic career in Italy, first as Professor at the University of Milan and from 1994 to 2000 at the University of Bologna. He remained associated with the latter till his death in 2005.
Camilo Dagum was elected to the membership of the International Statistical Institute in 1959; his sponsors were world renowned statisticians: Corrado Gini, Maurice Fréchet, Herman Wold, and Carlos Dieulefait. He was Founder and President of the Argentine Statistical Society; an Honorary Fellow of the International Multidispliciplinary Science Institute; member of the New York Academy of Sciences, the American Statistical Association, the Italian Statistical Society and several others.
Professor Dagum published 12 books and over 210 peer reviewed articles covering a great variety of diverse interests, probability theory and mathematical statistics, index numbers, scientific model building, multidimensional random variables, transvariation, inflation, decision functions and models. He was the consummate eclectic academic. His scientific interests covered numerous fields including Economics, Econometrics, Philosophy of Science, Income and Wealth Distributions, Inequality, Poverty and Human Capital. He wrote pioneering and seminal articles in the last four topics, creating new research paths in these areas. Today, he is unquestionably the most prominent world authority in theory and applications of income distributions. His outstanding erudition, clarity of exposition in at least four European languages and attention to details were truly admirable.
Camilo Dagum was actively involved in the organization of international scientific conferences and workshops, his last being the one organized jointly with Professors A. Lemmi and S. Kotz held at the University of Siena in May of 2005 in memory of two prominent economists/statisticians - Max O. Lorenz and Corrado Gini. In the same month, he was awarded together with his brilliant and devoted wife of 47 years, Professor Estela Bee Dagum, the degree of Doctor Honoris Causa by the University of Naples "Parthenope". These strenuous activities just a few short months before his unexpected demise are a testimony to his selfless devotion and dedication to science and society.
Camilo Dagum was a friendly, optimistic and tolerant person - always ready to assist less fortunate individuals. His kindness, even temper, discipline, hard work and goodwill to his fellow man will remain a lifelong inspiration for students and colleagues. He will be sorely missed by statistical and economic societies. The world and society have lost a great man who left deep footprints on this earth. He is survived by his wife and three exceptional sons, Alexander, Paul and Leonardo, who loved him very much.
George Washington University
Washington D.C., USA
Dr. Edwin D. Goldfield
Edwin D. Goldfield, 87, a leader in the Washington, D.C. federal statistical community, died on September 27, 2005. No cause of death was reported. Dr. Goldfield began his career at the U.S. Census Bureau with a temporary appointment in 1940 to work on the processing of the decennial census. That temporary appointment stretched out to a 35-year government career, during which his assignments included Program Coordinator of the 1950 Decennial Census, Chief of the Statistical Reports Division, Assistant Director of the Bureau, and Chief of the International Statistics Program Center.
During that period, he also served as staff director of the House of Representatives Subcommittee on Census and Statistics, consultant to the Social Science Research Council and the Mutual Security Agency, and member of the Editorial Advisory Board of the International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences. He led and was a member of several U.S. delegations to international statistical conferences.
Upon retiring from the Census Bureau in 1975, he joined the staff of the National Academies' Committee on National Statistics (CNSTAT), serving as study director for an expert panel that produced the report, Privacy and Confidentiality as Factors in Survey Response (National Research Council, 1979). In 1978, he became Director of CNSTAT, a position he held until his second retirement in 1987. He remained active in federal statistics, maintaining an office at the Census Bureau, visiting the CNSTAT staff about once a month, directing the Census Alumni Association, and was a regular attendee of meetings of the Council of Professional Associations on Federal Statistics.
Ed was a past President of the Washington Statistical Society and a Fellow of the American Statistical Association, as well as a past member of its Board of Directors and chair of many of its committees. In 1980, he became an elected member of the International Statistical Institute. He received an M.A. in Statistics from Columbia University and did graduate work at American University. In his day, Ed was a semi-professional baseball player, and an avid lifelong fan of the New York Yankees.
Survivors include his nephew Mark F. Goldfield of New York and his cousins Gloria Alpert of Boca Raton, Florida, and Claire Afromsky of Somers, New York.
Edward J. Spar
Council of Professional Associations on Federal Statistics
Dr. Khatab M. Hassanein
Dr. Khatab M. Hassanein died peacefully on July 9, 2005, at North Kansas City Hospital with his daughter at his bedside. Dr. Hassanein was born in Cairo, Egypt, but was proud to be a citizen of his beloved U.S.A. for many decades. He received Bachelor's and Master's degrees in Statistics and in Meteorology from the University of Cairo. While in Egypt, he taught in both private and public schools. Later, he was on the faculty at the University of Cairo, where he was honored with a United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization Scholarship to study Statistics in the United States. He spent some time in graduate work at Harvard University, then he transferred to the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, from which he received M.P.H. and Ph.D degrees in Biostatistics.
After serving on the faculty at Chapel Hill for two years, he returned to his faculty position at the Institute of Statistics at the University of Cairo. In 1967, he returned to the U.S. and joined the faculty at the University of Kansas Medical Center, where for many years and up to the present time he served as Professor and Chairman of the Department of Biometry. Dr. Hassanein has received many honors, including the Distinguished Teaching Award from the University of Kansas Medical Center. He was an elected member of the International Statistical Institute. He served as author or co-author of more than one hundred and fifty papers.
Dr. Hassanein was often praised for his unique capability of being able to apply creative statistical methods to difficult medical and biological questions. One recent example of this type of application is a new technique developed for Meta-Analysis with his esteemed colleague and friend, Dr. A.K.Md. Ehsanes Saleh of Carleton University, Canada, and will be published in the Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics (JBS) in the first issue of 2006.
Dr. Hassanein was a deep believer in God. In addition to his great love for his family, friends and students, he enjoyed poetry, philosophy, history, religion and music. He especially loved teaching and working with his students.
He was preceded in death by two brothers and a sister. He is survived by his wife of 40 years, Dr. Ruth Stephenson Hassanein of the home; daughter Dr. Sarah Hon and son-in-law Reverend Jeffrey Hon, along with two grandchildren, Michael and Rachel Hon, all of Liberty, Missouri; and a sister, Fatma Hassanein, as well as numerous beloved nieces and nephews in Cairo, Egypt.
He loved life and people with great zest, and it will be no surprise to those who knew him that the last beat of his heart occurred shortly after extending his arm to shake the hand of one of his doctors. He was deeply loved by family, friends and students, and will be greatly missed.
The family suggests contributions be made "In memory of Dr. Khatab M. Hassanein" to Heart to Heart International, 401 S. Clairborne, Suite 302, Olathe, KS 66062, USA.
Dr. Ruth S. Hassanein
Kansas University Medical Center
Kansas City, Kansas, USA
Professor Emeritus Dr. B.D. Tikkiwal
Bhagwan Dass Tikkiwal, founder and Head of the Department of Statistics, University of Rajasthan, and former Vice Chancellor of the University of Rajasthan, died September 6, 2004, in Jodhpur, Rajasthan, India. India and the statistics community lost one of the pioneering statisticians and leading experts on the conceptual and theoretical framework of survey sampling.
As founder and Head of the Department of Statistics at the University of Rajasthan, Professor Tikkiwal was the main force behind starting statistics courses at both the undergraduate and postgraduate levels in other universities of the state as well. Today, his students are employed in university and government positions throughout India and abroad.
