|Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability|
|International Association for Official Statistics (IAOS)|
|Standing Committee on Regional and Urban Statistics|
|International Association for Statistical Computing (IASC)|
|International Association for Statistics Education (IASE)|
|International Statistical Literacy Project (ISLP)|
|International Association of Survey Statisticians (IASS)|
|Irving Fisher Committee on Central Bank Statistics (IFC)|
|International Society for Business and Industrial Statistics (ISBIS)|
|The International Environmetrics Society (TIES)|
|Newsletter Volume 33, No. 1 (97) 2009|
EMS 2009 will be the major European international meeting of 2009 covering mathematical statistics, statistical applications and applied probability. It will be held 20th-24th July in Toulouse at the Université Paul Sabatier.
The Meeting will be held under the auspices of the Bernoulli Society, the IMS and ISI. The programme will feature an opening lecture delivered by Emmanuel Candes (Caltech), the Forum lectures presented by Aad van der Vaart (Vrije Universiteit) and a closing lecture given by Jeff Steif (Chalmers University of Technology).
The Special Invited Lecturers will be Nina Gantert (University of Muenster), Tillmann Gneiting (University of Washington), Iain Johnstone (Stanford University), Gabor Lugosi (Universitat Pompeu Fabra), Andrew Majda (New York University), Péter Major (Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Geert Molenberghs (Hasselt University) and Thomas Nichols (GlaxoSmithKline).
The Scientific Programme Committee is: Trevor Sweeting (Chair, University College London), Jean-Marc Azais (Université Paul Sabatier), Petros Dellaportas (Athens University of Economics and Business), Mathisca de Gunst (Vrije Universiteit), Olle Häggström (Chalmers University of Technology), Peter Imkeller (Humbolt University at Berlin), Ingrid van Keilegom (Université Catholique de Louvain), Gyula Pap (University of Debrecen) and Eva B. Vedel Jensen (University of Aarhus).
Some of the themes from the Special Invited Lectures will be continued into the Invited Paper Sessions, specifically the sessions on Nonparametric and semi-parametric Bayesian procedures, Compressed sensing, Climate models, Design of computer experiments and sensitivity analysis, Statistical methods in neuroscience, Random walks with interactions, and Statistical learning. Other sessions will include:
Random walks with interactions, Gaussian Markov random fields, Modelling with Lévy and branching processes, Stochastics of complex networks, Coding theory/information theory, Compressed Sensing, Ill-posed inverse problems, Statistical learning, Nonparametric and semi-parametric Bayesian procedures, Confidence bounds, Multiscale modelling and geometric methodsand inference, Extreme values, Statistics of financial mathematics, New developments in goodness-of-fit testing, Auxiliary variable methods in modelling and Monte Carlo methods, Quantum statistical theory, Statistics in forensic science, Semi-parametrics in survival analysis, Statistics of biological networks, Stochastics of population genetics and evolutionary biology, Statistics of biological systems and delay differential equations, Information theory and statistics, Statistical methods in neuroscience, Climate models, Design of computer experiments and sensitivity analysis, Statistical and stochastic methods for computer codes in industry, Applied/industrial statistics.
We now call for contributions for any topics related to applied probability, mathematical statistics and or applied statistics. The deadline for submissions is March 20th, 2009. New researchers and PhD students are especially invited to submit contributed papers.
Registration fees are detailed as follows:
(Please note that these fees do not include the conference dinner nor Wednesday’s social events.)
We will be able to host some participants in student rooms at a cost of € 20 per day, breakfast included, with low-cost meals.
Toulouse is an occitanian capital at the heart of the south-west of France, especially pleasant in summertime. The Conference will open with a "dégustation de vins et fromages" on Monday, 20th July. Several mid-conference excursions and a conference dinner will help to create a friendly atmosphere in which participants can easily establish new contacts. During the free evenings, participants can enjoy the beautiful old town of Toulouse between the quays of the Garonne and the banks of the Canal du Midi.
• The next SPA (Stochasic Processes and their Applications) Meeting will be held in Berlin on July 27-31, 2009. As everyone knows, this is the biggest annual meeting sponsored by the Bernoulli Society, in collaboration with the IMS, and the program this year is particularly exciting. The registration is opened on the website: http://www.math.tu-berlin.de/SPA2009/.
• The next meeting of the Council of the Society will be held in Berlin during the SPA Meeting. The precise time, date and venue will be communicated later. There will also be a General Assembly of the Society during the Meeting.
Club Puerto Azul–Naiguatá–Venezuela
The Scientific Committee is composed of José Rafael León (Chair, Universidad Central de Venezuela), Jean-Marc Azaïs (Université Paul Sabatier, Toulouse, France), Jean Bertoin (Université Paris VI), Peter Bickel (University of California, Berkeley), David Elworthy (Warwick University, UK), Ricardo Fraiman (Universidad de la República, Uruguay), Graciela Gonzalez Farías (CIMAT, Mexico), Raul Gouet (Universidad de Chile), Jorge A. León (CINVESTAV, IPN, México) Carlos Matrán (Universidad de Valladolid, España), Alexandra M. Schmidt (Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Brasil) and Maria Eulália Vares (Centro Brasileiro de Pesquisas Físicas, Brasil).
