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Newsletter Volume 31, No. 1 (91) 2007 - ISI Sections

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Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability
International Association for Official Statistics (IAOS)
International Association for Statistical Computing (IASC)
International Association for Statistical Education (IASE)
 International Association of Survey Statisticians (IASS)
International Society for Business and Industrial Statistics (ISBIS)
 
Newsletter Volume 31, No. 1 (91) 2007

Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability

Editorial Address Arnoldo Frigessi, Section of Biostatistics, University of Oslo,
P.O. Box 1122 Blindern, N-0317 Oslo, Norway
Tel: +4722851004; Fax: +4722851313
E-mail: frigessi@medisin.uio.no
President Peter Jagers, Chalmers University of Technology
S-412 96 Göteborg, Sweden
Phone: +46 31 772 35 20 (office); Fax: +46 31 772 35 08 (office)
E-mail: jagers@math.chalmers.se
Website http://isi.cbs.nl/bs.htm
For information, see also the website of Bernoulli News at http://isi.cbs.nl/bnews/index.html

Africa and Middle East
Grants for Young Statisticians for the ISI Lisboa Session and the Conference on Agricultural Statistics in Beijing
Funding for Statistical Methodology
arXiv Statistics and Probability
Meetings
CLAPEM 2007

Africa and Middle East

BS is present with members in many countries worldwide, and we have three regional committees in Europe, Latin America, East Asia and Pacific. BS has traditionally been an important channel for international communication and has at least indirectly supported the development of statistical science and scientists in areas of the world where this was difficult in specific historical time periods. Now, time has changed and the focus has to move to other parts of the world. BS wishes to remain faithful to its mission worldwide, and it is now time to concentrate efforts in new areas of the world that could benefit from our presence and activity. BS is not present in Africa and not sufficiently present in the Middle East and continental Asia. There is an urgent need to support researchers and students in statistical science in these areas. The ISI has institutional members in many developing countries and plays a strong role in helping with the creation of statistical infrastructure and education. BS wishes to join this aim with a bottom-up strategy, starting with individual members, more than with organised societies. Reduced membership dues are available to members from less developed countries. In fact, members from many less developed countries (including Eastern Europe) may apply for special membership (no dues but an entrance fee). Applications for reduced membership fees can be sent to:
Professor Volker Mammitzsch (Membership Secretary)
Fachbereich Mathematik der Universität Marburg
Hans-Meerwein-Strasse, Lahnberge
D-35032 Marburg/Lahn, Germany
Fax: (+49) 6421 2828986
E-mail: mammit@mathematik.uni-marburg.de

In addition, the BS Scientific Secretary wishes to set up a list of statisticians and probabilists in Africa and the Middle East, in order to start communication. If you have contacts in these areas, or if you are interested in helping with this activity, please e-mail Arnoldo Frigessi (frigessi@medisin.uio.no) or Peter Jagers (jagers@math.chalmers.se).

Grants for Young Statisticians for the ISI Lisboa Session and the Conference on Agricultural Statistics in Beijing

The ISI Permanent Office has now secured a limited amount of funds from the World Bank to provide financial support that will enable the participation of young statisticians from developing countries to attend the ISI Lisboa Session (22-29 August 2007) and the International Conference on Agricultural Statistics in Beijing (22-24 October 2007). The ISI expects to be able to honour about 15 or 16 requests to attend the Lisboa Session and 9 or 10 requests to attend the Beijing Agricultural
Statistics Conference. To obtain details about the application criteria, please refer to http://isi.cbs.nl/wbf/fund.htm. BS’s young members are encouraged to apply.

Funding for Statistical Methodology

Good news. Apparently, we statisticians have started to succeed in convincing funding bodies that statistics and probability are worth supporting. While we know that statistics and stochastic models are crucial tools for scientific development and innovation, our discipline is "small" and easily falls between tables. If you think to biostatistics and its role in medical science, we are observing a major change. While statistics was always part of the team, but almost never in the leading positions, it is not uncommon to now see statisticians as principal investigators in genomic research. Similar patterns can be observed in many areas of science. There is an increasing requirement for evidence-based decision-making, performance measurement and uncertainty assessment. Compared to deterministic and point estimates of risk, statistical measures of uncertainty provide additional freedom for decision-makers. All this is maybe now recognized, and several major research grants have been assigned to statistics. Let us look to Europe. For example, the Statistics Group in Bristol has won major strategic funding. The multi-million pound grant — one of the largest ever awarded to a UK mathematics department — will fund a new initiative entitled SuSTaIn (Statistics underpinning Science, Technology and Industry), to be led by Peter Green FRS, Guy Nason and Christophe Andrieu. It will support an ambitious programme to conduct and disseminate internationally-leading research in mathematical statistics, equipping the discipline to face the challenges of future applications. In Oslo, Norway, the new centre Statistics for Innovation will start to operate from 2007 to 2014. This is one of the 14 Norwegian Centers for Research-based Innovation, with the aim to enhance the capability of the Norwegian economy to innovate by focusing on long-term research, forging alliances between research-intensive enterprises and prominent research groups. Statistics for Innovation will develop statistical methodologies, strategically useful to achieve innovation goals in four key sectors: petroleum, finance, marine and health. The centre will be based at the Norwegian Computing Center (NR) and in partnership with the University of Oslo (UiO), the Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU) and - very interestingly - 11 industrial partners, including Statoil, DnBNOR, Gjensidige, Hydro, and Institute of Marine Research. These two centres, and all internationally oriented centres, consider applications of candidates ongoing.

arXiv Statistics and Probability

The statistics and probability arXiv are part of the e-print arXiv of physics, mathematics, and computer science. It is maintained at Cornell University. The arXiv was started in 1991 at Los Alamos in the area of high-energy theoretical physics. It is freely available and mirrored in 15 countries; new submissions are usually available the next day. The mathematics arXiv was formed from a number of smaller mathematical archives, with some in the arXiv system and some elsewhere, at the beginning of 1998. The system as a whole has over 200,000 articles in physics, over 20,000 in mathematics, and over 2,000 in computer science. The ultimate goal is to distribute all new research literature in all three disciplines worldwide, to store it permanently, and to keep it freely available. Two of the categories in the mathematics arXiv are probability and statistics. Statistics includes applied, computational and theoretical statistics. The two links are here:
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/

Meetings (new announcements only):

Séminaire Européen de Statistique 2007: 6-12 May 2007
This summer school is organised by the European Mathematical Society together with the European Regional Committee of the Bernoulli Society, and will take place in La Manga del Mar Menor (Cartagena, Spain) May 6-12, 2007. Courses will be delivered by Valentine Genon-Catalot (Paris), Jean Jacod (Paris), Alexander Lindner (Munich), Per Mykland (Chicago), Gareth Roberts (Lancaster), Michael Sørensen (Copenhagen), Andrew Stuart (Warwick) and Lan Zhang (Chicago). The summer school is intended for up to 40 Postdocs and PhD students interested in the subject. Contributed talks or poster presentations are possible. The summer school is funded by the European Commission, which will cover major parts of travel and living expenses. Applications including a CV, a list of publications, a short letter of reference and (optionally) a title and abstract for a proposed presentation should be sent electronically to semstat@upct.es by January 19, 2007. More information is available at www.dmae.upct.es/semstat2007/.

EURANDOM Workshops

Eurandom
Eurandom (http://www.eurandom.tue.nl) is organising the following events in the first half of 2007:

March 19-23, 2007
Workshop "YEP IV (Young European Probabilists) 2007:
Random Graphs and Complex Networks”

April 16-18, 2007
Workshop "Mathematical Methodologies for Operational Risk"

June 18-22, 2007, Workshop "Random Polymers"
For more detailed information, please consult http://www.eurandom.tue.nl/abstracts_seminars/2007.htm
or contact L. Coolen, EURANDOM, coolen@eurandom.tue.nl.

CLAPEM 2007

The Latin American Congress of Probability and Mathematical Statistics (CLAPEM), organised by the Bernoulli Society (Latin American Chapter), is the main event for probability and mathematical statistics in the region. It occurs every two/three years and attracts researchers and students from the most important latino-american centers. It was already organised in Venezuela, Uruguay, México, Brazil, Chile, Argentina and Cuba. The tenth edition of CLAPEM will be realised in the Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, Lima, from February 25 to March 3, 2007, as a contribution to the development of the area in this country. For more information, see www.pucp.edu.pe/eventos/congresos/matematica/clapem.
Two mini courses are part of the programme: Jim Ramsay (McGill University, Montréal, Canada), Four Lectures on Functional data analysis; and Claudio Landim (IMPA), Interacting particle systems in random environments.
Bernoulli Society Satellite Meeting of ISI 2007
The 56th Session of the ISI will be held in Lisbon in 2007 and satellite meetings are being organised on a few subjects. We would like to invite people working in the field of Probability and Statistics in Science and Technology to join us at the Bernoulli Society Satellite Meeting of ISI 2007, to be held at the Faculty of Engineering at the University of Porto, Portugal, after the Session in Lisbon. We will keep you updated. Local Organisers: Paula Milheiro, poliv@fe.up.pt, (+351) 225081923.
Fourteenth Applied Probability Society of INFORMS Conference, Eindhoven, The Netherlands, July 9-11, 2007
The Fourteenth Applied Probability Society of INFORMS Conference will take place at Eindhoven University of Technology & EURANDOM Eindhoven, July 9-11, 2007.
Programme Committee Co-Chairs are Onno Boxma and Michel Mandjes. Preliminary information about the Conference can be found at http://appliedprob.society.informs.org/INFORMS2007/Index.html.