Professor Tïkkiwal was born on January 15, 1926, in Jaipur, the capital city of Rajasthan State. He obtained his early education in Jaipur and his B.Sc. and M.Sc. degrees from Maharajas College, Jaipur. While obtaining his B.Sc. degree, he was awarded the Maharana Udaipur Gold Medal, and while obtaining his M.Sc., he was awarded the Chancellor's Gold Medal. He continued his studies at the Indian Agricultural Statistics Research Institute, New Delhi, 1948-51, where he was awarded the Randhawa Gold Medal based on his thesis Theory of Successive Sampling. In 1952-54, he studied Mathematical Statistics at Columbia University. In 1955, he earned his Ph.D. in Experimental Statistics from the University of North Carolina at Raleigh.
After working as Associate Statistician at the University of North Carolina, he joined Karnataka University, Dharwar, India, in June 1956 and worked there for six years as Reader and Head. He subsequently moved to the University of Rajasthan, Jaipur, where he established the Department of Statistics, formerly the School of Sample Surveys, and he worked there until his retirement in 1986. During his tenure, he held positions as Reader, Professor, and Senior Professor. He also held important administrative positions as founder and Head of the Department of Statistics (1962-74), Director of the School of Social Sciences (1967-68), Dean of University Cluster of Colleges, Jaipur (1975-76), Chairman, Examination Reforms Cell, and acting Vice-Chancellor on two separate occasions.
Professor Tikkiwal earned national and international recognition for his contributions in sampling theory. He was President of the Statistics Section of the Indian Science Congress in 1977. He was Principal Speaker at the session on rotation and other resampling schemes at the International Statistical Institute's Session in Manila, Philippines, in 1979 and a participant at the session on conceptual and theoretical framework for survey sampling at the ISI's 44th Session in Buenos Aires, Argentina, in 1981. He went to the USSR (1969) under a Cultural Exchange Program for Senior Professors, and to Nigeria (1980-82) as Visiting Professor and Head of the Department of Statistics, University of Ilorin. He visited and lectured at numerous universities on many occasions throughout his career. He remained active after his retirement in 1986 until the time of his death. In 1989, he was awarded an Emeritus Fellowship by the University Grants Commission, India, and in 1990 he established the Institute of Developmental Research and Statistics at Jaipur.
Professor Tikkiwal was a life member of the Indian Society of Agricultural Statistics, a member of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, a member of the International Statistical Institute, and a Council Member of International Association of Survey Statisticians. He was proud of his election to Sigma XI, the American society devoted to the promotion of research in science. He organized numerous conferences and courses for university and college teachers.
Apart from his main field of Sampling Theory, Professor Tikkiwal did extensive work by way of application of the theory to education and to some extent agriculture. He associated himself with many sample surveys in agriculture, education, and socio-economic fields. As a member of the Statistical Committee for the Indian Council of Agricultural Research at New Delhi (1964-67) and as a member of the working group on Small Area Statistics (1988-90) set up by the Central Statistical Organization of the Government of India, he gained first-hand knowledge of practical problems in data collection and their analysis. This experience helped him in providing a realistic basis to his work in theory, which, in turn, won him international recognition in this area of study. He also engaged in vital research methodology problems of providing reliable estimates of food production at District and Panchayat Samiti levels in India. This methodology problem was based on the SICURE model developed by him, which he presented at the International Conference on Small Area and Surgery Designs in Warsaw, Poland, in 1992.
Professor Tikkiwal lived a very simple life, valued his family and friends, and believed strongly in helping his fellow members of society whenever possible. His wife, Shakuntla, was very devoted to him. Dr. Gopi Chand Tikkiwal, who will soon be joining Banasthali Vidyapith University for women as Professor of Statistics, presently Associate Professor of Statistics at Department of Mathematics and Statistics, JNV University, Jodhpur, Rajasthan, India, is their adopted son. A religious and God fearing man, his personal life was greatly influenced in his early years by his father, who was also deeply religious. Tikkiwal's article entitled Human Values and Overall Development was published in Pariprekshya, a journal of the National Institute of Educational Planning and Administration, New Delhi, in December 2003. This issue of the journal was out only in March 2004, just a few months before his death.
Tikkiwal credited his professional success to being influenced early on by Dr. G.S. Mahajani, then Vice-Chancellor of the present day University of Rajasthan, who was instrumental in leading him on to his career in statistics. He was also influenced by the guidance of Indian statisticians such as P.V. Sukhatme, R.D. Narain and G.R. Seth, as well as American and British colleagues such as T.W. Anderson, D.G. Horvitz, and D.R. Cox.
Bhagwan Dass Tikkiwal was a kind and gentle man, a brilliant scholar, and a dedicated and generous humanitarian. He is deeply missed and will long be remembered by his family, his friends, his students, and society.
ISI Membership Elections 2005
We would like to congratulate the 58 new ISI elected members, who were elected in the second round of the 2005 ISI membership elections. For those who wish to contact any of these individuals, please note that the ISI website contains a component including the names and addresses of all ISI members (see http://isi.cbs.nl/isimembers/ISImembers.PDF), and these new members will be added to this list in the coming weeks.
Arlt, Josef (Czech Republic)
Aston, John A.D. (United Kingdom)
Balakrishna, Narayana (India)
Berger, Vance W. (United States)
Breidt, F. Jay (United States)
Brockett, Patrick L. (United States)
Claeskens, Gerda (Belgium)
Cook, Samantha (United States)
Crocetta, Corrado (Italy)
Dixon, John (United States)
Elliott, Michael R. (United States)
Ghosh, Anil K. (India)
Glele Kakaï, Romain L. (Benin)
Groenen, Patrick J.F. (The Netherlands)
Gurgul, Henryk (Poland)
Hall, Jon P. (Australia/United Kingdom)
Ho, Yvonne H.S. (Hong Kong, SAR China)
Hong, Yongmiao (China)
Horowitz, Joel L. (United States)
James, Lancelot F. (United States/Jamaica)
Johanis, Paul (Canada)
Johnson, Valen (United States)
Kibria, B.M. Golam (Bangladesh)
Kolassa, John E. (United States)
Lazar, Nicole A. (United States/Canada/Israel)
Linton, Oliver B. (United Kingdom)
Mao, Chang X. (China)
McLaren, Craig H. (Australia)
Naik, Dayanand (United States)
Opsomer, Jean (United States)
Palumbo, Francesco (Italy)
Patterson, Angela (United States)
Riphahn, Regina T. (Germany)
Robinson, Peter M. (United Kingdom)
Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. (Belgium)
Schlattmann, Peter (Germany)
Schmee, Josef (United States)
Sentürk, Damla (Turkey)
Shete, Sanjay (India)
Singh, Kesar (United States)
Sinharay, Sandip (India)
Sozu, Takashi (Japan)
Sungur, Engin (Turkey)
Tadesse, Mahlet G. (United States)
Tutz, Gerhard E. (Germany)
Vining, Gordon G. (United States)
Von der Lippe, Peter M. (Germany)
Wang, Hansheng (China)
Wang, Liqun (Canada)
Wells, Martin T. (United States)
Wilson, Simon P. (United Kingdom)
Wolf, Michael (Germany)
Xia, Yingcun (China)
Xiao, Tiaojun (China)
Xie, Minge (China/United States)
Zhao, Hongyu (China)
Zhao, Lue P. (United States)
Zuo, Yijun (China)
ISI Officers' Elections 2007-2009
Statements of the Candidates for the Offices of President-Elect and Vice- President for the 2007-2009 Officers' Elections.
