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Newsletter Volume 31 No. 3 (93) 2007 -ISI Sections

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International Association for Official Statistics (IAOS)
International Association for Statistical Computing (IASC)
International Association for Statistics Education (IASE)
Irving Fisher Committee on Central Bank Statistics (IFC)
International Society for Business and Industrial Statistics (ISBIS)
 
Newsletter Volume 31 No. 3 (93) 2007

International Association for Official Statistics

iaoslogo.gif (4943 bytes) Editorial Address Stephen Penneck
E-mail: Stephen.Penneck@ons.gsi.gov.uk
 
President Olav Ljones
Statistics Norway, P.O. Box 8131, Dep., 0033 Oslo, Norway
Tel: 47-2-1094841, Fax: 47-2-2864996 E-mail: olav.ljones@ssb.no
 
Website http://www.stats.govt.nz/iaos

Message from the President, Olav Ljones
The New Executive Committee
Report from the Outgoing President to the ISI General Assembly 2007
Launching the Statistical Journal of the IAOS
Young Statistician Prize Result for 2007
Future Meetings
 
Standing Committee on Regional and Urban Statistics (SCORUS)
 
Message from the President, Olav Ljones

To IAOS members and friends,

The 56th ISI Session in Lisboa was successful, with many IAOS relevant papers and presentations. A warm thank you to all who contributed in the planning and programme preparations and to those who presented papers and took part in the discussions. A special warm thanks to our hosts who made the stay a long lasting memory. The ISI Sessions are among the most important activities, for the ISI but also for the ISI Sections.

An important ongoing discussion in the ISI is about restructuring. In my opinion, the purpose should be to vitalise both the ISI and the Sections.

I think it is important for all ISI partners to have strong and active Sections. The Sections cover separate fields of statistics. The ISI, as an umbrella, will gain from strong Sections. For me as IAOS President, it is natural to emphasis the special importance of official statistics for all of us. The National Statistical Institutions are also important for the ISI as institutional members. One additional, evident sign of the important role NSIs play is the essential support they give to the organisation of the ISI Sessions. The Session in Lisboa was no exception. A warm thank you to the Portuguese National Statistical Institute.

Looking forward, I think we should consider if we in the ISI at present spend sufficient resources on building bridges between the disciplines in statistics. Official statisticians have high ambitions saying that we will use the best scientific methods available, as stated in the UN Fundamental Principles for Official Statistics. It is important to cultivate our integrity and independence. Integrity, in practice, may be shown by being able to defend our choices of methods in official statistics from eventual interventions from users and politicians. Integrity will hopefully be easier to maintain if the producers have a high competence in statistical methods and expose their choice of methods for critical debate among fellow statisticians. The ISI and Sections through Sessions, Conferences and Journals seem to be useful arenas for such a debate. The IAOS may hopefully stimulate the fellow Sections of the ISI to participate even more actively in this professional and scientific debate about methods in official statistics. I hope we will have many opportunities for such a debate at the forthcoming Durban Session.

The IAOS will hopefully in the coming years stimulate a critical debate about all aspect of official statistics and through this stimulate improvements of methods used in official statistics. Quality has a wide content – not only accuracy but also relevance, accessibility and without political interference. We believe statistics serves the public good and democracy, but should be aware of misuse and take ethics more actively on board.

Cornerstones for the IAOS in the next year will be:
• IAOS Special Conference (Shanghai, October 14-16, 2008);
• The ISI Session in Durban 2009;
• Our new Statistical Journal of the IAOS; and
• The IAOS Prize for Young Statisticians.

There are a lot of international activities, meetings and conferences discussing various aspects of official statistics. These meetings are arranged by both national and international organisations and institutions. I think it will be instrumental for the IAOS and other partners, if we together can further cultivate the special role the IAOS should play. What are the strengths of the IAOS? We in the IAOS Executive Committee are open to advice and opinions.

Best regards, Olav

IAOS

The New Executive Committee

The General Assembly supported the Nomination Committee; therefore, the new committee for 2007-2009 will be as follows:
President:
Mr. Olav Ljones, Norway (olav.ljones@ssb.no)

President-Elect:
Ms. Irena Krizman, Slovenia (irena.krizman@gov.si)

Vice-Presidents:
Ms. Grace Bediako, Ghana (grace.bediako@gmail.com)
Mr. Le Manh Hung, Viet Nam (lmhung@gso.gov.vn)
Ms. Jennifer Madans, USA (jhm4@cdc.gov)
Mr. Stephen Penneck, UK (stephen.penneck@ons.gov.uk)

SCORUS Representative:
Mr. Dominic Leung, Hong Kong (dktleung@censtatd.gov.hk)

Report from the Outgoing President to the ISI General Assembly 2007

We have continued to support a range of activities designed to support the IAOS mission to promote the understanding and advancement of official statistics on a global basis.

1. The 2006 IAOS Conference was held in Ottawa in early September 2006 and focussed on issues associated with measuring the economic, social and environmental impacts of people on the move, both within and between countries. We were delighted that the IASS and the Irving Fisher Committee partnered with us to organise some of the sessions at the Conference. This trend will be repeated for our 2008 Conference to be hosted by the NBS of China in Shanghai from 14-16 October 2008 with SCORUS, IASS and Irving Fisher again to partner with us in the organisation of the scientific programme.
2. We have again supported a Best Paper competition for this ISI Session and the winner participated in the Session as part of the first prize. The judging panel was pleased with the number and general quality of entries and we hope that we can build even stronger participation leading up to the ISI Session in Durban in 2009. The winner was a delightful young statistician of Spanish background who, although an employee of the ONS in the UK, is currently working on secondment to Statistics Canada. This illustrates for me the opportunities available to good, young statisticians from being a part of the official statistics community across the world.
3. A new quarterly Journal of the IAOS has been published recently with the first issue devoted to a series of papers on the evolution of official statistics across the globe over the last 60 years.
4. We have also over a period continued to support the work of the ISI Council in setting the strategic directions for the ISI and in working through the restructuring initiative.

Finally, I should mention that at our IAOS General Assembly meeting I handed on the Presidential baton to Mr. Olav Ljones of Statistics Norway and I look forward to supporting him during his term from now until the 57th ISI Session in Durban.

Brian Pink

IAOS

Launching the Statistical Journal of the IAOS

The IAOS Executive Committee is pleased to announce the launch of its official journal, Statistical Journal of the IAOS.

This is the flagship journal of the IAOS and is expected to be widely circulated and subscribed to by individuals and institutions in all parts of the world.

The main aim of the Journal is to support the IAOS mission by publishing articles to promote the understanding and advancement of official statistics and to foster the development of effective and efficient official statistical services on a global basis. Papers are expected to be of wide interest to readers. Such papers may or may not contain strictly original material. All papers are refereed.

The Journal has an Editor-in-Chief who is responsible for ensuring that the Journal focuses on current and emerging issues and challenges related to the management and operations of official statistics and related public policy matters.

Broadly based papers of wide interest to users and producers of official statistics are very welcome. As a guide, articles relating, but not exclusively, to the following broad topics will be of interest to the Journal:

• Global and national statistical service,
• Statistical independence and legislation,
• New directions for official statistics,
• Delivering relevant and effective statistical services,
• New and innovative ways of increasing uses and users of official statistics,
• Quality of statistics,
• Engagement of producers,
• Innovative use of ICT for official statistics,
• Creative use of statistical sources,
• Organisation of statistical services,
• Statistical infrastructure and tools,
• Management of statistical and meta data,
• Innovative statistical products and services,
• Training of statistical staff, users and producers,
• Improving statistical literacy in the community.

Authors and referees of all papers should bear in mind that many of the readers of the Journal (particularly in the developing world) do not have easy access to libraries or to other journals, and therefore are strongly encouraged to make the papers as self-contained as possible, while giving proper bibliographical credit.

Papers of more than 30 manuscript pages, including diagrams, tables and references, will normally not be considered for publication.

Content of the first Statistical Journal of the IAOS
The inaugural issue was a special issue on "Evolution of National Statistical Systems" consisting of papers recently discussed at a seminar held in association with the 2007 United Nations Statistical Commission meeting to mark its 70th anniversary.

