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Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability
Bernoulli Journal President's Report
Professor Holger Rootzén Professor Holger Rootzén has been enthusiastically appointed as Editor of Bernoulli journal. He succeeds Peter McCullagh, who has been leading the journal after Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen (1995-2000) and Willem R. van Zwet (2000-2003). We are very thankful to Peter for his enthusiasm and excellent work of the past several years. Holger Rootzén is Professor in Mathematical Statistics at Chalmers University of Technology, Göteborg, Sweden. Among his many and broad scientific interests, we mention stochastic processes, statistics, extreme values, image analysis, data traffic modelling, financial risk, applications in engineering, medicine and industry. Holger has been Editor of the journal Extremes since 1996 and served as Associated Editor for Annals of Applied Probability, Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Stochastic Processes and their Applications. Take a look at his web page for more information: http://www.cs.chalmers.se/~rootzen/. We wish Holger success in this new activity! The current web page of the Bernoulli journal is here: http://isi.cbs.nl/bernoulli. Committees of the Bernoulli Society The BS has several permanent committees. You are welcome to join their
activities! For more information, please visit: ISI, Bernoulli Society and IMS Joint Membership The ISI, the Bernoulli Society and the IMS announce joint membership. In 2006, a joint membership option for all ISI/BS/IMS members was introduced at a rate of €131 per year, which represents a considerable discount over the combined individual membership rates. This membership includes a subscription to the Bernoulli journal. Only existing qualified ISI members may apply for joint ISI/BS/IMS membership. If you are not an ISI member but would like information as to how you can become a member, please contact Mrs. Ann Daniels (@cbs.nl). To register as an ISI/BS/IMS member, you can make use of the application form available at: http://isi.cbs.nl/bern_ims_isi-form.htm. Meetings (new announcements only) Séminaire Européen de Statistique 2007 on Statistics for Stochastic Differential Equation Systems, La Manga del Mar Menor, May 6-12, 2007 This summer school is organised by the European Mathematical Society together with the European Regional Committee of the Bernoulli Society. Courses will be delivered by Valentine Genon-Catalot (Paris), Jean Jacod (Paris), Alexander Lindner (Munich), Per Mykland (Chicago), Gareth Roberts (Lancaster), Michael Sørensen (Copenhagen), Andrew Stuart (Warwick) and Lan Zhang (Chicago). The summer school is intended for up to 40 Postdocs and PhD students interested in the subject. Contributed talks or poster presentations are possible. The summer school is funded by the European Commission, which will cover major parts of travel and living expenses. Applications including CV, list of publications, a short letter of reference and optionally the title and abstract for a proposed presentation should be sent electronically to semstat@upct.es by January 19, 2007. More information is available at www.dmae.upct.es/semstat2007/. The 5th International Conference on Lévy Processes: Theory and Applications Copenhagen, August 13-17, 2007 Satellite Summer School on Lévy Processes: Theory and Applications, Sandbjerg (Denmark), August 9-12, 2007 See the website for more information: http://www.math.ku.dk/conf/levy2007/levy.html. The following speakers have agreed to give talks: Victor Perez Abreu (Mexico), Soren Asmussen (Aarhus), Jean Bertoin (Paris VI), Loic Chaumont (Paris VI), Serge Cohen (Toulouse), Rama Cont (ENS Paris), Giulia Di Nunno (Oslo), Ron Doney (Manchester), Vicky Fasen (TU Munich), Niels Richard Hansen (Copenhagen), Henrik Hult (Brown), Niels Jacob (Swansea) Jean Jacod (Paris VI), Anders Tolver Jensen (Copenhagen), Ingemar Kaj (Uppsala), Jan Kallsen (TU Munich), Davar Khosnevisan (Utah), Claudia Kluppelberg (TU Munich), Andreas Kyprianou (Heriot-Watt), Jean-Francois Le Gall (Paris VI), Alexander Lindner (TU Munich), Filip Lindskog (KTH Stockholm), Makoto Maejima (Keio), Tina Marquardt (TU Munich), Mark Meerschaert (Otago), Bernt Oksendal (Oslo), Martijn Pistorius (King's College), Philip Protter (Cornell), Sid Resnick (Cornell), Holger Rootzen (Chalmers), Jan Rosinski (Knoxville), Francois Roueff (ENST/TSI), Gennady Samorodnitsky (Cornell), Ken-iti Sato (Nagoya), Rene Schilling (Marburg), Thomas Simon (d'Évry-Val d'Essonne), Philippe Soulier (Paris X), Donatas Surgailis (Vilnius), Jeannette Woerner (Goettingen), Ymin Xiao (Michigan State). 7th Bernoulli Society World Congress and the 71st Institute of Mathematical Statistics Annual Meeting (BCIMS08), to be held in Singapore from July 14 to 19, 2008 The Seventh Joint Meeting of the Bernoulli Society and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics will take place in Singapore from July 14 to 19, 2008. This quadrennial Joint Meeting is a major worldwide event featuring the latest scientific developments in the fields of statistics and probability and their applications. The programme will cover a wide range of topics and will include about a dozen plenary lectures presented by leading specialists. In addition, there will be invited paper sessions highlighting topics of current research interest, as well as many contributed talks and posters. The venue for the Meeting is the National University of Singapore. Singapore is a vibrant, multi-cultural, cosmopolitan city-state that expresses the essence of today's New Asia. The BS World Congress is jointly organised by the Department of Statistics and Applied Probability, Department of Mathematics and Institute for Mathematical Sciences of the National University of Singapore. Louis Chen chairs the Local Organising Committee and Ruth Williams chairs the Scientific Programme Committee. The Scientific Programme Committee includes Vivek Borkar (Tata Institute, India), Peter Bühlmann (ETH Zurich, Switzerland), Louis Chen (National University of Singapore, Singapore), Jim Fill (Johns Hopkins University, USA), Arnoldo Frigessi (University of Oslo, Norway), Peter Green (University of Bristol, UK), Peter Hall (University of Melbourne, Australia), Steve Lalley (University of Chicago, USA), Petr Lansky (Academy of Sciences, Czech Republic), Jean-François Le Gall (ENS and University of Paris XI, France), Makoto Maejima (Keio University, Japan), Andrew Nobel (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, USA), Marta Sanz-Solé (University of Barcelona, Spain), Qi-Man Shao (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, China and University of Oregon, USA), Bernard Silverman (University of Oxford, UK), Mike Steel (University of Canterbury, New Zealand), Maria Eulalia Vares (CBPF, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil), Ruth Williams (University of California at San Diego, USA – Chair), Henry Wynn (London School of Economics and Political Science, UK), Keith Worsley (McGill University, Canada), Bin Yu (University of California at Berkeley, USA). The web page is here: http://www.ims.nus.edu.sg/Programs/wc2008/index.htm. Bernoulli Journal – Forthcoming Papers Abraham, R. and Delmas, J.-F.: Asymptotics for the small fragments of the fragmentation at nodes. Aoyama, T. and Maejima, M.: Characterizations of subclasses of type G distributions on Rd by stochastic integral representations. Azzalini, A. and Genton, M.G.: On Gauss' characterization of the normal distribution. Bentkus, V., Jing, B.-Y., Shao, Q.-M. and Zhou, W.: Limiting distributions of the non-central t-statistic and their applications to the power of t-tests under non-normality. Bojdecki, T., Gorostiza, L.G. and Talarcxyk, A.: Occupation time fluctuations of an infinite variance branching system in large dimensions. Briand, P., Lepeltier, J.P. and San Martín, J.: One-dimensional BSDE's whose coefficient is monotonic in y and non-Lipschitz in z. Cai, T.T., Low, M.G. and Zhao, L.H.: Tradeoffs between global and local risks in nonparametric function estimation. Cohen, S. and Rosiński, J.: Gaussian approximation of multivariate Lévy processes with applications to simulation of tempered stable processes. Cosma, A., Scaillet, O. and von Sachs, R.: Multivariate wavelet-based shape preserving estimation for dependent observations. Cox, A.M.G. and Hobson, D.G.: A unifying class of Skorokhod embeddings: connecting the Azéma–Yor and Vallois embeddings. Demni, N.: Laguerre process and generalized Hartman-Watson law. Haeusler, E. and Segers, J.: Assessing confidence intervals for the tail index by Edgeworth expansions for the Hill estimator. Klüppelberg, C., Kuhn, G. and Peng, Liang: Estimating the tail dependence function of an elliptical distribution. Ling, S.: Ergodicity and invertibility of threshold moving-average models. Manstavičius, M.: Hausdorff-Besicovitch dimension of graphs and p-variation of some Lévy processes. Moulines, E., Roueff, F., Souloumiac, A. and Trigano, T.: Nonparametric inference of photon energy distribution from indirect measurements. Osękowski, A.: Inequalities for dominated martingales. Pons, O.: Estimation of absolutely continuous distributions for censored variables in two-sample nonparametric and semi-parametric models. Puig, P. and Valero, J.: Characterization of count data distributions involving additivity and binomial subsampling. International Association for Official Statistics