GÜVENEN, Orhan (Turkey)
(Director, Institute of World Systems, Economies and Strategic Research, Chair, Department of Accounting Information Systems, Bilkent University, Ankara, Invited Professor, University of Paris-Panthéon, Governing Board Member, UNESCO Institute for Statistics, Montréal, Canada)
For quality, accountability, accuracy, transparency, integrity and ethics, the ISI represents the international converging infrastructure. In parallels through transdisciplinarity and anticipation, it can enhance its contribution not only to the statistical science and its applications, but at the same time to bring its added value to the quality of life, the nature and the future of human beings and our planet.
Complex problems of the 21st century in the developed and developing countries require the contributions of statistical science through global scientific consciousness, transdisciplinarity and a sense of responsibility at the world level. Given the increasing intensity of the interdependence of humanity at all levels, these noble goals can be more endogenous through strategic planning and its implementation. A dynamic interaction and complementarily among theoreticians, producers, users of statistics, and with other scientific disciplines, international organizations, governments, corporations, NGO's and citizens can, in short and medium terms, have a positive impact on the recruitment of new members, on the ISI's financial structure, and its visibility throughout the world. In my capacity as a scholar, former ISI Council Member, Bureau of the United Nations Conference of European Statisticians Member, President of the Turkish Statistical Association, President of the State Institute Statistics, Ambassador to the OECD, Undersecretary for Planning, Chairman of the Governing Board of the Council of Europe Development Bank, and Executive Board Member of UNESCO, I consider it a noble goal to commit myself to serving the ISI. I would strive to strengthen, with the cooperation of our remarkable existing institutions and member colleagues, the impact of the ISI value added for an enhanced statistics science and statistical infrastructure on the developed and developing world for the improvement of human society and nature for the coming decades.
Name: Orhan GÜVENEN
Country of Nationality: Turkey
Born: 1939 Elected: 1993
Professional Position: Professor of Strategic Decision Making, and Information Systems; Chairman of the Accounting Information Systems Department, SAL, Bilkent University, Ankara.
Current Section Membership: IAOS, IASE.
ISI Offices held: ISI Council Member (1995-1999)
Other Professional Activities: Invited Professor of Decision Making and Information Systems at the University of Paris-Panthéon. Director, Institute of World Systems, Economies and Strategic Research, Bilkent University, Ankara, Turkey.
Governing Board Member, UNESCO Institute for Statistics, Montreal, Canada. Member, European Academy of Sciences and Arts. Member, Executive Committee of “The Club of Rome” since 1993. Vice-President, Applied Econometrics Association.
1992-1994: Member " Bureau of the United Nations Conference of European Statisticians ".
Publications: Published and edited 9 books, Chapters published in 23 books, Published over 120 articles.
Interests: Estimation and analysis of panel data, statistics and data base management, non-parametric regression, dynamic modelling and time series analysis, non-linear time series modelling, stochastic methods for complex modelling problems.
TEUGELS, Jef L. (Belgium)
(Professor Emeritus, Catholic University of Louvain, Belgium)
My involvement with the ISI dates back to 1974 when I had the pleasure of collaborating with ISI Director Bart Lunenberg. I assisted him and David Kendall to bring the newly-formed Bernoulli Society under the aegis of the ISI. Thus, the Bernoulli Society became the ISI's first Section. Ever since then, a substantial part of my professional activity has been linked in one way or another to the ISI.
I strongly hope that the ongoing Strategic Planning will result in steady improvement and evolution of the ISI. In pursuing the Objectives laid out in the new Strategic Plan, I will pay particular attention to key challenges that the Society is facing: safeguarding the quality of ISI publications and conferences, strengthening internal cohesion within the ISI, and making sure that sound financial management controls are in place.
The ISI should provide a home for all users and developers of statistics, and also for those working with statistics in disciplines for which there is no proper scientific society. To give just a few examples, I am thinking of statisticians working in law, arts, history and sports. One possibility for the ISI (or its Sections) is to broaden their mandate to organize appropriate activities. In this spirit, we can continue to make the ISI the international forum for statistics in the broadest possible sense. In responding to the need for a larger and more active membership, we should investigate how the ISI can better represent its younger, active members who want to take up responsibilities within the ISI and/or its Sections.
As the field of statistics gains in strength and quality worldwide, the ISI should provide genuine representation of members from all world regions where statistics is a booming activity. Over the last 30 years, I have had the opportunity to serve the ISI or its Sections through a wide variety of responsibilities. I started out as Scientific Secretary of the Bernoulli Society, of which I also served as President. I gained a lot of insight into the running of the ISI because of my involvement in ISI publications, scientific programs of ISI Sessions, and financial supervision. Most recently, and in my role as Vice-President of the ISI, it was my great pleasure to provide assistance to both the International Environmetrics Society, and the International Society for Statistics in Business and Industry, on their way to becoming Sections of the ISI.
The World is becoming increasingly dependent upon sound and trustworthy quantitative information, on statistics and statisticians. I very much look forward to continuing to help the ISI develop, in keeping with the current and emerging needs of statisticians worldwide, and with the needs of the worldwide community.
Name: Jef L. TEUGELS
Country of Nationality: Belgium
Born: 1939 Elected: 1974
Professional Position: Professor Emeritus, Catholic University of Louvain, Belgium.
Current Section Membership: Bernoulli Society.
ISI Offices held: Co-Chairman of the Scientific Programme Committee for the 42nd Session (1979); Council member (1985-1987); Member of the ISI Nominations Committee (1987); Chair of the Publications Committee (1991-1993); Member of the Programme Committee for the 53rd ISI Session (1999-2001); Vice-president (2001-2003); Chairman of the Committee for Statistics in the Environment (2003-2006).
Section Offices held: Bernoulli Society: Organiser Second Conference on Stochastic Processes (Belgium, 1972); Organizer Tenth European Meeting of Statisticians (Belgium, 1977); Chairman Committee for Conferences on Stochastic Processes (1972-1976); Council member European Regional Committee (1974-1978); Scientific Secretary (1975-1985); Chairman (1985-1989) or member (1989-2000) of the Committee for Statistics in the Physical Sciences; Member of the Organising Committee First World congress (Tashkent, 1986); Organiser of the Meeting Statistics, Earth and Space Sciences (Belgium, 1989, Greece, 1998); Member of the Programme Committee of the Satellite Meeting on Chemometrics and Industrial Statistics (Bologna, 1993); President-Elect (1993-1995); President (1995-1997).