Keynote Paper and Discussion

D. Trewin
The evolution of national statistical systems: trends and implications

H. Habermann
On the evolution of national statistical offices

P. Lehohla
From systems of national statistics to national statistical systems
Redesigning National Statistical Systems: Driving forces and response

R. Laux, R. Alldrift and K. Dunnell
Evolution of the United Kingdom statistical system

G. van der Veen
Changing Statistics Netherlands: Driving forces for changing Dutch statistics

G. Calvillo-Vives
Transformation of the Mexican statistical and geographical system

M. Horie
New direction of the reform of the statistical system in Japan
Prospects and Risks for the Future: How to manage uncertainties?

E.P. Nunes, W. Bivar and Z. Bianchini
Some challenges for strengthening the Brazilian statistical capacity

H. Jeskanen-Sundström
Needs for change and adjusting to them in the management of statistical systems

R. A. Virola
Challenges and opportunities in the coordination of a decentralised statistical system

H. Rosling
Visual technology unveils the beauty of statistics and swaps policy from dissemination to access

Summary

D. Trewin
Summary of discussion on evolution of National Statistical Systems

Accessing the Journal

Your Executive Committee has negotiated a very attractive package with the Publisher that allows members to access the Journal content online, free of charge. Whilst it is still finalising the details with the Publisher, the Executive Committee expects that members will be given a user ID and password for online access. We will announce the details once they are in hand.
The hard copy of the Journal is also available to members of the IAOS at a considerably discounted price of € 20 per volume (the price includes shipment in bulk to one address). Members interested in obtaining a hard copy of the Journal should order them from the ISI Permanent Office by contacting Mr. Sieriel Hoesenie (@cbs.nl).

Call for Nominations for the Editorial Panel
To assist the Editor-in-Chief to review the suitability of the submitted manuscripts for publication, the Executive Committee will set up an editorial panel of 20 associated editors. To be appointed as an associate editor, one should be an expert in a chosen field of official statistics, and be prepared to devote the time to review submitted manuscripts or have them reviewed by other experts, provide written comments for authors and make recommendations to the Editor-in-Chief for suitability of publication.

If you are interested to be an associate editor, or wish to nominate an expert to serve on the Panel, please forward your nomination to Olav Ljones (olav.ljones@ssb.no) or Siu-Ming Tam (Siu-Ming.Tam@abs.gov.au).

Supporting your Journal
The Journal is only as good as the papers that it publishes. To ensure that the official journal will be among the world's best journals, members are strongly encouraged to submit manuscripts to the Journal. We ask you to help the IAOS achieve its mission by publishing papers in the Journal.

Manuscripts should be sent to the Editor-in-Chief, Dr. Siu-Ming Tam of the Australian Bureau of Statistics at siu-ming.tam@abs.gov.au.

Young Statistician Prize Result for 2007

Begona Martin Romero

The IAOS is pleased to announce the winners in its recent competition for the best papers written by young official statisticians. The prize winners are as follows:
1. Begona Martin Romero (Office for National Statistics Newport, UK): Estimating the Pay distribution in the New Earnings Survey using Missing Data Methods.
2. Ilja Kristian Kavonius (European Central Bank, Frankfurt am Main): The Implication of Employee Stock Options and Holding Gains for Disposable Income and Household Saving Rates in Finland and Tables.
3. Ankie Scott-Joseph (Caribbean): Sustainability of Public Debt and Budget Deficit: An Empirical Analysis for St. Vincent & the Grenadines.

The first prize winner had her expenses paid to attend the ISI Session in Lisboa, two years IAOS membership and a cash prize of € 1,500. The judging panel was very pleased with the high standard of entries and the Executive Committee has agreed to continue the competition for the 2009 ISI Session in Durban.

Future Meetings

• IAOS Conference in Shanghai, 14 to 16 October 2008
The working title of the Conference is "Smart Data - Innovative Uses, Reshaping Official Statistics".
The idea behind this Conference is to discuss modern use of data for official statistics, especially administrative data. We want to give the seminar a rather wide approach and put on the agenda how an intelligent use of data from various sources can contribute to a reshape of official statistics. This will include not only data capture, but also integrated production and user perspectives and dissemination. It is also relevant to discuss questions on independency and integrity in this context.
• ISI Session in Durban, 16 to 22 August 2009

IAOS


Standing Committee on Regional and Urban Statistics

www.scorusnet.com
Submitted by Wendy Thomas

  ISI Session 2009 in Durban, South Africa
SCORUS Contribution

 

Post-ISI: Current and Future SCORUS Activities
SCORUS organized two successful sessions with good attendance and active discussion. Both sessions were held on Saturday on the following topics:

IPM19 International comparative city and regional statistics on social cohesion and economic diversity
IPM20 Urban, regional and migration research: New approaches

The SCORUS Committee held its official meeting on Thursday, finalizing the leadership group for 2007-2009 and organizing staff for future conferences and activities. The new leadership includes:
Chair: Dominic Leung
Vice-Chair: Dev Virdee
Secretary: Wendy Thomas
Treasurer: Leila Lankinen
2009-2011 Search Committee Chair: Klaus Trutzel

In addition to organizing future activities (noted below), a main topic of both the SCORUS meeting and subsequent IAOS meeting was the initiation of a new journal, The Statistical Journal of the IAOS. “The main aim of the Journal is to support the IAOS mission by publishing articles to promote the understanding and advancement of official statistics and to foster the development of effective and efficient official statistical services on a global basis.” The main impact of this new journal was a reconsideration of the currently suspended SCORUS publication Cities and Regions. The decision was made, given that this new publication venue and the financial issues of continuing Cities and Regions, that we will cease publication and give our full support to The Statistical Journal of the IAOS. We are strongly encouraging our community to support this journal through the contribution of quality articles focusing on official statistics at the local and regional level. This is a reviewed journal and the representational editorial committee is being put in place. The close relationship between SCORUS and IAOS serves to further the ongoing discussion between National and sub-national statistical offices regarding data collection, inter- and intra-national comparability, and data applications for policy development and evaluation. This is an excellent opportunity for information exchange within the IAOS family.

Another topic of discussion throughout the conference concerned possibilities for improving communication among the SCORUS community in regard to future ISI conferences. The following suggestions were made:

• Explore possibilities of organizing contributed sessions where the contents relate to SCORUS interests;
• Review early programs for ISI sessions (invited and contributed) and provide the SCORUS community with a list of potentially interesting sessions;
• Improved communications prior to ISI targeted at SCORUS members, making them aware of when administrative meetings of SCORUS and IAOS take place.

Additional ideas for ways of helping members to take full advantage of future ISI conferences as well as improving communications between members are welcome.

Upcoming Conferences

The Strength of Cities and Regions
Darmstadt, Germany (European Region)

The SCORUS Network on Regional and Urban Statistics will be holding its European conference from 17th to 19th October 2007 in Darmstadt. Under the motto “The Strength of Cities and Regions”, statisticians, researchers and planners of cities and regions will discuss topics they are currently working on.

Focus of discussion will be the social and cultural components of competitiveness of cities and countries. The purpose is to draw attention to preconditions for sustainable economy-oriented development and funding policies. At the same time, the process of ensuring that the effects of these policies reach the local populations they are designed to assist will be discussed.
Darmstadt, the science city, located close to the wooded hills of Odenwald, offers excellent opportunities for an attractive social programme that may well be extended to the following weekend. Darmstadt is 30 minutes by train from Frankfurt Airport.

Metropolitan International Statistics Forum
Beijing 12-13 October 2007 (Asia Region)

Organized by Beijing Municipal Statistics Bureau and Beijing Statistics Society, this conference is brings together colleagues in charge of urban statistics and research in major cities, as well as statistical experts and scholars interested in the subject.