Paul J. Crowley Reports: Readers are encouraged to visit the IAOS http://www.stats.govt.nz/iaos for the latest information on IAOS activities. The website is updated on a regular basis. Comments or suggestions for improving the content and design of the website can be sent to iaos@stats.govt.nz. IAOS The IAOS is a Section of the International Statistical Institute (ISI), which was founded in 1885 and is one of the oldest international scientific associations functioning today. The IAOS is an international organisation that brings together both the producers and users of official statistics. Its objectives are to promote the understanding, use and advancement of official statistics and to foster the development of effective and efficient official statistical services on a global basis. 2006 IAOS Conference - People on the Move: Measuring Environmental, Social and Economic Impacts Within and Between Nations The 2006 IAOS Conference was hosted by Statistics Canada in Canada's capital
city, Ottawa, from 6th to 8th September. The Conference Programme focused on
issues associated with measuring the environmental, social and economic impacts
of people on the move, both within and between nations. The principle themes
covered in the Conference were: A number of sessions, dealing with various aspects of these themes, were held during the three-day Conference. The sessions dealt with the following topics: • Monitoring internal migration, including the measurement of highly mobile
people in populations; Approximately 280 delegates from over 40 countries attended the Conference.
There were also representatives from a number of international organisations,
including the European Commission, World Bank, IMF, ILO, World Trade
Organization, OECD, UNECE and UNESCO. The Conference was addressed by two keynote speakers: Dr. Gro Harlem Brundtland
and Mr. Donald J. Johnston. ISI 2007 IAOS Programme An update on the content of the IAOS Programme for the 2007 ISI Session will be presented in the next issue of this Newsletter. IAOS Prize for Best Paper for Young Official Statisticians The IAOS is pleased to announce a competition for young official statisticians.
The purpose of the competition is to encourage more young official statisticians
to take an active interest in the activities of the IAOS. The competition is for
the best paper in the field of official statistics written by young official
statisticians. The Executive has decided to award additional prizes to those in second and
third place, respectively. The awards shall comprise: Conditions Deadline for submission of papers Future activity will be concerned with the organisation of the 2008 IAOS Conference (venue will be announced in the next issue of the Newsletter) and the 2009 ISI Session in South Africa. The 2008 Conference will incorporarate the SCORUS Conference and is likely to take place in October 2008. Members who may have suggestions about the 2008 and 2009 Conferences are invited to send their comments to the President, Brian Pink, or the President-Elect, Olav Ljones. Future Events 1. 2007 ISI Session, August 2007, Lisbon, Portugal Standing Committee on Regional and Urban Statisticswww.scorusnet.com
The 25th SCORUS Conference on Regional and Urban Statistics and Research was
held at Wrocław University of Economics in Poland under the theme
Globalization Impact on Regional and Urban Statistics With the 25th SCORUS Conference, we celebrate the beginning of the 50th year of activities in the ISI, focused on urban and regional statistics. The Conference opened with keynote presentations by Bogulsaw Fiedor (Wrocław University of Economics, Poland), Brian Pink (Statistics New Zealand, New Zealand), Dominka Felczak (Central Statistical Office, Poland) and Derek Bond (University of Ulster, United Kingdom). Following the keynote presentations, Derek Bond, current Chair of the SCORUS Steering Committee, presided over a session on 50 years of SCORUS. Erhard Hruschka took us through our history within the ISI, underscoring the varying titles and relationships this group has had over the years. Brian Pink provided a perspective of the challenges facing us in the years to come while Asta Manninen, Berthold Feldman, Huang Langhui and Wendy Thomas provided the perspectives of the role of urban and regional statistics in regional decision-making and the national development processes in the European Community, China and the United States. The three days of topical sessions raised issues for future discussions and cooperative work, as well as new areas of research to explore. We examined the growing interest in urban statistics, the challenges of collecting comparable data, the development of valuable indexes, and harmonizing definitions, including a definition of the term “urban” itself. There was also continued interest in attracting new members in varying parts of the world and in developing closer connections with national level organisations. Of particular interest was a session chaired by Huang Langhui (National Bureau of Statistics, China) and presented by members of the Chinese delegation on the role of urban and regional statistics in city development and comparison within China. The closing session discussed where we need to direct our attention in the coming years. It was noted that most of the current sessions focused on the urban component of our name and that we need to start taking a closer look at the rising importance of rural regions and their relationship to urban zones. In conjunction with this, an increased interest in the use of spatial analysis and the need for consistent spatial definitions and coding should continue to be part of the SCORUS programme. The development of a strong conceptual framework for geographic dimensions needs to involve a broad range of participants and must be a structure that covers developing equally well. PowerPoint presentations from the Conference are available from the main
Conference website at: “I think the most important part of the Conference is discussion. Exchange of
thought…exchange of ideas.” SCORUS Committee Meeting The SCORUS Steering Committee met during the course of the Conference and plans
were discussed for the next SCORUS Conference to take place in October 2008. At
the Wrocław Meeting of SCORUS, the names of the main office holders for the
2007-2009 session were agreed and announced in general session. They are:
11th Annual Berlin SCORUS Conference 2007:
Statistics and the Help of Young People in Big Cities, Labour Market: Working Places and Working Possibilities
ISI Session Lisbon 2007 SCORUS is organising two Invited Paper Meetings at the next ISI Session in Lisbon: IPM19 International comparative city and regional statistics on social cohesion
and economic diversity IPM20 Urban, regional and migration research: New approaches Topics for the Contributed Paper Meetings are welcome. International Association for Statistical Computing
I. Anniversary of the European Regional Section of IASC The European Regional Section (ERS) of IASC celebrates its 25th anniversary this
year. The mission of the ERS is to promote European co-operation in pursuing the aims
of the IASC. In particular, the ERS-IASC, in the European context, aims to
further the progress of theory, methods and practice of statistical computing
and to foster interest and knowledge in effective and efficient statistical
computing through international contacts among statisticians, computing
professionals, organisations, institutions, governments. To achieve its mission
the ERS-IASC organises international or regional seminars, conferences,
meetings. In particular, the ERS is responsible for arranging European meetings
on computational statistics, known as COMPSTAT Meetings. This year, the 17th
COMPSTAT Meeting took place in Rome, gathering around 500 researchers from all
over the world (see below for details). The ERS also promotes Summer Schools in
different topics, and has organised 8 editions since 1991. The next Summer
School is foreseen for Capua, Italy, in 2007 (see below for details). II. Board of Directors of the European Regional Section 2006 – 2010 Election Results The results of the recent IASC European Board elections for the period 2006-2010
have been the following: III. News from the Asian Regional Section The IASC Asian Regional Section (ARS) now has a new and interesting web page, to be found at http://www.iasc-ars.org/ The ARS is composed of the members of the IASC residing in Asia. The Officers of the Board of Directors are Wing Kam Fung (Chairperson, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, SAR China), Yutaka Tanaka (Past Chairperson, Nanzan University, Japan, Moon Yul Huh (Chairperson-Elect, SungKyunKwan University, Korea) and Philip Leung-ho Yu (Scientific Secretary, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, SAR China). The 17th Conference of ERS-IASC, the biennial meeting of European Regional
Section of the IASC, was held in Rome from August 28-1 September 2006. This
Conference took place in Rome exactly 20 years after the 7th COMPSTAT Symposium
held in Rome in 1986. Over 550 participants attended this Conference coming from a broad number of
countries around world.