Other Professional Activities: Memberships: President Société Belge de Statistique (1991-1993); Fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics; Member of the London Mathematical Society. Conferences: Member of the Advisory board of EURANDOM (1994 - 2003); Member of the Programme Committee of the Journées de Statistique (Brussels, 1992; Lille, 1993); Member of the Scientific Programme Committee International Environmental Conference (Innsbruck, 1997; Australia, 1998); Member of the Scientific Programme Committee International Conference on Recent Advances in Statistics and Probability, Indian Statistical Institute (Calcutta, 1997); Co-organiser International Conference on Extremes in Theory and Practice (Belgium, 2001); Member of the Programme Committee on Tenth INFORMS Applied Probability Conference (Germany, 1999). Editorial work: Associate Editor Journal of Stochastic Processes (1972-1980); Associate Editor International Statistical Information (1977-1985); Associate Editor of Insurance: Mathematics and Economics (1981 - present); Member of the Board of the Journals of Applied Probability (1989 - present); Member of the Advisory Board of the Wiley Series in Probability and Mathematical Sciences (1989 – 2003); Associate Editor Extremes (1996 - 2003); Associate Editor of Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference (1998 –2001); Associate Editor Environmetrics (1998 - present); Section Editor of Encyclopedia of Environmetrics (2002), Editor-in-Chief of the Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science (2004); Associate Editor of Revista de Estatistica, Portugal (2003 – present); Advisory Editor of Quality Technology & Quantitative Management (2004 – present); Editor-in-Chief of Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry (1999 - present).
Interests: Probability theory, Stochastic Processes, Actuarial Mathematics, Environmetrics, Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, Scientific aspects of music. Author of 4 text-books and some 100 scientific papers.
CHEN, Louis H.Y. (Singapore)
(Director, Institute for Mathematical Sciences and Professor of Mathematics and Statistics, National University of Singapore)
Asia is expected to be the fastest growing region in the decades to come. It is in the strategic interest of the ISI to engage more and more statisticians in that region (see also ISI Strategic Plan 2006-2009 on the ISI website at http://isi.cbs.nl/05session/strategic_plan.htm). I believe that I could help facilitate this process. Being based in Asia and having served as President of the Bernoulli Society in 1997-99 and as President of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics in 2004-05, I believe that I would be in a vantage position to reach out to the statisticians in the region and could assist the ISI Executive Committee in making strategic decisions. I could also use my experience from reviving the Bernoulli Society East Asian and Pacific Regional Committee in 1997, serving as its Chair in 2001-03, and organizing many conferences in that region.
I support the ISI Strategic Plan 2006-2009 and would work towards achieving the objectives therein. In particular, I would help in the promotion and dissemination of research in the statistical sciences. As proposed in the Strategic Plan, one strategy to achieve this objective is to form strategic partnerships with international societies that promote research in the statistical sciences. My services in international statistical societies in the past 10 years, together with the international network that I have established, should enable me to help in forming such partnerships. Another strategy proposed is to promote conferences and publications on emerging developments. I believe that I could contribute to this strategy by drawing on my experiences in organizing conferences and in running a mathematical sciences institute, which organizes programs on themes chosen from areas (including those in the statistical sciences) at the frontier of current research and which publishes a lecture notes series on selected lectures given during the programs.
Name: Louis H.Y. CHEN
Country of Nationality: Singapore
Born: 1940 Elected: 1999
Professional Position: Tan Chin Tuan Centennial Professor/Director, Institute for Mathematical Sciences, National University of Singapore
Current Section Membership: Bernoulli Society
ISI Offices held: Council Member (1997-1999)
Section Offices held: Bernoulli Society - President (1997-1999); Member, Committee for Conferences on Stochastic Processes (1993-1999); Chair, Working Committee for the Revival of the East Asian Pacific Regional Committee (1995-1997); Chair (2001-2003) and Member (2003- ), East Asian and Pacific Regional Committee
Other Professional Activities: President, Institute of Mathematical Statistics (2004-2005); Member, Committee on Nominations, Institute of Mathematical Statistics (1996-1997 and 2000-2001); Associate Editor, Statistica Sinica, (1988-1996); Associate Editor, Bernoulli (1993-2000); Member, Editorial Board, Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, (1997- ); Advisor to World Scientific in Mathematics (1996 - )
Research Interests: Applied probability, Stein’s method, computational biology
COOK, Leonard W. (New Zealand)
(Former National Statistician, Office for National Statistics, United Kingdom and former Government Statistician of New Zealand)
Statisticians play a critical part in the understanding of public questions, by how they are translated into what we can measure, and how statistical results are given relevance through inference and presentation. While official statistics have a special visibility in public life, trust in statistics comes from the understanding citizens get from the vast range of statistical activity that reaches the public domain, and from the statistical practises of the media, politicians and advocates.
The driving force, for much of the statistical activity that I have been engaged in, has been for timely and confident decision making in government and community through statistics that are fit for use, and open to challenge. Official statistics give visibility to statistical methods in ways that are not possible in many other fields of statistical work. As scientists, we have a vital place in informing decisions, and so our own methodologies need to be as open to public communication as the anecdote and dogma we replace. We do this by enabling our work to be understood and reproduced by our peers in their field. Those who need the analyses must be able to understand them. Due to the vital role we play in challenging the relevance of dogma and eternal truths, in public policy, science and society, it is critical that we be most open about our own judgements and dogma. This must, in the end, be an essential outcome of professional training and development, to make transparent those elements of our work where methodology is underpinned by judgement. The ISI is a very special international authority for defining our expectations, and providing the context and visibility for statisticians to gain confidence and competence in this. In advancing public trust in statistics, I would welcome the opportunity to continue the work of the ISI in advancing what we now see as the place and role in society of statisticians, and statistical organisations, in all countries.
Name: Leonard W. COOK
Country of Nationality: New Zealand
Born: 1949 Elected: 1999
Professional Position: Independent Statistician.
Current Section Membership: IAOS, IASE, IASS.
ISI Offices held: ISI Committee on Women in Statistics (1998-2001); ISI Vice-President (2005-2007).
Section Offices held: IAOS (Vice President 1993-95).
Other Professional Activities: Former National Statistician of the UK from 2000 to 2005; Former Government Statistician of New Zealand from 1992 to 2000; Member of Bureau of Conference of European Statisticians (2000-2003); Royal Statistical Society (chartered member, since 1973); NZ Statistical Association (Secretary 1974-78); IASS Programme Chair for 50th ISI; Visiting Professor, Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London; Visiting Fellow, Nuffield College, Oxford, from January 2001; Member, Review Committee on Social Science Research in New Zealand – Drawing on the Evidence (1997); Convener, Interdepartmental Committee on Population Policy for New Zealand (1990), The Human Face, 1990, Department of Statistics; Commissioner, Royal Commission on Social Policy, New Zealand, September 1987 to May 1988; Secretariat Member, Prime Ministerial Task Force on Tax Reform, July to December, 1981.
Interests: Statistics and public policy; Public sector management; Time series; Economic statistics; Survey methods; Population censuses.
MORGENTHALER, Stephan (Switzerland)
[Professor of Applied Statistics, EPFL (Swiss Federal Institute of Technology), Lausanne]
The ISI has a distinguished history, a truly global membership and a broad view of what constitutes statistics. These are the characteristics that have attracted me to participate actively in ISI meetings and its other activities. As all other institutions, the ISI must adapt to changing circumstances and be strong enough to reform itself. If elected an officer of the ISI, I will try my best to serve the interests of the profession and of the members.
We have, in the last few years, heard much about the rejuvenation that the ISI should undertake. I support these efforts and will work to elaborate and implement the necessary policies. In my view, this also means that we have to increase our efforts to motivate younger colleagues to take an active interest in how the ISI fulfils its goals. We should be inclusive in promoting the use and dissemination of statistics and its methods.