Keynote and tutorial speakers include Peter Glynn (Stanford University, USA), Frank Kelly (Cambridge University, UK), Alain-Sol Sznitman (ETH Zurich, Switzerland), Maury Bramson (University of Minnesota, USA), Paul Glasserman (Columbia University, USA), Philippe Robert (INRIA, France). The conference aims to cover all aspects of applied probability and stochastic models. The registration is open.

You will find more BS news here: http://isi.cbs.nl/bnews/06b/index.html

Bernoulli
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International Association for Official Statistics

iaoslogo.gif (4943 bytes) Editorial Address Paul J. Crowley, Senior Statistician, Business Statistics Integration & International Relations, Central Statistics Office, Ireland
Tel: +353-21-4535501
Fax: +353-21-4535433
E-mail: paul.j.crowley@cso.ie
President Brian N. Pink, Government Statistician, Statistics New Zealand, Wellington, New Zealand
Tel: +64-49314606; Fax: +64-49314882
E-mail: brian.pink@stats.govt.nz
Website http://www.stats.govt.nz/iaos

Message from the IAOS President
ISI 2007 – IAOS Programme Satellite Meeting
ISI 2007 – IAOS Programme Session
IAOS Prize for Best Paper for Young Official Statisticians
 
Standing Committee on Regional and Urban Statistics (SCORUS)

 

Paul J. Crowley Reports: 
Message from the IAOS President Mr. Brian Pink

IAOS and the Future

As President of the International Association for Official Statistics (IAOS), my committee and I are in the process of reviewing our current activities with a view to finding ways to build a broader membership with an interest in official statistics in the coming years.

Over the next couple of decades, I believe official statistical systems will come under a great deal more pressure and scrutiny, at both national and international levels, than has been the case to date. In these circumstances, a strong and robust independent scientific association such as the IAOS will continue to be an essential part of the official statistical community. Its focus should, in my view, be dedicated to:
• supporting the development and use of best practices in official statistics at conceptual, ethical, methodological and operational levels;
• be able to engage the best minds in providing a strong scientific foundation for official statistics;
• providing a strong interface to encourage dialogue between those who produce and those who use official statistics, particularly in emerging areas of interest; and
• having programmes to support the professional development of official statisticians across the world.

Against this background, one of the significant benefits that I believe the IAOS provides for both producers and users of official statistics is an environment in which issues of mutual interest can be discussed outside of the more formal international intergovernmental forums. It is also the case that the IAOS statutes provide that we can involve a wider group of participants drawn from user groups, academia, industry and potentially the media as well.

In practice however, with the exception of the SCORUS group within our Section, the IAOS has tended to draw most of its membership from staff of national statistical organisations or in some cases from other organisations involved in producing official statistics. Analysis of our current membership also shows a strong bias towards NSOs of developed countries with members from these organisations tending to be drawn from the more senior ranks.

The challenge now is to find ways to extend the value of being a member of the IAOS so as to achieve stronger representation from developing countries, encourage involvement from a wider range of staff from those NSOs and international statistical organisations that already have active members, and to draw in a wider range of members from academic and broader user communities across all countries.

My committee would greatly appreciate your feedback on the following questions and on any other ideas you might like to put forward.
Q - In what ways would you like to see the IAOS develop over the next few years and how could this enhance its value to your organisation, as well as to other organisations involved in producing official statistics in your country?
Q - Would you, and/or staff nominated by you, be prepared to participate in:
• professional development activities organised around our IAOS conferences;
• organising, or contributing papers to, the scientific programmes for each IAOS conference;
• hosting, or participating in, study tours on specific issues/topics;
• participating in staff exchange programmes;
• exploring at a regional level how the IAOS could provide more value to you and the broader range of users and producers that we are trying to reach.
Q - What should be the purpose of our biennial IAOS conference (e.g. theme-based or more general)?
Q - How might we better engage academic, business and community groups and possibly the media in the activities of the IAOS?

I would ask that you send any ideas or suggestions you might have to my e-mail address brian.pink@stats.govt.nz with a deadline of end of April 2007.

Brian Pink
IAOS President

IAOS

ISI 2007 – IAOS Programme
Satellite Meeting of the 56th Session of the ISI, Lisbon, 2007, August 31st - September 2nd, 2007

The IAOS is pleased to be a sponsor for this meeting, which will have as its topic ‘Innovative Methodologies for Censuses in the New Millennium’. The meeting is to be held at the Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK. The Programme Committee is now calling for papers based on the following criteria:

Motivation
Population censuses are a key source of detailed demographic and socio-economic information, despite increasing difficulties in conducting them. In addition, they are often the main source for the updating of sampling frames that form the basis for carrying out regular household sample surveys, required to provide ongoing information for monitoring economic and social development.

In the past, conferences on the topic of censuses have tended to focus on the management of the census process, rather than on the underlying methodology, with methodological issues usually confined to occasional sessions at general statistical conferences. In recent years, National Statistical Institutes (NSIs) have been directing more resources for developing innovative statistical methodological techniques, in order to increase the efficiency of the census process, such as in non-response and coverage adjustments, estimation, editing and imputation techniques, etc. The aim of this meeting is to highlight and focus on the methodological advances that are taking place around the world, and raise awareness regarding best practices in census methodology.

Relevance
The next major round of censuses will be in 2010/2011. This suggests that many NSI’s are currently studying and testing the methodology for their next census. Holding such a meeting in the second half of 2007 is therefore an ideal timing for discussing methodological developments that are already taking place, and the challenges facing the methodology of future censuses.

Target Audience
This meeting intends to bring together leading experts in census methodology from around the world. Each keynote speaker will focus on specific areas of development and his or her presentation will be followed by contributed papers that will be organised around the same theme.
We foresee three target groups. The first group consists of methodologists engaged in the development of census methodology in NSIs. The proposed meeting will give them the opportunity to share ideas and learn from each other. The second group consists of potential users of statistical methodology as applied to census taking, and of census data users, who will have an opportunity to learn of a range of methodological developments rather than being confined to what their particular NSI is proposing. The third group consists of statisticians and academic researchers who can contribute to census methodology by developing and applying relevant state of the art statistical techniques developed in other areas of statistics, such as small area estimation.

Core Topics
The meeting is intended to cover all the methodological aspects of the census process. Papers may focus on any of the topics below, but may also cover other relevant methodological issues. The core topics of interest include, but are not limited to, the following:
• enumeration methodology, including the non-standard approaches to modern censuses such as ‘rolling censuses’ or ‘register-based censuses’;
• coverage assessment and adjustments, enumeration strategies to reduce non-response;
• sampling and estimation issues;
• scientific questionnaire design and testing;
• innovative uses of modern communication technology to improve data collection;
• editing and imputation techniques;
• data disclosure control and the production of flexible and usable outputs;
• census geography definition and outputs for geographic information systems;
• census outputs for building or updating frames and other forms of auxiliary information to assist in sample survey design and estimation;
• reconciling census population estimates with prior population projections.
Paper Submission
Abstracts of papers can be submitted online on the conference website. They should contain a title, names of authors with their affiliation and addresses, and an abstract not exceeding 500 words.

Abstracts must be received by 9 March 2007.
Notification of acceptance will be sent by 5 April 2007.
Full papers must be received by 1 June 2007.

Programme and Organising Committee
Professor Danny Pfeffermann (Chair, University of Southampton and Hebrew University)
Dr. James Brown (University of Southampton)
Professor Ray Chambers (University of Wollongong)
Professor David Martin (University of Southampton)
Professor Emeritus Gad Nathan (Hebrew University)
Dr. Pedro Silva (University of Southampton)

The language of the meeting will be English. A conference website will allow access to the papers and other conference materials.