Exhibition of ancient books The Social Programme included a reception at Villa Miani, where participants could enjoy a magnificent view over Rome at sunset, a concert at the chuch Santa Maria in Trastevere, an excursion to the beautiful Tivoli Gardens and a Gala dinner.
Concert at Santa Maria in Trastevere V. Workshop on Data and Information Visualization and Tutorial on Data Mining A tutorial on Data Mining was held by Professor Jerome H. Friedman from Stanford University on August 23, 2006 at the Institute for Statistics and Econometrics at Humboldt-Universität Berlin. Professor Friedman is one of the leading researchers in the field of data mining. There were about fifty participants from different professional fields from all over the world.
Photo: Professor Wolfgang Härdle and Professor Jerome H. Friedman Compstat 2006 Satellite Workshop on Data and Information Visualization The amount of information that is collected for scientific purposes as well as for non-scientific purposes is increasing exponentially. More and more powerful computers and methods of analysis allow for more detailed weather forecasts. The demand for methods that are able to present the data as well as the information that can be taken from the data visual increases along with the amount of data. Modern software allows one to transform even huge amounts of data as needed when applying Bootstrapping, MCMC methods or Data Mining into informative graphics. That was one of the reasons for the Institute of Statistics and Econometrics at Humboldt-Universität at Berlin to give a Workshop on Data and Information Visualization from August 24 until August 25, 2006. About 70 researchers attended this Workshop. The participants had the possibility to hear talks held by the authors of the Handbook of Data Visualization, which will be published next year in April. The Workshop was a good combination of interesting talks and constructive discussions. The participants had the possibility to exchange experiences and continue the discussions on a boat trip through Berlin, which also provided an opportunity to view some sightseeing spots close to the River Spree and the Landwehr Channel. All of the participants were satisfied with the results of the Workshop and some are even looking forward to the next visit in Berlin.
Professor Antony Unwin, University of Augsburg, Editor of the Handbook of Data
Visualization VI. Eighth Workshop of the ERCIM Working Group on Matrix Computations and Statistics The Eighth Workshop of the ERCIM Working Group on Matrix Computations and Statistics took place in Salerno, Italy, on September 2-3, 2006. The Workshop was a satellite meeting of COMPSTAT 2006, the seventeenth Conference of IASC-ERS, and is associated with Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, the official journal of IASC. More details can be found on the Workshop web page, http://www.dimat.unina2.it/ercim/8thworkshop.html. The Workshop aimed at bringing together researchers and practitioners working in
the interface of Numerical Linear Algebra and Statistics. This includes the
adaptation of recent advances in Scientific Computing, Algorithms and Software
Tools in order to tackle Large-Scale Statistical Applications. The fifth and the
seventh ERCIM WG Workshops were satellite meetings of the COMPSTAT 2004 and
IASC-CSDA 2005 Conferences, respectively. Scientific Programme Committee Co-Chairs: Committee Members: Organising Committee: Volunteers: The Workshop was supported by the European Research Consortium for Informatics and Mathematics (ERCIM), the International Association for Statistical Computing (IASC), the International Association for Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (IMACS), the Italian Statistical Society (SIS), the Second University of Naples, the Department of Mathematics of the Second University of Naples, the Faculty of Mathematical, Physical and Natural Sciences of the Second University of Naples, the University of Salerno, the Department of Economics and Statistics of the University of Salerno, the Institute for High-Performance Computing and Networking (ICAR), CN. The Scientific Programme consisted of 4 plenary sessions, each with an invited keynote talk, and 12 parallel sessions, for a total of 55 contributed talks. The speakers included not only members of the ERCIM Working Group but also many non-members, comprising people from countries outside Europe. Around 80 participants attended the Workshop. The following keynote talks were given: Two social events have been organized: VII. International Workshop on Knowledge Extraction and Modelling (KNEMO'06) The KNEMO’06 (KNowledge Extraction and MOdelling) International Workshop takes
place in Anacapri (Italy), from September 4th-6th (www.knemo.unina.it). The
Workshop, a satellite meeting of the COMPSTAT’06 Conference, was organised by
the Department of Mathematics and Statistics of the University of Naples
“Federico II” with the scientific sponsorship of the IASC (International
Association for Statistical Computing), the INTERFACE Foundation of North
America and the IFCS (International Federation of Classification Societies). The Steering Committee of the Workshop was made up of: The closing event of the Workshop was a Round Table for discussing the theme:
“Knowledge Extraction & Modelling: What’s Next?”. The discussion will be
moderated by C. Lauro. The discussants will be: S. Azen, H. Bozdogan, H.A.L.
Kiers, G. McLachlan, A. Morineau, J. Ramsay, G. Saporta, M.G. Schimek, E.J.