The conference will focus on metropolitan statistics theories, the challenges of metropolitan statistics and reform directions of metropolitan statistical systems. Specifically, the following topics will be covered: how statistics should serve both the city management and the public; mobile population; real estate price statistics; service industry statistics; social statistics; the statistical system (data collection, data transmission, database building, network construction); and how the Olympic Games will impact the host city’s economic and social development.
Conference website: http://www.bjstats.gov.cn/misf2007

Future Conferences:

2008 IAOS and SCORUS Conference in Shanghai, China
SCORUS programme organizer: Dominic Leung

2009 ISI Session in Durban, South Africa
SCORUS coordinator: Wendy Thomas

2010 SCORUS Conference in Riga, Latvia
Local Arrangements: Jolanta Supe
Programme Chair: Petra Kuncova

2011 ISI Session in Dublin, Ireland
SCORUS coordinator: Dev Virdee
Satellite Meeting in Galway, Ireland
Programme Chair: Teadora Brandmueller

SCORUS – The International Network for regional and urban statistics
Please visit our revised website. Changes include a removal of the discussion piece and a renewed concentration of sharing information to keep our membership updated on SCORUS related activities.

For information on joining the SCORUS listserver or providing suggestions to the leadership group, please contact SCORUS Secretary, Wendy Thomas at wlt@pop.umn.edu.

  IAOS
Top


International Association for Statistical Computing

iasc.jpg (5447 bytes)

    

Editorial Address Francesco Palumbo, IASC Scientific Secretary
Facoltà di Economia, University of Macerata,
Via Crescimbeni, 20 – I-62100, Macerata, ITALY
Tel: (+39) 07332583242; Fax: (+39) 07332583205
E-mail: francesco.palumbo@unimc.it
President Jaromír Antoch, Matematicko fyzikální fakulta
Charles University Prague
Sokolovská 83, 186 75 Praha 8, Czech Republic
Tel: (+420) 22191 3275; Fax: (+420) 222 323 316
E-mail: antoch@karlin.mff.cuni.cz
Website IASC website:
http://www.iasc-isi.org
CSDA SSN website:
www.csdassn.org 

I. IASC Election Results
II. IASC Interface Liaison
III. New ISI Memberships of IASC Members
IV. Report on IASC International Conference on Statistics for Data Mining, Learning and Knowledge Extraction
V. Report on the 2007 IASC-ARS Special Conference
VI. COMPSTAT 2008
VII. The 4th World Conference on Computational Statistics & Data Analysis of the IASC and the 6th Conference of Asian Regional Section of IASC
VIII. ISI 2009 – Durban, South Africa
IX. COMPSTAT 2010

 

 I. IASC Election Results

Jaromír Antoch

The IASC has renewed its Council, Gilbert Saporta (France) handed over to Jaromír Antoch (Czech Republic) the IASC Presidential office. Election results have been officially announced during the last Council meeting in Lisboa and the new members have been invited to take their offices.
According to the IASC articles, one half of the total members of the Council have been renewed. We remind that there are twelve Council members and they stay in office for four years. IASC members have also elected their President-Elect, the Scientific Secretary, two Vice-Presidents and the Treasurer.

During the meeting, Jaromír Antoch briefly reported about the elections. The new President stated that 110 voting sheets were received.
The newly appointed members are:
President-Elect 2007-2009 and President 2009-2011
Y. Tanaka (Japan)

Vice-Presidents
W.K. Fung (Hong Kong)
C.E. Priebe (USA)

Scientific Secretary
F. Palumbo (Italy)

Treasurer
M. van de Velden (The Netherlands)

Council Members (sorted according the score)
F. Leisch (Germany)
P. Brito (Portugal)
M.A. Adena (Austalia)
G. Dohnal (Czech Republic)
D. Cook (USA)
C.E. Kim (South Korea)

We wish all them good luck with their work!

IASC

II. IASC Interface Liaison

The IASC Interface Liaison Committee report has been presented during the last Council meeting in Lisboa.
Michael Schimek (IASC Interface Liaison Committee Chair, Austria) represented IASC in the Scientific Board of the 39th Symposium on the Interface: Computing Science and Statistics - Systems Biology, held in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, May 23 - 26, 2007. He reported that contacts between IASC and Interface are excellent and very promising for the future.
For Compstat 2008 in Porto, Prof. Jürgen Symanzik (Utah State University) will organise an Interface Session and Prof. Ed Wegman will have an advisory function.
The next Interface conference will have a focus on risk analysis and is scheduled for May 2008. IASC will have a special session connected to risk analysis. The IASC Council will take the call for proposals on itself.

III. New ISI Memberships of IASC Members

The IASC Nomination Committee for ISI Membership was organised in March to recommend several IASC members for the ISI June meeting in 2007:
Yuichi Mori (Chair) (Japan)
Jung Jin Lee (Korea)
John Eccleston (Australia)
Michael G. Schimek (Austria)
Tomas Aluja-Banet (Spain)
Carey E. Priebe (USA)
Gilbert Saporta (ex officio, France)
Jaromir Antoch (ex officio, Czech Republic)
Stanley P. Azen (ex officio, USA)

The Nomination Committee selected the following number of candidates:
Australia 1
Germany 2
Greece 1
Italy 2
Japan 2
The Netherlands 1
New Zealand 1
South Korea 2
Spain 3
Switzerland 1
United Kingdom 1
United States 4

Candidates are members of IASC but not yet members of the ISI, and made significant contributions in the past to the ISI and its Sections, including IASC Sections such as the European Regional Section or Asian Regional Section, and meetings such as COMPSTAT or Interface, and are expected to continue to take an active role in the ISI.
A number of IASC members indicated their willingness to be nominated for ISI membership and submitted the necessary candidate form with support from three nominees within ISI.
The ISI Executive Committee in Lisboa (on August 20-21) approved the applications of all IASC supported applicants (13 IASC members) as new elected members of the ISI through this process.
Special thanks are due to Prof. Jae C. Lee, Prof. Yutaka Tanaka, Dr. Murray Cameron, Prof. Roger Payne and Dr. Lutz Edler for their cooperation.

IASC

IV. Report on IASC International Conference on Statistics for Data Mining, Learning and Knowledge Extraction – Aveiro, Portugal, 2007

IASC 07 - Statistics for Data Mining, Learning and Knowledge Extraction was one of the satellite meetings of the 56th Session of the International Statistical Institute. The conference was promoted by the International Association for Statistical Computing (IASC) and it was held by the University of Aveiro in Portugal, from August 30th to September 1st, 2007.
The Department of Mathematics of the University of Aveiro hosted the administrative support for the meeting, which was organised by a Local Organising Committee, including members from the Department of Mathematics, the Department of Economics, Management and Industrial Engineering, and the Higher Institute of Accounting and Administration.
The total number of participants was 69 and among them were several MSc and PhD students. Most of the delegates came from Europe, but they also came from Asia, New Zealand, North America and Brazil, totaling 19 countries.

The Local Organising Committee and Gilbert Saporta at the Gala Dinner
(from left to right: Eugénio Rocha, Cristina Miranda, Gilbert Saporta, Carlos Ferreira, Leonor Teixeira, Manuela Souto de Miranda, Paula Brito and Isabel Pereira).

The scientific programme of the conference included four invited talks, presented by Mário Figueiredo from the Technical University of Lisbon, Portugal, Donato Malerba from the University of Bari, Italy, Gilbert Ritschard from the University of Geneva, Switzerland, and Arno Siebes from Utrecht University, The Netherlands. There were thirty contributed communications, organised in six oral sessions and a poster session.
The communications are already edited in the proceedings of the conference. The proceedings were distributed in CD format as part of the conference documentation, in the sequence of a refereeing process that counted on the collaboration of both the Scientific Committee and many external experts. Extended versions of some of these papers will be published in Computational Statistics and Data Analysis.
Apart from presentations, the meeting also created a special opportunity for personal discussions, which took place immediately after the sessions and also during the leisure periods, thus encouraging informal contacts between experienced and young researchers.

Further information is still available on the conference web page, http://www.mat.ua.pt/iasc07.