Many of the ISI activities work well and are successful. I consider it part of my mission to see to it that this continues.
Name: Stephan MORGENTHALER
Country of Nationality: Switzerland
Born: 1955 Elected: 1995
Professional Position: Professor, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Current Section Membership: Bernoulli Society.
ISI Offices held: Member of the Programme Committee Berlin Session 2003; Chair Programme Co-ordinating Committee Sydney Session 2005
Interests: Robustness, Data analysis.
NAIR, Vijay (Malaysia/USA)
(Donald A. Darling Professor of Statistics and Professor of Industrial & Operations Engineering; Chair, Department of Statistics; University of Michigan, Ann Arbor)
I can contribute in the following areas: Outreach to statisticians in developing countries: The ISI and its Sections should continue to develop close collaborations with national/regional societies in these countries, provide better support to practitioners and researchers, and help to promote statistics. I have been involved in the ISI's activities in industrial and business statistics for 15 years (organizing conferences/workshops and developing links in various regions) and was instrumental in starting ISBIS, the new Section.
Publications/educational efforts: We have excellent archival journals for researchers but not many publications dealing with best current practices and technology transfer, especially those aimed at practitioners in industry. E-publications can be an effective medium for these. I have considerable experience in publications as past Editor of the International Statistical Review and Technometrics, past Chair of the ASA Committee on Publications and member of the Electronic Publications Task Force.
Name: Vijayan N. NAIR
Country of Nationality: USA (formerly Malaysia)
Born: 1950 Elected: 1986
Professional Position: Donald A. Darling Professor of Statistics, Professor of Industrial & Operations Engineering, and Chair of Department of Statistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, USA.
Current Section Membership: ISBIS.
ISI Offices held: Joint-Editor of International Statistical Review (1996-99); Member of ISI Council
(1993-97); Member of ISBIS Council (2005-06); Chair of Committee on Statistics in Business and Industry (1995-99); Member of Committee on Statistics in Business and Industry (1990-2004); Member of Publications Committee (1997-99); Member of Program Committee for ISI Biennial Session in Florence (1993).
Other Professional Activities: Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science; Fellow of the American Statistical Association (ASA); Fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (IMS); Senior Member of the American Society for Quality (ASQ); Editor of Technometrics (1990-92); Coordinating Editor of the Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference (1992-94); Associate Editor for the following journals: Annals of Statistics; Journal of American Statistical Association, Theory and Methods; Journal of Life Data Analysis, Journal of Quality Technology; Statistica Sinica, and Technometrics; Chair of ASA Publications Committee (1996-2000); Chair of IMS Nominating Committee (2001-02); Member of ASQ Publications Management Board (1994-96); Chair of Spring Research Conference Management Committee (1992-96); Member of National Research Council’s Committee on National Statistics (2003-08); Member of Governing Board of SAMSI --NSF-funded research institute (2004-present); Chair of the Board of Trustees of the National Institute of Statistical Sciences (2004-present); Member of Steering Committee for Applied Statistics at EURANDOM (1998-2002).
Interests: Statistics in Engineering and Information Technology, Quality and Reliability Improvement, Computer and Communications Networks, Spatial Modeling, Industrial Experiments.
TANAKA, Yutaka (Japan)
(Professor of Statistics, Nanzan University, Seto, Japan)
The ISI has a variety of Sections that play important roles in their own special areas of statistics, and the ISI is a unique international statistical society that has the characteristic like this. It is an important characteristic that we should make use of. A major role of the ISI Sessions is to provide opportunities for statisticians of all those Sections in the world to meet together to exchange ideas and information. Ideas and techniques developed in one area can be useful in other areas, and positive interaction effects can be expected among ideas or techniques from different areas. The ISI has contributed so far and should contribute in the future to the developments of statistics by providing us opportunities to meet recent developments of broad areas of statistics, as well as of one's own research area in the world.
On the other hand, smaller scientific meetings are sometimes held as regional activities of the Sections. They are easier for us, in particular for young statisticians, to attend. Those meetings promote friendship and cooperation among statisticians of neighbouring countries, and they play an important role in the education of young statisticians including students. The ISI should encourage such kinds of meetings. Even in those regional meetings, there are many countries from which it is not easy for young statisticians to attend, because of financial reasons. It will be wonderful if the ISI and/or its Sections can provide financial support for them.
As in every scientific society, it is important for the ISI to attract young researchers. For this purpose, we have to provide attractive programs in the Sessions. All past Program Committees made their efforts to do so. We have to continue our efforts. The topics to be discussed in the ISI Sessions should cover all areas of statistics properly, but a little more emphasis should be placed on new areas such as interdisciplinary areas with information technology, genome science and financial engineering. The ISI should be positive in holding our own or joint meetings with other scientific societies on topics of such areas and also in forming new Sections, if necessary.
The membership problem is crucial. We should recruit new members. For recruiting new members, it is important to know the requirements of existing and potential members for the ISI and to realize the requirements. Internet surveys may be an effective tool. It is also important to continue our efforts to improve the balance in gender, age, regions and areas of specialization.
I will try to serve the ISI in the above-mentioned issues, if elected.
Name: Yutaka TANAKA
Country of Nationality: Japan
Born: 1939 Elected: 1983
Professional Position: Professor, Department of Information Systems and Mathematical Sciences, Nanzan University, Seto, Aichi, Japan.
Current Section Membership: IASC and Bernoulli Society.
ISI Offices held: Member of the Programme Coordinating Committee for Finland 1999; Member of the Nominating Committee for 2004 Election; Member of the Programme Coordinating Committee for South Africa 2009.
Section Offices held: Vice President of the IASC (1995-1997 and 2005-2007); Chair of the IASC Programme Committee for ISI Finland (1999); Co-Chair of the IASC Programme Committee for ISI South Africa (2009); Chair of the IASC Asian Regional Section (2002-2005); Co-Chair, Organising Committee of the 5th Conference of IASC Asian Regional Section Conference at Hong Kong (2005).
Other Professional Activities: Chair of the Scientific Programme Committee for the International Conference on New Trend of Computational Statistics with Biomedical Applications at Osaka, 2001; Co-Chair of the Scientific Programme Committee for 5th Conference of IFCS at Kobe (1996); President of the Japanese Society of Applied Statistics (1998-1999); Advisory Board, Computational Statistics & Data Analysis (1992-); Co-Editor, Sankhya (2000-2001).
Interests: Methodologies of multivariate analysis and statistical computing, in particular, the development of methods and their software for sensitivity analysis in statistical modelling and variable selection in multivariate methods.
VICTOR, Norbert (Germany)
(Director, Institute of Medical Biometry and Informatics, Heidelberg)
If elected Vice-President of the ISI, I would primarily try to re-establish the role of ISI as "roof" of all professional statisticians: theorists and practitioners from all application areas of statistics. I would especially try to strengthen the role of biostatistics within the ISI. In some countries, more than half of the academically trained statisticians are working in the field of biostatistics after graduation. The ISI cannot function as platform of the whole statistical profession, if it does not succeed in integrating biostatisticians better.