Wegman. VIII. International Conference on “Statistical Latent Variables Models in the Health Sciences” The International Conference on “Statistical Latent Variables Models in the Health Sciences” took place in Perugia, Italy, on September 6th-8th, as a satellite meeting of the COMPSTAT’06 Conference. The primary objective of the Conference was to bring together statisticians from academia as well as other research institutions working on different theoretical aspects and relevant applications of latent variable models to the health sciences, and to provide a forum to share ideas, problems and methodologies. Potential participants would be biostatisticians, psychometricians and public health professionals active in the field of Latent Variable modelling and related methods. The meeting was intended to serve as an interdisciplinary workshop to discuss
theoretical and applied statistical issues concerning design, measurement and
analysis, and to foster interaction among researchers who are likely to bring
important interdisciplinary insights to the field. The Conference was an
occasion for people to present new ideas as well as problems that are worth
considering for further investigation, special attention was given to encourage
graduate students and new researchers to participate. The Conference had 103
participants coming from 20 different countries. IX. IASC-ERS Summer School on Data Mining and Statistical Learning Techniques, 2007 An IASC-ERS Summer School on Data Mining and Statistical Learning Techniques
will take place in Italy from September 3rd until September 7th, 2007. The
Summer School is locally organised by the Second University of Naples, the
University of Naples “Federico II”, the University of Orientale and the
University of Benevento; Professor Rosaria Lombardo (Faculty of Economics of the
Second University of Naples) is the Chairperson. The IASC-ERS school is intended to achieve postgraduate training in special
areas of statistics. The participants are expected to have a good background in
statistics at the Ph.D. level, although not necessarily oriented to the subject
of the course. Also, professionals working in industry interested in Data Mining
are invited to participate. X. IASC International Conference on Statistics for Data Mining, Learning and Knowledge Extraction – Aveiro, Portugal, 2007
The Conference’s Scientific Committee is formed by Carlo Lauro (Universita'
degli Studi di Napoli "Federico II”, Italy) and Gilbert Saporta (Conservatoire
National des Arts et Métiers, France), as Co-Chairs, and also Jaromir Antoch
(Charles University, Czech Republic), Stanley P. Azen (University of Southern
California, USA), Tu Bao Ho (Japan Advanced Institute of Science and Technology,
Japan), Pavel Brazdil (University of Porto, Portugal), Paula Brito (University
of Porto, Portugal), Paolo Giudici (Università di Pavia, Italy), Erricos
Kontoghiorghes (University of Cyprus, Cyprus), Gregory Piatetski-Shapiro
(SIGKDD, USA), Edward J. Wegman (George Mason University, USA) and Djamel Zighed
(Université Lumière Lyon 2, France). Manuela Souto de Miranda and Carlos
Ferreira (Univ. of Aveiro, Portugal) are Co-Chairs of the Local Organising
Committee. Known as the Venice of Portugal, Aveiro is surrounded by salt-flats, beaches and
lagoons, and dominated by the Central Canal running through the town. Famous for
its moliceiros - typical fishing boats with gaily painted prows - Aveiro was
once a busy and prosperous port town several centuries ago. Aveiro is located
250 km north of Lisbon and 10 km from the Atlantic coastline. The silting up of
the entrance to the harbour by deposits brought down by the River Vouga,
combined with a build-up of sand from the sea, meant that by the end of the 17th
century, following some exceptionally rough seas, the port became locked. In
1808, a successful attempt was made to pierce an entrance to the sand-bar, but
it is unlikely that Aveiro will ever become a major port again. It is a lively
city at the focus of an important region of business and enterprise. The City
offers a wide choice of entertainment including bars, restaurants, night-clubs,
cinemas, theatre and concerts and, of course, there are the thriving Portuguese
cafés. If you're looking for history and art, Aveiro has museums, churches,
monuments and public buildings of architectural importance and the town is very
popular for its gastronomy, fairs and exhibitions.
The Board of Directors of the European Regional Section has accepted the
proposal of IASC President to hold COMPSTAT 2010 in Paris. The Meeting will take
place from August 23rd till August 27th in the premises of Conservatoire
National des Arts et Métiers (CNAM), located in the heart of Paris. XIII. The 4th World Conference on Computational Statistics & Data Analysis of the International Association for Statistical Computing (IASC) and the 6th Conference of Asian Regional Section of IASC The Joint Meeting of 4th World Conference of the IASC and 6th Conference of the
Asian Regional Section of the IASC on Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
(IASC2008) will be held at Pacifico Yokohama in Japan on 5th-8th December 2008. XIV. Call for proposals for IASC Programme at ISI 2009 IASC members are invited to submit proposals for suitable topics and Organisers
of Invited Paper Meetings to be organised during the 57th ISI Session (Durban,
August 16th-22nd, 2009). The proposals shall be sent to the IASC Programme
Committee Chairpersons: ASMDA 2007 The XIIth Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis International Conference,
ASMDA2007, will take place in Chania, Crete, on May 29th to June 1st, 2007. International Association for Statistical Education
7th International Conference on Teaching Statistics Salvador, Bahia, Brazil, 2-7 July 2006 Gilberte Schuyten (President IASE), Carmen Batanero (IPC Chair), The International Conferences on Teaching Statistics (ICOTS) are the most important means of interchange that the International Association for Statistical Education (IASE) offers to the community of professionals and researchers concerned with statistics education. ICOTS history started 24 years ago when the Education Committee of the International Statistical Institute (ISI) decided to hold an International Conference on Teaching Statistics. The success of ICOTS-1 (1982, Sheffield, UK), ICOTS-2 (1986, Victoria, Canada), ICOTS-3 (1990, Dunedin, New Zealand) demonstrated that statistics teachers felt a strong need to unite, talk and discuss the problems experienced in the course of their daily activities. In the meantime, it gave specialists in statistics, psychology and statistics education a forum to present the results of their research. Since the creation in 1991 of IASE as a Section of the ISI, IASE continued organising ICOTS every four year (ICOTS-4, 1994, Marrakech, Morocco; ICOTS-5, 1998, Singapore; ICOTS-6, 2002, Cape Town, South Africa). ICOTS-7 ‘Working Cooperatively in Statistics Education’ is the first ICOTS Conference on the South American continent. It was attended by a total of 520 delegates from 55 countries. It was organised in collaboration with the Brazilian Statistical Association (ABE) with support by the American Statistical Association and other institutions (see list on the ICOTS-7 web page). The high number of Latin American delegates (over 170) reflects the mature state of statistics education in Latin America. Their participation was stimulated by reducing the fees for these delegates and by running some activities in Spanish and Portuguese. The Conference was a great success thanks to the excellent work by the International Programme Committee and, in particular, by the efforts of Carmen Batanero, Susan Starkings, Lisbeth Cordani, John Harraway and John Shanks, as well as all Topic Organisers and Organisers of contributed papers and of posters. The efficient local organisation and hospitality by Pedro Morettin, Lisbeth Cordani, Pedro Silva, Clelia Toloi, Gilenio Borges, Wilton Bussab and their team, as well as the warm atmosphere and natural beauty of Salvador, resulted in an excellent Conference. Two main results are the beautiful web page managed by John Shanks and the ICOTS-7 Proceedings CD-ROM edited by Allan Rossman and Beth Chance with over 350 papers and 120 posters abstracts. The ICOTS-7 Proceedings will soon be freely accessible via the IASE website on the IASE publication page. Special Interest Groups of Latin American educators started working one year before ICOTS-7 via Internet forums and met twice during the Conference: SIG1 ‘Training Mathematics teachers to teach Statistics in Spanish and Portuguese speaking countries’, SIG 2 ‘Young Latin American researchers in Statistics education’ and SIG 4 ‘Curricular development in Statistics education in Latin America’. Also the exhibition of concrete models in mathematics and statistics of the ‘Laboratório de Ensino de Matemática’ coordinated by Elinalva Vasconcelos attracted many delegates. Special sessions and administrative meetings completed the Programme. In one of these special sessions, the forthcoming ICMI /IASE Study Conference to be held in Monterrey, Mexico, June 30-July 4, 2008, organised in collaboration with ICMI, the International Commission on Mathematical Instruction, was announced. Also, several activities of the