V. Report on the 2007 IASC-ARS Special Conference

Professor Jae C. Lee

The IASC Asian Regional Section Special Conference was successfully held in Seoul, Korea, on 7-8 June 2007. The theme of the conference was “Pan-Asian Collaboration between Statisticians”.
This Conference was also in honour of Professor Jae C. Lee, former IASC President and past ISI Vice-President, for his contribution to the IASC and the ISI, and to celebrate his 65th birthday and retirement.
There were about 70-80 participants from over 10 countries.
A special banquet hosted by Jae C. Lee’s former graduate students of Korea University was held at a beautiful traditional Korean restaurant.

Jae Chang Lee
IASC President (2001-03)

IASC

Forthcoming Events

VI. COMPSTAT 2008

The 18th COMPSTAT Symposium will take place in Porto, Portugal, on August 24th - 29th, 2008. The Conference, sponsored by the European Regional Section of the IASC, is locally organised by the Faculty of Economics of the University of Porto (www.fep.up.pt).
The Conference Programme will consist of keynote speakers’ presentations, invited sessions, contributed sessions, poster sessions and a round table on "New Ideas via Software”.
Each COMPSTAT meeting is organised with a number of highlighted topics. For COMPSTAT 2008, sessions reflecting topics of major interest for statistical computing and novel, developing areas will be organised. The selected areas are:
Advances on Statistical Computing Environments
Classification and Clustering of Complex Data
Computation for Graphical Models and Bayes Nets
Econometrics
Information Retrieval for Text and Images
Knowledge Extraction by Modelling
Model Selection Algorithms
Multiple Testing Procedures
Random Search Algorithms
Robust Statistics
Signal Extraction
Models for Latent Class Detection (IFCS session)
Finance and Insurance (ARS session)

Submissions for contributed presentations could relate to subject areas such as, but not limited to, those below:
Association Rules; Bayesian Computation Methods; Biostatistics and Bio-computing; Business Intelligence; Categorical Data Analysis; Classification and Discrimination; Clustering; Computational Bayesian Methods; Computational Econometrics; Computational Methods for Industry; Computational Methods in Official Statistics; Computational Statistics in Finance; Computational Statistics Teaching; Data Mining; Data Streams and Massive Data; Design of Experiments; Dimensionality Reduction; Econometrics and Statistical Finance; Environmental Statistics and Climate Change; Functional Data Analysis; Genomics and Microarray Data Analysis; Graphical Models and Bayes Nets Computation; Graphics and Data Visualization; Image and Signal Processing; Imprecise Data and Fuzzy Methods; Internet Based Methods; Machine Learning; Matrix Computations and Statistics; Metadata and Data Representation; Multiple Testing Procedures; Multivariate Data Analysis; Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms; Nonparametric Statistics and Smoothing; Optimization Algorithms; Partial Least Squares; Pattern Recognition; Random Search Algorithms; Resampling Methods; Risk Analysis and Scoring; Robustness; Sensometrics; Signal Extraction and Filtering; Simulation; Software Development Projects; Software Evaluation; Spatial Statistics; Statistical Databases; Statistical Education and Web Based Teaching; Statistical Matching and Data Imputation; Statistical Methods for Marketing; Statistical Algorithms and Software; Structural Equations Models; Support Vector Machine; Symbolic Data Analysis; Textual Data Analysis and Information Retrieval; Time Series Analysis; Web Mining.

Important dates:
Submission of full papers (invited and contributed papers):
January 20th, 2008
Notification to authors: March 31st, 2008
Submission of revised papers: April 20th, 2008
Deadline submission of abstracts: May 20th, 2008
Notification to abstract authors: June 10th, 2008
Preliminary Programme announcement: June 30th, 2008
Final Programme announcement: July 20th, 2008

Early registration deadline: April 10th, 2008
Standard registration deadline: June 15th, 2008
Late registration deadline: after June 15th, 2008

Further information will be posted on the conference website, www.fep.up.pt/compstat08/.

VII. The 4th World Conference on Computational Statistics & Data Analysis of the International Association for Statistical Computing (IASC) and the 6th Conference of Asian Regional Section of IASC

The Joint Meeting of 4th World Conference of the IASC and 6th Conference of the Asian Regional Section of the IASC on Computational Statistics & Data Analysis (IASC 2008) will be held at Pacifico Yokohama in Japan on 5th - 8th December 2008.
The Conference aims at bringing together researchers and practitioners to discuss recent developments in computational methods, methodology and applications in statistics.
The IASC 2008 International Organising Committee is composed of:
Junji Nakano - Chair of IASC2008, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Japan; Gilbert Saporta - Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers, France; Jaromir Antoch - Charles University, Czech Republic; Wing Kam Fung - University of Hong Kong, China; Moon Yul Huh - SungKyunKwan University, Korea; Tohru Uwoi - Bellsystem24 Inc., Japan; Shingo Shirahata - Osaka University, Japan; Genshiro Kitagawa - The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Japan; Yoshiyasu Tamura - The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Japan;
with the Advisory Board:
Stanley P. Azen - University of Southern California, USA; Lutz Edler - German Cancer Research Center, Germany; Jae Chang Lee - Korea University; Yutaka Tanaka - Nanzan University.

The Scientific Programme Committee is as follows:
Masahiro Mizuta - Chair (Hokkaido University, Japan); Yoshimichi Ochi – Vice-Chair (Oita University, Japan); Tomas Aluja-Banet (The Technical University of Catalonia, Spain); Paula Brito (University of Porto, Portugal); Chun-houh Chen (Academia Sinica, Taiwan); Robert Gentleman (Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, USA); Tomoyuki Higuchi (The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Japan); Erricos Kontoghiorghes (University of Cyprus, Cyprus); Jung Jin Lee (Soong Sil University, Korea); Youngjo Lee (Seoul National University, Korea); Paul Murrell (The University of Auckland, New Zealand); David Scott (Rice University, USA); Berwin Turlach (The University of Western Australia, Australia); Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi (ESSEC, France); Huiwen Wang (Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, China); Philip Leung-ho Yu University of Hong Kong, China).

Conference topics include:
Adaptive design and inference; Application to finance; Bayesian approaches; Bioinformatics and genomic information; Biostatistics and biometrics; Classification and discrimination; Computer intensive methods; Data mining: knowledge extraction from databases; Development and evaluation of statistical software; Econometrics; Environmental statistics; Functional data analysis Image and signal processing; Information and statistical modelling; Internet and web based methods; Longitudinal data analysis; Machine learning; Methodology and algorithms of statistical computing; Reduction of multidimensional data; Risk management; Robust and nonparametric methods; Statistical graphics and data visualization; Statistics in medical and pharmaceutical sciences; Temporal and spatial data analysis; Use of computers in statistical education.
For more information, please contact
Chairperson of IASC 2008: Junji Nakano
The Institute of Statistical Mathematics
4-6-7 Minami-Azabu, Minato-ku
Tokyo 106-8569, Japan
Executive Secretary: Yoshiro Yamamoto
Tokai University, Japan
E-mail: iasc2008@ism.ac.jp
Website: http://www.iasc-ars.org/IASC2008/

IASC

VIII. ISI 2009 – Durban, South Africa

The Committee for the IASC programme (Invited Paper Meetings) at the 57th ISI Session met during the ISI Session in Lisboa under Y. Tanaka (Chair, Japan) and S. Azen (USA). The other members of the Committee are:
Tomas Aluja-Banet (Spain)
Murray Cameron (Australia)
Chun-houh Chen (Taiwan, China)
Jacky Galpin (South Africa)
Moon Yul Huh (Korea)
Yuichi Mori (Japan)
Fionn Murtagh (UK)
Francesco Palumbo (Italy)
Carey E. Priebe (USA)
Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi (France)
Mostafa Qannari (France)
Rand Wilcox (USA)
Adalbert Wilhelm (Germany)

The Committee has carefully considered the submitted proposals. Members ranked the proposals according to the topics of greatest interest to IASC with special attention to topics not dealt with during the previous two ISI Sessions. All proposals were considered to be worthy of attention.
All proposals submitted through the online submission form on the IASC website and through the proposal form on the ISI website are indicated together at the URL: http://www.iasc-isi.org/proposal-isi09/. The list of accepted IPM proposals is not yet finalised, this also depends on the ISI Programme Coordinating Committee’s engagements.
IASC members can refer to the IASC’s official website that will be continuously updated.