The Local Committee is composed of Stella Brassesco (Chair, Instituto Venezolano de Investigaciones Científicas), Carenne Ludeña (Instituto Venezolano de Investigaciones Científicas), José Gregorio Marcano (Universidad de Carabobo), José Rafael León (Universidad Central de Venezuela), Lelys Bravo (Universidad Simón Bolívar) and Saba Infante (Universidad de Carabobo).
Confirmed Invited Sessions:
A Seminar on Nonparametric Statistics was co-sponsored by the Bernoulli Society and hosted by the Faculty of Economics and Business of the University of Vigo (Vigo, Galicia, NW of Spain) from November 5-7, 2008. Recent advances in survival analysis, curve estimation, functional data analysis, goodness-of-fit tests, variable selection methods, extremes, and regression under shape constraints (among many other topics) were the focus along with the seventeen plenary invited talks. Special invited speakers were: Peter Hall (Melbourne), Hans Müller (Davis), Jan Swanepoel (North-West, Potchefstroom, South Africa), Anthony Davison (Lausanne), Lutz Duembgen (Bern), Anestis Antoniadis (Grenoble), Gerda Claeskens (Leuven), Natalie Neumeyer (Hamburg), and as young local researcher, Juan Carlos Pardo-Fernández (Vigo, PhD in 2005). In addition, about 30 contributed papers were presented. Almost one hundred people attended the Seminar.
The Statistical Inference, Decision and Operations
Research (SiDOR) group organized the meeting, and the main person responsible is
its scientist-in-charge Jacobo de Uña-Álvarez. ISNI2008 was launched by the
Scientific Committee made up of Ricardo Cao (Coruña), Holger Dette (Bochum),
Wenceslao González-Manteiga (Santiago de Compostela), Gábor Lugosi (Barcelona),
Geert Molenberghs (Hasselt), Jean Opsomer (Colorado), Stefan Sperlich
(Gottingen), Winfried Stute (Giessen), Jacobo de Uña-Álvarez (Vigo), Ingrid Van
Keilegom (Louvain-la-Neuve), Noel Veraverbeke (Hasselt), and Philippe Vieu
(Toulouse), as a continuation of the Galician ISNI series (ISNI2000 and ISNI2005
were previously organized in Santiago and Coruña).
For the entire article on ISNI2008, please download the PDF.
Jacobo de Uña-Álvarez
Shanghai, 14-16 October 2008
At the Conference’s opening ceremony, Mr. Ma Jiantang, Commissioner of the National Bureau of Statistics of China, and Mr. Yang Xiong, Executive Vice Mayor of Shanghai, welcomed delegates and Mr. Ma Jiantang later gave a short introduction to the ongoing work in reshaping Chinese official statistics.
In his opening remarks, IAOS President Mr. Olav Ljones drew attention to the full title of the Conference which was: Smart Data, Innovative Uses – Reshaping Official Statistics. He pointed out that this was not intended to imply that Official Statistics are in bad shape, since it was his view that their status and quality have never been better.
However there are inevitably new challenges to be faced, especially relating to
providing access to data and globalisation. The present status of official
statistics enables us to take a step towards a fully integrated process approach
for official statistics: greater use of electronic data capture and ‘smart’
data, to address quality in a more integrated way and to develop improved
storage and dissemination of data. These processes will hopefully yield a double
dividend – more efficient production of statistics and more consistent
The Global Statistical System – Achievements and Challenges
The contents for this issue are:
Members of the IAOS should note that they can have access to the electronic version of the Journal free of charge. However, to do so, you need to have the relevant user id and pin. Late last year, the ISI Permanent Office sent these to IAOS members by e-mail. If you have not received the e-mail, or have forgotten the user id and/or password, please contact Ms. Shabani Mehta, at @cbs.nl, of the ISI Permanent Office.
This year the IAOS and SCORUS jointly organized their biennial Conference in Shanghai. Two of the plenary sessions, “The harmonisation of regional and urban statistics, a challenge” presented by Dr. Berthold Feldmann, and “Innovative use of centrally collected data to inform policy at city and region levels” presented by Mr. Dev Virdee, were well received. The six SCORUS-focused sessions were well attended with up to 70 participants in each session. The insightful discussions focused on current issues, the inclusion of measurement of well-being in regions and cities, growing demand for regional and urban statistics, GIS and regional reference systems, new approaches to policy evaluation, and the application of urban and regional statistics in Asian cities.
Papers from the conference are available on the Conference website at: www.iaos2008conf.cn.
SCORUS General Assembly
Assembly of SCORUS was held in the afternoon of 16 October 2008 after the
closing ceremony of the Conference. Some 30 participants had attended. Besides
discussing various administrative issues of SCORUS, the General Assembly agreed
on the composition of the 2009-2011 SCORUS Executive Committee as follows:
Moreover, the formation of a SCORUS Regional Group for Asia with Mr. Huang Langhui from China as the Organizer was also endorsed. Mr. Huang together with the Organizer of the Regional Group for Europe, Mr. Berthold Feldmann from Eurostat, will also serve as members of the SCORUS Management.