IASE journal Statistics Education Research Journal (SERJ) were organised by the SERJ Editor Iddo Gal. Two workshops were run: one for current and new referees and the other for prospective authors. In the panel ‘Statistics Education Journals: Cooperating not competing’, the Editors of SERJ, Teaching Statistics and Journal Statistics Education (JSE) discussed how to join efforts. The theme ‘Working Cooperatively’ has many faces. International cooperation was clearly emphasised in sessions under topic 1 ‘Working cooperatively in Statistics education’, topic 9 ‘An international perspective on Statistics Education’ and in other invited paper sessions. Also, in the seven plenary lectures, speakers enlightened different aspects of ‘working cooperatively’. Statistics education is indeed based on many different disciplines such as statistics, education, mathematics education, psychology, sociology, philosophy which makes interdisciplinary cooperation for research beneficial for the advancement of statistics education research. Recent trends in teaching-learning theories emphasize the role of student activity and social interaction in learning. Cooperative learning is said to stimulate depth of understanding, acquisition of problem-solving skills and formation of positive attitudes toward the subject being taught. The traditional model of teaching as a ‘transmission’ is changing into a ‘transformation’ model of learning. Following the example of ICOTS-6 in South Africa, where teacher training activities were for the first time organised as a separate stream throughout ICOTS, the Local Organising Committee and in particular Lisbeth Cordani, Lilia Carolina Costa and 20 lecturers and observers organised a series of workshops attended by 60 local school teachers. The active approach of these activities was highly appreciated by the participants and they are looking forward for more. All this was possible thanks to financial support by the American Statistical Association and local support by the Universidade Federal da Bahia and the Instituto Anisio Teixeira. By supporting these local workshops, IASE aims to stimulate statistics education in that part of the world where the conference takes place and aims to attract people to research in statistics education. During twenty four years of continuous critical work and progress in the field of statistics education, the ICOTS Conferences have provided international fora for those involved in statistics education to exchange their ideas and to present their research and experiences in teaching statistics. This effort is reflected in the seven volumes of ICOTS Proceedings, which now constitute a valuable contribution to statistics education as a research discipline and a desired reference for teachers and researchers. In order to enhance the quality of the papers, the International Programme Committee organised, from ICOTS-6 onwards, a refereeing option for people submitting a paper. The papers presented in the ICOTS-7 Proceedings are the product of the effort of more than 500 educators, statisticians, psychologists, researchers and lecturers. The more than 220 invited papers of the Conference aim to present a synthesis of the main tendencies and developments in statistics education. They have been organised around the following 9 main topics: Working cooperatively in Statistics education, Statistics education at school level, Statistics education at the post-secondary level, Statistics education/training and the workplace, Statistics education and the wider society, Research in Statistics education, Technology in Statistics education, Other determinants & developments in Statistics education, An international perspective on Statistics education. The Proceedings are completed with keynote lectures, about 110 Contributed Papers and about 120 summaries of Posters. A conference like ICOTS only can happen because of the commitment of a large number of people from around the world who are prepared to freely give much time and effort. We would like to pay tribute to the great support we received from so many people who helped in making the conference such a success. After having ICOTS Conferences on different continents, next ICOTS-8 will return
to Europe where it started in 1982; this time in Slovenia in 2010 at Ljubljana.
Please already note the dates in your diary: July 11-16, 2010, we are looking
forward to meet you there! The theme of the ICOTS-8 Conference will be 'Data and context in statistics
education: Towards an evidence-based society.' The venue and dates are now set:
Cankarjev Dom Cultural & Congress Centre (http://www.cd-cc.si), Ljubljana,
Slovenia, Sunday, July 11–Friday, July 16, 2010. At a meeting at ICOTS-7 with IASE Executive Members, an expression of interest was received from a Chinese delegation to hold the ICOTS-9 Conference in China in 2014. Contributed by Gilberte Schuyten • IASE Satellite on Assessing Student Learning in Statistics, 19-21 August 2007,
Guimarães, Portugal. Brian Phillips is initial contact. (BPhillips@swin.edu.au) STEPS STatistics Education PhD Student Network STEPS will be launched soon; it will be the first international online community that will connect students undertaking doctoral work in statistics education. The address is: http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~step/. Contributed by Chris Reading The Fifth International Research Forum on Statistical Reasoning, Thinking, and
Literacy The Forum's focus will be on informal ideas of inference rather than on formal methods of estimation and tests of significance. This topic is emerging from the presentations and discussions at SRTL-3 and 4 and is a topic of current interest to many researchers as well as teachers of statistics. As new courses and curricula are developed, a greater role for informal types of statistical inference is anticipated, introduced early, revisited often, and developed through use of simulation and technological tools. We encourage research papers that address reasoning about statistical inference at all levels of education, including the professional development of elementary and secondary teachers. We encourage submission of research papers that address questions such as the
following: The local SRTL-5 Organisers: SRTL-5 Website: http://srtl.stat.auckland.ac.nz/ Contributed by Dani Ben-Zvi IASE Activities at the 56th Session of the ISI IASE organises several sessions at the 56th Session of the ISI, to be held in
Lisbon from 22-29 August 2007: For more information, visit the ISI-56 website at http://www.isi2007.com.pt/ or contact members of the OC. Contributed by Allan J. Rossman IASE Satellite Conference on Assessing Student Learning in Statistics (Prior to ISI-56 Lisboa 2007, Guimaraes, Portugal) Conference Committee: Local Organiser: Contributed by Brian Phillips International Statistical Literacy Project In order to improve the usefulness of the ISLP web pages, we are conducting a survey of users and potential users of these web pages. If you have not yet filled out this (anonymous) survey, please go to http://course1.winona.edu/cblumberg/survey.htm. For those unfamiliar with the ISLP, its mission is to provide those interested in statistical literacy with information and resources, and to aid them in the development of statistical literacy around the world. Presently, the major focus has been on web pages that list these resources in useful groupings. For each resource, a few sentences are given that describe that item, and complete access or ordering information is given. The emphasis is on items available for free on the Internet. As you may be aware, the web pages of the International Statistical Literacy Project have been on the Internet for three years now. So, several of the page coordinators have decided to step down. Hence, we are seeking new page coordinators or co-coordinators for several of the pages. In particular, coordinators or co-coordinators are needed for the General Resources, Primary Level, Secondary Level, Adult Learner, Teacher Training, and Journalists and other Mass Media web pages. To explore these pages and the other pages of the website, go to http://course1.winona.edu/cblumberg/islplist.htm. We would like to expand the material on the web page (http://course1.winona.edu/cblumberg/islpart.htm) that has publicly available newspaper and Internet articles and reports (both good and bad) that can be used when teaching statistics. If you have any good articles or reports (especially from countries other than the USA), please submit the articles along with an approximately 3- to 5-sentence paragraph of how they can be used when training teachers to Eunice Goldberg at egoldberg@nl.edu. Make sure to include a complete reference to where the article is located and, if possible, information on who needs to be contacted to get permission to reproduce the article on our website. Finally, the website mostly contains resources in English. If you know of any
applicable resources in a language other than English, please send me (at
cblumberg@winona.edu; Fax: +1-507-457-5376) a description of the item in the
language of publication. Also, include an English translation of the
description. Descriptions of items in English are also welcome and can be sent
either to me or to the appropriate page coordinator.