IX. COMPSTAT 2010

The COMPSTAT 2010 Symposium will take place in Paris. The meeting is scheduled for August 23rd to 27th, on the premises of Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers (CNAM), located in the heart of Paris (http://www.cnam.fr/).
The Conference will be organised by CNAM statisticians with the support of INRIA, the French national institute in computer science and control (http://www.inria.fr/index.en.html).
Besides the main Conference, a satellite meeting or a tutorial will be organised at INRIA Rocquencourt Research Unit, a campus near Versailles, a few kilometres from Paris.
Local Organiser: Gilbert Saporta (saporta@cnam.fr).

IASC
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International Association for Statistics Education

iase1.gif (1817 bytes) Editorial Addresses Andrej Blejec, National Institute of Biology,
Vecna pot 111 POB 141, Sl-1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia.
Tel: +386 1 423 33 88, Fax: +386 1 2412 980
E-mail: andrej.blejec@nib.si
and
K. Laurence Weldon, Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science,
Simon Fraser University, 8888 University Drive, Burnaby, BC, Canada V5A 1S6
Tel: +1 604 291 3667, Fax: +1 604 291 4368
E-mail: weldon@sfu.ca
President Gilberte Schuyten, Department Data Analysis
University Ghent, H. Dunantlaan 1, B-9000 Gent, Belgium
Tel: +32 92 64 63 86, Fax: +32 92 64 64 87
E-mail: gilberte.schuyten@ugent.be
Website: http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~iase/members/profile_view_ind.php?id=545
Website http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~iase/

 
President's Report
Announcement and Call for Conference Papers
ISLP NEWS
Research and Development in the Teaching and Learning of Probability


President's Report

The IASE Executive Committee for the 2005-2007 term consisted of
President: Gilberte Schuyten, Belgium
President-Elect: Allan Rossman, USA
Past President: Chris Wild, New Zealand
Vice-Presidents: Andrej Blejec, Slovenia; John Harraway, New Zealand; Christine Reading, Australia; Michiko Watanabe, Japan; Larry Weldon, Canada.
Executive Director: Daniel Berze, The Netherlands
Special assignments were given to Carmen Batanero (Spain; ICOTS-7 and ICMI/IASE Joint Study), Carol Joyce Blumberg (USA; ISLP), Beth Chance (USA; SERJ), Lisbeth Cordani (Brazil; ICOTS-7), Iddo Gal (Israel; SERJ), Helen MacGillivray (Australia; ISI-57), Brian Phillips (Australia; Satellite 2007), Juana Sanchez (USA; SERJ), Tom Short (USA; SERJ), Susan Starkings (UK; ICOTS-7).

The IASE Executive Committee for the 2007-2009 term is
President: Allan Rossman, USA
President-Elect: Helen MacGillivray, Australia
Past President: Gilberte Schuyten, Belgium
Vice-Presidents: Andrej Blejec, Slovenia; John Harraway, New Zealand; Delia North, South Africa; James Nicholson, England; Enriqueta Reston, The Philippines.
Executive Director: Daniel Berze The Netherlands

The past two years have been very successful for the IASE.
The main event was our ICOTS-7 Conference in Salvador, Brazil, in 2006. The conference was a big success thanks to the excellent work by the International Programme Committee and, in particular, the efforts by Carmen Batanero, Susan Starkings and John Harraway as well as by the excellent local organisation by Lisbeth Cordani, Pedro Morettin and their team. A main result is the ICOTS-7 Proceedings CD-ROM edited by Allan Rossman and Beth Chance, which is now freely available on the publication page of IASE.
The first steps towards organising next ICOTS-8 in 2010 have already been taken by the IASE Executive. After having venues on different continents, ICOTS-8 returns to Europe in Ljubljana, Slovenia, July 11-16, 2010. The conference theme Data and Context in Statistics Education emphasizes two concepts that are key concepts at nearly all levels of statistics education. The subtitle Towards an Evidence-Based Society offers a gateway to reflections about the past, present and future status of statistics in society and about the impact of statistics education on learning objectives. The International Programme Committee Executive consists of: John Harraway, (New Zealand; IPC Chair), Roxy Peck (USA; Programme Chair), John Shanks (New Zealand; Information Manager), Helen MacGillivray (Australia; Scientific Secretary) and Alan McLean (USA; Editor Proceedings). The Local Organising Committee is chaired by Andrej Blejec (Slovenia). You can access the ICOTS-8 website at: http://icots8.org/.

By the time this Report becomes public, we will have just held a two-day Satellite Conference on Assessing Student Learning in Statistics, Guimarães, Portugal, August 19-21, 2007, with Brian Phillips and Beth Chance as Joint Chairs of the Programme Committee. Allan Rossman (USA) organised the topics for Invited Paper Meetings for the 56th Session in Lisboa and the Invited Paper Meetings for 57th Session in Durban are being organised by Helen MacGillivray (Australia). The IASE Programme Committee for ISI-57 has chosen the theme Statistics Education for the Future.
In addition, there have been IASE sponsored sessions at the 2005 Joint Statistical Meetings (Minneapolis 2005) organised by Carol Blumberg. IASE also co-sponsored a number of activities such as the Stochastic Thinking and Reasoning Research Forum 4 (New Zealand, July 2-7, 2005) and Forum 5 (UK, August 11-17, 2007).
Planning for the IASE Round Table Conference in Monterrey, Mexico, June 30-July 4, 2008, is underway. This Round Table is one of the components of the ICMI/IASE Joint Study Statistics Education in School Mathematics: Challenges for Teaching and Teacher Education.
The IASE research flag SERJ is in good shape. Four very interesting issues were published in 2005-2006; in Vol. 4, No. 1 (May 2005) a special section was included about Reasoning about Variation with guest editors Joan Garfield and Dani Ben-Zvi) and a special issue Vol. 5, No. 2 (November 2006) dealt with Reasoning About Distribution with guest editors Maxine Pfannkuch and Chris Reading. Plans are underway to continue with special issues dedicated to a central theme.
The flow of submissions is increasing and thanks to the efforts of the editorial board under the leadership of Iddo Gal and Tom Short the journal is growing in prestige.
The International Statistical Literacy Project (ISLP) has been under transition. Under the leadership of Carol Joyce Blumberg from the start in 2001 up to mid-2006, Carol constructed a website that offered a gateway on Internet towards Statistical Literacy and towards IASE. Juana Sanchez is taking over and has a great vision about ISLP. In collaboration with the INE of Portugal, ISLP conducted in 2007 a statistical literacy game in some schools around the Guimarães area. By the time this report become public, we will know the winners of the first ISLP Statistical Literacy Games held in Portugal. The semi-final took place on Saturday, August 18, 2007, in Guimaraes, where teams of students 10-18 years participated in these games.
The important collaboration with ICMI Statistics Education in School Mathematics Challenges for Teaching and Teacher Education, which started in 2005 under the leadership of Carmen Batanero, is making progress.
This ICMI/IASE project consists of several components, one of which is the IASE Roundtable in 2008 in Mexico.
During the period 2005-2007, Past President and Website Editor Chris Wild made many important additions. All conference proceedings, are delivered from the IASE publications page http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~iase/publications.php.
Also, significant archival content was added in 2006 including the Proceedings of ICOTS-3 (1990) and the Proceedings of the First Scientific Meeting of the IASE held in Perugia in 1993. The scanning for all of the above was done by the Department of Statistics at the University of Auckland and Carol Joyce Blumberg’s assistants at Winona State University. We are still on the lookout for volunteers to scan other important Proceedings or even just send the books to Chris Wild. For example, we are still missing ICOTS 1, 2 and 4. In terms of effort for webmaster Stephen Cope, the biggest job has been exporting Carol Joyce Blumberg's ISLP pages from Winona State University and recreating them as a wiki, so that it is easy for many people around the world to work on the content remotely. Many regular features have been updated. For example, we now have about 24 statistics education doctoral dissertations in full version at http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/iasedissert  and about 18 abstracts. Then, of course, there have been the regular additions to the archives of IASE Matters, ISI Newsletters, SERJ and so on.
Extensive reports of all activities are given in the 2005 and 2006 issues of the IASE Review available from the IASE website, as well as the Proceedings of all conferences, all issues of SERJ, the electronic journal co-published by the IASE and ISI, and all other IASE publications. We plan to continue our policy of free access on our website for our publications and of cooperation with other statistics education journals and professional bodies interested in statistics education.
We also plan the alteration of the name of the association. The new name International Association of Statistics Education was submitted to and approved by the General Assembly of the IASE on 28 August 2007. This change is in line with other similar associations.
In the Coming of Age of Statistical Education, Vere-Jones (1995) discusses a threefold purpose of IASE: (1) IASE is a professional group representing the interest of statistics teachers, (2) IASE is a research organisation promoting research into statistics education and (3) IASE is an organisation representing the statistics community in education matters.
The above mentioned activities of IASE demonstrate that IASE has been working during 2006 on all three roles. In order to fortify the IASE as an organisation representing the statistics community in education matters, I would like to invite ISI members to become a member of IASE. If you are not yet a member of another ISI Section, it is free of charge. Please send an e-mail to Margaret (@cbs.nl) indicating that you are an ISI member and that you would like to join IASE. If you are an ISI member and already a member of another ISI Section, then there is a nominal charge (see the application form on the IASE website or send an e-mail to Margaret). If you have any further questions, please write to me Gilberte.schuyten@ugent.be.
I would like to express my gratitude to all the 2005-2007 IASE Executive Committee members, IASE members with special assignments and all people who participated in the many IASE activities.