International Forum on Metropolitan Statistics, Beijing, 19 to 21 October 2008
SCORUS assisted the Beijing Municipal Bureau of Statistics in organizing the “Metropolitan International Statistics Forum - Beijing 2008” in Beijing from 20-21 October 2008.
The Chair of SCORUS, Mr. Dominic Leung, was invited as one of the officiating guests at the opening ceremony of the Beijing Forum held on 20 October. In his address to the audience, Mr. Leung expressed his gratitude to all SCORUS colleagues for their support to the Forum, particularly the SCORUS Regional Group for Asia and the Census and Statistics Department of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region for their efforts in assisting to organize the event.
the Beijing Forum mainly focused on six major areas, viz.:
In addition to researchers and practitioners from the mainland of China who gave 13 presentations, about 20 professional statistical practitioners and scholars from a range of countries, economies and international organizations, including Australia, Finland, Germany, Hong Kong, Macao, Ireland, Korea, The Netherlands, Singapore, Spain, the United Kingdom and Eurostat had also attended the Forum. The presentations provided new perspectives and inspired innovative ideas enhancing our knowledge and understanding of the practices, techniques and strategies adopted in research on urban and regional development.
The Forum was a great success achieving its goals and inspiring many fruitful exchanges. It provided a valuable platform for promoting developments in urban and regional statistics, and has resulted in positive feedback from participants.
Further information about the Forum is available on its website at: www.bjstats.gov.cn/ddsgjtjlt/english/.
13th Annual Berlin SCORUS Conference 2009: Statistics and the Help of Young People in Big Cities
6 to 8 April
Once again this year’s conference will be held in the south-west of Berlin in Bildungs- und Begegnungszentrum “Clara Sahlberg”, Koblankstrasse 10, 14109 Berlin-Wannsee. The BBZ is situated in the Berlin-Potsdam Cultural landscape protected by UNESCO. Please contact Prof. Dr. Eckart Elsner for additional information Profelsner@aol.com.
A special thanks to Mr. Dominic Leung for providing the report on the two meetings in China.
IASC2008/ARS’08 Joint Meeting Report
The Joint Meeting of the Fourth World Conference on Computational Statistics & Data Analysis of the IASC and the Sixth Conference of the Asian Regional Section of the IASC was held during 5-8 December 2008 at Pacifico Yokohama Conference Center in Yokohama City, Japan.
The IASC has held several international conferences, including the Third World Conference of the IASC held in Cyprus in 2005, and the Fifth Conference of the ARS (Asian Regional Section) of the IASC held in Hong Kong, China, also in 2005. IASC2008 is a successor to these two Conferences and the first united conference in the history of the IASC.
IASC2008 was hosted jointly by the IASC2008 IOC (International Organizing Committee), JSCS (Japanese Society of Computational Statistics) and the ISM (Institute of Statistical Mathematics). As the Chair of the IASC2008 IOC, I would like to express sincere thanks to the volunteers from JSCS and the ISM (Masahiro Mizuta, Yuichi Mori, Yoshiro Yamamoto, to name a few) for their great efforts in running this Conference.
We had 464 participants: 231 from Japan and 233
from overseas countries. Countries with ten or more participants were: Taiwan
(31), South Korea (28), Czech Republic (18), USA (17), Spain (16), Great Britain
(13), Hong Kong (12), Germany (11) and Australia (10).
At the opening ceremony, greetings were given by Junji Nakano as the Chair of the IASC2008 IOC, Jaromír Antoch as the President of the IASC and Wing Kam Fung as the Chairman of the ARS of the IASC. Then, Trevor Hastie of Stanford University gave the first keynote lecture. After the lecture, parallel sessions started in seven halls for three days.
In some sessions, we had standing audiences. The first poster presentations took place in the evening of that day.
Many speakers and participants had active discussions there. A welcome party followed with more than 300 participants. "Edo-Daikagura", one type of the traditional entertainment in Japan, where Japanese traditional juggling and a lion dance are performed, especially attracted foreign participants to the welcome party.
Junji Nakano and Trevor Hastie
On the second day, seven parallel oral sessions and poster presentations were held. We also had a tea ceremony as a Japanese cultural experience which drew a lot of participants. The banquet on the night of the second day was held on the Yokohama Port cruise ship. On the final day, parallel oral sessions and poster presentations took place, and the second keynote lecture, by Ker-Chau Li of Academia Sinica Taiwan/UCLA, was given in the evening.
At the Conference venue, corporate booths exhibiting hardware, software and books related to statistics and the booth of the ISI Session in Durban were present and provided information to the participants.
Three satellite meetings and one tutorial were held before and after IASC2008 and several participants of IASC2008 also participated in these meetings. I would like to thank the Organizers of these meetings. The satellite meetings were "Statistical modeling for computer security" held by Jung Jin Lee in Seoul, South Korea, "Statistical computation and visualization" held by Chun-houh Chen in Taipei, Taiwan, and "Computational algebraic statistics, Theories and Applications" held by Akimichi Takemura in Kyoto, Japan, and the tutorial "Advanced R tutorial" was held in Yokohama, Japan.
Contributed by Junji Nakano
The COMPSTAT 2010 Symposium will take place in Paris. The meeting is scheduled for August 23rd to 27th, on the premises of the Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers (CNAM), located in the heart of Paris (http://www.cnam.fr/).