(http://course1.winona.edu/cblumberg/islpcoord.htm). Contributed by Carol Joyce Blumberg Visit the IASE web page: http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~iase! It is a valuable resource of statistics education information. In past few months, the web page has become richer for the extensive list of links and publications. The “Links” section provides links categorised in several groups: Research, Learning, Assessment, Curriculum Guidelines, Bibliographies, Discussion lists, Indexes and Abstracting Services, Major Journals, Other Journals, Newsletters, Publishers, Datasets, Java Applets, Software, Statistical Calculators, Organisations, International Agencies and Non-Profit Organisations. Each group provides links to interesting and useful pages for statistics educators and researchers. The other interesting link is the “Publications” section with a list of IASE past publications and links to many other sites. Of special interest are the Dissertations in Stats Ed section. IASE is beginning to build what we intend to become a comprehensive archive of doctoral dissertations in Statistics Education. We have to thank Chris Wild for the careful updating and maintenance of the IASE web pages. Contributed by the Editors CERME 5: Group 5 Stochastic Thinking (Research on probabilistic and statistical thinking) The Fifth Conference of the European Society for Research in Mathematics
Education (CERME) is a conference organised by the European Society for Research
in Education, and is designed to foster a communicative spirit. It deliberately
and distinctively moves away from research presentations by individuals towards
collaborative group work. Its main feature is to be a number of thematic groups
whose members will work together in a common research area. This message refers
to one, Group 5, of 15 such groups. The Organisers for Group 5 invite research-based papers on stochastic thinking, including probability, statistics and the interface betweenthese domains. We will be particularly interested in theoretical, empirical or developmental papers that address one or more of the following themes (though any papers of relevance to the overall focus of the group will also be considered): The nature and development of stochastic thinking and its relationship to other
types of mathematical thinking, including the interface between probabilistic
and statistical thinking, such as in modelling or data exploration. We wish to encourage papers from researchers worldwide. Papers for Group 5 on Stochastic Thinking should be submitted electronically by October 10th, 2006, to Rolf Biehler (biehler@mathematik.uni-kassel.de), together with the submission form. The submission form has to be sent to the Conference Secretary (cerme5@ucy.ac.cy) as well. This form and further details of format for papers are given on the CERME 5 website (see above for URL). If you have further questions, please contact any of the leaders of the group (e-mail addresses are given below). Rolf Biehler (Group 5 Coordinator) biehler@mathematik.uni-kassel.de, Maria Meletiou-Mavrotheris meletiu@spidernet.com.cy, Maria-Gabriella Ottaviani mariagabriella.ottaviani@uniroma1.it, Dave Pratt dave.pratt@warwick.ac.uk. Contributed by Rolph Biehler Call for Nominations: Director of the International Statistical Literacy Project The International Association for Statistical Education (IASE) is starting a search for the Director for the International Statistical Literacy Project. The Director will serve a four-year term starting Jan 1, 2007, replacing Carol Joyce Blumberg who has recently resigned from the role. (The previous job title was “Coordinator”) About the International Statistical Literacy Project: The International Statistical Literacy Project (ISLP) is an IASE project with a
mission of providing those interested in statistical literacy with information
and resources and to aid them in the development of statistical literacy around
the world. To date the main focus of the project has been on the development of
a series of webpages providing users with resources that are useful for the
development of statistical literacy at all levels from Primary/Elementary School
through Adult Learners. There are also webpages for official statisticians and
for journalists and the mass media. Further, there are webpages devoted
statistical literacy projects, websites, etc. that have been developed by
national statistical offices, national statistical societies, and other
non-profit organizations. The Director’s role With Carol Joyce Blumberg’s retirement from Winona State University it is
envisaged that the web pages will be moved to the main IASE website at the
University of Auckland which will take care of most of the hands-on website
development with ongoing page-updating performed, wherever possible, by the Page
Coordinators themselves. Overall, IASE sees the ISLP initiative as a strategically important project for statistics education worldwide and expects the Director to help ISLP gain international visibility and prominence. As with all other IASE leadership roles this is a voluntary (unpaid) professional-service role. The search process and how to make nominations: IASE encourages both self-nominations from interested individuals and
nominations of suitable candidates. All nominations and self-nominations will be
considered by the Search Committee, which can also propose additional nominees.
Candidates or self-nominees will be asked to prepare a brief statement
describing their vision for ISLP and how they might go about discharging the
responsibilities above, along with a statement of their qualifications for the
position, and an academic vita or professional resumé. Candidates might also be
asked to respond to additional questions by the search committee. International Association of Survey Statisticians
Message from the IASS President As you will read below, much of our current focus is on developing the sessions and short courses for the 2007 ISI Session in Lisbon. However, it is not too early to start thinking beyond Lisbon to Durban in 2009. To that end, I am pleased that Leyla Mohadjer has agreed to act as IASS Programme Chair for the 2009 Session. A Programme Committee is being formed to support her, but all members are encouraged to make suggestions for session topics that IASS might sponsor in 2009. Our proposed topics need to be ready before the 2007 ISI Session, so please communicate any suggestions to Leyla at Leylamohadjer@westat.com over the next few months. I would also like to remind members again that nominations for the 2007 Cochran-Hansen Prize must be received by the end of 2006. Please see the announcement in this and earlier Newsletters for details. Gordon Brackstone Message from the Scientific Secretary In early June, the IASS short course programme, which will be held in connection to the 56th ISI Session in Lisbon 2007, was finalised. With great help from Evelise Domingues, the Event Manger in charge of the ISI Session at the Lisboa Congress Centre, we were able to pick a nice location for the courses. You can read more about the courses in this issue of the ISI Newsletter. In this issue, you can also read about the ISO Standard for Marketing, Opinion and Social Research. This standard will influence the way many organisations conduct surveys within these areas. If you did not have the opportunity to attend the MOLS Conference in Essex in July, you can read Peter Lynn’s report below and download papers from the Internet. Finally in this issue of the ISI Newsletter, you will find information about a new electronic journal, The International Journal of Public Information Systems, that is free of charge and of relevance to our field. Future meetings of interest to IASS members include: Please do not hesitate to contact me if you have suggestions or questions regarding any of the IASS activities. Lilli Japec Report on IASS Lisbon 2007 Programme Committee The IASS Programme Committee, lead by David Steel, has put together a number of sections for the ISI Session in Lisbon 2007. Below you can find the section topics and names of the Organisers. The impact of new information technologies: on survey research design; on a
totally new information production model. Teaching of Survey Statistics. Designing and Updating Longitudinal Samples. Statistical disclosure control of survey microdata. Using multiple modes to collecting data in surveys. Confidentialising tables and data with geographically fine breakdown. Prioritising non-response follow-up to minimise mean square error. What Censuses and administrative sources can tell us about Non Sampling Errors? Measuring and reporting quality of small area estimates. Randomisation-assisted model-based survey sampling. New methods of sampling. Opinion Polls: Do they do more Harm than Good? How ISI can encourage donor and international organisations to strengthen their
