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Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability
President's Report As we all know, before the banquet, guests must be invited, music organised, the table set, and finally menu prepared. Our scientific meetings are feasts, and yet more like potluck meals, guests bring their own talks. The organisation of these meetings is hard work for the many people involved. I thank all those serving on the many committees staging Bernoulli events all over the world. This summer will see two great probability-and-statistics meetings, in fine cities embodying European cultural and scientific tradition: the 9th Vilnius Conference in the last days of June, and the 26th European Meeting of Statisticians, a month later in Toruń. Check the programmes on the web, and sense the attraction! I remember Kolmogorov swimming at my first Vilnius Conference... There will also be a slightly more specialised conference, which is on Stochastic Processes and their Applications, in Paris. The SPA meetings have great tradition and combine intimacy and friendly atmosphere with mathematical excellence. The Paris Conference will be no exception. There are a host of other meetings all over the world, mirroring both the global membership of the Bernoulli Society, and the wide range of areas in which stochastics has become a key ingredient, from finance and molecular biology to pure mathematics. Next year, the 56th Session of the International Statistical Institute in Lisbon will remind us about our historical closeness to problems of official statistics, not to be forgotten in these times of triumphant expansion into new applications. Then in 2008, it will be time for the next Bernoulli World Congress, in Singapore. I do not know what time is, but it certainly flies. In March, i.e. after I write this yet a month before this Newsletter reaches you, the Bernoulli Society Executive will meet at the Frankfurt Stochastics Days. On our agenda stand a host of important topics, the hottest being those concerning publications. The Bernoulli journal is a great success scientifically. However, we lose money on it. Can we join forces with the IMS, who are so successful in their publications? Or, should we accept a bid from one of the many commercial publishers wanting to take it over? In that way, we might be able use our forces on more crucial matters, like membership and future activities, and maybe even get some more resources for such work. Or, is that an illusion? What are our duties and what is the landscape in the electronic transformation of scientific publication? We will try to reach a conclusion on that and the other matters, and hope to get some time for the fascinating scientific programme! Peter Jagers The Executive Committee of the BS met in Frankfurt, March 15th, 2006. The meeting was attended by all members of the Committee [Peter Jagers, Jean Jacod, Don Dawson (over the phone with the help of Skype), Arnoldo Frigessi, Volker Mammitzsch, Ursula Gather, Daniel Berze] and by Tom Kurtz, President of the IMS. Also, Anton Wakolbinger joined this meeting, which was organised along with the Frankfurter Stochastik-Tage 2006. The 7th Bernoulli Society World Congress
will be in 2008 in Singapore, jointly with the 71st IMS Annual
Meeting. We are very happy to have a Chairperson for the Programme Committee.
This is Professor Ruth Williams ( www.math.ucsd.edu/~williams ),
from the Department of Mathematics at UCSD. In 2007, we have the 56th Session of the ISI, 22-29 August, in Lisboa. See http://www.isi2007.com.pt/isi2007/index.php for now already very complete information. The BS is supporting (spiritually, not financially!) two Satellite Meetings: in Lisbon on non-parametrics and in Porto on Probability and Statistics in Science and Technology. We remind our European friends that there will be the 26th European Meeting of Statisticians in 2006, http://www.ems2006.umk.pl. The location of the 27th EMS in 2009 is Toulouse (France). Adelchi Azallini (Italy) has been elected to Chair the ERC for the period 2006-2008. The EMS is in principle organised every second year, on even years, but no EMS will be organised on the even years when BS IMS World Conference is in Europe (2008). Following-up on our journals is one of the main activities of the Executive of BS. We are currently looking for a new Editor for Bernoulli journal. Not easy, also because there are at least six other main journals in our area that need a new editor. Although, we can report that Maria Eulalia Vares has accepted to be the new Editor of Stochastic Processes and their Applications ( http://www.cbpf.br/~eulalia )!! The list of Associated Editors of SPA is very strong. We thank the outgoing Editor Philip Protter for a fantastic job! The production of our Bernoulli journal is changing. We are now looking for a publisher (private or academic) and are in detailed discussions with several actors. The principles are to maintain full ownership and control of the journal, to be in full command in terms of editorial decisions and the science it publishes. We want to increase its distribution (which is dropping!!! Help – please encourage your library to subscribe to the Bernoulli journal!!!), but also we see it as necessary to assure some profit from sales of the journal in order to fund the activity of BS. This is an important point: BS currently has an economy that does not allow any sponsored activity. BS needs to do more, in particular to support statistics and probability in the poorer parts of the world. For this we need funds! Currently, member fees cover the cost of the Society (as member of the ISI family), while the economy of Bernoulli journal goes to zero, thanks to significant support from the ISI.