The second point I want to concentrate on is bridging the gap between "theoretical" and "practical" statisticians. The statistical methods keep us all together; it is reasonable that the academic training of statisticians is focussed on theory and methods. However, after graduation, most statisticians have to look for a professional position in an application area. The ISI and ISI Sessions should be the scene where an exchange between theory and practice takes place. Furthermore, I want to contribute to actualizing the ISI code of professional ethics by introducing experiences of the biomedical ethics committees.
Name: Norbert VICTOR
Country of Nationality: Germany
Professional Position: Professor Dr., Head of Institut für Med. Biometrie und Informatik, University of Heidelberg, Germany.
Current Section Membership: IASC.
ISI Offices held: Member of the: Nominations Committee (1981), Publications Committee (1979-1982; 1987-91); Programme Committee, 51st Session, Istanbul (1997); Organizer of invited paper meetings on the ISI Sessions: 44th Madrid (1983), 47th Paris (1989), 49th Florence (1993); ISI Council Member (1991-1993; 2001-2005); Member Programme Coordinating and Local Organizing Committee Berlin Session (2003).
Section Offices held: Founding Member of IASC (1977), IASC Council member (1977-79), Vice-President, President, Vice-President 1989-91, 1991-93, 1993-95, Chair IASC European Regional Section (1979-1982); Ex officio member BoD of the European Regional Section (1979-85; 1991-93); Different IASC-Committees; Programme Committees of Section Congresses: 1st Congress of the IASC-Asian Regional Section, Beijing 1992, 4th ICOTS Marrakech 1994 (IASE), 1st ICSQP of IASC, Seoul 1995; Chair IASC Programme Committee (1997).
Other Professional Activities: Council of the International Biometric Society and its German Region; President and Vice-President and Member of the Executive of the German Society for Medical Statistics.
Interests: Biostatistics, especially in Medicine. Planning and analysis of clinical trials; Methodologically: Discriminant-, Frequency- and Meta-Analyses.
Honorary Member Interviews: Jean-Louis Bodin
Who were the three people who influenced your career the most, and why?
It's too complicated to answer such a question! After 40 years of professional activity, the number of people who influenced my career is obviously greater than three! In order to partly solve this difficulty, I have taken the liberty to quote three French people and three foreigners.
First, the three French people are Edmond Malinvaud, Gérard Théodore and Jean Ripert. Edmond Malinvaud was the Director of the School of Statistics of INSEE when I was a student and discovered statistics and economics, then he was Director General of INSEE between 1974 and 1987. He started his term as ISI President in 1979, the year of my election as an ISI member. As you know, Edmond Malinvaud is still very active and it is always a big pleasure to meet him. Gérard Théodore was my direct "boss" from 1972 to 1977; working with him was sometimes difficult, even conflicting, but always challenging. Gérard played a big part in the creation of the IASS in 1973 and involved me in the management of this Section; he was my "first sponsor" for my election in 1979. Jean Ripert was appointed as Director General of INSEE in 1967, just some months after the beginning of my professional life; I had to work closely with him in 1970 when he entrusted an important study on the re-organization of INSEE to me. But I was lucky to work again with him twenty-five years later, when the UN Secretary General asked him to coordinate the statistical co-operation with the CIS countries. Unfortunately, Jean Ripert left us too soon.
The three foreigners I would like to quote are Bart Lunenberg, Leslie Kish and Willem van Zwet. Bart Lunenberg was the ISI Director when I began to work with the ISI. The role he played (with his assistant Mrs. Ank Lepping, who is still active and our living memory) was like a surveyor who knew all the partners and their subtleties. His administrative skills were unsurpassed and, when I took the responsibility of the Group of French ISI members in 1980 and when I was a member of the founding committee of the IAOS in 1985, his advice was absolutely precise, sound and pertinent. Leslie Kish was the first great foreign statistician to take an interest in my work; he invited me to present a paper (on the analysis of some systematic sampling errors in the processing of census data in 1968) at a meeting he organised during the 37th ISI Session in London in 1969: I was 28 and really very impressed. Later, in the 80's, I worked closely with him when he was IASS President (I was Executive Director of this Section at that time); I met him on several occasions either during ISI Sessions or Joint Statistical Meetings. Concerning Willem van Zwet, we have very different backgrounds (he is an academic, I'm an official), but amazingly many parallel activities within the ISI family:
Secretary General of National Organizing Committees for ISI Sessions: Bill van Zwet for Amsterdam, 1985, myself for Paris, 1989.
Section President: Bill was President of the Bernoulli Society from 1987 to 1989, myself of the IAOS from 1989 to 1991.
Chairman of the ISI Programme Co-ordinating Committee: Bill for Florence, 1993, myself for Beijing, 1995.
ISI President: Bill from 1997 to 1999, myself from 1999 to 2001.
For these two last duties, I found in Bill a competent, efficient and friendly adviser.
Of all your accomplishments, which one in particular are you most proud of achieving?
I hope you won't find me too proud if I say that I find it difficult to select only one of my contributions to official statistics over my 40-year career. With your permission, I would like to mention, not one, but two accomplishments I achieved in recent years:
I am really highly satisfied for having been one of the 'fathers' of the UN Resolution on Fundamental Principles for Official Statistics, first adopted by the UN Economic Commission for Europe in Geneva in 1992, then endorsed by the UN Statistical Commission in 1994: After the fall of the Berlin Wall and the collapse of the communist system, it was crucial to help our colleagues to get new references, new landmarks, to serve as a framework to fulfil their duties, that were maybe not so different from the strictly technical point of view, but totally different with regards to the conception of their role in society. To have been a member of the 'dream team' (let me quote, among others, Josef Olenski and Carlo Malaguerra), who drafted this resolution, was really an honour and a fascinating memory. I invite all those interested in this chapter of the history of international official statistics to refer to the book prepared on the occasion of the 50th anniversary of the Conference of European Statisticians in 2002.
In 2006, the African Statistical community will celebrate the 10th anniversary of AFRISTAT: At the beginning of the 90's, the usual means for affording technical assistance to the Francophone countries in Sub-Saharan Africa needed to find their 'second breath'; the size of these countries is generally too small to permit the implementation of an efficient and full-sized statistical office. The central idea of AFRISTAT was the creation on a cooperative basis of a multi-national statistical office to prepare, for the whole community of member states, the methods, concepts and classifications to be used and to help its members to strengthen their statistical capacities. Lamine Diop and I were asked by the chief statisticians of the future member countries of AFRISTAT to prepare its creation. It was necessary not only to have statistical skills, but also to learn to become diplomats (to draft and negotiate the Treaty that was signed in Abidjan in 1993 by the first 15 member states), financial managers (creation of a special Fund for supporting AFRISTAT activities for its first ten years) and real estate specialists (to select the best premises in which AFRISTAT started its operational activities in Bamako, Mali, in 1995). That was really a wonderful challenge for us and I'm particularly happy to see that, after these 10 years, AFRISTAT is considered not only by its member states (now 19), but also by the international community of donors, as the main partner for a sustainable statistical development in the region.On the other hand, the success of the 47th ISI Session held in Paris in 1989 - the year of the 200th anniversary of the French Revolution and of the Declaration of Human Rights - was, as you can imagine, a great satisfaction after several years of committed work as Secretary General of the National Organising Committee.
What was the most memorable part of your term as President of the ISI and the IAOS?