own statistical capacities. David Steel Report from The International Conference on Methodology of Longitudinal Surveys (MOLS) The MOLS Conference attracted just over 200 delegates to the University of Essex, U.K., in July. Delegates were academics, government statisticians and survey professionals, and came from 26 different countries. An underlying theme of the Conference was the impression that growth in demand for longitudinal data, and consequently in the number and complexity of longitudinal and panel surveys carried out, has not been equalled by expansion of our knowledge of how best to design and implement such surveys. On the one hand, several papers described new or planned longitudinal surveys – often with rather complex and demanding objectives. On the other hand, several papers reviewed a particular aspect of methodology and concluded that very little research had been carried out into that aspect in a longitudinal context. Consequently, researchers can only speculate about how findings based on cross-sectional surveys will translate to longitudinal surveys: In some cases the translation may be simple, but in many cases it probably is not. Between them, the Conference presenters identified a large methodological research agenda! Topics discussed at MOLS included sample design (including, for example, how to identify the optimal level of clustering at wave 1 when the sample is geographically mobile), rotating panel designs, the role of interviewers (and particularly the effects of interviewer continuity over waves), dependent interviewing, mixed mode methods, tailoring approaches to respondents (for example, in terms of mode, incentives or timing), data linkage, ethics, and modelling and estimation methods. An omnipresent issue was attrition, with many papers treating methods to minimise it, research to understand the nature of it, and methods to deal with it in analysis, including imputation and weighting methods. Around 75 papers were presented, including 22 invited papers, which will form the chapters of a monograph book to be edited by the Conference Organiser, Peter Lynn, and published by Wiley. Most of the papers can be downloaded from the Conference website, www.iser.essex.ac.uk/ulsc/mols2006. A prize for best student paper was generously sponsored by Wiley and was awarded to Mario Callegaro, a PhD student at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, for his paper, Seam effects in panel data collected with Event History Calendar methodology: The case of labor force transitions in the PSID. Two short courses were also offered the day before the Conference and were well attended with almost 100 participants in total. The courses were Handling incomplete data in longitudinal surveys, presented by Joop Hox and Edith deLeeuw, and Multilevel modelling for longitudinal survey data, presented by Sophia Rabe-Hesketh and Anders Skrondal. Peter Lynn New Journal: The International Journal of Public Information Systems The electronic journal with scientifically reviewed articles, published by the Mid Sweden University (www.miun.se), is available free of charge at www.ijpis.net. The International Journal of Public Information Systems aims at publishing studies of public information systems. The journal acknowledges the interdisciplinary nature of such studies. Topics include, but are not restricted to: • User-centred design, usability, usefulness, citizens perspectives Public information systems may be defined as information systems that • Provide services to the public (people and companies/organisations) Information systems supporting the communication of official statistics can be seen as public information systems. The International Journal of Public Information Systems wants to link researchers and other professionals who share an interest in the process, nature, significance and implications of public information systems design. The journal is a forum for analytical and comparative articles, essays, case-studies and book reviews on such topics as innovation and research, intellectual property, entrepreneurship and products. The journal publishes insightful pieces intended for general readers as well as specialists. To illuminate important debates and draw attention to specific topics, the journal occasionally publishes thematic issues. More information about the journal is available at www.ijpis.net. The website also contains all issues and articles that have been published so far. Bo Sundgren A new international standard for survey process quality control (ISO 20252) May 2006 saw the publication of a new ISO Quality Standard designed specifically for Survey Research. ISO 20252 - Market, Opinion and Social Research - Vocabulary and Service Requirements, to give its full title, is the response of the international survey research community to the increasing need of their multi-national users to have consistent process quality standards. In the face of this demand, survey practitioners have acknowledged that even best local practice is insufficient to provide such attributes and, thus, set about the lengthy process of defining and agreeing an international standard. Over thirty countries were participants in the drafting of the standard and came from all continents. Work on the formal drafting of the standard commenced in 2003 with AENOR, the Spanish standards authority, acting as the lead co-ordinator. The main body of work was carried out by a Working Party drawn from twenty countries together with observers from professional bodies such as WAPOR and ESOMAR. Participants were typically survey research professionals from the participating countries drawn from across government, academic and commercial organisations. They were supported by a number of national standards body staff who ensured that the standard stayed firmly in the area of the practical and capable of consistent implementation anywhere in the world. The standard draws heavily on earlier national standards from Germany, Spain and the UK, together with synthesis of these made by the European Market Research Trade Association (EFAMRO) some years earlier. The time span from initial meeting to formal publication of just under three years is extremely short by ISO standards and reflects the remarkably high level of concord that existed in the discussions. Drafting took place by means of lead countries drafting defined sections with circulation, feedback, face-to-face discussion and re-iteration of the process over several rounds of drafting and discussion. National representatives consulted locally with other survey researchers to ensure as wide a range of opinion as possible was canvassed. The standard is restricted to Process Management issues. This was because it was believed that agreement for formal standards could be achieved around the components of this, whereas Design Quality was more a matter of budgetary and other resources, together with local, cultural and structural issues that are not amenable to standardisation. The standard is designed to stand alone, without the need for ISO 9001 to underwrite the Quality Assurance elements. It covers the full range of the survey process from commissioning through to reporting and is written for both qualitative and quantitative research. On some elements - for example data collection - the standard is prescriptive, requiring back-checking/validation on 10% of fieldwork. Requirements for validation are also spelt out on data preparation, coding and editing in a similar fashion. A fundamental requirement is that it is applicable in any country of the world and thus no presumption is made about the availability of computerised records or other technological support. It is intended that the standard is audited by external inspectors from authorised agencies working to agreed inspection guidelines. In the UK, these have already been drafted and accreditation has commenced to the standard by some survey practitioners. It is anticipated that in the coming months this process will be emulated internationally as the process rolls out. The standard is expected to attract support from both international users of survey research and survey research practioners who supply their needs. Whilst independent formal quality standards are relatively uncommon in the area of national statistics, their use in independent survey organisations in many countries in Europe, Australia, Japan and elsewhere has demonstrated that they improve quality and consistency of the survey process. Additionally, they enable users to concentrate on the features of ‘fitness’ that are priorities and relegate basic process competence to a given. The Working Party will continue to meet regularly to review the Standard, agree implementation procedures and extend them as necessary into new areas. For example, a group is now examining the area of internet data collection with a view to formulating similar guidelines, if agreement can be obtained. To obtain a copy of the ISO, contact should be made with national standards bodies. Bill Blyth IASS Short Courses at the 56th ISI Session, Lisbon 2007 The International Association of Survey Statisticians has finalized the short courses programme to be offered just prior to and after the 56th Session of the International Statistical Institute (ISI), which will be held in Lisbon, Portugal, August 2007. Funding assistance for supporting statisticians from developing and transitional countries is being sought. The courses will be held at the Lisboa Congress Centre. The following courses will be offered. Course A: Workshop on Survey Sampling The workshop will focus on practical aspects of sampling for household surveys. It will start from basic principles and build up to complex stratified multi-stage sample designs. It will cover the main sampling techniques and also such issues as sampling frames, weighting, and imputation. It will end with an introduction to variance estimation with complex sample designs. Course B: Variance Estimation in Complex Surveys The purpose of this course is to provide training in variance estimation in complex surveys for survey statisticians, especially those from developing countries. The course will cover methods of estimating variances for statistics such as means, proportions, ratios, and regression coefficients. Variance estimation for imputed samples will be discussed. Both linearisation and replication methods will be presented. The use of computer software for computing variances of statistics from complex sample designs will be demonstrated and instruction will be given in practical applications. About one-half of the course will be devoted to computer implementation. Course C: Workshop on Editing and Imputation of Survey Data Surveys and censuses conducted by national statistical agencies, research institutes and other survey organisations suffer from various degrees of nonresponse even under ideal conditions. In order to try to alleviate the problems caused by nonresponse, editing and imputation methods are usually applied. Since the process of editing and imputation is time and resource intensive, care must be exercised in controlling the efficiency as well as the effectiveness of the methods. The aim of this short course is to provide the students with an introductory level description and discussion of the methods of prevention, detection and treatment of nonresponse. Evaluation of such methods and their impact on the survey outputs will be highlighted. Existing edit and imputation software will be compared. Numerous examples will be provided to illustrate the material presented. Course D: Introduction to Survey Quality The course is designed for a broad audience that includes experienced survey