ISI 2007 IAOS Programme Session

The Programme for the IAOS sessions during the 2007 ISI Session in August has been finalised. The sessions are as follows:
Thursday, August 23
Session 1 - Strengthening ties between producers and users of official statistics.
Session 2 - The recording of pension liabilities in the National Accounts.
Session 3 - Do users need indicators or statistics?
Friday, August 24
Session 1 - Updating international statistical standards: Does the process work?
Saturday, August 25
Session 1 - International comparative city and regional statistics on social cohesion and economic diversity.
Session 2 - Urban, regional and migration research: New approaches.
Monday, August 27
Session 1 - Current issues in Seasonal Adjustment for official statistics.
Session 2 - Implementing the Updated System of National Accounts (SNA).
Session 3 - Norms and values in modern international statistical co-operation.
Tuesday, August 28
Session 1 - Self Assessment of Data Quality – Tools and Experiences.
Session 2 - Internal standards and Quality management in official statistics.
Wednesday, August 29
Session 1 - Re-measuring the World Economies.
Session 2 - Improving Capacity of Statistical Systems to Measure Development Results.
There are also a number of sessions that have been organised in partnership between the IAOS and other branches of the ISI.

IAOS

IAOS Prize for Best Paper for Young Official Statisticians

The IAOS recently launched a competition for young official statisticians. The purpose of this competition is to encourage more young official statisticians to take an active interest in the activities of the IAOS. The competition is for the best paper in the field of official statistics written by young official statisticians.

Prize
The Author(s) of the best paper will be awarded the following prize:
• A cash prize valued at €1,500;
• Invitation to the ISI Session in Lisbon, Portugal, in August 2007;
• Airfare and Hotel Accommodation for the ISI Session;
• An opportunity to present their paper at the Session;
• 2 years of IAOS membership;
• A certificate of award from the IAOS acknowledging their success in this competition.

Prizes will also be awarded to those in second and third place, respectively. The awards shall comprise:
2nd Place - Prize valued at €1000, 2 years of IAOS membership and certificate;
3rd Place - Prize valued at €500, 2 years of IAOS membership
and certificate.

Conditions
There is no restriction with respect to the topic. The paper may not exceed ten pages. The paper will be judged by an international panel with President-Elect Olav Ljones as the Chair. The adjudication panel for the prize will make their recommendations of the best paper based on the following:
• Scientific merit;
• Originality;
• Applicability of ideas in statistical offices; and
• Quality of the exposition.

The decision of the panel will be final. To be eligible, you must:
• be under the age of 35 on 1 January 2007;
• be employed by an official statistics agency; and
• be prepared to travel to Lisbon in August 2007 to present the paper.

Submission of papers for the 2007 competition is now called. If you are interested, please send your paper, preferably in MS Word format, to sharleen.forbes@stats.govt.nz. If you have any questions, she will be happy to assist you.
The deadline for submissions is 28 February 2007.
The winner will be announced by the end of April 2007 and will have an opportunity to present the paper in one of the IAOS sessions, at the 56th ISI Session in Lisbon 22-29 August 2007.

Future Programmes

Future activity will be concerned with the organisation of the 2008 IAOS Conference (venue will be announced in the next issue of the ISI Newsletter) and the 2009 ISI Session in South Africa. The 2008 Conference will incorporrate the SCORUS Conference and is likely to take place in October 2008. Members who may have suggestions about the 2008 and 2009 Conferences are invited to send their comments to the President, Brian Pink, or the President-Elect, Olav Ljones.

IAOS


Standing Committee on Regional and Urban Statistics

www.scorusnet.com
Submitted by Wendy Thomas
11th Annual Berlin SCORUS Conference 2007: Statistics and the Help of Young People in Big Cities

Labour Market: Working Places and Working Possibilities
Another successful meeting of the Statistics and the Help of Young People in Big Cities was held 8-10 January 2007. Special thanks go out to Dr. Eckhart Elsner for his continued work in preparing this yearly Conference. The smaller size and intimate venue of this Conference allows for extensive interaction and discussion among the participants, providing the opportunity to fully explore problems and solutions, as well as to build new and lasting networks between professionals in this important area of work. See the SCORUS website for additional information as it becomes available.

Proceedings from the SCORUS 2006 Conference

Papers from the 25th SCORUS Conference on Regional and Urban Statistics and Research, "Globalization Impact on Regional and Urban Statistics", are now available on the Conference website: http://www.scorus2006.ae.wroc.pl/.

A CD-ROM version of the Proceedings is in final preparation. We want to give special thanks to Jósef Dziechciaz, Anna Król and her associates at the Wroclaw University of Economics for their work in organising the Conference and producing this publication.

SCORUS Contributions to 2007 ISI Lisboa Session

Look for the following sessions organised by SCORUS at the next ISI Session in Lisbon. Both sessions are tentatively scheduled for Saturday, 25 August.
IPM19 International comparative city and regional statistics on social cohesion and economic diversity
Organiser: Dominic Leung

IPM20 Urban, regional and migration research: New approaches
Organiser: Marie Chamie

Planning for ISI Session 2009

Planning for the ISI Session in 2009 is already underway. Wendy Thomas is serving as the SCORUS Representative to the IAOS Planning Committee. Once again, we will be preparing two sessions focusing on Urban and Regional Statistics. We welcome your suggestions for topics or invited speakers. Please contact Wendy Thomas at wlt@pop.umn.edu with any comments or questions you may have.

SCORUS List Server for Friends and Members of SCORUS

In order to improve communications within SCORUS and reach out to our friends who have an interest in our activities, we have just initiated a new list server scorus@pop.umn.edu.
Interested persons are encouraged to join the list by registering at: https://mail.socsci.umn.edu/mailman/listinfo/scorus.

All requests to join will be confirmed and reviewed to protect the list users from unwanted spam. The purpose of the list server is to provide an additional forum for discussion and facilitate our ability to inform interested persons of SCORUS related activities. If you have questions about the list server, please contact the SCORUS Secretary, Wendy Thomas wlt@pop.umn.edu.

IAOS
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International Association for Statistical Computing

iasc.jpg (5447 bytes)

    

Editorial Address Paula Brito, Ph.D., IASC Scientific Secretary, Faculdade de Economia, Universidade do Porto,
Rua Dr. Roberto Frias, 4200-464 Porto, Portugal
Tel: (+351) 225571233; Fax: (+351) 225505050
E-mail: mpbrito@fep.up.pt
President Gilbert Saporta, Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers,
Chaire de Statistique Appliquée,
292 rue Saint Martin, 75141 Paris cedex 03, France
Tel: +33-1 40 27 22 68 ; Fax: +33-1 40 27 27 46
E-mail: saporta@cnam.fr
Website IASC website:
http://www.iasc-isi.org
CSDA SSN website:
www.csdassn.org 

 
I. 25th Anniversary of the European Regional Section of IASC

The European Regional Section (ERS) of IASC celebrated its 25th anniversary last December.
On December 11th, 1981, the IASC General Assembly, during the 43rd Session of the ISI in Buenos Aires, approved the establishment of the European Regional Section of IASC. To celebrate this event, Gianfranco Galmacci, former ERS Chairman, prepared a short history to recall the main steps, role and activities of this Section. The text can be found at http://www.iasc-isi.org/.

IASC
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II. 2007 IASC-ARS Special Conference

The 2007 IASC-ARS Special Conference will be held in Seoul on June 7-8, 2007. The objective of this Conference is to promote Pan-Asian Collaboration between statisticians.
Professors Yutaka Tanaka (Japan, IASC Vice-President), Nick Fisher (Australia, ISI Vice-President) and Wing Kam Fung (Hong Kong, IASC-ARS Chairman) will be the Co-Chairs of International Organising Committee.
At this point Jeff Teugels (Belgium), Nick Fisher (Australia, ISI Vice-President), Stan Azen (USA, CSDA Editor), and Erricos Kontoghiorghes (UK, CSDA Co-Editor), Jae C. Lee (Korea, CSDA Co-Editor), Gilbert Saporta (France, IASC President), Lutz Edler (Germany, former IASC President) have accepted to be key speakers.
Please contact Professor Jung Jin Lee (Korea), Chair of Local Organising Committee directly at jjlee@ssu.ac.kr if you have an interest in this Conference.

IASC
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III. IASC International Conference on Statistics for Data Mining,
Learning and Knowledge Extraction – Aveiro, Portugal, 2007

IASC 07 is a Satellite Meeting promoted by the IASC, International Association for Statistical Computing, that will be held at the University of Aveiro, August 30th-September 1st, 2007. Aveiro is a small city near the sea in the centre of Portugal.
The purpose of the Meeting is to foster the interaction of researchers in the interface between computational statistics, data mining, knowledge discovery and statistical learning.

The Conference Scientific Committee is formed by Carlo Lauro (Universita' degli Studi di Napoli "Federico II”, Italy) and Gilbert Saporta (Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers, France), as Co-Chairs, and also Jaromir Antoch (Charles University, Czech Republic), Stanley P. Azen (University of Southern California, USA), Tu Bao Ho (Japan Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Japan), Pavel Brazdil (University of Porto, Portugal), Paula Brito (University of Porto, Portugal), Paolo Giudici (Università di Pavia, Italy), Erricos Kontoghiorghes (University of Cyprus, Cyprus), Gregory Piatetski-Shapiro (SIGKDD, USA), Edward J. Wegman (George Mason University, USA) and Djamel Zighed (Université Lumière Lyon 2, France). Manuela Souto de Miranda and Carlos Ferreira (Univ. of Aveiro, Portugal) are Co-Chairs of the Local Organsing Committee.
Invited speakers are already confirmed: Mário Figueiredo from Portugal, Donato Malerba from Italy, Gilbert Ritschard from Switzerland and Arno Siebes from The Netherlands.
The registration process is now open on the website of the conference (http://www2.mat.ua.pt/iasc07/).