The Conference will be organized by CNAM statisticians with the support of INRIA, the French national institute in computer science and control (http://www.inria.fr/index.en.html).
Besides the main Conference, a satellite meeting or a tutorial will be organized at INRIA Rocquencourt Research Unit, a campus near Versailles, a few kilometres from Paris.
The Local Organizing Committee is chaired by Gilbert Saporta (CNAM), with Yves Lechevallier from INRIA as Vice-Chairman.
Scientific Programme Committee (SPC)
Representative of the IFCS:
Early Scientific Programme Information
The 58th Session of the ISI will be held
In the next ISI Newsletter issue, the guidelines and the deadline for proposing Invited Paper Meeting Sessions sponsored or co-sponsored by the IASC will be announced.
The next IASC-ERS Summer School will be on "Computational Aspects in Environmental Statistics" and will be held on 7-11 September 2009 in the picturesque venue of the Gorni Voden Monastery "St. Kirik and Yulita", District of Plovdiv, Bulgaria.
Scientific Program and Lecturers:
All lectures and the work material will be in
English. Case studies application and training in the PC room will be in R.
Conferences Endorsed or Sponsored by the IASC
Cagliari, Italy, 30th May - 3rd
Professor Francesco Mola is in charge of the local
organisation and along with Professor Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi and Dr. Nick
Fisher PhD are co-chairing the Scientific Program Committee.
IASC members will be eligible for the lowest
The Sixth International Conference on Partial Least Squares and Related Methods (PLS'09) will take place in Beijing, China, on September 4th-7th, 2009. PLS'09 focuses on research in Management, Engineering and Life Sciences. This Conference is a unique event through which outstanding experts in PLS methods, from all over the world, can meet and communicate.
Prof. Esposito Vinzi, who Co-Chairs the Program Committee, is an extremely active member of the IASC. Two IASC Past Presidents are in the Program Committee: Prof. Carlo Lauro (Italy) and Prof. Gilbert Saporta (France).
Program Committee is co-chaired by:
Grand Resort Hotel, Limassol, Cyprus
For further information, please contact: email@example.com.
29-31 October 2009
For further information, please contact: firstname.lastname@example.org.
We are pleased to announce the establishment of the CATALST group in the Department of Educational Psychology at the University of Minnesota. CATALST stands for Change Agents in Teaching and Learning STatistics.
We are conducting statistics education research studies, developing and evaluating new curriculum, hosting seminars and outside speakers, and more. We have several funded projects and new initiatives coming up.
Visiting scholars are welcome to come and share their work with us and form
new collaborations. If you have a sabbatical coming up and would like to spend
some time with us, please let us know. We also have possible teaching
opportunities to supplement sabbatical support.
Contributed by Joan Garfield
Introduction from the IASE President
Data are everywhere. Information from around the world is at our fingertips every minute of every day. As a statistician, I am thrilled with this development. However, the ubiquitous availability of data makes all the more important the need to train all citizens in how to use data for sound, evidence-based decision-making. This Conference is addressing two very important issues: how to better incorporate the teaching of statistics into school mathematics, and how to better prepare teachers for that challenge. The issue of teacher training is paramount. The impact of school teaching of statistics will be minimal until we statistics educators help prospective teachers to appreciate the benefits of statistical thinking. Once we develop that enthusiasm on the part of prospective teachers, and support it by providing a solid understanding of statistics ideas, then those teachers can convey to their students an excitement for learning statistics.
I am delighted that the IASE and ICMI (International Commission on Mathematical Instruction) are collaborating on this Conference and on the broader study of which this Conference is a part. ICMI’s interest in statistics education will help to bring more attention to this important issue, and IASE is very pleased to work collaboratively with ICMI on this study. The timing has worked out wonderfully for the 2008 IASE Round Table Conference to coincide with the ICMI Study Conference. Every four years the IASE organizes a round table conference that brings together statistics educators from around the world to share findings and discuss a particular topic. These conferences are much smaller than the ICOTS (International Conference on Teaching Statistics) meetings, and they also focus on one particular topic. The round table format allows for much more back-and-forth exchange of ideas than a typical conference.
Recent IASE Round Table Conferences have focused on curricular development, training of researchers, and the role of technology in statistics education. The issue of teacher training and the role of statistics in school mathematics are extremely appropriate for the topic of this Round Table Conference. I thank all of the conference participants for their valuable contributions. Special thanks to Carmen Batanero for chairing the International Programme Committee and to Blanca Ruiz for chairing the Local Organising Committee. I also appreciate very much the support and collaboration provided by Bernard Hodgson and Michele Artigue of ICMI. I trust that all of the participants will enjoy and learn from the discussions at the Conference, and I hope that all who read articles in the Proceedings will also benefit. Moreover, I respectfully ask that you find a way to extend those benefits to school teachers of statistics, so they can, in turn, influence their students.
(International Congress on Mathematical Education) - Monterrey, Mexico
|Editorial Address||Steven G.
Heeringa, Scientific Secretary IASS, Institute for Social Research
426 Thompson St., Ann Arbor, MI 48106-1248
Tel: +1 734 647-4621
do Nascimento Silva, President, IASS, Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute,
University of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton, SO17 1BJ, U.K.