Of course, the 53rd Session of the ISI in Seoul in 2001 was very enjoyable and, as ISI President, I was really happy with the professionalism and friendliness of the Korean Organisers, in particular Commissioner Young-Dae Yoon and Bong-Ho Choi. It was a great pleasure to chair the Session with such a challenging environment. One of the hits of this Session was the keynote addresses given by the two laureates of the 2000 Nobel Prize in Economics, the two prominent US statisticians James J. Heckmann and Daniel L. McFadden, who had kindly accepted my invitation to participate in the Session.
Two significant events happened during my term as ISI President: The IAOS Conference on 'Statistics, Development and Human Rights' held in Montreux, Switzerland, in September 2000, and the 50th anniversary in October 2000 of the "other ISI", the Indian Statistical Institute, which was created in Kolkata by Professor Mahalanobis and is today one of the most important statistical training centres for developing countries. This celebration was a good opportunity to remind us how important it is to take care of the training of young statisticians, especially in developing countries. The most emotional part of this celebration was the visit to the Mahalanobis Museum, which was established in Professor Mahalanobis' house in a residential district in Kolkata.
Possibly the most pleasant part of my term was the drafting of the six 'Letters from the President' for the ISI Newsletter. It was the opportunity to present to the membership my views on some problems concerning the ISI and statistics in general.
As IAOS President, the most memorable event was the Satellite Meeting held just after the IAOS General Conference in Beijing in October of 1990. The main challenge was to organise an international statistical meeting in a small territory, Macau, at that time a Portuguese colony, on a very specific but consistent issue (Statistics for Islands and Small Territories). Of course, the IAOS Conference in Beijing was a big success and a kind of dress rehearsal for the 50th ISI Session five years later. However, the Macau Conference was more original and I was so happy, 15 years later, to have convinced the Government of French New Caledonia and the Secretariat of the Pacific Community in Nouméa to organise a new meeting on that topic as a Satellite Meeting of the 55th ISI Session held in Sydney.
What new statistical challenges are awaiting you in the forthcoming years?
Do you mean my personal statistical challenges or the challenges for the statistical community? Concerning myself, the challenge is very real: When this issue of the Newsletter is published, I will have achieved my last days of "active life", since French civil servants have to retire at 65 at the latest. My personal challenge will be to continue to be useful to the statistical community within a different context. I have some ideas on this! I don't consider this interview as the expression of my last will! If you mean the challenges awaiting the statistical community, no doubt facing the consequences of globalisation is certainly the main challenge at the beginning of the 21st century.
What would your advice be to young official statisticians today?
Be proud of your choice. The right of citizens to have access to information is certainly one of the most fundamental Human Rights. Also, as a member of the official statistical system in your country, you are one of the most important actors in the implementation of this right. However, don't forget that the quality of the information you will produce depends largely on the confidence that the users will have in your work, so be transparent, be professional, be ethical!
If you could relive any part of your career, which part would it be?
Let me use my joker for this question!
Many NSOs find themselves caught in the squeeze between ever increasing budgetary restrictions, while the demand for timely and accurate statistics is also increasing. What are your suggestions for NSOs as to how to address this dilemma between budgetary restrictions and increasing user demands?
Budgetary restrictions, when they are not hiding attacks against statistics, may be an extraordinary opportunity to assess the real value of the statistical production and to propose to users a rejuvenated programme. What is important in such a case is that the decisions to make as a consequence of budgetary decisions should not be prepared by the statisticians themselves, without the active participation of their users.
Initiatives are being taken in the international statistical community to develop official standards for the eventual collection and comparison of social statistics. Do you have any advice as to the way ahead in this regard?
Just look at the 9th fundamental principle for official statistics (the 9th "commandment"): The use by statistical agencies in each country of international concepts, classifications and methods promotes the consistency and efficiency of statistical systems at all official levels.
If you were to start over again and choose a profession other than statistics, what would you want to be?
It's difficult to answer this kind of question without any bias. My answer cannot but be influenced by the career I actually had! I would certainly have worked within the public service; I'm convinced it's a very valuable activity to be at the service of your fellow citizens. If possible, I would make the choice of working for development, maybe in an international organisation.
We note that you travel frequently to developing countries with your work, are there any suggestions as to how the ISI can best address the needs of its developing country members?
The ISI cannot compete with international organisations or bilateral donors that have the main responsibility of helping to strengthen statistical capacities in the developing countries. However, the ISI may be helpful in three domains:
Through its network and the excellence of its membership, the ISI may be the advocate of statistics towards the governments and the decision-makers of these countries;
The ISI should favour the participation of statisticians from developing countries to ISI and Section conferences, meetings and sessions; they are free-speaking places where experiences may be exchanged in an informal way, sometimes in an easier way than during more official meetings;
The ISI may help to create national statistical societies in developing countries; such societies are important to disseminate statistical literacy and to increase the confidence of users in statistics, they may also be the lobbyists for statistics.
We have heard that you have received a medal from the Polish Government, for what reasons was this award given to you?
Yes, in 1997, I was made a Knight of the Order of Merit of the Republic of Poland for services rendered to the transition in statistics of this country after 1989. The Order of Merit is one of the most prestigious official decorations in Poland. However, I consider that this award was in fact given to the whole French statistical community, who has been the leader of the European technical assistance to the GUS (the Polish Central Statistical Office) and that I was just the representative of this community as the Director of International Relations and Co-operation at INSEE from 1989 to 1997. INSEE was in fact the first western statistical office that proposed to its Polish partners to accompany them in their transition. I remember that my first proposal of co-operation to Poland was made to the GUS Vice-President Tadeusz Walczak as early as June 1989, between the two rounds of the historical legislative ballot that permitted the setting-up of the first democratic government in Eastern and Central Europe. Also, this co-operation paved the way for the preparation of the UN Resolution on Fundamental Principles for Official Statistics.
Has your passion for rugby influenced your statistical thinking in any way?
Just after asking me this question, you told me it was a joke and I should not feel compelled to answer. But, in fact, I may find some similarities between rugby rules and statistical activity: Playing rugby is impossible without accepting to just being a member of a team where everybody has to play a specific role (e.g. during the scrums that are one of the most important moments of this game), but at certain moments, you should also take strong individual initiatives, the success of which will be greater if the collective game has been well thought out and if the fundamentals have been respected. Is it just by chance that four out of the ten present or past IAOS Presidents come from those few countries where rugby is one of the most popular games?
ISI Committee Matters: East Asian Outreach Committee
The East Asian Outreach Committee (EAOC) was established with the following objectives:
To identify potential members from the countries in the region to cooperate closely with the statistical societies in the region, both national and specialized ones.
To activate and to share information regionally for the joint statistical activities of holding conferences among the regional subsections of the ISI Sections.
The first EAOC meeting was held on April 6th in Sydney during the 2005 ISI Session. The Committee decided to promote potential ISI members from China, including Hong Kong SAR and Taipei, Japan and Korea. With that purpose in mind, the Committee decided to contact senior members of the ISI Sections who are not ISI elected members and, among the participants of the regional ISI conferences, to contact potential candidates for ISI membership. In order to activate the joint statistical activities among the regional subsections of the ISI Sections, the Committee decided to encourage all ISI and its Section members to participate in the Asian Regional Section (ARS) meeting of IASC, which was held in December 2005 in Hong Kong.