Authors of contributed papers can present their work as an oral communication or in a poster session. For a contributed paper to be included on the CD-ROM of the Conference, the paper must be loaded at the "PAPER SUBMISSION" system before February 28th, 2007, which is accessible after the registration process. A selection of very high-quality papers form the CD-ROM will be published in a special edition of the Computational Statistics & Data Analysis (CSDA).
Participants of the IASC 07 can buy their airplane tickets to Lisbon (250 km) or Porto (70 km) under special conditions using TAP as the official carrier company of the Meeting. Accommodation in local hotels or in the campus residences will be provided through Top Atlântico operated by TopTours. As those companies are also official partners of the 56th ISI Session, the travel and accommodation reservations will be simplified for the participants of both Meetings.

Important Deadlines:
Paper submission: February 28th, 2007
Early registration: March 31st, 2007
Notification of acceptance: May 2nd-8th, 2007
Standard registration: May 31st, 2007
IASC 07 Conference: August 30th - September 1st, 2007

Further information may be found on the Conference web page, http://www.mat.ua.pt/iasc07.

IASC
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IV. IASC-ERS 2007 Summer School on STATISTICAL LEARNING: Data Mining and Regression Tools

An IASC-ERS Summer School on STATISTICAL LEARNING: Data Mining and Regression Tools will take place on the Island of Procida, Italy, from September the 3rd until September the 7th, 2007. The Summer School is locally organised by the Second University of Naples, the University of Naples “Federico II”, the University of Orientale and the University of Benevento; Professor Rosaria Lombardo (Faculty of Economics of the Second University of Naples) is the Chairperson.
In the context of the Data Mining process, the main goal is to discover knowledge from large database using statistical learning techniques. A strong emphasis will be given to case studies and live applications on PCs.

The provisional programme of the Summer School is as follows:
Monday, September 3:
Morning - Introduction - What is Data Mining? Defining the problem, Selecting the techniques. (Coppi, R.)
Afternoon - Non-linear regression, classification and dimension reduction with multivariate optimal scaling techniques. (Meulman, J.)
Tuesday, September 4:
Morning - Case Studies - Applications in PC room. (Meulman, J.)
Afternoon - Neural Network and case studies (Perna, C., La Rocca, M.)
Wednesday, September 5:
Morning - Classification and regression trees, random forests - Predictive Learning via Rule Ensembles. (Friedman, J.)
Afternoon - Case Studies - Applications in PC room. (Friedman, J.)
Thursday, September 6:
Morning - Structured non parametric regression and classification and case studies. (Scarpa, B.)
Afternoon - Multilevel Regression and applications on educational data. (Gori, E.)
Friday, September 7:
Morning - Boosted Partial Least Squares Regression. (Durand, J.F.)
Afternoon - Case Studies - Applications in PC room. (Durand, J.F.)
The participants are expected to have a good background in statistics at the Ph.D level, although not necessarily oriented to the subject of the course. Also, professionals working in industry interested in Data Mining are invited to participate.
The participation of young researchers is favoured through scholarships that will be limited and granted according to strict criteria.
For further information, please contact Professor Rosaria Lombardo, rosaria.lombardo@unina2.it.

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V. COMPSTAT 2008

The 18th COMPSTAT Symposium will take place in Porto, Portugal, on August 24th-29th, 2008. The Conference, sponsored by the European Regional Section of the IASC, is locally organised by the Faculty of Economics of the University of Porto (www.fep.up.pt).

The Scientific Programme Committee is now formed, and is composed of the following persons:
Ex-officio:
COMPSTAT 2008 Organiser and Chairperson of SPC:
Paula Brito, University of Porto (Portugal),
Past COMPSTAT Organiser: Alfredo Rizzi, Università degli Studi di Roma "La Sapienza" (Italy);
Next COMPSTAT organiser: Gilbert Saporta, Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers (France);
Incoming IASC-ERS Chairman: Erricos Kontoghiorghes, University of Cyprus, (Cyprus).
Members:
Helena Bacelar-Nicolau, University of Lisbon (Portugal); Gianfranco Galmacci, Universita degli Studi di Perugia (Italy); Carlo Lauro, University of Naples Federico II (Italy); Esther Ruiz-Ortega, University Carlos III (Spain); Michael Schimek, Medical University of Graz, (Austria); Antonia Turkman, University of Lisbon (Portugal); Joe Whittaker, University of Lancaster (UK); Djamel A. Zighed, University Lumière Lyon 2 (France).
Consultative Members:
Representative of the Asian Regional Section of IASC:
Wing Kam Fung, The University of Hong Kong.
Representative of the International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS):
Vincenzo Esposito-Vinzi, ESSEC (France).
Representative of Interface:
Edward Wegman, George Mason University (USA).

Further information will be posted on the Conference website, www.fep.up.pt/compstat08/.

VI. COMPSTAT 2010

The COMPSTAT 2010 Symposium will take place in Paris. The Meeting is scheduled for August 23rd to 27th, in the premises of Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers (CNAM), located in the heart of Paris.
The Conference will be organised by CNAM statisticians with the support of INRIA, the French national institute for computer science.

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VII. The 4th World Conference on Computational Statistics & Data Analysis of the International Association for Statistical Computing (IASC) and the 6th Conference of Asian Regional Section of IASC

The Joint Meeting of 4th World Conference of the IASC and 6th Conference of the Asian Regional Section of the IASC on Computational Statistics & Data Analysis (IASC2008) will be held at Pacifico Yokohama in Japan on 5th-8th December 2008.

The Conference aims at bringing together researchers and practitioners to discuss recent developments in computational methods, methodology and applications in statistics.

The IASC2008 International Organising Committee is composed of:
Junji Nakano Chairperson of IASC2008 (The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Japan); Gilbert Saporta (Conservatoire National des Arts et Metiers, France); Jaromir Antoch (Charles University, Czech Republic); Wing Kam Fung (University of Hong Kong, SAR China); Moon Yul Huh (Sungkyunkwan University, Korea); Tohru Uwoi (Bellsystem24 Inc., Japan); Shingo Shirahata (Osaka University, Japan); Genshiro Kitagawa (The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Japan); Yoshiyasu Tamura (The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Japan).
With the Advisory Board:
Stanley P. Azen (University of Southern California, USA); Lutz Edler (German Cancer Research Center, Germany); Jae Chang Lee (Korea University); Yutaka Tanaka (Nanzan University).

The Scientific Programme Committee is as follows:
Masahiro Mizuta - Chair (Hokkaido University, Japan); Yoshimichi Ochi - Vice-Chair (Oita University, Japan); Tomas Aluja-Banet (The Technical University of Catalonia, Spain); Paula Brito (University of Porto, Portugal); Chun-houh Chen (Academia Sinica, Taiwan); Robert Gentleman (Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, USA); Tomoyuki Higuchi (The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Japan); Erricos Kontoghiorghes (University of Cyprus, Cyprus); Jung Jin Lee (Soong Sil University, Korea); Youngjo Lee (Seoul National University, Korea); Paul Murrell (The University of Auckland, New Zealand); David Scott (Rice University, USA); Berwin Turlach (The University of Western Australia, Australia); Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi (ESSEC, France); Huiwen Wang (Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, China); Philip Leung-ho Yu University of Hong Kong, SAR China).

Conference topics include:
Adaptive design and inference; Application to finance; Bayesian approaches; Bioinformatics and genomic information; Biostatistics and biometrics; Classification and discrimination; Computer intensive methods; Data mining: knowledge extraction from databases; Development and evaluation of statistical software; Econometrics; Environmental statistics; Functional data analysis Image and signal processing; Information and statistical modelling; Internet and web based methods; Longitudinal data analysis; Machine learning; Methodology and algorithms of statistical computing; Reduction of multidimensional data; Risk management; Robust and nonparametric methods; Statistical graphics and data visualization; Statistics in medical and pharmaceutical sciences; Temporal and spatial data analysis; Use of computers in statistical education.