Péronnet, Executive Director
Claude Olivier, Secretary
INSEE/CEFIL, 3 rue de la Cité, 33500 Libourne, France.
Tel.: +33 5 5755 5600
Fax: +33 5 5755 5620
|Executive Secretary||Anna Maria
INSEE, 18 Bd. Adolphe Pinard, 75014 Paris, France.
Tel: +33 1 4117 556
Message from the IASS President
As some of you may have seen in the previous issue or via the website, a position for the Director of the ISI Permanent Office has been advertised. In December 2008, by invitation from ISI President Denise Lievesley, I represented the IASS in the panel that convened in The Hague to interview the shortlisted candidates for the post.
The preparation of the programme of IASS short courses to be offered before the ISI Session in South Africa is in full gear. A contract with the venue has been signed and first class facilities are now secure in Durban. We have an exciting programme with top class instructors. This time the IASS short courses will be part of a wider programme of short courses to be offered by the ISI, and we are happy to see this idea extended to other areas of statistics and to draw contributions from other ISI Sections. Further details on the IASS short courses appear below. Do not miss these unique opportunities for personal development that will be provided in Durban.
The IASS Nominations Committee, chaired by Cynthia Clark (USA), charged with preparing the 2009 elections for the renewal of officers in the Executive and Council of the Association, has completed a selection of candidates and the ballot papers will be sent shortly to the IASS membership by the Secretariat.
The IPMs organised or co-sponsored by the IASS during the 2009 Session in Durban under the leadership of Council Member Leyla Mohadjer are now complete. The full list of topics, authors and discussants for IPM sessions is available from the 2009 ISI Session website http://www.statssa.gov.za/isi2009/ScientificProgramme/ipms.aspx. Time to start planning the trip to South Africa, to register and to make sure you do not miss the impressive scientific and social programme that is lined up for you in Durban.
The consultation process for the preparation of the Invited Paper Meetings for the 2011 ISI Session in Dublin will start shortly. Geoff Lee (Australia) chairs the IASS Programme Committee for Dublin. If you have any ideas for challenging and innovative topics, do not hesitate to let Geoff know your ideas.
The IASS is keen to welcome new members, both individual and institutional. The registration form for individual members can be found on our website (http://isi.cbs.nl/iass). For organizations wishing to join, please contact our Executive Director, Michel Peronnet (see address above).
Message from the IASS Scientific Secretary
The IASS has organized seven short courses to be offered prior to the start of the 57th Session of the ISI. These will be offered in two 2-day sessions on August 12-13, 2009, and August 14-15, 2009. The following table lists the sessions, course topics and the instructors who have volunteered to present them. Short descriptions of the syllabus and aims of each course are provided as an addendum to this summary report.
ISI and IASS members who are planning their travel itinerary for the 2009 ISI Session in Durban should note that the IASS short courses will now be offered at a Durban venue, the Hotel Southern Sun Elangeni. Registration for the courses and local accommodation will be offered online through the official website of the 57th Session of the ISI, http://www.statssa.gov.za/isi2009/. We expect that the short course registration page will become active shortly.
As IASS Scientific Secretary, I will be coordinating this activity in close liaison with the ISI short course coordinator and the Local Hosts in South Africa. If at any time you have questions or concerns about the 2009 IASS short courses, please do not hesitate to e-mail me directly email@example.com.
Addendum: 2009 IASS Short Course Abstracts
IASS Short Course 1: Business Survey Methods
Instructors: Wesley Yung and Mike Hidiroglou,
Dates: August 12-13, 2009
Business surveys are important sources of information for producing key economic indicators that monitor the economy over time and for constructing official statistics such as national accounts. While business surveys typically use simple sample designs they are not without their methodological challenges. These include dealing with:
• Business populations that are highly skewed with
a small number of large units and many small units.
• Business populations can be very unstable with respect to births, deaths and changes of classification.
• The quality and subsequent use of administrative and historical data in stratification, editing, imputation and estimation.
This workshop will describe methods for designing business surveys. It will cover topics including: building and maintaining a Business Register; sample design; data collection; outlier detection and treatment; Imputing for total and/or partial non-response; weighting and estimation; use of administrative data.
IASS Short Course 2: Workshop on Editing and Imputation of Survey Data
Instructors: John G. Kovar, Eric Rancourt and
Jean-François Beaumont, Statistics Canada
Dates: August 12-13, 2009
Surveys and censuses conducted by national statistical agencies, research institutes and other survey organizations suffer from various degrees of non-response even under ideal conditions. In order to try to alleviate the problems caused by non-response, editing and imputation methods are usually applied. Since the process of editing and imputation is time and resource intensive, care must be exercised in controlling the efficiency as well as the effectiveness of the methods. The aim of this short course is to introduce the students to methods of non-response prevention and the treatment of suspicious, inconsistent and missing responses. Evaluation of such methods and their impact on the survey outputs will be highlighted. Examples will be provided to illustrate the material presented.