Professor Maria Eulalia Varez BS has decided to support a new initiative, proposed by the IMS: The creation of the Statistics Surveys Journal. Statistics Surveys will be a peer-reviewed electronic journal that publishes survey articles in theoretical and applied statistics. The style of articles may range from reviews of recent research to graduate textbook exposition. Articles may be broad or narrow in scope. The essential requirements are a well specified topic and target audience, together with clear exposition. This journal will provide open access to all of its content on the principle that making research freely available to the public supports a greater global exchange of knowledge. Such access is associated with increased readership and increased citation of an author's work. BS needs new members! Can you help? Can you invite your students and colleagues to join the BS? We have many reduced fees, including student fees, for example! BS wishes to organise a standing committee of young statisticians, so if you are young, and feel this is for you, please let us know! Arnoldo Frigessi Conference on Stochastics in Science in Honor of Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen A Conference on Stochastics in Science in Honor of
Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen was hosted by Centro de Investigación en Matemáticas
(CIMAT) at Guanajuato, Mexico, over the period of 20 - 24 March 2006. Among the topics of the Conference were Lévy theory
and processes, infinite divisibility, likelihood theory, and quantum statistics,
as well as stochastic modelling in time and space and with applications in the
physical sciences, bioinformatics and finance. Claudia Klüppelberg, Víctor Pérez-Abreu, Michael Sørensen 9th International Vilnius Conference on
Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics: This Conference will be held in Vilnius, Lithuania,
25-30 June 2006, under the auspices of the International Statistical Institute.
For more information, contact Aleksandras Plikusas ( conf@ktl.mii.lt )
at the Institute of Mathematics and Informatics, Akademijos str. 4, 08663,
Vilnius, Lithuania, or visit www.mii.lt. 26th European Meeting of Statisticians:
This Conference will be held in Toruń, Poland. The Chairperson of the Scientific Programme Committee is Herold Dehling (Ruhr-Universität Bochum). Adam Jakubowski (Nicolaus Copernicus University, Toruń) is in the Chair of the Local Organising Committee. The town of Toruń, located over the biggest river of Poland, Vistula, is famous for being the place where Nicolaus Copernicus was born in 1473. Toruń's main attraction is the medieval town of Toruń, as inscribed in The World Heritage List. The old town of Toruń is an example of a small historic trading city that preserves to a remarkable extent its original street pattern and outstanding early buildings, and which provides an exceptionally complete picture of the medieval way of life. For more information on Toruń, visit www.Torun.pl. Nicolaus Copernicus University is the main organising institution of the Conference. It was founded in 1945, by a group of professors who left Vilnius. The University serves to more than forty thousand students and its campus offers perfect conditions for the Conference. Visit www.uni.Torun.pl/en to learn more on the University. The news related to the Conference will be published on the Conference web page www.ems2006.umk.pl. The contact e-mail is ems2006@umk.pl. Prague Stochastics 2006: This Conference will be held in Prague, Czech
Republic, 21-25 August 2006. It is a joint session of the 7th Prague
Symposium on Asymptotic Statistics and the 15th Prague Conference on
Information Theory, Statistical Decision Function and Random Processes,
organised under the auspices of the Bernoulli Society for Mathematical
Statistics and Probability. The Scientific Programme will be aimed to cover
wide range of stochastics with special emphasis on the topics of this lively
field, which have been pursued in Prague. As has been broadly publicised, the 56th Session of the ISI will be held in Lisbon in 2007 and satellite meetings are being organised in a few subjects. We would like to invite people working in the field of Probability and Statistics in Science and Technology to join us in a Bernoulli Society Satellite Meeting of ISI 2007, to be held at the Faculty of Engineering at the University of Porto, Portugal, after the Session in Lisbon. More information will be available in the near future. The Faculty of Engineering at the University of Porto has good facilities and hosts a few scientific conferences and technical meetings each year ( http://www.fe.up.pt/si_uk/web_page.inicial ). The city of Porto is very easy to reach by plane from many cities in Europe; connections from some cities are at various times throughout the day. International flights into Porto are also very convenient and arrive at the international airport. Connections to Lisbon are good and frequent by train (3-hour trip, departures approximately every hour), by plane (30 min., several flights a day) or bus. Porto is also a touristic destination, together with the River Douro Valley and the old part of town is a classified UNESCO World Heritage ( http://www.portoturismo.pt/en/init/default1.asp ). Address for inquiries: You are welcome to advertise jobs in Bernoulli News. The cost is currently € 50 per advertisement. The advertisement should contain no more than 300 words and should be e-mailed as plain text (ASCII or ISO8859-1) to the Editor. Ursula Gather