Contributed by Gilberte Schuyten

IASE

Announcement and Call for Conference Papers Joint ICMI /IASE Study Statistics Education in School Mathematics

(This is also the IASE 2008 Round Table Conference)
June 30 to July 4, 2008, Monterrey, Mexico

The International Commission on Mathematical Instruction (ICMI, http://www.mathunion.org/ICMI/) and the International Association for Statistical Education (IASE, http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~iase/) are pleased to announce the Joint ICMI /IASE Study Statistics Education in School Mathematics: Challenges for Teaching and Teacher Education.
Following the tradition of ICMI Studies, this Study will comprise of two parts: the Joint Study Conference and the production of the Joint Study book. The Joint Study Conference will be merged with the IASE 2008 Round Table Conference.
The Joint Study Conference (ICMI Study and IASE Round Table Conference) will take place at the Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores, Monterrey, Mexico (http://www.mty.itesm.mx/), from June 30 to July 4, 2008. Participation in the Conference is only by invitation, based on a submitted contribution and a refereeing process. Accepted papers will be presented at the Conference and will appear in the Proceedings that will be published by ICMI and IASE as a CD-ROM and on the Internet.
The second part of the Joint Study – the Joint Study book – will be produced after the Conference and will be published in the ICMI Study Series. Participation in the Joint Study Conference does not automatically assure participation in the book, since a second selection and rewriting of selected papers will be made after the Conference. Proposed papers for contributions to the Joint Study Conference should be submitted by e-mail no later than October 1, 2007, to the IPC Study Chair (Carmen Batanero, batanero@ugr.es). Papers should be relevant to the Joint Study focus and research questions, as described in the Discussion Document (which is available at the Joint Study Website (http://www.ugr.es/~icmi/iase_study/) or directly at http://www.ugr.es/~icmi/iase_study/Discussion_Document.pdf)
Guidelines for preparing and submitting a paper are also available in the Discussion Document.

Please address questions to Carmen Batanero, batanero@ugr.es.
International Programme Committee:
Carmen Batanero (Spain, Chair), Bernard Hodgson (Canada, representing ICMI), Allan Rossman (USA, representing IASE), Armando Albert (México), Dani Ben-Zvi (Israel), Gail Burrill (USA), Doreen Connor (UK), Joachim Engel (Germany), Joan Garfield (USA), Jun Li (China), Maria Gabriella Ottaviani (Italy), Lionel Pereira Mendoza (Singapore), Maxine Pfannkuch (New Zealand), Mokaeane Victor Polaki (Lesotho), and Chris Reading (Australia).

Contributed by Carmen Batanero

IASE

ISLP NEWS

Statistical Literacy Competition in Northern Portugal a Success
The winners of the Statistical Literacy Competition organised by the ISLP in Schools in northern Portugal received their awards from Chris Wild, Past President of the IASE, on August 18, 2008, at the University do Minho, Guimaraes, Portugal. We can see in the figures below the high school winning team (top) and the winning team from the middle school (bottom).

Shown in the pictures from left to right are: Juana Sanchez, Director of the ISLP, the winning team, Chris Wild and Bruno de Sousa, from University do Minho. The teams came from Escola Secundaria de Caldas das Taipas and Escola EB2,3 de Valenca do Minho, respectively. They received as prizes games provided by the sponsor APM (Mathematics Teachers Association of Portugal), an ISI watch provided by the ISI, and a $100 check to cover expenses of their travel to Guimaraes for the final and travel to the local site where they competed in the premilinary games. The monetary award was jointly provided by funds from the sponsor Statistics Education Section of the American Statistical Association and the IASE. In addition to this award, these students will have expenses paid.
During the preliminary games in Valenca do Minho, Porto and Guimaraes, the students received small prizes provided by sponsors Statistics Portugal, Australian Bureau of Statistics, APM, University do Minho and the DREN (North Portugal Regional Education Authority). The students also heard inspiring presentations by statisticians who gave them an overview of the use of Statistics in everyday life and career opportunities in Statistics.
Other sponsors were UCLA department of Statistics and SOCR. We cannot thank enough the help we received from Pedro Campos of Statistics Portugal, Maria Manuel da Silva Nascimento of UTAD and Bruno de Sousa of University do Minho. Without them and the sponsors, the competition would not have been possible.

The ISLP web page http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~iase/islp/game contains a very detailed description of the competition at the different locations (Valenca, Porto, Guimaraes) and many photos. The games that the students did can also be found there.

Best Cooperative Project Award and Volunteers Awards

During the ISLP Open Meeting at the ISI Session in Lisboa, Pedro Campos of ALEA received for ALEA the Best Cooperative Project Award 2007. ALEA (http://www.alea.pt) was one of the sources of materials for the ISLP games, but it was also a source of inspiration and a model to imitate in Statistical Literacy. The project is cooperation among a high school, the North Portugal Regional Education Authority and Statistics Portugal. Not only does it provide lessons and materials for adult and children’s statistical education, but it also contains a huge amount of creative spaces where anyone can learn about Portugal while having fun and learning statistics at the same time. The award was also recognition for Pedro Campos’ help since the beginning of the games.
Volunteer awards were given to Bruno de Sousa, Maria Manuel da Silva Nascimento and Chris Wild, for their immense support and help during the statistical literacy competition. We can say that their work in Statistical Literacy in Portugal is a source of inspiration for many in any country.
The ISLP will continue to award a “Best Cooperative Project Award in Statistical Literacy” in years to come and “Volunteers Certificate Awards”. The rules and call for applications in the former will soon be released on the ISLP website.

First International Statistical Literacy Competition

Register before February 28, 2008
Here we are advertising the International Statistical Literacy Competition. Please note that non-English speaking teachers can also register, but at a different site that they can find on the ISLP web page listed on the flyer.