IASS Short Course 3: Introduction to Survey Sampling
Instructors: Colm O’Muircheartaigh, the University
of Chicago and NORC; Steven Heeringa, University of Michigan Institute for
Dates: August 12-13, 2009
The workshop is intended to provide an appreciation of the underlying principles of sample design and estimation. The workshop will focus on practical aspects of sampling for household surveys. It will start from basic principles of sample design and selection beginning with simple random sampling, stratified random sampling, cluster sampling and build up to complex stratified multi-stage sample designs. It will cover the main sampling techniques and also discuss such issues as sampling frames and weighting. An introduction to variance estimation for complex sample designs will be presented at the end of the workshop.
The target audience for this course includes survey researchers, practitioners and statisticians who have not had extensive training in sampling methods but would benefit from a systematic introduction to (or review of) probability sampling methods. Examples and exercises will be used to reinforce the principles and techniques that are presented in this course.
IASS Short Course 4: Analysis of Complex Sample Survey Data
Instructors: Jay Breidt, Colorado State University; Kirk Wolter, National
Opinion Research Center (NORC); Wayne Fuller, Iowa State University
Dates: August 14-15, 2009
Estimation procedures appropriate for data collected under complex survey designs will be discussed. The first part of the course will cover estimation and variance estimation for standard statistics, such as means, ratios, domain totals, and the entries in two-way tables. The use of survey data for the estimation of the parameters of statistical models is the focus of the second part of the course. Emphasis will be placed on efficient estimation of the parameters of regression models.
IASS Short Course 5: Introduction to Survey Quality
Instructor: Paul Biemer, RTI International and the
University of North Carolina - Chapel Hill.
Dates: August 15, 2009 (one-day course)
The course spans a range of topics dealing with the quality of data collected through the survey process including: components of total survey error such as non-response error, frame error, measurement error, specification error, data processing error, methods for evaluating survey data and how to reduce these errors by the best use of survey resources. It includes reviews of well-established as well as recently developed principles and concepts in the field. It also examines important issues that are still unresolved today and that are being actively pursued in the current survey methods literature. The course begins with a discussion of total survey error and its relationship to survey costs and provides a number of measures of measurement quality that will be used throughout the course. Then the major sources of survey error are discussed. The course examines: a) the origins of each error source (i.e. its root causes), b) the most successful methods that have been proposed for reducing the errors emanating from these error sources, and c) methods that are most often used in practice for evaluating the effects of the source on total survey error.
The target audience for the course is persons who perform tasks associated with surveys and may work with survey data but are not necessarily trained survey researchers. These are survey project directors, data collection managers, survey specialists, statisticians, data processors, interviewers, and other operations personnel who would benefit from a better understanding of the concepts of survey quality. The course is not designed to provide an in-depth study of any one topic, but rather to provide an introduction to the field of survey measurement quality.
IASS Short Course 6: Small Area Estimation: Methods, Applications and Practical Demonstration
Instructors: J.N.K. Rao, Carleton University, and
Isabel Molina, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
Dates: August 14-15, 2009
Demand for timely and reliable small area estimates derived from survey data has increased greatly in recent years due to, among other things, their growing use in formulating policies and programs, allocation of government funds, regional planning, small area business decisions and other applications. Traditional area-specific (direct) estimates may not provide acceptable precision for small areas, because sample sizes in small areas are seldom large enough or even zero sample sizes in many small areas of interest. This makes it necessary to borrow information across related areas through indirect estimation based on implicit or explicit linking models, using auxiliary information such as recent census data and current administrative data. Methods based on explicit linking models are now widely accepted. This workshop will provide an introduction to model-based small area estimation.
A variety of recent applications to real socio-economic data and practical demonstration of the methods will also be presented. The course is primarily aimed at methodologists in government statistical bureaux or survey organizations, statistics graduate students and faculty from universities and users with adequate background in linear regression models and survey sampling theory and methods.
IASS Short Course 7: Seasonal Adjustment
Instructors: Dominique Ladiray, Institut National
de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), France, Craig McLaren,
Office for National Statistics, Brian Monsell, United States Bureau of the
Census, Benoit Quenneville, Statistics Canada
Dates: August 14-15, 2009
Time series estimates are collected, derived and published on a regular basis by government agencies around the world. Seasonally adjusted estimates are a common set of published outputs that can be calculated from the original collected time series and assist and aid interpretation of information over time. Knowledge and understanding of the seasonal adjustment process is essential.
This course gives a practical guide to the use of the two most popular seasonal adjustment packages for official statistics: X-12-ARIMA and TRAMO-SEATS. The aim of this course is to give a fundamental understanding underlying both X-12-ARIMA and TRAMO-SEATS with a focus on the practical use of these two seasonal adjustment packages. The course will alternate between theory and background of these two software packages and will include time for participants to use and explore the software with expert guidance by the instructors.
Broad topics that will be covered include: objectives of seasonal adjustment, pre-treatment of time series using TRAMO and REGARIMA, calendar effects such as trading day and Easter, prior adjustments, overview of the underlying X-11 and SEATS processes, and practical sessions.
There is no pre-requisite or previous knowledge required for this course, although it is primarily aimed at participants who are either interested in seasonal adjustment or are required to perform seasonal adjustment in their organisation.
Note: To view the other courses and workshops being offered at the ISI congress in Durban see http://www.statssa.gov.za/isi2009/ShortCourses.aspx.