For more information, please contact the Chairperson of IASC2008:
Junji Nakano
The Institute of Statistical Mathematics
4-6-7 Minami-Azabu, Minato-ku
Tokyo 106-8569, Japan

Executive Secretary: Yoshiro Yamamoto, Tokai University, Japan
E-mail: iasc2008@ism.ac.jp
Website: http://www.iasc-ars.org/IASC2008/

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International Association for Statistical Education

iase1.gif (1817 bytes) Editorial Addresses Andrej Blejec, National Institute of Biology,
Vecna pot 111 POB 141, Sl-1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia.
Tel: +386 1 423 33 88, Fax: +386 1 2412 980
E-mail: andrej.blejec@nib.si
and
K. Laurence Weldon, Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science,
Simon Fraser University, 8888 University Drive, Burnaby, BC, Canada V5A 1S6
Tel: +1 604 291 3667, Fax: +1 604 291 4368
E-mail: weldon@sfu.ca
President Gilberte Schuyten, Department Data Analysis
University Ghent, H. Dunantlaan 1, B-9000 Gent, Belgium
Tel: +32 92 64 63 86, Fax: +32 92 64 64 87
E-mail: gilberte.schuyten@ugent.be
Website: http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~iase/members/profile_view_ind.php?id=545
Website http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~iase/

 

The 2007 Session of the International Statistical Institute, ISI-56 Lisbon, Portugal, August 22-29, 2007

After a very successful ICOTS-7 in Brazil, we are already busy with organising the IASE sessions at ISI 56. The ISI biennial Session is the main conference of the International Statistical Institute (ISI) and will be held in Lisbon, Portugal, in August 2007. These Sessions are held every two years. The last was in Sydney in 2005. As it does at each major ISI Session, the IASE will be organising about 10 statistics education sessions for ISI 56. Please check the website at http://www.isi2007.com.pt for more information, and contact the session organisers below if you would like to offer to speak in one of the sessions.

IASE sponsored IPMs and their Organisers:

IPM37 Research on Reasoning about Distribution,
Joan Garfield (jbg@umn.edu)

IPM38 How modern technologies have changed the curriculum in introductory courses,
Lucette Carter (lucette.carter@gmail.com)

IPM39 Preparing Teachers of Statistics,
Allan Rossman (arossman@calpoly.edu)

IPM40 Research on the use of simulation in teaching statistics and probability,
Rolf Biehler (biehler@mathematik.uni-kassel.de)

IPM41 Optimizing Internet-based Resources for Teaching Statistics (cosponsored by IASC),
Ginger Holmes Rowell (rowell@mtsu.edu)

IPM42 Observational Studies, Confounding and Multivariate Thinking,
Milo Schield (milo@pro-ns.net)

IPM43 Teaching of Official Statistics (co-sponsored by IAOS),
Sharleen Forbes (Sharleen.Forbes@stats.govt.nz)

IPM44 Teaching of Survey Statistics (co-sponsored by IASS),
Steve Heeringa (sheering@isr.umich.edu)

IPM45 Studying variability through sports phenomena (co-sponsored by Sports Statistics),
Brian Phillips (BPhillips@groupwise.swin.edu.au)

IPM46 Use of Symbolic Computing Systems in Teaching Statistics (co-sponsored by IASC),
Zaven Karian (Karian@Denison.edu)

IASE Organising Committee:

Allan J. Rossman (USA) arossman@calpoly.edu
Gilberte Schuyten (Belgium) gilberte.schuyten@UGent.be
Chris Wild (New Zealand) c.wild@auckland.ac.nz

For more information, visit the ISI 56 website at http://www.isi2007.com.pt or contact members of OC.

Contributed by Allan Rossman

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IASE Satellite Conference on Assessing Student Learning in Statistics

Guimaraes, Portugal, August 19-21, 2007

I have great pleasure in making a further call for posters for the ISI/IASE Satellite Conference on Assessing Student Learning in Statistics. The meeting will be held on 19-21 August 2007 in Guimarães, Portugal, immediately prior to ISI 56 in Lisbon. The fascinating historic city of Guimarães is about 50 km from Portugal’s second largest city, Oporto.

This Satellite Conference invites papers on all aspects of assessing student learning in statistics. For example, we expect to have papers on writing effective exam questions, on exam implementation strategies, and on alternative assessment methods such as projects, lab assignments, and writing assignments. We also encourage submissions on how to use assessment to improve student learning, and on developing and administering assessments items to conduct research into student learning. Proceedings will be available free at the publication page of IASE.

Conference Committee
• Brian Phillips (Australia) (Joint Chair and Joint Chief Editor) bphillips@swin.edu.au
• Beth Chance (USA) (Joint Chair) bchance@calpoly.edu
• Allan Rossman (USA) arossman@calpoly.edu
• Ginger Rowell (USA) rowell@mtsu.edu
• Gilberte Schuyten (Belgium) gilberte.schuyten@UGent.be 
• Larry Weldon (Canada) (Joint Chief Editor) weldon@sfu.ca

Local Organiser:
Bruno C. de Sousa (Portugal) bruno@mct.uminho.pt
For more information, visit the website at http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~iase/conferences.php?show=iasesat07

Important Deadlines

IASE Satellite papers to be refereed: 31 January 2007
IASE Satellite papers not to be refereed: 31 March 2007
Authors must register for the Meeting by: 31 March 2007
Other participants register for the Meeting by: 31 May 2007
Final papers for proceedings: 31 May 2007

Contributed by Gilberte Schuyten

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Joint ICMI /IASE Study

Statistics Education in School Mathematics: Challenges for Teaching and Teacher Education
Monterrey, Mexico, June 30 to July 4, 2008

The International Commission on Mathematical Instruction (ICMI, http://www.mathunion.org/ICMI/) and the International Association for Statistical Education (IASE, http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~iase/) are pleased to announce the Joint ICMI/IASE Study Statistics Education in School Mathematics: Challenges for Teaching and Teacher Education.
Following the tradition of ICMI Studies, this Study will be comprised of two parts: the Joint Study Conference and the production of the Joint Study book. The Joint Study Conference will be merged with the IASE 2008 Round Table Conference.

The Joint Study Conference (ICMI Study and IASE Round Table Conference) will take place at the Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores, Monterrey, Mexico (http://www.mty.itesm.mx/), from June 30 to July 4, 2008. Participation in the Conference is only by invitation, based on a submitted contribution and a refereeing process. Accepted papers will be presented at the Conference and will appear in the Proceedings that will be published by ICMI and IASE as a CD-ROM and on the Internet.
The second part of the Joint Study – the Joint Study book – will be produced after the Conference and will be published in the ICMI Study Series. Participation in the Joint Study Conference does not automatically assure participation in the book, since a second selection and rewriting of selected papers will be made after the Conference.

Proposed papers for contributions to the Joint Study Conference should be submitted by e-mail no later than October 1, 2007, to the IPC Study Chair (Carmen Batanero, batanero@ugr.es). Papers should be relevant to the Joint Study focus and research questions, as described in the Discussion Document (which is available at the Joint Study website (http://www.ugr.es/~icmi/iase_study/). Guidelines for preparing and submitting the paper are also available in the Discussion Document. Please address questions to Carmen Batanero, batanero@ugr.es or Joan Garfield, jbg@umn.edu.

International Programme Committee:
Carmen Batanero (Spain)
Bernard Hodgson (Canada; ICMI Representative)
Allan Rossman (USA IASE Representative)
Armando Albert (México ITSM Representative)
Dani Ben-Zvi (Israel)
Gail Burrill (USA)
Doreen Connor (UK)
Joachim Engel (Germany)
Joan Garfield (USA)
Jun Li (China)
Maria Gabriella Ottaviani (Italy)
Maxine Pfannkuch (New Zealand)
Mokaeane Victor Polaki (Lesotho)
Chris Reading (Australia)

Local Organising Committee:
Blanca Ruiz (Chair),
Tomás Sánchez,
Armando Albert

More information is available from Carmen Batanero, batanero@ugr.es or from the study web page
http://www.ugr.es/~icmi/iase_study/

Contributed by Carmen Batanero

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ICOTS-8

Data and Context in Statistics Education: Towards an Evidence-Based Society
Ljubljana, Slovenia, 11-16 July 2010

We are pleased to announce that the IASE Executive accepted the proposal made by the Statistical Society of Slovenia to hold ICOTS-8 in 2010 in Slovenia.

The decision was announced at the ICOTS-7 farewell dinner. The first steps towards organising have already been taken by the IASE Executive: the conference theme has been chosen and the Scientific and Local Committees have been appointed.

The conference theme ‘Data and Context in Statistics Education’ emphasises two concepts that are key concepts at nearly all levels of statistics education. The subtitle ‘Towards an Evidence-Based Society’ offers a gateway to reflections about the past, present and future status of statistics in society and about the impact of statistics education on learning objectives. We shall learn about statistics and see how we learn through the use of statistics.

The International Programme Committee Executive
IPC Chair: John Harraway
Programme Chair: Roxy Peck
Information Manager: John Shanks
Scientific Secretary: Helen MacGillivray
Editor Proceedings: Alan McLean
The Local Organising Committee
LOC Chair: Andrej Blejec
ICOTS-8 home page: http://ICOTS8.org

Contributed by Gilberte Schuyten

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Statistics Education Research Journal (SERJ)

We are pleased to announce the publication of the November 2006 issue, Vol. 5, No. 2, of the Statistics Education Research Journal, SERJ. This new special issue can be found on the SERJ web page at: http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/serj. The whole issue can be downloaded as a single PDF (1427 KB), or individual papers can be retrieved separately. Access to SERJ issues is free.