There were 140 participants with about 90 paper presentations at the ARS Conference held from December 15-17, 2005, in Hong Kong. At the Council Meeting of the ARS, possible action plans to increase the number of ISI members in the IASC communities in Asia were discussed.
Professor Jung Jin Lee
Chair, East Asian Outreach Committee
Awards, Prizes and Competitions
Jan Tinbergen Awards: Competition for Young Statisticians from Developing Countries 2007
The International Statistical Institute announces the thirteenth Competition among young statisticians from developing countries who are invited to submit a paper on any topic within the broad field of statistics, for possible presentation at the 56th Session of the ISI to be held in Lisbon, Portugal, in August 2007.
Participation in the Competition is open to nationals of developing countries who are living in a developing country, and who were born in 1975 or later (see http://isi.cbs.nl/tinbergen/2007papers.htm). Developing countries will be defined as countries with an annual GDP per capita of less than US$ 4,000 (U.N. February 2005); see the list at http://isi.cbs.nl/tinbergen/developing.htm.
Previous winners of the Award are prohibited to compete again. Papers submitted must be unpublished original works, which may include material from participants' university theses. The papers submitted will be examined by an International Jury of distinguished statisticians, who will select the three best papers presented in the Competition. Their decision will be final.
Each author of a winning paper will receive the Jan Tinbergen Award in the amount of € 2,269 and will be invited to present his/her paper at the Lisbon Session of ISI, with all expenses paid (i.e. round trip airline ticket from his/her place of residence to Lisbon, plus a lump sum to cover living expenses).
Manuscripts for the Competition should be submitted in time to reach the ISI no later than January 1, 2007.
The rules governing the preparation of papers, application forms and full details are available on request from the ISI Permanent Office. The address is as follows:
The Director of the Permanent Office
International Statistical Institute
428 Prinses Beatrixlaan
2273 XZ Voorburg, The Netherlands
Fax: +31 70 386 0025; E-mail: @cbs.nl
The Third ISI Mahalanobis Prize 2007
The Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, representing the Indian Government, is continuing its biennial initiative to award the P.C. Mahalanobis Prize in memory of this eminent Indian statistician. The Prize is to be awarded to a statistician who comes from a developing country and has worked there in recognition of his/her lifetime achievement in statistics and the promotion of best statistical practices. This initiative will serve the double purpose of keeping the memory of P.C. Mahalanobis alive and of recognising and stimulating progress in statistics in developing countries. The previous winners of the Prize are Professors C.R. Rao and Benjamin Kiregyera.
At the request of the Minister of Statistics and Programme Implementation for the Government of India, the International Statistical Institute has again established a Committee to propose a candidate for this Prize, according to the Memorandum of Understanding. The ISI administers a Fund of US$ 62,000 provided by the Indian Government, of which the interest will be used to award the Prize, which will consist of an economy class return airplane ticket to the ISI Lisboa Session, a per diem payment for accommodation and other living expenses while in Lisbon, and US$5,000. The Prize will be awarded at the ISI Session in Lisboa (August 22-29, 2007).
The Mahalanobis Committee Jury invites you to propose a candidate to the Committee, with arguments supporting the proposed candidate. Proposals can be sent to Ms. Shabani Mehta at the ISI Permanent Office (@cbs.nl) before June 1, 2006.
Cochran-Hansen Prize 2007: Competition for Young Survey Statisticians from Developing and Transitional Countries.
In celebration of its 25th anniversary, the International Association of Survey Statisticians established the Cochran-Hansen Prize to be awarded every two years to the best paper on survey research methods submitted by a young statistician from a developing or transitional country.
Participation in the competition for the Prize is open to nationals of developing or transitional countries who are living in such countries and who were born in 1967 or later.
Papers submitted must be unpublished original works. They may include materials from the participant's university thesis. They should be in either English or French. Papers for consideration should be submitted to the IASS Secretariat at the address below to arrive by December 29, 2006. Each submission should be accompanied by a cover letter that gives the participant's year of birth, nationality, and country of residence.The papers submitted will be examined by the Cochran-Hansen Prize Committee appointed by the IASS. The decision of the Committee is final.The winner of the Prize will be invited to present his/her paper at the 56th Session of the International Statistical Institute to be held in Lisbon, Portugal, August 22-29, 2007, and the name of the winner will be announced at the ISI General Assembly in Lisbon.The author of the winning paper will receive the Cochran-Hansen Prize in the form of books and journal subscriptions to the value of about € 500, and will have reasonable travel and living expenses paid in order to present the paper at the ISI Session in Lisbon.
For further information, please contact:
Madame Claude OLIVIER
International Association of Survey Statisticians
CEFIL-INSEE, 3 rue de la Cité, 33500 Libourne, France
Tel : +33 5 57 55 56 17
Fax : +33 5 57 55 56 20
E-mail : Claude.firstname.lastname@example.org
Memories of the ISI's Past
10 September 1953: His Holiness Pope Pius XII and participants at the Castel Gandolfo during the 28th ISI Session in Rome.
Historical Anniversaries: Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart
Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart (1756-1791)
On January 27, 2006, people the world over were celebrating the 250th anniversary of the birth of Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart. The celebrations are also connected to a year-long series of recitals and other musical events in his honour. Mozart was a child prodigy on the violin and piano. He composed his first minuet at the age of five and his first symphony at the age of nine. By his death in 1791, his compositions numbered well over 600.
What does Mozart have to do with probability and statistics? The answer lies in the Enlightenment of the eighteenth century. Many in the eighteenth century were fascinated by the new developments in the mathematics of chance. Chance was no longer regarded as completely haphazard or at the whim of the gods. Chance was now subject to known mathematical laws; the power of the goddess Fortuna had been defeated by the insights of a few mortal mathematicians.It was now seen that chance had structure to it and this is where Mozart fits in. Can one compose a piece of music that is in some way unpredictable, or subject to chance, but at the same time has a pleasing musical structure to it? Mozart did just that in 1787 in his Musikalisches Würfelspiel in C (K.516f) for piano. The piece is 32 bars of music, a 16-bar minuet followed by a 16-bar trio. Each bar of music is generated by the roll of the dice. Two dice are thrown 16 times, one for each bar, to determine the minuet and one die is thrown 16 times to determine each bar of the trio. For the minuet, Mozart wrote 176 bars of music. An 11×16 table was given; the rows correspond to the sum of the faces that show on the two dice and the columns correspond to the bar number of the minuet. The entries in the table were the numbers 1 through 176 corresponding to the 176 bars of music that Mozart wrote. Moving along the columns of the table repeated throws of the dice gave which row to consult in the table to obtain the appropriate outcome bar. Another table was given for the trio, this one of size 6×16 and the same principles apply to determine the piece. This is illustrated in the table below (showing only the first eight bars) from another piece of dice music attributed to Mozart that was published in 1798. A close look at the complete score shows that there are only two different opening bars given for the minuet and two different closing bars. A little arithmetic shows that the total number of minuets alone that are possible is 1114x22 = 1,518,999,334,332,964.
Today, you can compose your own minuet and trio by going to the website
Christiaan Huygens Committee on the History of Statistics
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News from ISI sections Newsletter Volume 30, No. 1 (88) 2006
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