Mr. Manuel Marfán, Member of the Board,
Central Bank of Chile, Santiago, Chile
Tel: +56 2 670 2583, Fax: +56 2 670 2915
Paul Van den Bergh
Madeleine Op ‘t Hof
Monetary and Economic Department, Bank for International Settlements, Basel, Switzerland
Tel: +41 61 280 8335, Fax: +41 61 280 9100
Follow up to the IFC Workshop on Securities Statistics
In March 2008, the IFC organised a workshop on "Challenges to improve global comparison of securities statistics" at the International Monetary Fund in Washington, D.C. This workshop identified the need for international guidelines and recommendations for the compilation of debt securities statistics. This has now been followed up by the Working Group on Securities Databases sponsored by the BIS, ECB and IMF. A first version of a Handbook on Securities Statistics will be available for public comment in early 2009. It covers issuance of debt securities but will eventually be extended to cover other securities as well as statistics on holdings of securities. More information is available at http://www.imf.org/external/np/sta/wgsd/index.htm.
Regional Workshops on CPI measurement
Two regional central banking groups have expressed an interest in sponsoring a workshop with the IFC in 2009. The South East Asian Central Banks Research and Training Centre (SEACEN) is an institutional member of the IFC. The head office of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is located in Saudi Arabia, and the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency is an IFC institutional member. The topic would be on CPI measurement (headline, core, inflation perception, inflation expectations). Participation will be by invitation only.
Training Event on National Accounts Methodology
The National Bank of Belgium (NBB), one of the founding members of the IFC, has agreed to organise a training event for IFC members on National Accounts methodology. It will build on its expertise in compiling the national accounts for Belgium, but will also draw on support of other IFC member institutions. Participation will be by invitation only.
The 29th and the 30th issues of the IFC Bulletin, which will contain the results of IFC organised workshops on "Challenges to improve global comparison of securities statistics" and "The use of surveys by central banks", will be published shortly.
The IFC also encourages the publication of analytical work on topical statistical issues of interest to the international central banking community, in addition to those presented at various IFC meetings. Analysis by experts of the Committee's institutional members as well as by other analysts, including outside the central banking community, can be submitted for publication in the IFC Working Paper series. More information on the criteria and review process is available on the IFC website http://www.bis.org/ifc/publications.htm.
The IFC's Contribution to the ISI Session in Durban
The IFC will sponsor or co-sponsor 7 IPMs for the 57th ISI Session in Durban, August 2009. The Committee will also organise a seminar with the South African Reserve Bank prior to the start of the ISI Session. The topic of the seminar is "Economic and financial convergence en route to regional economic integration: Experience, prospects and statistical issues amidst global financial turmoil". The seminar is aimed at IFC members and central banks from the Southern African Development Community (SADC). Participation will be by invitation only.
Furthermore, the IFC will organise an STCMP on the topic of "Data issues related to the financial crisis". Contributions are welcomed from members of other ISI Sections. For more information, please contact the IFC Secretariat.
Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi
Department of Information Systems & Decision Sciences (SID)
ESSEC Business School Paris
Avenue Bernard Hirsch, B.P. 50105
95021 Cergy-Pontoise Cedex, France
Tel: +33-1-3443-3656; Fax: +33-1-3443-3691
Suite 251, 184 Blues Point Road
McMahons Point NSW 2060 Australia
Tel: +61 2 9922-1623; Fax: +61 2 9922-1635
ISBIS official Journal - Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry (ASMBI):
|Message from the ISBIS President|
|Past Conference Activities|
|57th ISI Session in Durban, South Africa (16-22 August 2009)|
|58th ISI Session in Dublin, Ireland (20-27 August 2011)|
|Forthcoming ISBIS Regional Conferences|
|ISBIS at Other Conferences|
Revision of Statutes: After three years of operation, the ISBIS Executive has
been able to make an assessment of the founding Governance arrangements of the
Society. An Ad hoc committee comprising Yves Grize, Vijay Nair (Chair) and
Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi conducted a careful review of the Statutes, and produced
a considerably revised draft. Significant changes include:
• Revision of the Executive Committee, with a clear statement of the role and responsibility of each member;
• Clarification of how long an individual can remain a member of the Executive;
• Revision of the membership of Council, with a clear statement of the role and responsibility of each member;
• Explicit provision for Special Interest groups, such as a Young Statisticians group;
• A revised process for conducting elections;
• Explicit provision for Standing Committees;
as well as several other minor changes.
The proposed changes will be submitted to the membership for approval in the near future.
Young Statistician activities: Plans are being developed to establish a Young Statisticians group within ISBIS. More information should be available on the ISBIS website by April 2009.
ISBIS has now implemented a program of its conference strategy, which involves
a. biennial international conferences, broad in scope and professionally organised; and
b. regional meetings that are more regionally focused, organised locally, but with strong ISBIS support.
Under (a), ISBIS-2008 was held in Prague, Czech Republic, during 1-4 July 2009.
Under (b), a regional meeting was held in Hanoi, Vietnam, during 1-3 December 2008 organized locally but with ISBIS actively involved through the Scientific Program Committee, and by providing several keynote speakers.
Reports on these meetings can be found at: http://www.isbis.org/pastconferences.html.