SERJ Vol. 5, No. 2 (November 2006)
Special Issue: Reasoning About Distribution
Guest Editors: Maxine Pfannkuch and Chris Reading

Maxine Pfannkuch and Chris Reading
Reasoning About Distribution: A Complex Process

Chris Wild
The Concept of Distribution

Maxine Pfannkuch
Comparing Box Plot Distributions: A Teacher’s Reasoning

Chris Reading and Jackie Reid
An Emerging Hierarchy of Reasoning About Distribution: From a Variation Perspective

Theodosia Prodromou and Dave Pratt
The Role of Causality in the Co-ordination of Two Perspectives on Distribution Within a Virtual Simulation

Aisling Leavy
Using Data Comparison to Support a Focus on Distribution: Examining Preservice Teachers’ Understandings of Distribution When Engaged in Statistical Inquiry

This issue also contains an Editorial, and information about past and future conferences.
SERJ is the electronic peer-reviewed research journal of IASE, the International Association for Statistical Education. It is published under the auspices of the International Statistical Institute (http://isi.cbs.nl).
Instructions for contributors and additional information about the Journal's goals and policies, as well as archives of older issues, can be found on the SERJ website: http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/serj.

Contributed by Iddo Gal and Tom Short, Co-Editors

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USCOTS 2007

United States Conference On Teaching Statistics
Columbus, OH, USA, May 17-19, 2007
The second biennial United States Conference on Teaching Statistics (USCOTS 07) will be held on May 17-19, 2007, at the Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio, hosted by CAUSE, the Consortium for the Advancement of Undergraduate Statistics Education. The target audience for USCOTS is teachers of undergraduate and AP statistics, from any discipline or type of institution. Teachers from two-year colleges are particularly encouraged to attend.

The theme for USCOTS 07 is Taking Statistics Teaching to the Next Level. ‘Next level’ has many interpretations, such as developing a second course, gaining more confidence in teaching statistics, moving students beyond statistical literacy to statistical thinking, and using the latest technology to improve teaching and learning. USCOTS is a ‘working conference’ with many opportunities for hands-on activities, demonstrations, networking, sharing ideas, and receiving the latest information on research and best practices in teaching statistics. Leaders in statistics education will give plenary talks, including Jessica Utts, Paul Velleman, Dick DeVeaux, Allan Rossman and Mike Shaughnessy.

For more information and registration, visit the USCOTS web page http://www.causeweb.org/uscots/.

Contributed by the Editors; (from USCOTS web page)

2007 USCOTS Lifetime Achievement Award in Statistics Education

The Consortium for the Advancement of Undergraduate Statistics Education (CAUSE) is pleased to accept nominations for the 2007 USCOTS Lifetime Achievement Award in Statistics Education. This biennial Award is presented at the U.S. Conference on Teaching Statistics to an individual who, over an extended period of time, has made lasting contributions with broad impact to the field of statistics education.

The Award Committee (George Cobb, Dennis Pearl, Roxy Peck and Deborah Rumsey) will review nominations arriving before February 1, 2007. A nomination letter should include a paragraph stating why the individual is deserving of the Award and be signed by three nominators. Letters may be sent by e-mail or post to:
Dennis Pearl
Director, CAUSE
OSU Department of Statistics
1958 Neil Avenue
Columbus, OH 43210-1247, USA
E-mail: Pearl.1@osu.edu

More information is available at http://www.causeweb.org/uscots/awards/.

Contributed by Allan Rossman

Awards and Appointment

At the ICOTS-7 meeting in Salvador, life membership in the IASE was conferred on Carmen Batanero (University of Granada, Department of Mathematics Education), former President of IASE.
Susan Starkings, Head of Skills Unit, London South Bank University, was awarded the prestigious National Teaching Fellow (NTF) award that recognises and rewards teachers and learning support staff in higher education in England and Northern Ireland for their excellence in teaching.
We are pleased to announce that Juana Sanchez (UCLA Department of Statistics) was appointed as the new Director of International Statistical Literacy Project (ISLP). For information about ISLP visit their home page at:
http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~iase/islp/home.

Contributed by the Editors

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International Association of Survey Statisticians

iass_bw.gif (6326 bytes) Editorial Address Lilli Japec, Scientific Secretary IASS, R&D Department, Statistics Sweden, Box 24 300, 104 51 Stockholm, Sweden
Tel: +46 8 5069 4794
Fax: +46 8 5069 4599
E-mail: lilli.japec@scb.se
President Gordon Brackstone, 78 Charing Road, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, K2G 4C9
Tel.: +1 613 224 0513
Fax: +1 613 951 1394
E-mail : gordon.brackstone@sympatico.ca
Secretariat Michel Péronnet, Executive Director
Claude Olivier, Secretary
INSEE/CEFIL, 3 rue de la Cité, 33500 Libourne, France.
Tel.: +33 5 5755 5600
Fax: +33 5 5755 5620
E-mail: michel.peronnet@insee.fr
E-mail: claude.olivier@insee.fr
  Anna Maria Vespa, Executive Secretary, Centre d’Etudes Prospectives et d’Informations Internationales (CEPII), 9 rue Georges Pitard, 75015 Paris, France. 
Tel.:+33-1-53685571 Fax : +33-1-53685501
E-mail: vespa@cepii.fr 
Website http://isi.cbs.nl/iass

 



Message from the IASS President

We are entering what is shaping up to be a very busy year for the IASS. The main event of course is the ISI Session in Lisbon in August at which we will be organising more than a dozen sessions, as well as offering six short courses. In addition, we are sponsoring two Satellite Meetings to take place after the ISI Session, one on small area estimation (to be held in Italy) and the other on censuses (in the U.K.). Earlier in the year, in June, we will be a co-sponsor of ICES 2007, the third International Conference on Establishment Surveys, to be held in Montréal. Information on all of these events is provided below (or through our website, http://isi.cbs.nl/iass).

Looking further ahead, our Programme Committee for the 2009 ISI Session in Durban is already considering topics to propose, and I draw your attention to the message from the Committee’s Chair that appears in this section of the Newsletter.

The results of the work of our Nominations Committee will become apparent shortly when the election ballots are circulated. I urge you all to return your ballots and have your say in the future leadership of the IASS.

I would like to take this opportunity of thanking some of our “unelected” officers of IASS who have taken on the significant tasks of leading our key committees over the past year: David Steel and Leyla Mohadjer, leaders of our 2007 and 2009 Programme Committees, respectively, Beverley Carlson, Chair of the Nominations Committee, and Sarah Nusser for the Cochran-Hansen Prize Committee. Also, we must thank Steve Heeringa, Editor of the Survey Statistician, who with his team of Section Editors, ensures the timely and interesting appearance of our newsletter, and Eric Rancourt who keeps our website up-to-date.

May I wish you all a prosperous New Year and a successful one for our Association.

Gordon Brackstone
President, IASS

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Message from the Scientific Secretary

Let me start with extending my best wishes to all members for 2007. I hope that many of you will be able to join us in Lisbon, Portugal, in August for the 56th Session of the International Statistical Institute (ISI).

We will offer a number of short courses before and after the ISI Session. The courses are led by high-level experts who teach practice and theory in survey methodology. Participants can, to some extent, tailor their course packages to their individual interests. The courses will be held in English.

Funding assistance to support statisticians from developing and transitional countries is being sought. The courses will be held in the Lisboa Congress Centre, which is also the venue for the ISI Session. The following courses will be offered.

Course A: Workshop on Survey Sampling
Presented by: Colm O’Muircheartaigh and Steven Heeringa
Duration: 2,5 days
Dates: August 18 (full day), August 19 (full day), August 20 (morning)

The workshop will focus on practical aspects of sampling for household surveys. It will start from basic principles and build up to complex stratified multi-stage sample designs. It will cover the main sampling techniques and also such issues as sampling frames, weighting, and imputation. It will end with an introduction to variance estimation with complex sample designs.

Course B: Variance Estimation in Complex Surveys
Presented by: Wayne Fuller, Kirk Wolter, F. Jay Breidt, and Anthony An
Duration: 2,5 days
Dates: August 20 (afternoon), August 21 (full day), August 22 (morning)

The purpose of this course is to provide training in variance estimation in complex surveys for survey statisticians, especially those from developing countries. The course will cover methods of estimating variances for statistics such as means, proportions, ratios, and regression coefficients. Variance estimation for imputed samples will be discussed. Both linearisation and replication methods will be presented. The use of computer software for computing variances of statistics from complex sample designs will be demonstrated and instruction will be given in practical applications. About one-half of the course will be devoted to computer implementation.