International Association for Official Statistics
Paul J. Crowley Reports: IAOS Website Readers are encouraged to visit the IAOS website http://www.stats.govt.nz/iaos for the latest information on IAOS activities. The website is regularly updated. Comments or suggestions for improving the website can be sent to iaos@stats.govt.nz. IAOS The IAOS is a Section of the International Statistical Institute (ISI), which was founded in 1885 and is one of the oldest international scientific associations functioning today. The IAOS itself is an international organisation that brings together producers and users of official statistics. Its objectives are to promote the understanding and advancement of official statistics and to foster the development of effective and efficient official statistical services on a global basis. 2006 IAOS Conference - People on the Move: Measuring Environmental, Social and Economic Impacts Within and Between NationsThe 2006 IAOS Conference will be hosted by Statistics Canada in Canada's capital city, Ottawa, from 6 - 8 September 2006. It will be held at the Château Laurier Hotel, an historic venue located adjacent to Canada's Parliament buildings. The Conference will focus on issues associated with measuring the social and economic impacts of people on the move, both within and between nations. The principle themes are:
IAOS Executive CommitteeGiven that we are expecting the attendance of several hundred attendees (including the heads of statistical organisations from around the world, as well as senior officials from international organisations, such as the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, the United Nations, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development and central banks), the Conference is shaping up as a wonderful opportunity to influence official statistics in this very relevant domain. Conference Organisation – Progress Report Thus far, the progress of preparations for the 2006 IAOS Conference has been excellent. The Conference has secured two excellent keynote speakers: Dr. Gro Harlem Brundtland (Director-General Emeritus of the World Health Organization, as well as former Prime Minister of Norway) and Mr. Donald J. Johnston (retiring Secretary General of the OECD). The Conference Programme has reached near-final form and most of the invited contributors have been identified. Registrations are moving along at an excellent pace. However, at the time of writing, many spaces remain available. We ask those wishing to attend to book early to avoid any disappointment. The Social Programme is also taking shape. In addition to the gala banquet at the National Gallery of Canada and other luncheons, the Spousal Programme tour to visit Ottawa's museums and other attractions will certainly be of interest. There is also a planned tour to the village of Mont Tremblant, a world-class ski and golf resort nestled in a European village-type setting in the Laurentian Mountains, not far from Ottawa. The 2006 IAOS Conference Ottawa website ( www.iaos2006conf.ca ) will have more definitive information in the weeks to come. In the meantime, please be sure to consult the website for more information on all aspects of the event, including the Programme and Agenda, general information on the Conference venue, tourism information on the host city, travel tips and details on accommodations and sites of interest. An online registration form is provided for prospective attendees. Members interested in presenting contributed papers
related to topics on the Programme can either contact the designated session
Organiser or Mr. Denis Desjardins, the Statistics Canada contact ( denis.desjardins@statcan.ca ).We
look forward to seeing you at the 2006 IAOS Conference Ottawa. To coincide with the IAOS Conference, a special ISI Briefing Seminar for Chief Statisticians will be held on 4th and 5th of September. The complexity of the international statistical system is considerable. Newly appointed Chief Statisticians, who come from academic backgrounds or other fields of government or the private sector, often find the maze of international arrangements rather perplexing. The seminar has two main objectives: Newly appointed Chief Statisticians may wish to benefit from this Seminar rather early, during the first year of their term in office. Further details are available from the ISI or via the link on the IAOS Conference website at www.iaos2006conf.ca. ISI 2007 IAOS Programme The most up-to-date version of the Programme for the 2007 ISI Lisboa Session can be found in the previous issue of the ISI Newsletter (Volume 30, Number 1, February 2006). The list of the IAOS Programme session titles and organisers is on pages 26 - 28. Special to IAOS Members The Statistics Canada publication Survey Methodology can be subscribed to by all interested IAOS members at a reduced rate of € 30 for two issues per year. Please contact Mrs. Margaret de Ruiter-Molloy (@cbs.nl) at the ISI Permanent Office if you would like to subscribe to Survey Methodology. Statistics Canada is now also providing free dissemination of Survey Methodology, as well as its other publications, via the Statistics Canada website at http://www.statcan.ca/cgi-bin/downpub/freepub.cgi. Future activity will be concerned with the organisation of the subsequent 2008 IAOS Conference (venue still to be decided) and the 2009 ISI Session in Durban, South Africa. Members who may have suggestions about the 2008 and 2009 Conferences are invited to send their comments to IAOS President Brian Pink. 1. 2006 IAOS Conference, September 2006, Ottawa,