ISBIS Invited Sessions at ISI Conferences
ISBIS has a significant share of the Scientific Program at the 57th Session of
the International Statistical Institute in Durban, South Africa, 16-22 August
Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi
This is a call for proposals for ISBIS invited paper sessions for the 58th Biennial Session of the ISI to be held in Dublin, Ireland, 20-27 August 2011.
As usual, a competitive procedure for determining the invited sessions has started. Candidate proposals from the various ISI Sections will be discussed at the upcoming Durban Session in August 2009.
Therefore, we solicit receiving proposals for invited sessions to be held under the auspices of ISBIS (or perhaps jointly with another ISI Section).
If you feel your topic meets (at least some of) the guidelines given, e.g. in ISBIS News 1(1), please do not hesitate and contact our member of the Program Coordinating Council Werner Müller (firstname.lastname@example.org) with your suggestions as soon and as detailed as possible.
Cagliari, Sardinia Island, Italy
The European Regional Meeting of the International Society for Business and Industrial Statistics (EURISBIS’09) will take place in Cagliari (Sardinia Island, Italy) on 30 May - 3 June 2009.
The International Association for Statistical Computing (IASC, a Section of the
ISI) will be a Participating Organization in this meeting.
EURISBIS’09 themes will be related to Quantitative Methods for Banking and Finance, Environment, Quality of Services for SMEs, Transport and Tourism.
EURISBIS’09 will provide a varied and stimulating scientific program of invited and contributed papers, and excellent opportunities for formal and informal exchanges. Authors will have the opportunity to submit extended versions of their papers for publication in the ISBIS Society's journal, Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, in the Springer’s journal Advances in Data Analysis and Classification (ADAC) and in the Italian Journal of Applied Statistics (Statistica Applicata).
The keynote speakers will be:
Bill Cleveland, Purdue University, USA
Alessandro Fassò, University of Bergamo, Italy
Moreover, there will be about 25 Invited Sessions focusing on specialized topics such as: On-Line Methods for Quality Control, Models and Quantitative Methods in Finance and Insurance, Statistics for Health and Environment, Statistical Process Control, Case Studies in Business and Industrial Statistics, Improving financial ratings through XBRL balance sheet analysis, Statistical Methods for Tourism, Applications in Transports, Mathematical Instruments in Decision-Making Processes, Statistical Methods for Transport Analysis, Banking, Statistics and Finance, Control Charts for Quality Improvement, E-data Mining, Computer Experiments for Innovation, Visual Data Exploration in the Business Process.
The EURISBIS’09 International Scientific Program Committee is co-chaired by:
Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi, ESSEC Business School of Paris, France – email@example.com
Nicholas Fisher, ValueMetrics, Australia firstname.lastname@example.org
Francesco Mola, University of Cagliari, Italy email@example.com
Deadline for paper submission: 30 January 2009.
Call for papers and other useful information can be downloaded from: www.eurisbis09.it.
Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi
24-26 August 2009
ISBIS is organizing a Regional Meeting in Stellenbosch (South Africa) as a Satellite Meeting of the 57th Session of the International Statistical Institute. For further enquiries, please contact Tertius De Wet at: firstname.lastname@example.org.
Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi
The next biennial ISBIS International Conference will be held in Croatia in July
Stefan Steiner (email@example.com) from the University of Waterloo (Canada) will chair the scientific program committee.
See www.action-m.com/isbis2010 for further information.
Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi
One of the objectives of ISBIS is to develop and promote relationships among national and regional organizations involved in activities similar to those of ISBIS.
The Colombian National Statistical Symposium took place in Cartagena, Colombia during 11-15 August 2008, with the main theme "Business and Industrial Statistics". ISBIS was part of this meeting, our participation having been approved by the Council in Azores. On behalf of ISBIS, Geoff Vining and Bovas Abraham organized 4 invited and 2 plenary sessions in English. Plenaries were given by Stuart Hunter and Bovas Abraham. It was a very successful meeting with more than 300 participants.
Beijing, 4-7 September 2009
ISBIS is sponsoring the 6th International Conference on Partial Least Squares and Related Methods taking place in Beijing, China, 4-7 September 2009. More details at: www.pls09.org.
Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi
ISBIS Website (www.isbis.org)
The address of the official ISBIS website is www.isbis.org. This is the place to look for up-to-date information on the activities of ISBIS, including a member-only zone with electronic access to the ASMBI-Journal, list of members, papers from past conferences and much more.
For further information on the website, or suggestions for its content, please contact Yves Grize (ISBIS President-Elect) at: firstname.lastname@example.org.
Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi
ISBIS membership is open to all individuals and organisations with a professional interest in any aspect of business, financial and industrial statistics. There are individual, institutional and student memberships. Details and application forms can be obtained from the ISBIS website (www.isbis.org) or contact Nicholas Fisher (email@example.com).
If you are already a member of the ISI and one of its Sections, you can add ISBIS to your membership for a small fee by sending an e-mail to Margaret de Ruiter-Molloy in the ISI Office (@cbs.nl).
Vincenzo Esposito Vinzi
TIES 2009 - the 20th Annual Conference
of The International Environmetrics Society and GRASPA Conference 2009*
Bologna, Italy, July 5-9, 2009 - http://www2.stat.unibo.it/ties2009