Contributed by Juana Sanchez

IASE

Research and Development in the Teaching and Learning of Probability

Call for Papers
Topic Study Group #13
Monterrey, Mexico – July 6-13, 2008, http://tsg.icme11.org/ 
Team Chairs:
Manfred Borovcnik (Austria) manfred.borovcnik@uni-klu.ac.at
Dave Pratt (U.K.) d.pratt@ioe.ac.uk
Silvia Alatorre Frenk (Mexico) alatorre@solar.sar.net
Team:
Carmen Batanero (Spain) batanero@ugr.es
Wu Yingkang (China) ykwu@math.ecnu.edu.cn 

Aims and focus
Probability and statistics education are relatively new disciplines. Both have only recently been introduced into main stream school curricula in many countries. While application-oriented statistics is undisputed in its relevance, discussion about probability is more ambivalent. When probability is reduced to its classical conception, mainly based on combinatorics or its formal treatment in higher mathematics, it can be seen as irrelevant, and may be abandoned to leave only the statistical element of the stochastics discipline. However, we believe that there are some powerful arguments in favour of a strong role for probability within stochastics curricula:
i) Sound probabilistic judgements support people’s rational decision-making in important situations, such as medical tests, jury verdicts, investments, assessment, etc.
ii) Equally, reasoning about uncertainty is an important everyday skill. For example, the concepts of risk (not only in financial markets) and reliability, closely related to probability, impact on our everyday decision-making.
iii) Probability is essential in understanding any inferential procedures in statistics.
iv) Probability offers a tool for modelling and “creating” reality. For example, modern physics cannot be formulated without reference to probability concepts.
Thus, the challenge is to teach probability through designing materials and tools that help understanding. The focus has to be on creating approaches to probability that are more accessible and motivating, utilising practical applications as appropriate. Pedagogy should embrace schools of thought such as the frequentist and subjective views of probability.
We see the emergence of approaches that promote the visualisation of abstract concepts. Simulation is one such strategy, but there are many others. The use of technology also enables a change in emphasis from the technicalities of calculation to conceptual underpinning. At the same time, we recognise the fundamental importance that pedagogy addresses personal attitudes and intuitions in its approach.
With these challenges in mind, we encourage presentations at ICME 11 that will help us to share the diversity of endeavours in research on understanding and teaching of randomness, chance and probability. May future teaching take advantage of this exchange, which we expect will initiate new research projects on the teaching and learning of probability.
We invite submissions related to the following topics:
Individuals’ corner
• Students’ understanding and misunderstanding of fundamental probabilistic concepts;
• Ideas of probability in young children;
• Impact of technology;
• The use of technology for students’ learning of probability;
• Using specific software to study probability and sampling distributions;
• Special issues in e-learning.
Teacher’s corner
• Teacher education on the topic of probability;
• Teachers’ conceptions about teaching probability.
Fundamental ideas
• The probabilistic idea of random variable, distribution, expectation;
• The central limit theorem, convergence;
• Bayes theorem and conditional probability, independence, exchangeability;
• Probabilistic modelling – a probabilistic look at distributions.

Submissions and proposals
Individuals may submit a paper for consideration by the Organizing Team of the Topic Study Group to be accepted for oral presentation in the TSG or as a paper presented by distribution within the group. Send proposals to manfred.borovcnik@uni-klu.ac.at (with the reference “ICME 11 proposal” to filter the mail accordingly). Accepted papers will also be published on the website of the conference and on a conference CD. If you do not specify presentation by distribution, we will assume that you wish your paper to be considered for oral presentation. As only a limited number of papers can be presented orally, you may be asked to accept presentation by distribution. The time for presentation will be limited to 15 minutes; some talks of general interest may have 30 minutes.
Preliminary schedule
Short outline/proposal (2 pages) Jan. 1, 2008
Answer to the authors Jan. 22, 2008
Paper Submitted March 1, 2008
Papers reviewed by the organizing team April 15, 2008
Final paper submitted and posted on the TSG website May 15, 2008
Note: Late submissions (until April 15) will be considered for presentation by distribution.

Practical information
Length of proposal: 2 pages plus references – Length of final paper: 4-6 pages plus references.
Templates with the format conditions will be downloadable from the website.
Other activities linked to probability education at and around ICME
TSG #14: Research and development in the teaching and learning of statistics at ICME-11
More information: http://tsg.icme11.org/
Team Chairs:
Rolf Biehler (Germany) biehler@mathematik.uni-kassel.de
Mike Shaughessy (U.S.A.) mikesh@pdx.edu
Omar Rouan (Marocco) esanchez@cinvestav.mx 

Joint ICMI/IASE Study
This conference takes place at the ITESM, Monterrey, June 30-July 4, 2008 (the week before ICME).
More information: http://www.ugr.es/~icmi/iase_study/
Chair: Carmen Batanero (Spain) batanero@ugr.es 

ELEE: Latin American Statistics Education Meeting (in Spanish and Portuguese)
This meeting is specifically directed to Latin American Statistics Educators and takes place at the ITESM, Monterrey, July 4 - 5, 2008.
More information:
http://www.ugr.es/~icmi/iase_study/Encuentro.htm
Cileda Coutinho (Brazil) cileda@pucsp.br

Contributed by Manfred Borovcnik and Dave Pratt

IASE
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Irving Fisher Committee on Central Bank Statistics (IFC)

  Chairman Jan Smets, Executive Director, National Bank of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium
Tel: +32 2 221 2046, Fax: +32 2 2213239
E-mail: jan.smets@nbb.be
Secretariat Mr. Christian Dembiermont, Monetary and Economic Department, Bank for International Settlements, Basel, Switzerland
Tel: +41 61 280 8313, Fax: +41 61 280 9100
E-mail: christian.dembiermont@bis.org and
Ms. Madeleine Op't Hof, Monetary and Economic Department, Bank for International Settlements, Basel, Switzerland
Tel: +41 61 280 8335, Fax: +41 61 280 9100
E-mail: madeleine.opt-hof@bis.org
Website http://www.bis.org/ifc

IFC Committee Meeting

The annual meeting of the IFC Committee took place on 22 August 2007, just prior to the start of the 56th ISI Session. 47 of the Committee’s 58 institutional members were represented. Among other things, the Committee elected new Executive members and decided priorities for future activities.

Regional Workshops

The IFC organised a workshop on "The use of surveys by central banks", from 27 to 29 June 2007, in cooperation with SEACEN (the South East Asian Central Banks Research and Training Centre). The workshop was co-sponsored by the Reserve Bank of India and focused on methodological issues and challenges faced by central banks in conducting surveys. 13 Asian central banks were represented at the workshop, which also provided an excellent opportunity to market the IFC and its activities in the region.

A future regional workshop on the same topic is planned for 11 to 13 December 2007, in cooperation with the Centre for Latin American Monetary Studies (CEMLA) and the Central Bank of the Republic of Argentina. A third workshop will be presented in cooperation with the Austrian National Bank at the Joint Vienna Institute from 18 to 20 March 2009. The results of these workshops will be published in a future issue of the IFC Bulletin.

Workshop on Securities Statistics

In early 2008, the IFC will sponsor a workshop on "Securities statistics”. The event will be hosted by the IMF in Washington, D.C. The aim of the workshop is to identify issues that users and compilers of statistics in area face and how existing international methodologies could be improved to assist them.

2008 IFC Conference

The fourth IFC Conference will take place on 26 and 27 August 2008 in Basel. The conference will focus on “Measuring financial innovation and its impact”. Themes that could be covered include: compilation of data on new financial instruments; measuring the impact of innovations on financial market activities; and new risk measurement and management practices in financial institutions. Participation is open to IFC institutional members, other central banks, as well as members of other ISI Sections and committees. Persons interested in submitting papers for the conference, should feel free to contact the IFC Secretariat for more information.

The IFC's Contribution to ISI Sessions

The IFC organised 10 meetings at the 56th Session of the ISI in Lisbon from 22 to 29 August 2007. Some of the meetings were co-sponsored with other ISI Sections. The results of these meetings will be published in a future issue of the IFC Bulletin. For Durban, the IFC has identified various topics for IPMs and CPMs, some of which might be of particular relevance for the African region. The IFC will also consider holding a satellite meeting with central banks from the Southern African Development Community.