researchers and practitioners who would Course E: Statistical Disclosure Control The purpose of this course is to provide the participants with an understanding of the methodological aspects of Statistical Disclosure Control, to train them in solving problems on this topic and to demonstrate the ARGUS software. The meaning and impact of Statistical Disclosure Control can only be appreciated in the light of practical problems and policy related issues. Therefore, some attention is also paid to such topics without putting heavy emphasis on them. Topics covered include theory and methods on microdata, exercises on microdata, demonstration of Mu-ARGUS, theory and methods on tabular data, exercises on tabular data, demonstration of Tau-ARGUS, legal issues, on-site facilities and remote access. Course F: Design and Analysis of Repeated Surveys This course will consider the interaction between the design of a repeated survey and the methods used for estimation and analysis. The choice of rotation pattern will be considered in terms of the impact on the estimation of levels and changes. Composite and other forms of estimators will be reviewed and the interaction between design and estimation explored. Estimation of seasonally adjusted and trend estimates from repeated surveys will also be considered. For further information, please contact: Irving Fisher Committee on Central Bank Statistics (IFC)
New Governance Structure Since the beginning of 2006, the IFC has engaged itself in the implementation of a more formal structure and appropriate governance rules. As a starting point, central banks that are shareholders of the BIS have been invited to formally become institutional members of the Committee. Most of them have accepted the invitation and at the end of August 2006 the Committee boasted no less than 53 members. The first meeting of the Council, at which the institutional members were represented, was held on 29 August 2006. Besides taking decisions on important issues related to the functioning and future activities of the Committee, the Council also constituted a new Executive on this occasion. The Council confirmed that institutional membership was open to all interested central banks, and that the Committee would also welcome associate members. Third IFC Conference The Third IFC Conference took place on 30 and 31 August 2006 at the BIS in Basel. The theme of the Conference was “Measuring the Financial Position of the Household Sector”. The importance of this topic in central banking circles was reflected in the overwhelming interest shown in the Conference. More than 130 experts from 68 central banks participated in the Conference and 42 papers were presented. The themes that were covered included: measurement issues related to household wealth and debt, distributional aspects of household finances and the use of household surveys to gather information on household finances. Participants exchanged views and shared national experiences in lively and fruitful discussions. The results of the Conference will be published in the next IFC Bulletin.
The New IFC Council IAOS Conference The Committee contributed to a conference organised by the International Association of Official Statistics (IAOS) in September 2006. The IAOS had invited the Committee to organise a plenary session on “People on the Move”. The topic of the IFC session was “Financial Aspects of Migration: The Measurement of Remittances”. Mr. Cadete de Matos, Director of the Statistics Department at the Bank of Portugal, structured and chaired the session. Future Activities The Committee will organise various meetings at the 56th Session of the ISI. Some of them will be co-sponsored with other ISI Sections. The IFC website, www.ifcommittee.org, provides more information on all these activities. International Society for Business and Industrial Statistics
We are delighted to invite you to join us at the upcoming ISBIS-2007 Symposium sponsored by the International Society for Business and Industrial Statistics (ISBIS). The Symposium will be held on 18-20 August, 2007, in the Azores Islands off the coast of Portugal. The University of the Azores will be our host. The official language of the Conference is English. ISBIS-2007 is a Satellite Conference to the 56th Session of the International Statistical Institute (Lisboa, 22-29 August 2007). It will provide a forum for presenting and exchanging ideas in statistical methods applicable to business, finance and industry. Talks will range from very applied to cutting edge research. The exchange of knowledge and experiences will foster international collaboration in research and other technology transfer activities, and will provide an opportunity for dialogue between statisticians working in business, finance and industry, and academia. We are working on an exciting Scientific Programme that will explore real world problems of interest to researchers involved in statistical theory or applications motivated by work in business, finance or industry. Potential topics meriting special mention include: Business and quality management Case studies and novel applications are also encouraged. Many leading statisticians working on problems in business, finance and industry will be participating. In addition to the Invited Programme, the Symposium will feature some Contributed Paper sessions. Details will be available shortly on the Conference website. If you are interested in participating, please feel free to contact Francisco Samaniego (Programme Chair) or Bovas Abraham (ISBIS President). We hope that you will give some serious thought to participating in ISBIS-2007 next summer. We can guarantee that you will be very pleased with the stimulating Scientific Programme, the enjoyable social activities that are planned and the delightful surroundings. You should be able to combine ISBIS-2007 with a fabulous vacation on Sao Miguel Island of the Azores archipelago, one of Portugal's most coveted vacation spots. Helena Bacelar-Nicolau and Fernando Nicolau, Conference Co-Chairs Francisco Samaniego, Programme Chair Bovas Abraham, ISBIS President ISBIS is sponsoring several Invited Paper Meetings during the ISI Lisboa
Session: 3. Design of Experiments in Marketing and Advertising Testing 4. Issues in Business and Industrial Statistics in the Developing world (Panel
Discussion) 5. Statistical Issues in Wired, Wireless, and Sensor Networks 6. Six Sigma: A Business Strategy or a Management Fad (Panel Discussion) ISBIS Sessions in ISI-2009 (Durban, South Africa) ISBIS will be sponsoring some Invited Paper Meetings at the ISI biennial Session in 2009. Vijay Nair has agreed to be ISBIS Program Chair for this Session. ISBIS Session in Q&P Research Conference One of the objectives of ISBIS is to develop and promote relationships among national and regional organisations involved in activities similar to those of ISBIS. With this in mind, ISBIS is planning to organise an Invited Paper Meeting in the next Quality and Productivity Research Conference in Santa Fe, New Mexico (June 4-6, 2007). This Conference is sponsored by the Quality and Productivity section of the American Statistical Association. Special Volume The Special Issue of Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry (ASMBI) containing edited Proceedings from ISBIS-4 at Palm Cove, Australia, will be published shortly. Dennis Lin is the Special Guest Editor and Jef Teugels is Editor-in-Chief of ASMBI. ISBIS Participation in National Conference in Colombia The Sixteenth Colombian National Statistical Conference was in Bucaramanga, Colombia, from July 29-August 3, 2006. This year the main theme was Industrial Statistics. Bovas Abraham (ISBIS President) and Geoff Vining (Chair of ISBIS-5 in Peru) gave plenary talks at this Conference. We were invited because of the ISBIS-5 Conference in Peru. Some statisticians from Colombia had participated in ISBIS-5 and had requested us to participate in the Colombian meeting. It was a great opportunity for us to hear about the various industrial statistics activities in Colombia and to talk about ISBIS activities. Subsequently, several people expressed interest in being part of ISBIS. ISBIS membership is open to all individuals and organisations with a
professional interest in any aspect of business, financial and industrial
statistics, including: There are individual, institutional and student memberships. Details and application forms can be obtained from the ISBIS website: http://www.stats.wits.ac.za/isbis/ or contact Bovas Abraham (babraham@uwaterloo.ca). If you are already a member of the ISI, you can become a member of ISBIS free of charge by sending an e-mail to Margaret in the ISI Permanent Office (@cbs.nl) provided you are not a member of another Section. If you are already a member of another Section, you can add ISBIS membership for a small fee. Bovas Abraham Back to the content of this Newsletter |