Canada If you have any suggestions on items for inclusion in future editions of the Newsletter, please contact Paul J. Crowley. Standing Committee on Regional and Urban Statisticswww.scorusnet.com
Call for papers: The International Statistical Institute / International Association for Urban and Regional Statistics’ Standing Committee on Regional and Urban Statistics (SCORUS) are pleased to announce the main call for papers for their 25th Conference on Urban and Regional Statistics and Research that is currently accepting paper on the Conference theme “Globalization Impact on Regional and Urban Statistics”. The 25th SCORUS Conference on Regional and Urban Statistics and Research will be held at Wrocław University of Economics in Poland on 30th August - 1th September 2006. The Conference
consists of invited paper sessions in the following major topic areas (please
see the Conference website
http://www.scorus2006.ae.wroc.pl/index.php for detailed topic information): In addition to the invited paper sessions, papers may be submitted up until the 20th August 2006 for inclusion in the contributed paper sessions. Papers are especially welcome in the following areas: Standardisation
in regional and urban statistics: Urban
development: Local /
regional policy: Urban / rural
distinctions: Economic growth
and regional convergence: Abstracts
should be sent to both: Local
Organiser: Deadlines The 25th SCORUS Conference on Regional and Urban Statistics and Research will be held at Wrocław University of Economics in Poland under the theme Globalization Impact on Regional and Urban Statistics Registration is now open! For further details and online registration form, see: http://www.scorus2006.ae.wroc.pl/index.php ISI Lisbon Session 2007 SCORUS Contribution SCORUS is organising two invited paper sessions at the next ISI Session in Lisbon:
Topics for the contributed paper sessions are welcome. International Association for Statistical Computing
I. Honorary Doctorate to Stanley P. Azen IASC is proud to announce that its Past President Professor Stanley P. Azen will be awarded an Honorary Doctorate in Engineering and Economics of Innovations by the Department of Economics and Statistics of the University of Salerno. Professor Azen, Division Chair in Preventive Medicine at the University of Southern California, will receive the award in recognition of his many outstanding contributions to biomedicine and computational statistics. Professor Azen is the founding Editor and Editor-in-Chief of Computational Statistics and Data Analysis (CSDA), the official journal of the IASC. Founded in the 9th Century, the
University of Salerno is one of the oldest medieval Universities and has a
medical tradition going back centuries, with one of the earliest and greatest
medical schools of the Middle Ages. The 17th Conference of IASC-ERS,
COMPSTAT 2006, will be held in Roma, from August 28th to September 1st,
2006, organised by the Dipartimento de Statistica, Probabilità e Statistiche
Applicate of La Sapienza, Università degli Studi di Roma. Keynote lectures will be addressed by A. Agresti,
on Inference for Discrete Data; Y. Escoufier, on Operator Related to a Data
Matrix; M. Greenacre, on Data Visualization; and G. Kitagawa on Time Series
Analysis. A tutorial, on Statistical Signal Extraction and Filtering, will be
presented by DSG Pollock (Queen Mary, University of London) and T. Proietti
(Università degli studi di Udine, Italia). III. International Workshop on Knowledge Extraction and Modeling (KNEMO'06) The International Workshop on Knowledge Extraction
and Modeling (KNEMO'06) ( www.knemo.unina.it )
will take place from September 4th - 6th, 2006, on the
Island of Capri, Italy. It is organised by the Department of Mathematics and
Statistics of the University of Naples “Federico II”, Italy, and jointly
sponsored by: A group of scientists have been invited to discuss
the theme of the Workshop during the forthcoming months that precede the
Workshop. The idea is to collect all possible opinions from the known
international leaders in the different fields of interest to the themes of the
Workshop, and then produce a document that will represent the Manifesto of the
Workshop. This Manifesto will comprise the leading thread that shall give life
to the presentations and discussions held during the Workshop. Aside from the keynote speakers, tutorials will be
ensured and, finally, research papers may be submitted and presented by other