Course C: Workshop on Editing and Imputation of Survey Data
Presented by: John G. Kovar and Eric Rancourt
Duration: 1,5 days
Dates: August 21 (full day), August 22 (morning)

Surveys and censuses conducted by national statistical agencies, research institutes and other survey organisations suffer from various degrees of nonresponse even under ideal conditions. In order to try to alleviate the problems caused by nonresponse, editing and imputation methods are usually applied. Since the process of editing and imputation is time and resource intensive, care must be exercised in controlling the efficiency as well as the effectiveness of the methods. The aim of this short course is to provide the students with an introductory level description and discussion of the methods of prevention, detection and treatment of nonresponse. Evaluation of such methods and their impact on the survey outputs will be highlighted. Existing edit and imputation software will be compared. Numerous examples will be provided to illustrate the material presented.

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Course D: Introduction to Survey Quality
Presented by: Paul Biemer and Lars Lyberg
Duration: 2 days
Dates: August 20 (afternoon), August 21 (full day), August 22 (morning)

The course is designed for a broad audience that includes experienced survey researchers and practitioners who would benefit from a better understanding of the survey quality, as well as others with little prior experience in survey methods. It provides an introduction to the concepts, principles and terminology used in the study of survey quality. Accuracy is but one dimension, albeit a critical one, of a multi-dimensional framework that embodies survey quality. The course examines the goals of survey design with particular emphasis on minimising total mean squared error of key survey estimates subject to costs constraints as well as constraints on some quality dimensions. The sources of survey error are discussed within this scheme, focusing on four major sources: coverage error, nonresponse, data processing error and measurement error. Methods that are most often used in practice for evaluating the effects of the survey error will also be covered.

Course E: Statistical Disclosure Control
Presented by: Anco Hundepool, Eric Schulte Nordholt and Peter-Paul de Wolf
Duration: 2 days
Dates: August 30 (full day), August 31 (full day)

The purpose of this course is to provide the participants with an understanding of the methodological aspects of Statistical Disclosure Control, to train them in solving problems on this topic and to demonstrate the ARGUS software. The meaning and impact of Statistical Disclosure Control can only be appreciated in the light of practical problems and policy related issues. Therefore, some attention is also paid to such topics without putting heavy emphasis on them. Topics covered include theory and methods on microdata, exercises on microdata, demonstration of Mu-ARGUS, theory and methods on tabular data, exercises on tabular data, demonstration of Tau-ARGUS, legal issues, on-site facilities and remote access.

Course F: Design and Analysis of Repeated Surveys
Presented by: David Steel and Craig McLaren
Duration: 2 days
Dates: August 30 (full day), August 31 (full day)

This course will consider the interaction between the design of a repeated survey and the methods used for estimation and analysis. The choice of rotation pattern will be considered in terms of the impact on the estimation of levels and changes. Composite and other forms of estimators will be reviewed and the interaction between design and estimation explored. Estimation of seasonally adjusted and trend estimates from repeated surveys will also be considered.

Registration and course fees
The deadline for registration is April 30, 2007. Registration forms can be downloaded from the ISI 2007 website (under Scientific Programme) http://www.isi2007.com.pt/isi2007 or IASS website (http://isi.cbs.nl/iass).

For further information, please contact:
Lilli Japec, IASS Scientific Secretary
E-mail: isi2007_IASS_shortcourse@scb.se

Future meetings of interest to IASS members include:
• The International Conference on Establishment Surveys (ICES III), Montréal, Canada, June 18-21, 2007. Website: http://www.amstat.org/meetings/ices/2007
• The Second Baltic-Nordic Conference on Survey Sampling, Kuusamo, Finland, June 2-7, 2007. Website: http://www.mathstat.helsinki.fi/msm/banocoss/
• Small Area Estimation SAE2007, Satellite Meeting to the ISI Lisboa Session - Pisa, Italy, September 3-5, 2007. Website: http://www.dipstat.ec.unipi.it/SAE2007/ 
• Innovative Methodologies for Censuses in the New Millennium, Satellite Meeting to the 56th ISI Session in Lisbon – Southampton, U.K., August 31-September 2, 2007. Contact: Danny Pfeffermann (D.Pfeffermann@soton.ac.uk)

Please do not hesitate to contact me if you have suggestions
or questions regarding any of the IASS activities.

Lilli Japec
IASS Scientific Secretary

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Message from the 2009 IASS Programme Committee

The Programme Committee has started the process of creating a list of possible topics for the Invited Paper Meetings to be held during the 2009 ISI Session in Durban, South Africa. Overall, we are looking for a balance of theoretical and applied survey statistical topics with an emphasis on the local interests (topics of interest to South Africa). Decisions on the final topics to be included in the 2009 Session will be made in meetings that will take place during the 2007 ISI Session in Lisbon.

We would like to encourage all members to participate in this process by contacting us before the 2007 Session. Suggestions are welcome on any aspects of survey statistics, with preference generally given to new developments and topics of wide and practical interest. If you would like to offer suggestions of possible topics, either to be organised solely by IASS or to be organised jointly with other ISI Sections, please do so by sending a title and a short abstract (up to 200 words) for each topic to the Chair of this Committee at the address below. To prepare for committee meetings at the 2007 ISI Session, we need to receive your proposals by April 2007. If possible, suggestions should include indications of potential organisers for the sessions. Please provide clear contact information to allow further correspondence.

We thank you for participating and welcome any other comments and suggestions you may have for the 2009 Invited Paper Meetings.

Leyla Mohadjer
leylamohadjer@westat.com
Tel: +1-301-251-4254
Fax: +1-301-294-2034
1650 Research Blvd.
Rockville, MD 20850, USA

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The Conference on Small Area Estimation (SAE2007)

The Conference will be held from September 3rd to September 5th, 2007, at the University of Pisa, Faculty of Economics, Italy. The Conference is sponsored by the International Association of Survey Statisticians (IASS) and it is a Satellite Meeting of the 56th Session of the International Statistical Institute (ISI).

The primary objective of the Conference is to stimulate research and, in an informal setting, to promote the interaction of researchers both in (i) theoretical and methodological developments in small area estimation and related fields, and in (ii) practical applications of small area estimation methods, including their potential uses in various research areas (for example agricultural, environmental, health statistics, marketing research, poverty mapping). We hope that the Conference will be an occasion for people to present new ideas as well as problems that are worth considering for further investigation. The Conference offers sessions for invited papers, contributed papers and posters. Submissions should be related to subject areas such as, but not limited to: Model-assisted and model-dependent estimation for domains; Sample design and weighting in the context of small area estimation; Design-based versus model-based approaches for small area estimation; Parametric versus non parametric small area estimation techniques; Combining hierarchical models with autocorrelation, state-space models, spatial econometrics, spatial epidemiology and disease mapping; Case studies of small area estimation in official statistics and agricultural, environmental, health statistics, marketing research, poverty mapping; Model-misspecification, robustness and diagnostics.
Details of papers submission, formatting and guidelines will be made available on the website.

Important dates:

February 28 Title submission (oral presentations and posters)
March 15 Notification of title acceptance
May 11 Long abstract submission (4 pages) for oral and poster presentation papers and registration
July 15 Reviews sent to the authors

For more information, please contact: Monica Pratesi (m.pratesi@ec.unipi.it) or Nicola Salvati (salvati@ec.unipi.it).

IASS
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International Society for Business and Industrial Statistics

Editorial Address Bovas Abraham, Dept. of Statistics and Act. Sci., Univ. of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada N2L 3G1
Tel: +1-519-888-4567 Ext. 447
Fax: +1-519-746-1875
E-mail: babraham@math.uwaterloo.ca
Chairman Jan Smets, Executive Director, National Bank of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium
Tel: +32 2 221 2046, Fax: +32 2 2213239
E-mail: jan.smets@nbb.be
Website http://www.stats.wits.ac.za/isbis/


ISBIS-2007: August 18-20, 2007, University of Azores, Azores, Portugal

www.isbis2007.uac.pt

We invite you to join us at the upcoming ISBIS-2007 Symposium sponsored by the International Society for Business and Industrial Statistics (ISBIS). The Symposium will be held on 18-20 August 2007 in the Azores Islands off the coast of Portugal. The University of the Azores will be our host. The official language of the Conference is English.

ISBIS-2007 is a Satellite Conference to the 56th Session of the International Statistical Institute (Lisboa, 22-29 August 2007). It will provide a forum for presenting and exchanging ideas in statistical methods applicable to business, finance and
industry. Talks will range from very applied to cutting edge research. The exchange of knowledge and experiences will foster international collaboration in research and other technology transfer activities, and will provide an opportunity for dialogue between statisticians working in business, finance and industry, and academia.

We are planning an exciting programme:
ISBIS-2007: Tentative Invited Sessions and Speakers
1. Plenary Speakers:
Sir David Cox (Oxford University, UK) - The Design of Industrial Experiments: Some History and the Present Position.
George Tiao (University of Chicago, USA) - Making Statistics More Effective in Business Schools.
Ed Wegman (George Mason University, USA) – TBA.