The IFC Executive

The IFC Committee

 


International Society for Business and Industrial Statistics

Editorial Address Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi
Department of Information Systems & Decision Sciences (SID)
ESSEC Business School Paris
Avenue Bernard Hirsch, B.P. 50105
95021 Cergy-Pontoise Cedex, France
Tel: +33-1-3443-3656; Fax: +33-1-3443-3691
E-mail: vinzi@essec.fr
Chairman Nicholas Fisher
ValueMetrics Australia
Suite 251, 184 Blues Point Road
McMahons Point NSW 2060 AUSTRALIA
Tel: +61 2 9922-1623; Fax: +61 2 9922-1635
E-mail: nif@valuemetrics.com.au
Website ISBIS website: http://www.stats.wits.ac.za/isbis/
ASMBI website:
 http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/jhome/66002616 

 

ISBIS-2008: July 1-4, 2008
ISBIS Invited Paper Meetings for the 57th ISI Session in Durban, South Africa
ISBIS-2007
ISBIS and Other Conferences

ISBIS-2008: July 1-4, 2008

Prague, Czech Republic
www.action-m.com/isbis2008
After the successful International Symposium on Business and Industrial Statistics (ISIBIS-2007, http://www.isbis2007.uac.pt/) that took place at the University of Azores (Sao Miguel Island, Ponta Delgada, Azores, Portugal) during 18 - 20 August 2007, we are pleased to announce ISBIS-2008.

ISBIS-2008 is an international symposium sponsored by the International Society for Business and Industrial Statistics, focusing on quantitative aspects of Banking, Insurance and Finance, and important statistical issues relating to productivity improvement and decision-making at all levels of business and industry. Many world leading quantitative financial analysts and industrial statisticians will be participating.

The symposium will be held in the beautiful medieval city of Prague (Czech Republic) during 1 - 4 July 2008.

It will provide a varied and stimulating scientific programme of invited and contributed papers, and excellent opportunities for formal and informal exchanges.

ISBIS-2008 will cover, among others, the following major themes in the area of, respectively, Quantitative Analytics for Banking, Finance and Insurance and Business and Industrial Statistics:
Modelling and Managing Portfolio Credit Risk
Structured Credit Products and Securitisation
Regulatory Issues in Banking, such as Basel II, internal rating systems, model validation
Integrating Market and Credit Risk Term
Structure Models Pricing and Hedging of Derivatives
Alternative Investments
Asset-liability modelling
Portfolio Management and Dynamic Portfolio Optimisation
Life Insurance
Pensions and Retirement Securities
Mortality Models and Securities
Regulatory Issues in Insurance, such as Solvency II, Solvency Tests
Energy and Power: Derivatives and Risk Management
Design of Experiments
Process Control
Reliability
Six Sigma and Other Quality Management Paradigms
Case Studies and Novel Statistical Applications
Information Technology and Network Modelling
Software Engineering
Chemometrics
Pharmaceutical Statistics
Large Data Sets in Business and Industry
New Developments and Applications in Data Mining and Machine Learning
Risk Analysis and Management
Market Research
Panel Discussions on current research and future needs/challenges

Authors will have the opportunity to submit extended versions of their papers for publication in a special edition of the Society's journal, Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry.
Scientific Organising Committee:
Director
Nicholas Fisher, ValueMetrics, Australia
nif@valuemetrics.com.au
Chair of International Scientific Programme
George Michailidis, University of Michigan, USA
gmichail@umich.edu
Chair of Quantitative Analytics Programme
Rüdiger Kiesel, University of Ulm, Germany
ruediger.kiesel@uni-ulm.de

For further information, please visit www.action-m.com/isbis2008.
You can register interest in receiving further information by visiting
http://www.action-m.com/isbis2008/prereg_form.php.

ISBIS Invited Paper Meetings for the 57th ISI Session in Durban, South Africa

(16 - 22 august 2009)
ISBIS will be sponsoring the following invited paper meetings in the ISI biennial Session in 2009. Vijay Nair has been acting as the ISBIS programme chair for this conference.
1. “Capturing Unobserved Heterogeneity in Latent Variable Modeling” in co-sponsorship with IASC (International Association for Statistical Computing), another Section of ISI
Organiser: Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi, France
2. “Statistical Issues in Complex Computational Models”
Organiser: Pritam Ranjan, Canada
3. “Statistics in Finance”
Organiser: Rong Chen, USA
4. “Statistics in the Pharmaceutical Industry”
Organiser: Chihiro Hirotsu, Japan
5. “Analysis of Measurement Systems”
Organiser: Jeroen de Mast, The Netherlands
6. “Energy Statistics”
Organiser: Carol Joyce Blumberg, USA

ISBIS-2007

ISBIS organised a satellite conference (International Symposium on Business and Industrial Statistics, ISBIS-2007) to the 56th Session of the ISI, at the University of the Azores, August 18 - 20, 2007. Frank Samaniego (University of California, Davis) was the Programme Chair, and Helena Bacelar-Nicolau (University of Lisbon) and Fernando Nicolau were the Conference Co-Chairs. Osvaldo Silva (University of Azores) was handling all the local arrangements. Plenary Speakers were Sir David Cox (Oxford University, UK), George Tiao (University of Chicago, USA) and Ed Wegman (George Mason University, USA). We had about 40 invited sessions and 10 contributed sessions. The topics covered areas such as Data Mining, Experimental Design, Financial Econometrics, Information Technology, Marketing, Network Modelling, Process Control, Reliability, Risk Management, Quality, Six Sigma, Statistics and e-Commerce, Statistics in Business Litigations, Time Series, etc. There were about 160 participants from 32 countries. The participants had a great time. We would like to thank all the organisers, especially Osvaldo Silva, for an excellent conference.

ISBIS and Other Conferences

One of the objectives of ISBIS is to develop and promote relationships among national and regional organizations involved in activities similar to those of ISBIS.
With this in mind, ISBIS organised an invited session at the Quality and Productivity Research Conference in Santa Fe, New Mexico (June 4 - 6, 2007). This conference was sponsored by the Quality and Productivity section of the American Statistical Association.
For the near future, the Colombian National Statistical Meeting will be held in Cartagena, Colombia, during August 11 - 15, 2008. This year’s theme is Business and Industrial Statistics. Geoff Vining and Bovas Abraham will organise some invited sessions on behalf of ISBIS.
ISBIS Official Journal:
The official journal of the Society is Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry (ASMBI), published by Wiley (UK). This journal was formally edited by Jef Teugels. Since being adopted as the official journal of ISBIS, Fabrizio Ruggeri has taken over from Jef Teugels as Editor-in-Chief.
ISBIS members have free electronic access to this journal for 2 years starting from January 1, 2008.
ISBIS Council Election
A new ISBIS Council was elected whose term will be from August 2007 to August 2009. The new Council members are:
Executive:
President: Nicholas Fisher (Australia)
President-Elect: Yves Grize (Switzerland)
VP-Publications: Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi (France)
VP-Secretariat: Bill Meeker (USA)
VP-Finance: Graciela Farias (Mexico)
VP-Membership: Geoff Vining (USA)

Other members:
Eugenio Epprecht (Brazil)
Alberto Ferrer (Spain)
D.S. Hooda (India)
Dennis Lin (USA)
George Michailidis (USA/Greece)
Werner G. Mueller (Austria)
Wei Yuan (China)
Zhong-Zhan Zhang (China)
Shu Yamada (Japan)
Sung Hyun Park (Korea)
David Steinberg (Israel)
Stefan Steiner (Canada)

ISBIS Membership

ISBIS membership is open to all individuals and organisations with a professional interest in any aspect of business, financial and industrial statistics, including:
Research, teaching, training and consulting;
Involvement in the use of statistics in areas such as quality and reliability improvement, software development, financial statistics, business and management, etc.
There are individual, institutional, and student memberships. Details and application forms can be obtained from the ISBIS website: http://www.stats.wits.ac.za/isbis/ or contact Nicholas Fisher (nif@valuemetrics.com.au).
If you are already a member of the ISI, you can become a member of ISBIS free of charge by sending an e-mail to Margaret in the ISI Office (@cbs.nl) provided you are not a member of another Section. If you are already a member of another Section, you can add ISBIS membership for a small fee.


International Statistical Literacy Project

First International Statistical Literacy Competition

Registration Deadline: February 28, 2008

www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/survey/take/6903661

First round: Early May 2008
Second round: Fall 2008
Final: August 2009 at the ISI Session in Durban

The competition is for students 10-18 years old. Teachers register their students and will be contacted after registering for further instructions and materials for students to practice. Visit the competition’s website: www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~iase/islp/competition


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