scientists who wish to contribute and do not necessarily come from the field of
Statistics (e.g. computer science, machine learning, bioinformatics, etc., with
a background related also to application fields). Web: www.knemo.unina.it IV. Workshop on Data and Information Visualization The Workshop, a satellite event of COMPSTAT 2006, is hosted by the Institute for Statistics and Econometrics of the School for Business and Economics, from August 23rd to 25th, 2006, at Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin. The purpose of the Workshop on Data and Information Visualization is to provide a forum to exchange ideas, experiences and information about the latest developments of visualization, including links between theory and applications. On August 23rd, Professor Jerry Friedman
from Stanford University, a leader in the field, will conduct a one-day
interactive workshop on predictive data mining and decision trees and its
applications in business and research. The target group are statisticians;
business analysts and data miners working in research, marketing and fraud
detection; managers of teams in such areas; academics with interest in
applications. V. 8th Workshop of the ERCIM Working Group on Matrix Computations and Statistics The Eight Workshop of the ERCIM Working Group on Matrix Computations and Statistics will be held in Salerno (Italy), September 2nd - 3rd, 2006. It aims to bring together researchers and practitioners working in the areas of Statistics, Numerical Mathematics and Computational Science; to discuss recent developments in Scientific Computing Methods, Algorithms and Software Tools for Statistical Applications; and to foster exchange of ideas and collaboration amongst people working in these fields. A plenary talk will be given by Jan Magnus (CentER,
Tilburg University, The Netherlands), on “Sparse Matrix Computations and
Statistics”. Bi-plenary talks will be given by Renato Coppi (Department of
Statistics, Probability and Applied Statistics, University of Rome "La
Sapienza", Italy) on “Two-way and Three-way Fuzzy Clustering” and Stephen
Pollock (Department of Economics, Queen Mary College, London, UK) on “Polynomial
Algebra, Matrix Algebra and Linear Filters”. Important Dates: VI. International Conference on “Statistical Latent Variables Models in the Health Sciences” The International Conference on “Statistical Latent
Variables Models in the Health Sciences”, satellite of COMPSTAT 2006, will be
held in Perugia, Italy, from 6th - 8th September 2006. The Conference will last three full days and
include invited lectures, organised sessions, contributed papers and poster
sessions. Invited talks and organised sessions will be plenary. There will be
two parallel sessions with oral contributions per day and a poster session. At
the moment, the following Scientists have accepted to present invited talks:
VII.
IASC International Conference on IASC is organising an International Conference on Statistics for Data Mining, Learning and Knowledge Extraction, as a Satellite Conference of the 56th Session of the ISI. The Conference will take place in Aveiro, Portugal, from 30th August to 1st September 2007. Carlos Ferreira (University of Aveiro), Manuela Souto de Miranda (University of Aveiro) and Paula Brito (University of Porto) are in charge of the local organisation. The Scientific Committee is composed of the
following personalities: Carlo Lauro (Italy) Co-Chair; Gilbert Saporta (France)
Co-Chair; Jaromir Antoch (Czech Republic); Stan Azen (USA); Ho Tu Bao (Japan);
Pavel Brazdil (Portugal); Paula Brito (Portugal); Paolo Giudici (Italy); Erricos
Kontoghiorghes (Cyprus); Gregory Piatetski-Shapiro (USA); Ed Wegman (USA);
Djamel Zighed (France). Contributions related to the following list of topics are welcome: Aggregation of predictors (bagging, boosting...), Association rules, Business Intelligence, Classification and Discrimination, Clustering, Computational Statistics, Data streams and dynamic data mining, Data warehousing, Data mining for social network analysis and graph-structured data, Data Visualization, Dimensionality Reduction, Foundations of data mining, Functional Data Analysis, Interactive and online data mining, KDD framework and process, Knowledge management, Machine Learning including feature selection and feature construction, learnability and separability, Metadata and Data Representation, Mining complex and multimedia data, Multivariate Data Analysis, Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms, Pattern Recognition, Quality measures, Robust Data Mining, Sampling in huge data bases, Search engines, Software, Statistical Matching, Missing Data, Imputation, Support Vector Machine, Textual Data Analysis and Information Retrieval, Web Mining. More information will appear in the near future on
the Conference website,
http://www.ua.pt/iasc2007. COMPSTAT 2008 will take place in Porto (Portugal). Paula Brito, IASC Scientific Secretary, is Chair of this Conference. The Local Organising Committee is now starting its activities. Further news is promised for next August in Rome. IX. The 4th World Conference on Computational Statistics & Data Analysis of the International Association for Statistical Computing (IASC) and the 6th Conference of Asian Regional Section of IASC The 4th World Conference on