 Tentative Invited Sessions, Organisers and Speakers:

Additional sessions being organised:
Computer Experiments (Derek Bingham); Data Stream Analysis (Carlo Lauro); Econometrics and Finance (Graciela Gonzalez-Farias); Information Technology (George Michailidis); Small Area Estimation (Jacky Galpin); Statistics and Finance (Ranjini Jha).

3. Additional Invited Speakers (These will be clustered into Invited Sessions)
• David Banks (USA) - Risk Analysis in an Adversarial Context
• Bo Bergman (Sweden) - Some Reflections on Six Sigma in Health Care: Opportunities and translations needed
• Philip J. Boland - The Statistical and Probabilistic Toolkit of an Actuary
• John Brewster (Canada) - On Frequentist and Bayesian Approaches to Inference in Industrial Split-Plot Screening Experiments.
• Fernando Camacho (Canada) - TBA
• Veronica Citrom (Singapore) - Graphical Analysis of Industrial Experiments
• Lorraine Denby (USA) - Workflow Analytics for Process Improvement
• Rohit Deo (USA) - Bias Reduction and Likelihood Based Almost Exactly Sized Hypothesis Testing in Predictive Regressions using the Restricted Likelihood
• Kjell Doksum - Variable and Tuning Parameter Selection in Two-Sample Nonparametric Regression.
• Eugenio Epprecht (Brazil) - SPC of Multi-stream Processes: Differences between Theory and Practice
• Luis Escobar (USA) - Some Comments on Competing Risks Models with Dependen
• Donald P. Gaver - Studies of the Performance of Modern Condition-Based Maintenance
• Wesley O. Johnson (USA) - Bayesian Nonparametric Modeling of Longitudinal Data
• Alan Karr (USA) - Transparency in Data Confidentiality
• Jon Kettenering (USA) - Applications of Cluster Analysis in Industry
• Paul H. Kvam - Nano-Reliability: Statistical Models for Hot Electron Degradation in MOSFET Devices
• Bo H. Lindqvist - Repairable Systems with Competing Events
• Ian MacNeil (Canada) - Adaptive Forecasting and Estimation using Change-detection
• Mikhail Nikulin - Dynamic Regression Models In Econometric Duration Analysis: A Reliability Approach
• Hari Mukerjee (USA) - Statistical Inferences about Mean Residual Life under Order Restrictions
• Per Mykland (USA) - Financial Data and the Hidden Semimartingale Model
• Vijay Nair (USA) - Statistical Issues in the Analysis of Data Networks
• Ingram Olkin (USA) - Distributions: Nonparametric, Semiparametric and Parametric Families
• Ranjan Paul (USA) - Modeling Taxiway Deviation with Extreme Value Distribution
• Edsel Pena (USA) - Recurrent Event Modeling and Statistical Analysis
• Wolfgang Polonik (USA) - Testing for Multivariate Volatility Models
• Valderio Reisen (Brazil) - Modelling Seasonal Long-memory Processes in the Presence of Outliers
• Nalini Ravisankar (USA) - Dynamic Statistical Models for the Role of Customer Attitudes in Customer Relationship Management
• Peter M. Robinson (UK) - Diagnostic Testing for Co-integration
• Frank Samaniego (USA) - On Comparing Engineered Systems of Different Sizes
• Ron Sandland (Australia) - Statistics for Impact in Industry and Society
• Steven Scott - A Nested Hidden Markov Model for Internet Browsing Behaviour
• Nozer D. Singpurwalla (USA) - The Utility of Reliability and Survival
• Ehsan S. Soofi - Information Framework for Data Disclosure: 100% Confidentiality Guaranteed Agus Sudjianto Analysis of Financial Crimes and Fraud Detection
• Prem Talwar (Canada) - Detecting a Shift of Parameter in a Random Sequence at an Unknown Time Point.
• Winson Taam (USA) - Statistical Issues in Testing Composite Materials
• S.T. Teng (Taiwan) - Model Discriminations in Degradation Analysis
• Shyam Upadhyaya (Austria) - Effect of the Cut-off Size on International Comparability of Industrial Statistics
• Vincenzo Vinzi (Italy) - Fuzzy PLS Path Modeling for Latent Class Analysis: Capturing Unobserved Heterogeneity in Consumers' Preferences
• Simon Wilson (USA) - Developing Bayesian Network Reliability Models for Telecommunications Devices
• Yingnian Wu - Statistical Principles of Image Modeling in Computer Vision
• Shu Yamada (Japan) - DOE in recent technology development - cutting edge applications
• Serge Yanez (Colombia) - A study of the inference effect caused by dependence between two competing failure modes when it is incorrectly assumed that the effects are independent.
• Emmanuel Yashchin (USA) - Monitoring Field Failure and Warranty Data
• Shelly Zacks (USA) - The Availability and Hazard of a System under a Cumulative Damage Process with Replacements

Organised Contributed Session (Organiser: Jai Won Choi)
Statistical Process Control and Predictive Inference in Business and Manufacturing
1. Sung H. Park and Hui J. Park
2. Partha Lahiri and Bogong T. Li
3. Balgobin Nandram and Criselda Toto
4. Jai Won Choi and Balgobin Nandram

List of Contributed Papers will be published later

In addition to the Invited Programme, the Symposium will feature some Contributed Paper Meetings. Details are available on the Conference website.

We hope that you will give some serious thought to participating in ISBIS-2007 in August. We can guarantee that you will be very pleased with the stimulating Scientific Programme, the enjoyable social activities that are planned and the delightful surroundings. You should be able to combine ISBIS-2007 with a fabulous vacation on Sao Miguel Island of the Azores archipelago, one of Portugal's most coveted vacation spots. If you are interested in participating, please feel free to contact:
Francisco Samaniego, Programme Chair
(fjsamaniego@ucdavis.edu)

Bovas Abraham, ISBIS President
(babraham@uwaterloo.ca)

ISBIS
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ISBIS Sessions in ISI-2007

ISBIS is sponsoring several Invited Paper Meetings at the ISI Lisboa Session.
1. Risk-Utility Formulations for Statistical Disclosure Limitation Problems
Organiser: Alan Karr, National Institute for Statistical Sciences (NISS), USA (karr@niss.org)
2. Stochastic Volatility Modeling: Reflections, recent developments and the future
Organiser: E. Xekalaki, Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece (exek@aueb.gr)
3. Design of Experiments in Marketing and Advertising Testing
Organiser: Johannes Ledolter, School of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, USA (johannes-ledolter@uiowa.edu)
4. Issues in Business and Industrial Statistics in the Developing World (Panel Discussion)
Organiser: Jacky Galpin, University of Witswatersrand, South Africa (jacky@galpin.co.za)
5. Statistical Issues in Wired, Wireless, and Sensor Networks
Organiser: Lorraine Denby, Avaya, USA (ld@avaya.com)
6. Six Sigma: A Business Strategy or a Management Fad (Panel Discussion)
Organiser: Sung H. Park, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea (parksh@plaza.snu.ac.kr)

ISBIS
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ISBIS Sessions at ISI-2009 (Durban, South Africa)

ISBIS will be sponsoring some Invited Paper Meetings at the ISI biennial Session in 2009. Vijay Nair has agreed to be the ISBIS Programme Chair for this Session.

ISBIS and Other Conferences

One of the objectives of ISBIS is to develop and promote relationships among national and regional organisations involved in activities similar to those of ISBIS. With this in mind, ISBIS is planning to organise an invited session in the next Quality and Productivity Research Conference in Santa Fe, New Mexico (June 4-6, 2007). This Conference is sponsored by the Quality and Productivity section of the American Statistical Association. We are also planning to organise an invited session in the next Spring Research Conference (SRC) in Ames, Iowa (June 6-8, 2007). SRC is sponsored by the Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences of the American Statistical Association. We are also a co-sponsor of the next conference of the International Indian Statistical Association (January 2-6, 2007) in Cochin, India.

Special Volume

The Special Issue of Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry (ASMBI), containing edited Proceedings from ISBIS-4 at Palm Cove, Australia, is now published. Dennis Lin is the Special Guest Editor and Jef Teugels is Editor-in-Chief of ASMBI.

ISBIS Membership

ISBIS membership is open to all individuals and organisations with a professional interest in any aspect of business, financial and industrial statistics, including:
• Research, teaching, training and consulting;
• Involvement in the use of statistics in areas such as quality and reliability improvement, software development, financial statistics, business and management, etc.

There are individual, institutional, and student memberships. Details and application forms can be obtained from the ISBIS website http://www.stats.wits.ac.za/isbis/ or contact Bovas Abraham (babraham@uwaterloo.ca). If you are already a member of the ISI, you can become a member of ISBIS free of charge by sending an e-mail to Margaret in the ISI Permanent Office (@cbs.nl) provided you are not a member of another Section. If you are already a member of another Section, you can add ISBIS membership for a small fee.

Bovas Abraham

ISBIS
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