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis of the International Association for
Statistical Computing (IASC) and the 6th Conference of Asian Regional
Section of IASC will be held in Yokohama, Japan, from December 5th -
8th, 2008. The Conference is jointly organised by the IASC 2008
Executive Committee, the Institute of Statistical Mathematics and the Japanese
Society of Computational Statistics. Information can be found at International Association for Statistical Education
ICOTS-7: Working Cooperatively in Statistics Education Information about Registration, Accommodation, and
Tours, Salvador (Bahia), Brazil, July 2 - 7, 2006 IPC Executive Committee: The International Association for Statistical Education (IASE) and the International Statistical Institute (ISI) are organising the Seventh International Conference on Teaching Statistics (ICOTS-7), which will be hosted by the Brazilian Statistical Association (ABE) in Salvador (Bahia), Brazil, July 2 - 7, 2006. Information about ICOTS-7 is on the website: http://www.maths.otago.ac.nz/icots7/icots7.php and, in particular under the "Registration" tab, there is information about registration, accommodation and tours. Although the ICOTS-7 information is on the website, we draw your attention to the following: There are reduced fees for IASE/ISI members, and participants from Latin American or Developing Countries. There is a programme for accompanying persons – some details are given on the web page. Accompanying persons may choose what they wish to attend and pay for the items they choose while in Salvador. There are some details on the web page about the pre-arranged tours. Contributed by the Editors SRTL-5: The Fifth International Research Forum on Statistical Reasoning, Thinking, and Literacy The University of Warwick, Coventry, U.K., August
11-17, 2007 We encourage submission of research papers that address questions such as the following: 1. What are the simplest forms of statistical
inference that students can understand? The Local SRTL-5 Organisers: Contributed by Dani Ben-Zvi
Nominations for IASS Officers and Council Members As Chair of the IASS Nominations Committee for 2007, I would like to invite IASS members to suggest suitable candidates for Officers and Council Members of the IASS. The elected candidates will take office during the August 2007 ISI Session in Lisbon. It is important to make your nominations as soon as possible in order for the Committee to complete its task by November 2006 and please take into account that in the summer season things slow down. The Offices to be filled are the following: Two Vice-Presidents, who are members of the IASS, to serve for the period 2007-2009. The Scientific Secretary, who is a member of the IASS, to serve for the period 2007-2009. The Scientific Secretary is responsible, under the guidance of the President and the Council, for co-ordination of the activities involved in arranging seminars, conferences and publications. Six Council Members, who are members of the IASS, to serve for the period 2007-2011. The President for 2007-2009, Pedro Silva of Brazil, and six Council Members who are serving for the period 2005-2009 were already elected in 2005. These Council Members are: Giuliana Coccia, Italy; Geoffrey Lee, Australia; Leyla Mohadjer, United States; Sarah M. Nusser, United States; Don Royce, Canada; and Wei Yuan, China. Gordon Brackstone, President of the IASS, has
stated that the choice of future leaders is one of the most important tasks in
any scientific organisation and our officers need to represent the full breadth
of our Association, covering both its broad geographic range and interests. In
putting forward your suggestions for the future Officers and Council Members of
the IASS, please bear in mind the composition of the Council members who have
already been elected to serve for the period 2007-2009. On behalf of the IASS
Nominations Committee, I look forward to receiving your considered suggestions
with as much background information as possible. With best wishes, Beverley Carlson Report from the International Conference on Telephone Survey Methodology II In January, around 350 people gathered in Florida for the second International Conference on Telephone Survey Methodology. The Conference, chaired by Clyde Tucker, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, covered many interesting topics such as, organisation of call centers, sampling and weighting, interviewer effects and new technology. In his plenary speech, Clyde Tucker addressed the rapid changes in both telecommunications and the social and political environment, and how these changes have affected and might affect the way we do telephone surveys in the future. Mode effects were discussed in a number of presentations and results from studies comparing telephone surveys with, for example, web and face-to-face surveys were presented. One of the future challenges for many western countries is how to design mixed-mode surveys in a way that mode effects are minimised. Another interesting topic that was addressed was oral translations in multi-lingual surveys. It was illustrated how quality can be affected in a negative way when oral translations are used. There were also four short courses offered as part of the Conference. The topics were survey quality, sampling, questionnaire design, and multilevel analysis. The invited papers presented at the Conference will be published in a Wiley monograph early 2007. Lilli Japec
The International Conference on Methodology of Longitudinal Surveys (MOLS) The IASS is sponsoring the International Conference
on Methodology of Longitudinal Surveys that is being organised by the Institute
for Social and Economic Research (ISER) at the University of Essex, UK, and will
be held at Essex on 12-14 July 2006. Associated with the Conference are two one-day courses taking place on 11 July: “Handling incomplete data in longitudinal surveys” and “Multilevel modelling for longitudinal survey data.” Discounted rates are available for students. Further details about both the Conference and the
courses can be found on the Conference website: New Journal: Survey Research Methods A new peer-reviewed journal, Survey Research
Methods (SRM) has been set up under the auspices of The European Survey
Research Association (ESRA). The journal, edited by Peter Lynn of the University
of Essex, U.K., publishes articles in English that discuss methodological issues
related to survey research. Two types of papers are in-scope: Topics of particular interest include survey design, sample design, question and questionnaire design, data collection, nonresponse, data capture, data processing, coding and editing, measurement errors, imputation, weighting and survey data analysis methods. The journal aims to be multidisciplinary. The journal will be published electronically and aims for a fast review and publication process, so that papers could be published within three months of initial submission. Further information, including details of how to
submit papers, can be found on the journal website, Peter Lynn
IASS Short Courses at the 56th ISI Session, Lisbon 2007 The International Association of Survey Statisticians has developed a preliminary programme of short courses to be offered just prior to or after the 56th Session of the International Statistical Institute (ISI), which will be held in Lisbon, Portugal, August 2007. Funding assistance for supporting statisticians from developing and transitional countries is being sought. The following courses have been planned. Course A: Workshop on Survey Sampling The workshop will focus on practical aspects of sampling for household surveys. It will start from basic principles and build up to complex stratified multi-stage sample designs. It will cover the main sampling techniques and also such issues as sampling frames, weighting, and imputation. It will end with an introduction to variance estimation with complex sample designs. Course B: Variance Estimation in Complex Surveys
The purpose of this course is to provide training
in variance estimation in complex surveys for survey statisticians, especially
those from developing countries. Course C: Workshop on Editing and Imputation of
Survey Data Surveys and censuses conducted by national
statistical agencies, research institutes and other survey organisations suffer
from various degrees of nonresponse even under ideal conditions. In order to try
to alleviate the problems caused by nonresponse, editing and imputation methods
are usually applied. Course D: Introduction to Survey Quality The course is designed for a broad audience that includes experienced survey researchers and practitioners who would benefit from a better understanding of the survey quality, as well as others with little prior experience in survey methods. It provides an introduction to the concepts, principles and terminology used in the study of survey quality. Accuracy is but one dimension, albeit a critical one, of a multi-dimensional framework that embodies survey quality. The course examines the goals of survey design with particular emphasis on minimising total mean squared error of key survey estimates, subject to costs constraints as well as constraints on some quality dimensions. The sources of survey error are discussed within this scheme, focusing on four major sources: coverage error, nonresponse, data processing error and measurement error. Methods that are most often used in practice for evaluating the effects of the survey error will also be covered. Course E: Statistical Disclosure Control The purpose of this course is to provide the participants with an understanding of the methodological aspects of Statistical Disclosure Control, to train them in solving problems on this topic and to demonstrate the ARGUS software. The meaning and impact of Statistical Disclosure Control can only be appreciated in the light of practical problems and policy related issues. Therefore, some attention is also paid to such topics without putting heavy emphasis on them. Topics covered include theory and methods on microdata, exercises on microdata, demonstration of Mu-ARGUS, theory and methods on tabular data, exercises on tabular data, demonstration of Tau-ARGUS, legal issues, on-site facilities and remote access. Course F: Design and Analysis of Repeated Surveys This course will consider the interaction between the design of a repeated survey and the methods used for estimation and analysis. The choice of rotation pattern will be considered in terms of the impact on the estimation of levels and changes. Composite and other forms of estimators will be reviewed and the interaction between design and estimation explored. Estimation of seasonally adjusted and trend estimates from repeated surveys will also be considered. For further information, please contact: Irving Fisher Committee on Central Bank Statistics (IFC)
CPI Workshop On the 20th and 21th of April 2006, the IFC hosted a very successful workshop entitled “CPI Measures: Central Bank views and concerns”. 37 CPI experts from 26 central banks and the IMF attended the workshop, which took place at the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) in Basel. Experiences and views were exchanged and lively discussions took place on a number of issues, including international methodological standards for CPI, inflation measures from the perspective of monetary policy and quantifying the measurement bias in CPIs. Issue notes and summaries of the discussions, as well as comparative tables, will be published in the next issue of the IFC Bulletin. As a result of the workshop, suggestions for future work will also be submitted to international groups dealing with international CPI methodology. Forthcoming events Preparation is in full swing for the Third IFC Conference scheduled for 3rd and 31st August 2006 at the BIS in Basel. The theme of the Conference is “Measuring the Financial Position of the Household Sector”. Participation is open to all central banks. More information on the Conference can be found on http://www.ifcommittee.org. The IFC will also contribute to a conference organised by the International Association of Official Statistics (IAOS) in September this year and will organise various meetings at the 56th ISI Session in Lisboa.
International Society for Business and Industrial Statistics
ISBIS-2007: August 18-20 Azores ISBIS is planning a Satellite Meeting prior to the ISI biennial Session in Lisbon, Portugal. This Meeting will be on the island of Azores hosted by the University of Azores. The dates are August 18-20, 2007. Helena Bacelar-Nicolau ( hbacelar@netcabo.pt ) and Fernando Nicolau will handle all the local arrangements and Francisco Samanieago ( fjsamaniego@ucdavis.edu ) from the University of California, Davis, will be the Programme Chair. Other details will be announced as they become available. You may contact Bovas Abraham ( babraham@uwaterloo.ca ) for further information. ISBIS Membership ISBIS membership is open to all individuals and
organisations with a professional interest in any aspect of business, financial
and industrial statistics, including: There are individual, institutional, and student
memberships. Details and application forms can be obtained from the ISBIS
website
http://www.stats.wits.ac.za/isbis or contact Bovas Abraham. Journal Committee ISBIS is looking into the possibility of having a journal for the Society. There have been some initial discussions and a small committee is looking into this issue. ISBIS-5 Lima, Peru The Fifth International Symposium on Business and Industrial Statistics (ISBIS5), organised by ISBIS (11-13 January 2006) in Lima, Peru, was a great success. Geoff Vining (Virginia Tech University) was the Conference Chair, Soren Bisgaard (University of Massachusetts) and Bovas Abraham were Co-Organisers. The Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos was our local host and Ricardo Lopez from San Marcos, Jaime Tavera and Carmen Tavera helped with local arrangements. ISBIS5 provided a forum for presenting and exchanging ideas in several areas of business, financial, and industrial statistics including data mining, six sigma, quality management, design of experiments, statistical quality control, and reliability. Talks ranged from very applied to cutting edge research. There were about 135 participants altogether, with 65 from Peru, Ecuador and Columbia, and 70 from other countries (including Brazil and Mexico). There were approximately 30 Peruvian participants from the private sector. About 20 countries were represented! During the first 2 days, we had 20 invited sessions in English and 8 in Spanish. We also had 4 plenary talks, 2 in English and 2 in Spanish; all four talks were with simultaneous translation. On the third day, we had 3 panel sessions (with simultaneous translation): Future of Quality Technology, Six Sigma, and Business and Industrial Statistics in Latin America and Beyond. There was very active discussion from the floor. The exchange of knowledge and experiences will continue to foster international collaboration in research and other technology transfer activities, and will provide opportunities in the future for dialogue between statisticians in Latin America and the international community. Sessions in ISI-2007 ISBIS is sponsoring several invited sessions during the ISI Lisboa Session. 1. Risk-Utility Formulations for Statistical
Disclosure Limitation Problems Bovas Abraham
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